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Will Russia Shift to a War Strategy?

20 June 2022 by Larry Johnson 33 Comments

Two events in the last few days–Lithuania’s decision to prevent the transit of Russian supplies for Kalinigrad and the Ukrainian missile attack on a Russian oil platform in the Black Sea–may be the tipping point for Russia in shifting to a War strategy rather than continue with the Special Military Operation. Let me explain.

The Special Military Operation, besides the stated goals of demilitarizing and denazifying Ukraine, consisted of restricted rules of engagement. Russia did not destroy all communication infrastructure and networks. The internet remained operational in most parts of Ukraine. Cell phone towers and power grids were not targeted and destroyed. The lights stayed on in the cities and towns, including Lviv and Kiev. Civilian fuel depots and oil refinery plants were left largely unmolested.

Ukrainian government buildings, including the Ministry of Defense, have not been reduced to rubble. They still stand and daily business continues. The civilian transportation grid is still operating. Some rail travel has been disrupted in order to stop the movement of NATO military supplies to the eastern part of Ukraine, but trains continue to roll, albeit diesel fueled beasts.

Notwithstanding western propaganda that Russian “orcs” are raping, pillaging and wantonly killing civilians, the truth is otherwise. Russia has not targeted purely civilian areas (unlike Ukraine, which is shelling the city of Donetsk where there is no Russian military activity) and has pressed Ukraine to open safe escape routes for civilians caught in a combat zone. Ukraine has blocked many of these relief efforts.

The defining feature of the Special Military Operation is the size of the Russian military force deployed to Ukraine–only an estimated 250,000 Russian troops going up against a Ukrainian army and territorial defense force of 600,000. Conventional wisdom among military strategists is that an attacking army should have a 3 to 1 advantage if it hopes to succeed:

The 3-1 rule of land combat is a military aphorism rooted in operations research that states that an attacking force should have a 3 to 1 advantage over a defending force in order to succeed. The reason the attacking force must be so large of course, is to account for losses that can occur when assaulting a fortified position. A smaller attacking force often assumes much greater risk by not having enough soldiers to create and exploit a breach; likewise, choice of terrain, cover, level of preparedness, area denial, distance to resupply, distance to reinforcements, and home field advantage (morale) is usually on the side of the defender.

Russia turned the conventional wisdom on its head. Despite being outnumber almost three to one by Ukraine, which was fighting a defensive battle from fortified positions, Russia quickly obtained air supremacy and crippled Ukraine’s ability to provide close air support to besieged units. Ukrainian fixed wing and rotary wing aircraft have not played a significant offensive role in the Ukrainian operations.

Russia also relied on the militias in the Luhansk and Donetsk Republics and let them carry the brunt of the battle in recapturing territory held by the Ukrainian army. It appears that Russia played the role of supporting commander while the military forces of Luhansk and Donetsk were the supported commanders. In other words, Russia provided artillery, armor, air support and missiles to back up the military operations of the Donbas republics. Russia also provided troop reinforcement as needed. Despite western claims that Russia has suffered catastrophic losses, there is no evidence on social media in Russia to back up that claim. Vladimir Putin does not have the power to prevent bereaved parents and spouses from mourning sons lost on the battlefield.

The carnage the Ukrainian forces are experiencing on the ground will pale in comparison if Russia decides to take the gloves off and conduct a full scale war on Ukraine as the supported commander. You will no longer see photo ops with western politicians and celebrities strolling the streets of Kiev. Russia has a variety of options–it can destroy Ukraine’s electrical network or shutdown the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant–the largest plant in Europe. Russia also could kill Ukraine’s access to oil and take out refineries. And Russia can begin targeting Ukraine’s government infrastructure.

I hope it does not come to this, but Vladimir Putin has made it clear that this is an existential fight for Russia and the west, by its words and actions, have reinforced that belief. One German journalist has awakened to the danger:

German TV is admitting what’s become increasingly obvious: the West is in denial that Russia has all but won its military conflict with Ukraine.

“I am afraid we are now faced with a situation where we now have to face an uncomfortable truth,” said journalist Wolfram Weimer last week. “And that is that Russia has won this war.”

https://twitter.com/VanessaBeeley/status/1538140883425583104/video/1

“Now, our chancellor is working with this language template: ‘Russia must not win this war. Ukraine must win,’” Weimer continued.

“I’m just wondering where this is headed politically, because in fact Russia has practically conquered the Donbas in just a matter of a few days. The area gains are huge, they are about as big as Holland and Belgium put together. The land connection to Crimea is there. That means, how is Russia supposed to lose this war now?”

Weimer went on to say that Ukraine “does not have the strength” to militarily fight Russia despite receiving billions of dollars of weapons and assistance from the West, and that Russia is “also winning the international game of sanctions.”

We are living in historic times. The world that was created in the aftermath of World War II was extinguished on February 24, 2022. The United States is no longer in a position to dictate the outcome in Ukraine and Europe. That power now resides with Vladimir Putin.

Reader Interactions

Comments

  1. D.E. Murray says

    20 June 2022 at 23:56

    A little O/T but the gov’t in Israel collapsed. It’s complicated, but they will have a caretaker PM (Yair Lapid) w/Bibi salivating in the wings. He could very well be re-elected in October when they go to the polls.

    Netanyahu and Putin got along quite well.

    We shall see. Historic times indeed.

    Reply
  2. jimmywalter says

    21 June 2022 at 00:28

    I see neither Kaliningrad nor the “sinking” of a single oil platform as sufficient to goad Putin into full war status, although he might hit some Ukrainian military headquarters, nor WW3. Lithuania has already backtracked: https://www.rt.com/news/557504-lithuania-kaliningrad-transit-ban-explanation/ And Russia has demonstrated its abilities with missile exercises: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6KyMpE0Lfko

    Reply
    • Larry Johnson says

      21 June 2022 at 00:37

      Boy, I hope you are right.

      Reply
      • jimmywalter says

        21 June 2022 at 01:41

        Dear Mr Johnson, Putin has many more tactical reasons to strike Poland. Yet he has not. I think he will start striking more military targets that he has let slide, especially since the US is providing real time targeting for the Ukrainians.
        But as the Buddhist parable at the end of “Charlie Wilson’s War” said, “We shall see”.

        Reply
    • Randolorian says

      21 June 2022 at 02:25

      > Earlier, Lithuanian Foreign Minister Gabrielius Landsbergis stated that the decision to impose these restrictions was made by Vilnius after consulting with the European Commission and was implemented under its guidance.

      Are there any men left in Europe at all? No one here takes ownership of anything. Pathetic.

      Reply
      • U.N. OUT OF USA says

        21 June 2022 at 11:10

        “Are there any men left in Europe at all? No one here takes ownership of anything. Pathetic.” It’s the same here in the USA, sadly. Obama said (lied) that the “buck would stop with me”, but he blamed George W. Bush for everything, even in the 8th year of his presidency, he was still blaming Bush. “Joe Biden” (Obama in the background pulling the strings) now blames Trump for everything. These “men” don’t own any of their vast number of mistakes. They make most of us here in the USA embarrassed at what has become of our nation. For me, personally, I love watching Putin defeat all of “Joe Biden’s” (Obama’s) toothless threats and actions. Finally, someone in the world is putting Obama in his place. It is glorious to watch and couldn’t happen to a more deserving a$$.

        Reply
    • Foxexpress says

      21 June 2022 at 13:27

      The Lithuanians have double back tracked, they’ve obfuscated on the fine print, the point being the RU saying we will never trust the West, the Liths are about to feel that literally, as most of it’s energy if not all comes from RU.

      Reply
    • buntalanlucu says

      21 June 2022 at 18:52

      you dont know much about russia’s strategic interest or just trolling as usual (which get you banned from Saker and Smoothie). Try not to get banned here too

      Reply
  3. rollingcoal says

    21 June 2022 at 04:30

    The latest inflation rate in Russia during last month was negative -.05% The ruble is 56 to dollar the highest in 8 years. The little piss ant Jake Sullivan’s sanctions (as David Stockman Reagans OMB director calls him) has had zero effect except to strengthen the national cohesiveness of Russia. Stockman is how I found you — I read his contra corner. He is enormously intelligent and writes well. I wrote the Trump campaign in 2016 and suggested him for some economic post. But who am I? So not even a robot answer. Trump’s greatest talent is he is entertaining to listen to so I can never dislike him plus the left hates him so much we have to return him.

    Reply
    • buntalanlucu says

      21 June 2022 at 18:56

      it is hilarious the pro narrative western economic analyst constantly trying to potray russia’s economy as crumbling. they ignored the most basic economic facts that russia hold all commodity flags , russia hold food and energy independence , many nations depends on russia’s commodity , and the obviupous strengthening of ruble as indicator.

      this began to feels like a group of thristy peopl in desert trying to sanction a water seller who owned many water wells (and plenty of armed peopke guarding his wells).. who is going to die from thirst first?

      Reply
  4. heikomr says

    21 June 2022 at 05:41

    The creation of “raw material currencies” poses an existential threat to the fiat money system. In this regard, a question arises in my mind. Does the US empire have any chance to remain an empire? In the future, the main production and raw materials will be in the non-Western dominion. I suppose the Eurasian alternative to IMF, WTO and World Bank will attract more and more Africa and Latin America. You cannot maintain military power with money alone.
    For a strong military you need a strong and secure economic base. I suspect that there are also people in the USA who understand this.

    Is that why the USA + vassals will choose Armageddon? Do the Anglo-Saxon oligarchs have a plan B? I fear no.

    Reply
    • davidgmillsatty says

      21 June 2022 at 11:59

      That is part of the reason I keep saying that Putin should send missiles to hit bank buildings and credit card processing centers. Stop the flow of money and credit and war comes to a screeching halt. It will also send a message that debt based fiat currency is on the outs. The banks deserve it, but my fear is that they will not go gently into that goodnight. On the contrary, the banks will probably be willing to pay any price short of nuclear war.

      Reply
      • buntalanlucu says

        21 June 2022 at 18:58

        No need to send missiles , just cut the primary cables linking world trading and banking system , and disrupt their backup satellite communication capabilities via jamming or damaging the satelites with EM / Land based laser.

        Reply
        • davidgmillsatty says

          22 June 2022 at 10:15

          That would be easier but my fear would be that would only cause a temporary problem. Something that takes a long time to fix is more along the lines I was thinking.

          Reply
  5. jimmywalter says

    21 June 2022 at 08:38

    https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-moscow-baltic-sea-lithuania-bc59611547334e12e32c24353923762a
    Russia’s security chief on Tuesday said Moscow will respond to Lithuania’s decision to bar rail transit of certain goods from Russia to a Russian Baltic Sea exclave, and this response will have “a significant negative impact” on the Lithuanian people, adding to the already high tensions in the region.
    Separately, the Russian Foreign Ministry on Tuesday summoned the European Union ambassador to Russia, Markus Ederer, and “expressed a resolute protest” over the transit ban. The ministry said in a statement that it “demanded an immediate resumption of the normal operation” of the transit, otherwise “retaliatory measures will follow.”

    Reply
    • Harry Hobbes says

      21 June 2022 at 10:10

      At some point the Russian Federation will have to “pick a fight” with an appropriate proxy to ensure all proxies learn the Nuremburg lesson: “just following orders” as an excuse is a non-starter…

      Reply
    • buntalanlucu says

      21 June 2022 at 19:01

      Lituhuanian are sick people who illogically bore insane russophobia , even those who already living in america still trying to drum up wars against russia. Same with the polacks and the baltics people whose russophobia are so inane and stupid they are happy to be used by US neocon as the cause of WW3..

      total destruction or subjugation of baltics and poland might be necessary , and after all the sanction and asset seizure , what can Zwestern europe do to russia ? send their puny military in the midst of their economic breakdown ?

      Reply
  6. Chris Chuba says

    21 June 2022 at 09:59

    “consisted of restricted rules of engagement. ” and restraint was portrayed as weakness by U.S. analysts.

    A favorite meme popping up was how the remarkable ability of Ukraine to rebuild rail lines overcame Russia’s attack on them. How rail transport was still humming along. We did not even consider the possibility that Russia wanted to avoid destroying infrastructure. Is Russia really incapable of destroying the rail network if they wanted to? They could but look at the pattern of their attacks. Russia hit supply depots and camps in the far west of Ukraine and only limited attacks against the rail at international crossings.

    I am actually starting to think that Russia wants to allow men and a limited amount of material to get to Donbas so that they can bleed out Ukraine. Sure, send in your NATO equipment and watch it get vaporized. I bet you are not going to hear a lot about that $40B of military aid after the war ends because it will be a pile of dust.

    Reply
    • buntalanlucu says

      21 June 2022 at 19:06

      People having a laugh at ISW constant peddling of ukraine narrative , the kaganite thinktank cannot hide russia success on the grou pnd thats why they kept using hilarious twist in potraying ukraine as ‘planning counter attack’ which never come. and covering up ukraine defeat and retreat as “tactical repositioning”

      hilarious only fools and trolls still using ISW maps , and the sick lithuanian clown TTG on SST constantly use ISW maps as the base of his hilarious ukraine sitrep , and the cowardly col lang who sold the site to TTG / neocons double down and said no one should attack the lithuanian biased analysis because the old col also support neocon warmongers

      the russian SMO truly showed who is the real cowards among men when their mask dropped

      Reply
      • morongobill says

        21 June 2022 at 21:18

        So exactly what military experience do you have? How about laying off the veterans while you are at it. It is one thing to disagree and another to go out of the way to be disagreeable.

        Reply
        • Eric Newhill says

          22 June 2022 at 14:31

          Veteran status does not exempt one from being guilty of all manner of hideous crimes. Indeed, hideous crimes have been committed by veterans. Look at Lee Harvey Oswald as a prime example.

          I too find TTG to be deep state IO agent scum of the first order.

          And stupid. And probably a traitor.

          Reply
          • Eric Newhill says

            22 June 2022 at 14:48

            Or look at Colin Powell disgracing himself in numerous Iraqi WMD presentations.

  7. Malik says

    21 June 2022 at 10:52

    “The world that was created in the aftermath of World War II was extinguished on February 24, 2022.”

    Biden and his neo-con loonies accelerated the demise of the US Empire and dollar hegemony with their arrogant proxy war. It won’t take long for historians to recognize this fiasco as the greatest strategic blunder in US if not world history. I believe the ripple effects of this conflict will last for decades.

    The longer this conflict drags on the more leverage Russia gains and the West becomes weaker. Climate accords just went up in flames as the Greens are burning coal in Europe and energy rationing plans are floated. The Recession in America is just getting started. It will only worsen as the shock effects of sanctions have not reached their apex, the ultimate pain points are months if not years away. Europe and the West will not be able to afford the technologies allowing them to wean themselves off of Russian oil or carbon energy sources and they will pay more for energy this lowers their GDP.

    The impacts of de-dollarization are just starting to ripple. The hyper inflated stock, housing and asset bubbles are bursting all over the place. And we haven’t even talked about the DERIVATIVES explosion on the horizon.

    There will be job and wage stagnation along side inflation it won’t reach it’s crescendo for years. Meanwhile what companies will invest in re-shoring or capital expansion or R & D at accelerated paces? How will the US and West remain industrially and academically competitive. As academic standards in the US dummy down and we invest less and less in education, infrastructure, and emerging technologies, can anyone expect us to compete with Cambodia let alone Russia or China?

    We can survive a multi-polar world but only if the loonies are kicked to the curb, it’s going to be difficult enough as it is. But war with China and Iran will likely result in world war because just like those poor youth in India who actually want to serve in government/military but can’t society will just unravel. Energy costs, food insecurity, and political unrest will usher in era of Techno-Authoritarianism and mercenary staffed wars. We will be Sri Lanka unless we accept the naked reality that America IS Joe Biden. Frail, confused, unstable, incoherent and corrupt. Most of all RUDDERLESS.

    We’re not number 1 by a long shot anymore. And given emphasis on gender studies versus physics and math, coupled with constant social tensions over ridiculous culture fetishes, it doesn’t look good.

    Reply
    • buntalanlucu says

      21 June 2022 at 19:11

      India have no more money for their incredibly incompetent military. their ground troops are based on mass formation ancient doctrine which wont be survivable in modern warfare. The airforce are hodgepodge of mixed jets from different western and russian origin which will vastly complicate their maintenance and logistics. the indian research groups are totally incompetent and corrupt..

      India is big talk only pretending it is strong when it is easy to see the reality of its incompetent military..

      Reply
  8. Cyrusaurelius says

    21 June 2022 at 12:08

    new Col Douglas Macgregor

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e4rWfPPR-V8

    Reply
    • bonbon says

      23 June 2022 at 11:12

      MOD, long transcript, important enough to post. Extremely interesting reference to the Brits, and Cromwell!!
      hi everyone judge andrew napolitano here with judging freedom today is tuesday
      june 21st 2022 it’s about 11 o’clock in the morning here on the east coast of the
      united states with the country’s attention focused on the decisions of the supreme court of the united states some of which came down in the past hour
      and the remainder of which will come thursday we cannot lose sight
      of what continues to happen in ukraine and so we have today our go-to military
      expert colonel douglas mcgregor who really needs no introduction to this audience
      colonel mcgregor always a pleasure thank you for joining us here
      on judging freedom sure so a couple of events have occurred
      since we were last together but before we zero in on them
      can you give us your assessment from your observations and from your sources
      of how the conflict is going in ukraine and how and when it is likely to end up
      well the first uh question is an easy one to answer uh ukraine has lost this war
      i would argue had lost it some time ago it’s now becoming so apparent that even
      the most ardent supporter of ukraine’s war on russia in london
      berlin paris or the united states and washington can’t really stand up and say anything else i suppose some will but the truth is the war is over the
      ukrainians are losing on a daily basis somewhere is between 500 and 1 000 dead
      and wounded their army is effectively annihilated
      they’re throwing reservists the equivalent of what we would call
      national guardsmen into the buzz saw and the russians are very calmly
      methodically annihilating whatever shows up the russians have already begun
      consolidating their control over 25 30 percent of ukraine
      where the ukrainian forces were previously paused to attack russia
      they now control uh territory that is responsible for roughly 80 percent of
      ukraine’s gross national product so i expect that the russians will hold
      on to this and incorporate it into russia it will be annexed it was
      historically russian it is a game now as far as how will this end
      well we have a lot of people that seem to be determined that it will not end
      and that is extremely dangerous because the longer this lasts the greater the
      potential for this regional conflict to widen and engulf more countries and
      ultimately to drag us in which some people think is the real goal in
      incomprehensible as that may seem is the united states still sending uh
      cash and military equipment or have the 56 billion that the congress authorized
      plus some of the president’s discretionary funds as recently as
      another billionaire where he got it but this is the type of discretion we give
      to the president of the united states uh has that all been spent has it all
      been delivered well not all of it has been spent uh not
      all of it has yet been delivered but most of it is is effectively gone and
      the thing that most americans don’t understand is that
      we are actually paying double we’re close to double uh what we
      normally pay for equipment because remember what happens is that
      we ship equipment and support and supplies to ukraine as well as cash
      because we are effectively funding the ukrainian government if we stop funding
      the ukrainian government everything would collapse i’m sure mr zielenski
      would climb into an airplane and fly to miami where he owns a mansion
      and essentially try to duck any responsibility for what’s gone on but we
      continue to send hundreds of millions of dollars in hard cash over there that
      pays everyone but the key thing is that the military equipment we send ends up
      costing us twice what it normally would and why does why is that well it’s first
      of all we can’t replace it right away that’s part of the problem we have to
      replace it in order to replace it we have to pay more for what we’re giving
      away so we end up sending enormous quantities of money in a direct
      transfer right to the department of defense if you simply view this as part of the
      american defense budget well now you’re you’re approaching a trillion dollars uh
      in in ways that we never have before we’re spending so
      recklessly at this point it’s hard to know exactly how much we
      are investing not just in the department of defense but of course in our
      intelligence agencies all right so if we if we give them a tank
      and i’m just gonna throw out a round number we give them a tank worth a
      million dollars it’s going to cost us a million 250 to replace it is that the
      essence at least at least okay okay have any of the people around the
      president as far as you know uh military diplomatic or intelligence
      come to the same conclusions that you just articulated
      well if there are they’re in deep hide let’s face it
      you know you’ve got to keep in mind something and this is what americans
      don’t understand people say well how could we have reached these conclusions
      and done such a stupid thing say in the in the wake of 9 11 or any number of
      different instances in iraq afghanistan syria now with ukraine
      the point is there are always people in the intelligence system who provide
      sound analysis it’s just that their analysis is not wanted
      so you have political leaders who essentially pick and choose from the
      intelligence estimates the same thing is true on the military side with generals
      there’s an old expression presidents ultimately get the generals
      they want now that can be positive you know look what lincoln went through
      until he finally had u.s grant that’s a good example
      uh fdr was a little more fortunate early on with marshall but it was still
      a very tough fight for marshall to build an army because fdr wanted to fight the
      whole war with the air force and the navy the these things happened over time and
      and jfk ultimately got the generals he wanted
      and they were the generals that led us into vietnam
      everyone does this and people forget that that general officers don’t emerge
      heavily or surprisingly no he agrees with them but there must be there must
      be military intelligence and cia that have come to the same conclusion
      you have not that ukraine is losing but that ukraine has lost
      oh yeah i’m sure that russia controls that russia controls enough property so
      it’s 80 of the gross national product which includes the ability to derive
      taxes for the government to stay alive is somebody telling that to joe biden
      and is he rejecting it or maybe you don’t know this because you’re obviously
      not in the administration is that advice not even making its way into the oval
      office you know i suspect that uh our friend president biden is sort of a
      mushroom they keep him in a dark place and and feed him crap
      i think susan rice uh jake sullivan blinken oligarchs frankly rich powerful figures
      that control the democratic party and let’s face it
      large portions of the republican party who dominate washington
      they all have much more influence now than americans realize they’re running the show so i i think
      they’re not telling joe biden anything that they don’t really want him to know
      but more important they’re riding this this train to
      oblivion and they’re not going to get off and they’re throwing more coal into
      the locomotive with each passing day now as they’re they’re doubling down on
      failure in the belief that if they just hang on long enough
      somehow or another miraculously they’re going to win and they’re destroying nato
      they’re tearing europe apart europeans are finally beginning to wake up to the
      disaster they’ve lost control of eastern europe you have the lithuanians
      who want to cut the russians off from east prussia or this place called
      kaliningrad you have russian retired officers now calling for putin to commit
      nuclear weapons to the defense of kaliningrad
      at the same time you have the poles who continue to advocate for greater
      violence against russia and greater support for the non-existent ukrainian
      state because let’s face it ukrainian ukraine is now a failed state it’s
      collapsed people are being pushed at gunpoint into
      the into russian fire this whole thing is a disaster but no one wants to admit
      failure because they know once they admit failure they lose all credibility
      what could what could we or what could the united states have done
      to have uh tempered or lessened uh the bloodshed
      well the very first you’re talking about five or six months ago colonel yeah well
      of course obviously we could have paid attention to what
      mr putin was saying and had been saying for literally a decade
      i mean this goes back to 2008 in budapest and the munich security
      conference where he effectively said we cannot
      accept what you’re doing we we will not tolerate the presence
      of nato forces particularly u.s forces on our borders we could have listened to
      that there was always the opportunity to say
      you know we don’t need ukraine we don’t need to
      turn ukraine into a platform for attack against russia we don’t need it it’s
      unnecessary and russia whatever we don’t like about it is not the soviet union
      we refuse to do any of those things we refuse to consider neutrality
      and remember we also intervened once the intervention began by putin and frankly
      i disagree with people who say oh putin’s evil he started this war no i i
      think we started the war he simply acted as he did because he thought he had no
      choice or he was going to end up with the equivalent of something like
      pershing missiles in eastern ukraine that would threaten and destroy russia
      so i think he did what he thought he had to do
      but even after he did he was always willing to negotiate we kept intervening
      and telling uh zelensky and his friends don’t give an
      inch we’ll support you and perhaps they they thought
      i wouldn’t be surprised they may well have thought that we were coming to the
      rescue and at the time i said they’re in the
      same position the polls were in 1939 when churchill and the french said oh
      we’ll stand by you poland well that didn’t do the polls any damn
      good uh and poland emerged from the war perhaps in the worst position of anybody
      but the point is we we refused to consider anything that made sense and no
      one looked at the region and said this is a part of the world judge where we
      don’t want a war this is more dangerous than anything
      else we’ve experienced in the last 75 years all right recently
      as recently as this morning general sir patrick sanders
      chief of the general staff of the british military i guess the
      rough equivalent to our chair chairman of the joint
      chiefs of staff said we are the generation that will be
      preparing british soldiers for world war iii
      what do you make of that what do you make of a public statement like that by
      the chief the highest ranking military officer of great britain
      well we need to understand something the british system is very different from
      our system uh you can still reach one or two stars
      in the british army on the basis of demonstrated character competence and
      intelligence that’s impossible uh in our system today
      everything is highly politicized but the british will tell you quite
      openly you don’t get to three or four stars without being politically
      acceptable to the reigning political leadership or regime whatever government
      that happens to be my point is this sir patrick sanders would not say what
      he did unless he were told by boris johnson to
      say something like that so this is not a boris johnson a madman
      why would he have why would he have his chief military officer say something
      like that well i i don’t want to be too harsh but i i think it’s reasonable to
      say that uh boris johnson is a bloviating blowhard and a fool
      and he was known for that for many decades it’s tragic that he ended up
      where he is he’s an opportunist he’s not the first one i mean i saw a
      lot of this kind of behavior from tony blair during the kosovo air campaign
      and then subsequently when we went into iraq he thought it was his opportunity
      to posture his churchillian i think boris johnson has simply taken
      that to the extreme he thinks this is benefiting him politically
      i i think it’s disastrous i think he’s going to face a no-confidence vote and
      be out on his ear within the next few months i agree with you about johnson
      but let’s look at the other side of coin about
      what sir patrick said if the real goal of anthony blinken the
      american secretary of state is to make it look like we were dragged
      reluctantly into a war so that we can knock off putin and liberate russia
      amounting what i think he would say might not sir patrick’s uh language
      have been part of that goal and that pattern stated differently
      sir patrick wouldn’t be where he is if he weren’t part of the european
      globalists who have the same mindset as the american secretary of state and
      secretary of defense agree or disagree no i think your point is valid the
      question is how far do we take it and i think once you move to the edge of
      the abyss and we realize we’re talking about waging high-end conventional
      warfare in eastern europe i think everyone in europe would would
      take a a very quick step backward uh they’re not interested in that
      uh patrick sanders may also in the back of his mind
      think that the british army can finally be funded
      adequately remember the united states marine corps is twice the size of the
      british army so you’re not talking about a significant force the british today are
      about as irrelevant to what happens on the continent as they were in 1880 their
      army is very small and it would have to be dramatically enlarged and
      fundamentally reorganized and re-equipped so it’s it’s more hot air
      than reality which is again goes back to my point on boris johnson he’s hot here
      he’s not real now that doesn’t mean you’re not right right
      perhaps sullivan thinks in his mind oh this is a great way
      sort of to move into the into the fight but then again you’ve got millie
      you need to understand general milley general milley knows we’re in no
      position to fight anybody this is the legacy force that emerged
      from the last 20 years of clubbing baby seals
      we don’t seem to understand we haven’t fought anybody who can fight back we’re
      not prepared if i were to sketch for for the audience
      the logistical realities and what’s going on in central europe right now
      people would be horrified at the thought that we would even consider moving a 50
      miles into ukraine it’s it’s crazy and then finally there’s always the nuclear
      dimension once you move towards the russian border
      there is no guarantee that we will not face a nuclear confrontation this is a
      terrible state of affairs if the president of the united states
      doesn’t understand what you’re saying and if the people around him you
      mentioned sullivan you mean jake sullivan forgive me i don’t know his real first
      name jake this is uh clinton’s chief advisor on national security now the
      national security advisor to the president of the united states is the
      highest security clearance if these people are keeping
      the mcgregor analysisfrom the president it’s almost criminal
      because this could result this could result in in death more deaths of more
      innocence and some of them might be americans
      judge franklin roosevelt was told in no uncertain terms by the chief of naval
      operations and the commander-in-chief of the navy in the pacific
      that if he embarked on the embargo against japan they would bomb pearl
      probability that japan would attack us was very high
      what happened right so we’re dealing with something
      very similar right now in fact i was thinking about this this morning
      oliver cromwell who’s one of my favorite people brilliant man who saved
      great britain from total anarchy stood up in british parliament and and
      finally said to the king you know for all the good that you’ve
      done and for as long as you’ve sat here and whatever you’ve promised you need to
      go you’re a disaster you must leave to save england
      and i think you’re reaching the point where someone’s going to have to stand
      up and say to save the united states mr biden you and the people around you must
      go that’s the only solution i can think of right now let me um
      switch to another issue but related to this um american soldiers of fortune uh
      american uh veterans uh fighting on the ground two of them in
      in ukraine two of them but captured by the russians allegedly
      a beaten and made to uh give confessions so the kremlin says they’re not
      protected by the geneva convention they’re going to be tried as terrorists
      which means they’ll be convicted and executed
      are you surprised at this and is this a just a bloviating threat
      or will it happen no i think the russians are very serious
      remember every effort that they made a good faith effort in their minds
      to put an end to this war to negotiate it into it has been spurned by us
      we have supplied our proxy in ukraine with weapons and and support on a scale
      that you know we did not provide to the french or the british
      for a very long time during world war ii um if if you’re looking at this from the
      standpoint of the russian you say first of all the americans are not only
      supporting our existential enemies now they’re they’re actually allowing
      former soldiers to show up and fight with the ukrainians now we can say these
      people volunteered and they’re at their own risk but the
      russians are going to look at this and say this is no accident
      the americans could stop this if they wanted to
      so now the problem is if you’re sitting in the white house how do you how do you
      approach the russians either privately or publicly on the issue it’s very
      difficult so no i think i think it’s very serious and i think
      the worst could happen general douglas mcgregor no matter what
      we talk about it’s it’s eye-opening and it’s refresh refreshing to hear the
      truth thank you for joining us okay thank you
      judge of course judge napolitano for judging freedom

      Reply
      • Larry Johnson says

        23 June 2022 at 14:45

        Thanks.

        Reply
  9. AaronT says

    21 June 2022 at 13:39

    Putin has proved to be as cool as a cucumber despite endless provocations. He is calm, rational and calculated – a true grandmaster chess player. Compare that to the America, defined by its hubris: pompous, vocal, name-calling, impulsive and stupid, with zero strategic foresight. Then look at Europe which reminds me of a hysterical female, and you don’t need to be Sun Tzu to tell you on who to put your money on.

    Reply
  10. japmandu says

    21 June 2022 at 15:41

    One of the commentors said something along the lines of “America is Joe Biden, old, decrepit , among other things.”
    I couldn’t relocate the comment after I logged in to reply to it, but what was written made me think; America is not really controlled and run by real Americans anyway, even if it ever was in the first place.
    America doesn’t belong to Americans, we are the result, of a hostile takeover, and asset depletion scheme.
    Whatever America is now, it’s out of our hands.
    It looks like the fulfillment of a successfully implemented business model.

    Reply
    • buntalanlucu says

      21 June 2022 at 19:13

      bullshit , american elites owned america and they dont care about american economy or american people. stop trying to pretend otherwise. the buck stops with america’s elite and the whole nation of america will pay for the sins and greed of these elites

      Reply
  11. heikomr says

    22 June 2022 at 02:04

    I beg your pardon. I have to write my thoughts in German because I am too unsure about the correct translation.
    —

    Die Situation heute wird viel mit der damaligen sogenannten Kubakrise verglichen. Aber hierbei wird etwas grundlegendes vergessen.

    Damals waren die USA auf dem Höhepunkt ihrer Macht, Russland war noch auf Jahrzehnte damit beschäftigt die Folgen der Verwüstungen durch den 2. Weltkrieg zu bewältigen und China war noch ein bitterlich verarmtes Land, das sich in den Irrungen und Wirrungen in seiner gesellschaftlichen Neufindung befand.

    Heute kann selbst der liebe Gott nichts an den Gesetzen der Mathematik ändern, denn die Mathematik ist der unerbitterlichste Leitfaden der globalen Menschheit und hierbei ist es das Geld, Zins- und Zinseszinssystem, die es unabdinglich machen das Geld- und Wirtschaftssystem nicht nur zu reformieren, sondern generell neu auszurichten.

    Während der Westen immer mehr dem Finanzcasino zugeneigt ist und war, die USA noch mehr als z. Bsp. Europa, sind Volkswirtschaften wie z. Bsp. Russlands und Chinas auf die Realwirtschaft orientiert. Der diesbezügliche produktive und technologische Vorsprung des Westens schrumpft auf diesen Gebieten rasant.

    Es scheint so, dass die Finanzeliten des Westens zu der Erkenntnis kamen, dass sie diesen Wettbewerb nicht mehr erfolgreich bestehen können. Hinzu ist der wirtschaftliche Erfolg Russlands und Chinas mit einer Erlangung militärischer Durchsetzungskraft verbunden, welche diesen Ländern die Möglichkeit bietet, den Westen an der weiteren Ausplünderung zu hindern. Der Wirtschaftskrieg hat die eurasischen Eliten noch dazu gezwungen ihre eigenen Volkswirtschaften zu stärken und zu modernisieren. Ein Prozess der jetzt noch mehr beschleunigt wurde.

    Ich bin davon überzeugt, dass die eurasischen Länder diesen Wettbewerb nur gewinnen können und, dass die westlichen Oligarchen für sich nur noch den Ausweg im Krieg sehen. Doch den verlieren sie gerade in der Ukraine und in Syrien und im Nahen Osten. Im Zuge ihrer wirtschaftlichen Selbstvernichtung müssen sie jetzt die Entscheidung treffen, ob sie den Krieg direkt gegen Russland und China führen oder ob sie in einen ehrlichen realwirtschaftlichen Wettbewerb eintreten.

    Ich möchte keine Wette abschließen, wozu sich die US-Oligarchen entscheiden. Denn meine Schlussfolgerung ist zu schrecklich.

    Europa, hätte es charakterstarke politische Eliten, könnte die Wahl treffen sich an den gigantischen Wirtschaftsprojekten zu beteiligen und könnte trotz des Geschehenen für Jahrhunderte prosperieren.

    Aber das wird nicht geschehen.

    Reply
    • scg1981 says

      22 June 2022 at 05:31

      you are perfectly right….we should make a new military deal in Europe in wich Russia ll be included and as a result it ll not be any problems…like this Europe + Russia + China ll become the future of the world…but our corupt political class is weak and incompetent and cowords ((((….. we could do so many things with Russia that ll be a win win situation but Germany is under ocupation stil and cant do anithing France has no balls and teh rest of Europe dose not count,,,i ll never be abble to understand why Europe chose to be adversary to Russia insted of colaboration (((((

      Take care

      Reply
      • heikomr says

        22 June 2022 at 05:51

        The situation in Germany is totalitarian. At the moment, the criminal police and the public prosecutor’s office are persecuting me because I publicly showed the Nazis and their crimes in Banderastan on the social network. This is how many people in Germany feel now.

        Reply

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I am a bona fide Son of American Revolutionaries. At least 24 of my ancestors, men and women, fought to free the American Colonies from British rule. Some died for the cause of liberty. Though two and a half centuries have passed since my great grandfathers and grandmothers took up arms, the principles they fought for remain valid and relevant to the 21st Century. This blog is dedicated to the pursuit of truth without regard to partisan advantage. I welcome like minded patriots.

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