Military leaders in the U.S. and NATO continue to insist that the Russians are making little progress in Bakhmut. Here are a couple of examples of this so-called “thinking”:
Russia is making small advances near the eastern Ukrainian city of Bakhmut but this was coming at a great cost, the top U.S. general said on Wednesday.
Reuters quotes thoroughly modern Milley:
“The Russians are making small, tactical advances (but) at great cost,” Chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff General Mark Milley told reporters.
Russia has reported painstaking gains around Bakhmut in recent weeks, making progress on encircling the city, but it has not made significant territorial gains in months.
No significant gains? I am publishing this animated map as a public service.
If you look carefully at the last three seconds of the video gif you will see that there are at least 9 Ukrainian brigades that are now surrounded and trapped. The Russians have fire control over the only route of retreat for these Ukrainian units. The time-lapse video shows significant progress over the course of the last thirty days. And I am not just talking about the capture of territory. The losses the Ukrainians are suffering are enormous in terms of men and equipment.
The next time-lapse video shows the results of capturing Soledar aka Соледар. Controlling this city provides Russia with a secure rail line that is being used to provide supplies of food and ammunition to the Wagner Group and other Russian forces on the front lines. It also provides the logistics infrastructure for moving wounded soldiers to more secure medical care. Ukraine does not have a comparable logistics system in place to provide the same level of support.
I want to remind you that this is only a snapshot of a small sector of the the 1000 mile long line of combat. While Western officials continue to cling to the delusional belief that Russia is making small progress, we have yet to see a single instance in the last six months of Ukraine pushing the Russians back on these points of attack. The reason is simple — Ukraine lacks the manpower, the ammunition supplies and the logistics to carry out such an operation.
As you can see in the following map, Russia is maintaining pressure, with a high rate of fire, all along the front.
Officials in the West and in Ukraine continue to insist that a counter-attack is coming. I have to assume this is a desperate psychological operation. I find it difficult to believe that responsible military leaders and planners would be publicly tipping their hand about what they intend to do and where they intend to strike. General Eisenhower and General Montgomery did not blather on in the press about their upcoming invasion in Normandy. They obfuscated their moves and made masterful use of deception. Ditto for Marshal Zhukov and General Konstantin Rokossovsky in their planning and execution of Operation Bagration.
I think the United States and its NATO partners are making a deadly mistake in underestimating Russian intelligence about the disposition and readiness of Ukrainian forces. What is clear is that the Russians are not saying anything about their plans for destroying the Ukrainian Army. But I am certain that such plans exist and are being executed according to a schedule dictated by Russia.
A Straussian, Psycho mindset, coupled with Totskyite, World Domination, neocon wet dreams, portends disaster.
De-Nazification of the planet, an imperative.
I do not think that any responsible Western military person really believes the bullshit put out by people like Milley and Austin, whose sole function seems to telling the gnattering political classes what they want the public to think.
NATO uber alles. I live in Japan. In 1945, we know that the Emperor and his government knew that Japan was finished but they insisted publicly they could win, touting their own wunderwaffen, including two new battleships–the world’s most advanced and new advanced fighter aircraft. Too bad, they weren’t fighting WWI where those battleships would have been useful. Too bad, they no longer had the industrial base to produce landing gear and parts for the aircraft. But they knew all that. They were just buying time, hoping to get a “get-out-of-jail” card — which they did. There were war crimes trials. A few monsters got their comeuppance; a few scapegoats went to the gallows. But the emperor was rehabilitated along with the political class — minus the previously mentioned scapegoats, of course.
But Russia is not area bombing the West as the Allies did Japan. Nor does it want vassal states. it is a different kind of war. In fact, more of a revolution than a war.
The differences are so much greater than any superficial similarities.
The only constant is propaganda.
“I do not think that any responsible Western military person really believes the bullshit put out by people like Milley and Austin . . . .”
We are already in World War 3. The terrorist acts by a rogue military on the Nord Stream pipelines last year, and the downing of the Malaysian airliner in 2014, were carried out by the United States.
It’s all part of a plan. Once the Ukrainian military has been killed, wiped out to the last man, the west will suddenly feign being woken up to terrible reality, and demand the west come to the aid of the Ukrainian martyrs.
That’s the optimistic version. The more probable scenario will be when western tanks and western jets enter the conflict, manned by western crews. I think Russia will nuke the crap out of Poland and Kiev when that happens. Hopefully, dropping five (5) 25-megaton nukes on Washington, DC. “Decision makers” all.
Then, and only then, will peace be returned to the valley.
I am an American, and I love my country, but this government must come to an end.
Have you not been paying attention the past 12 months? Russia would have no need to go to nukes. They have half a million well-equipped soldiers in place with short supply lines. How long would it take US/NATO to assemble half a million soldiers (if they even could)? And those supply lines would stretch across the Atlantic. Russia would just have to send some Kinzhals to Ramstein and the other air bases, the naval bases, and maybe one to NATO headquarters for good measure, and it’s game over.
“Have you not been paying attention the past 12 months?” Don’t talk down to people. YOU look like an idiot.
Conventional warfare is too expensive, depletes too many irreplaceable natural resources, and is ultimately unsustainable. In any conventional warfare there are formulas for how many KIA to wounded, and KIA to civilian casualties. With the current world population at 8-billion (officially) too many civilians will need to die in order for any real victory to take place on the battlefield.
It may be the 21ST Century but human nature has not changed. You take away people’s jobs, you destroy their economy, and people will do whatever is necessary. They will go off to war.
There is no such thing as exponential growth. The hockey puck moment is coming. These fool idiots now believe a nuclear war is both winnable and survivable. When the armies of the world runout of the materials to fight a war, and the means to manufacture and replace war materials, the rule of substitution will come into play; the next most efficient way to wage war — nuclear weapons.
It’s inevitable. This sucker will go nuclear.
Reading comprehension is a wonderful skill. I wrote “Russia would have no need to go to nukes”. What you are arguing is that US/NATO would go to nukes, and that is a possibility, but the argument that it absolutely, positively will be nuclear war is black-pill hysteria.
no, i dont think he has been paying attention the last 12 months…
Correct. Besides, the Sarmat ICBMs can be fitted with high explosive, non- nuclear warheads and destroy much of decision making and strike capability. The insular west is mad.
People seem to keep forgetting that the U.S. is the master of the cut and run. Just look at how we fled Afghanistan to the tune of willingly leaving $85B worth of equipment behind. When the American public finally start showing its tiredness of all this, we will cut and run. No politician is going to put American lives at risk.
Claro que no. entrenaran y mandaran a la Guerra a puros migrantes.
Putin has already said the Ukraine and Russia are not Afghanistan. The United States can expect this proxy war to follow them home.
The idiot is the one that thinks Russia will nuke Poland, and drop five (why not six?) nukes on Washington DC.
The idiot is the one that refuses to take facts on board, instead typing their delusions out to the world.
You have been here for awhile and must have read what we have.
The only deduction to make is that you are either an ignoramus or a troll.
I am not an American. I am Canadian. I agree that your government must come to an end. So must mine.Larry’s New American Revolution cannot come soon enough, And maybe it will inspire Canadians.
As for propaganda…
Propaganda in this age is more complicated simply because of the huge amounts of information available, the diversity or opinions and interpretation, and rumor.
For example, there are rumors all over the place now that the Ukes are building a secret army of +50 K supported by Leopard tanks for push to retake Artemovsk (aka Bakhmut) and the Wagnerites are setting up “crumple zones” so they can fall back. However, as Mercouris suggested maybe a week ago, this is doubtful. Where IS this army? Nowhere close, if it exists at all A few tanks won’t do much The Russians have already killed well over 8000 Uke tanks. The UAF has 10 to 20 times the artillery and air superiority. The Army will be wiped out.
And how come we know about this “secret” army? Again, just propaganda, stoking rumors,
That is what NATO does best.
Recently I wrote an article on the Black Sea drone incident. I was amazed at the amount of speculation from all quarters, the rumors, and misinformation.
Once again, the culprits were Milley and Austin. But rumor muddies the waters. So I recently had to correct my original article here:
https://julianmacfarlane.substack.com/p/dont-fear-the-reaper?utm_source=twitter&sd=pf
With this one:
https://julianmacfarlane.substack.com/p/reaper-drone-update
No, it wasn’t a fuel dump. No, the drone’s prop was not damaged.
Even Sputnik News got it wrong.
Re the dropping of bombs on DC, my fervent wish, I ask only that Putin text me first so I can grab my cats and head out of range….if he gives no one else notice, I can get across the Harry Nice bridge and out of range quickly…
As a fellow SMIB, don’t let the DC folk know about our shiny new bridge. That’s my escape vector as well.
The US Reich regime will come to an end, but not via nuclear weapons. Those I have disabled. Just ask the PEntagon about UFOs disabling your nuclear launches and testing.
Humanity is not and never has been, the most powerful force on Earth. That alone, belongs only to the Might of the Heavens.
It’s not your government that’s the problem but is a symptom.
Your unbridled capitalism is the root cause of these problems and the reason for the world adventures of the usa.
Everything in moderation is better for the long term.
I hope the US/EU will come to their senses before any nuclear weapons are seriously put into play
I’m half Japanese. My mother was a child in Imperial Japan. Defeat was inconceivable to the population, victory or death was the motto even for CHILDREN.
Frankly, it’s always been strange to me that the Imperial family is still recognized. Perhaps Hirohito should have gone the way of Emperor Antoku.
You said:
𝓘𝓷 𝓯𝓪𝓬𝓽, 𝓶𝓸𝓻𝓮 𝓸𝓯 𝓪 𝓻𝓮𝓿𝓸𝓵𝓾𝓽𝓲𝓸𝓷 𝓽𝓱𝓪𝓷 𝓪 𝔀𝓪𝓻.
Could you expand on that? Revolution to overthrow what exactly? I’m asking b/c your prev material in your post is spot on and I’d like your take on the above.
Thanks
Your analysis and conclusion are disconnected. Let me help you.
“A Straussian, Psycho mindset, coupled with Totskyite, World Domination, neocon wet dreams, portends disaster.”
The elimination of the Totskyite, World Domination neocons is an imperative.
I have been watching Geopolitics, Finance and military deployments since the war in former Yugoslavia, and especially the NATO buildup of Forces around Russia.
I’m shure that Russia have payed attention too.
However, for years, Russia haven’t interfered much when the West made one bad move after another, by attacking Nations after Nation via invasions, proxy wars, color regime change and plunder.
Via its aggression, the US, EU and NATO have squander its reputation, and is today regarded as bullies by the largest segment of the global population.
The Globalist mindset behind the US NATO aggression has always been to carve up Russia, so before the Russian SMO in Ukraine, Russia was faced by Globalist Regimes on most of its borders.
The Globalist Elite have even tried to get China onboard by transferring US and EU production and Know-how to China, thereby destroying the western production base, turning the western population into mere consumer slaves, and thus securing China the position as the new Global powerhouse.
This development has never been squared off with the western population, because all the decision were taken by Political agents recruited via secret meetings in Globalist networks like the Bilderberg Group, The Trilateral Commission, The World Economic Forum, etc.
Thereby the Globalist agenda were forced upon democratic Nations via dictates by super national organizations like the UN, US, EU, IMF, BIS, G7, etc.
Moreover, the effectiveness of the Globalist network has made Globalist Politicians believe in their own collective supremacy, and to develop an insane hubris.
This Hubris steered them into making all the bad moves, and finally expose their real agenda, a Fascist world tyranny, which also include taking down and carve up communist China. Globalism is only a fancy word for Fascist Global Imperialism
As a natural consequence, Russia and China are now joining forces with all the Nations which have been attacked and exploited by the US, EU and the UK, simultaneously with discontent rising among the Western population, for being turned into mere Tax slaves for a Fascist imperialist agenda, without any real democratic influence over their own Nation and its foreign policy.
With 2/3 of the global population now united against the West, the Western population is in for an even rougher RESET in living standards.
This has created the basis for a perfect storm against the Fascist World Order.
Our only hope is that a sufficient amount of the western populations wakes up and takes actions against the Fascist Agents who have taken over our National governments, before they lead us into WWIII.
Fascism and Communism is the unification (via corruption and blackmail) of all major forces within a Nation, with the purpose to secure an oligarchical upper class being able to exploit their fellow man.
All this could be true and I mostly agree with your comments. My question is this: Have these developments come about as the result of an anomaly that must be redressed or is human society heading in the direction which is natural because of the current state of technology and geography? In chemistry, one uses the Maximum Entropy Theory to predict the outcome of chemical reactions, similar to saying “water flows downhill then stays there”. Will historians look back at the 21st century and observe that the current situation was inevitable, or will they see it as an unusual chain of events that led to an ugly state of affairs?
If Orwell was able, 75 years ago, to so accurately predict the direction we would go, is tyranny actually our natural state?
Pym of Nantucket says
“Have these developments come about as the result of an anomaly or is human society heading in the direction which is natural because of the current state of technology?
My comment:
It is the same “anomaly” which struck the Roman Empire, The Holy Roman Empire, The Third Reich, The USSR, and Now the United States of America and Europe.
Any Empire based on corruption must constantly expand its territory to get more slaves and resources to pay for the ever grooving forces to exploit and control its internal population and to pay for its ever grooving military to gain new territory to exploit.
If the expansion stops, the empire collapses and splinters back into nation states.
Pym of Nantucket says
Will historians look back at the 21st century and observe that the current situation was inevitable, or will they see it as an unusual chain of events that led to an ugly state of affairs?
My comment:
No. Future historians will write what the winners of this battle dictate. But the fact is that what is happening in the west today has happened time and again throughout history, and each time a Dynastic Fascist congregation has been the force behind the Empires.
Imperialism carries over from one generation to the next in these dynasties.
That is why Orwell was able, 75 years ago, to predict the direction we would go.
Just uninformed opinion, but why let that stop me…
Have these developments come about as the result of an anomaly that must be redressed or is human society heading in the direction which is natural because of the current state of technology and geography? — Pym of Nantucket
Orwell was able to predict the west’s course accurately simply because he understood human nature. Human nature is the constant of history that you’re looking for. As far as technology is concerned, as in Orwell’s time, it wasn’t difficult in the early and mid 1990s to see where technology (esp. digital) was leading by asking two simple questions:
Who controls that technology?
What are their goals?
History is littered with the wreckage of empires. Why? Human nature and its existential contradictions. This is a good thing in my opinion, or at least it was, prior to humans acquiring the technological capability (WMD) of destroying itself.
Wisdom is our only hope and, unfortunately, that is about as rare as Ukrainian artillery shells in Bakhmut.
The reason why Orwell was able to predict humanity sliding into universal tyranny is that he was a member of (one of) the secret society involved in the planning, namely Fabian Society. Among its contemporary members you will find people like Ursula Von Der Pfizer, the Italian minister of Health and many others.
Pym … to answer your question : Have these developments come about as the result of an anomaly that must be redressed or is human society heading in the direction which is natural because of the current state of technology and geography?
Read the a book by Douglas Reed, the Controversy of Zion.
The book follows a thread throughout history of what is called the 13th Tribe of Judea or later the Levites with different names up to the present name of Zionists or Neocons. They are in every society throughout history and their traights are similar, they are psychopaths that seek power and wealth. They always sacrifice their own before others.
Another worthwhile study is Political Ponerology or the study of Evil, a concept popularized by Polish psychiatrist Andrzej Łobaczewski.
He has authored a book on the subject. He was a contemporary of the Bolshevick overtake of Poland. His theory posits that normaly 5-6% of the population are psychopaths and when Evil takes over a society or an organism psychopathy increases to up to 17%. I think there are YouTube lectures on the subject.
https://m.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLGl3GO2Q6l64Z3jruralAtsi5esuwYsIw
While the neocons are as evil as can be they apparently are not all that smart and appear to believe their own lies. How else to explain the push to start a two front war while getting their ass handed to them in the Ukraine? With the western financial system teetering on the edge of collapse there is no pressure for Russia or China for that matter to change strategy. If it ain’t broke don’t fix it.
I mostly agree with what you say, but I don’t see how China (which is a communist tyranny with clear dystopian traits) can be considered an opponent of the globalist New World Order.
Oooh, TYRANNY. That’s a heavy word.
How can China be considered an opponent of the New World Order?
That is easy: Their common enemy makes them unite.
China believed that the West had friendly intentions until the US began threatening China’s claim on Taiwan.
Next up: Regime change in Beijing.
“Communist tyranny” LOL someone is drinking the Kool Aid.
News flash luv, the Chinese love making money and have private ownership of most businesses and houses. Strange form of Communism.
They are as much communist as the US is democratic.
Don’t be stupid there is less tyranny in China than Washington. You have a neocon mindset and listen to too much MSM propaganda, Chinese Premier and Russian Premier have support from their populations no Western leader has ever had and only have wet dreams about. I would never Trust or support any western leader NONE they have all lied to us and kept us as slaves, our freedoms will be gone in a few years. By releasing an enhanced virus from Fort Detrick and making the vaccine mandates which killed more than the virus many of us including myself have been injured by the vaccine poison put out by the US greedy Pharma fortunately for the rest of the world they may killed many of their own since the US also had forced vaccinations
grr:
“They are as much communist as the US is democratic.”
Perfect definition.
The military/political talking heads and mockingbird sound like a patient suffering from dementia, they keep repeating the old memories with no recognition of the present reality.
Baghdad Bob Lives!!!!!!!
If you take Milley and Austin at that press conference and overlay them on top of each other, what’ve you got?
“There are no Russians in Bakhmut. Never!”
“My feelings, as usual, we will slaughter them all.”
“Our initial assessment is that they will all die.”
“No I am not scared and neither should you be!”
Long live Mohammed Saeed al-Milley and Mohammed Saeed bin Raytheon al-Austin!!!
https://www.liveabout.com/baghdad-bob-quotes-4068522
Larry, the Russians are perfectly content to let the West lie about what’s going on. The lies prevent the formation of a narrative that would justify Western involvement.
Putin knows who he’s dealing with. He said it at the beginning of the SMO: “eventually there will be new elites in the West.” In the meantime, he’s banking on the corruption in the West doing half his job for him. Smart bet.
Putin chose the timing of his invasion for a reason. Historically he’s made pretty good choices, wouldn’t you say?
Indeed, I’ve been suggesting just this for some time. Not to belittle the effort on the ground but it is secondary now to the goal of dismantling the US in its present form. The Russians are deliberately slow walking the fight in Ukraine, in coordination with China, in order to allow the US to continue to weaken itself. The trick is to continue this in a manner that doesn’t trigger a complete panic by the elite.
The main Western battlefront is psychological, not geographical. The target of the relentless “artillery barrage” of propaganda are primarily the citizens of the free collective West. Even if RF over ran all of Ukraine, the Baltic States and Poland, Milley and Austin would be out with Cheshire Cat faces talking of how Russia is now totally weakened and the media gloating on how Putin is sure to be overthrown by next week unless he doesn’t die of cancer first.
The Western establishment is beyond help or hope.
Here is Scott Ritter excoriating Lindsey Graham and Lloyd Austin. I’ve never seen him better. Ritter is literally on fire.
https://youtu.be/GjWqBnVLCC4
That’s fantastic
I would like to ask Milley to give his best estimate of both sides casualties.
To what end? Do you expect to hear anything other than a political answer, which will almost certainly be a lie given the state of US politics.
Don’t forget what Obama did to the brass and upper ranking military officers: purged them of conservatives allowing promotion of progressive and compliant toadies.
Why?
No use, Ukraine doesn’t even release their actual casualty numbers to the West.
The defeat will be ultimately those who matter and most of the world wouldn’t care what is being uttered by them or those who come after them.
Real hope for Ukraine?
https://defensepoliticsasia.com/analysis-secret-plan-of-ukraines-spring-offensive-to-wipe-out-wagner-pmc-in-the-bakhmut-front/
LOL. Yup, sure. The Ukies will wrap around behind the Russians and attack them with wrist rockets and catapults. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PSXOeqwbrEo
Wow, public analysis of Ukraine’s secret plan to wipe out Wagner… That’s gotta be worth two or three wunderwaffens at least!
It’s no longer secret LOL
It’s funny how the Ukies announce their offensives months in advance.
What a bizarre strategy for fighting a war!
Agreed!!
Anonymous source of the MSM even confirmed that the Azov Soldiers EVACUATED from Mariupol last year will reappear on the battle front and contribute to the success of the secret plan! So obviously, the Russians will be defeated.. It is likely also that the Azovites will pretty soon reach and capture Volgograd! They will rename the city Banderagrad, the democratic values of the EU will shine again on the banks of the Volga…
In the MSM they trust
the new operation ZITADELLE
the new operation ZITADELLE
Hilarious irony,
There is an advert on the site for ADHD drops to “make[s] you think straight”
Yeah, that is some secret plan … for everyone to see on the net. This is what you get, when you are working with so called **professionals** 🙂
Just look at all the big, blue arrows on that map. So with a small number of tanks and no air support, the Ukraine army is going to conduct those big, sweeping advances. That is so dumb. The Russians want the Ukrainians to attack in that way, because then they would be out in the open and stuck in the mud.
The media have been lying for a very long time now. Just look at what used to be published during the Vietnam War. At least back then, some of them were independent enough and fought back against the “narrative”, just like your blog does now.
Do you think the RQ 9 takedown is due to Crimea’s 9th anniversary reunification celebration?
The West does this. Expend lives on media events. Russia carries out it’s anniversaries, events, festivals and war seperately. You don’t spend human lives to mark events. I guess you should have learnt that by now.
You need more deprogramming.
Seems the problem with the coalition of the killing after so long a period of successful grand theft & mass murder, is they don’t know how to do defeat, not just military, also finance, social, political, ecological, resources. Everything over with propaganda for light relief.
This defeat so much more than their past thieving success over minnows…Never admitting the fat lady couldn’t do grand opera she thought she’d take on the Bolshoi
You writers who do working weekends rock. The vids illustrate well the way Russia is systematically destroying Ukrainian forces at their own pace.
It still worries me that the western leaders are gloating like a cat with the canary not yet swallowed, yet still in its mouth.
This suggests to me they actually believe they are holding a good hand to lay on the table when the time is right.
While thinking of various possibilities of what (if anything) they could have up their sleeve, the biggest on the list is the betrayal of Russia by China. That would be huge and is the only real explanation that has an opportunity (albeit a small one) for a non WMD ending for the world.
The only other ideas I have on this all begin with WMD use.
Anyone else have any thoughts on this?
Because they have the same gloating smiles they did when they were doing illegal stuff that a lot of people thought they would be locked up for, and then we found out the courts were 100 percent compromised with treasonous and fraudulent Judges and DA’s, so they got away with everything they wanted too. From dereliction of duty to active participation in the “peaceful but fiery” destruction of private and government property, with murders and thefts and so on going on also.
And they are gloating over their disaster in the Ukraine the same way.
So this tells me they believe they have the outcome locked up tight in their favor somehow.
Thoughts?
You assumed that the Chinese are stupid. Even the worst moronic among them will recognize that China will be rolled over if the West manage to destroy Russia.
The Chinese best bet is to support Russia until thy kingdom come!
Nah, I’m not assuming the Chinese are stupid.
At All.
Yet it does amaze me that so many seem to forget that China is and was in bed balls deep with the biden admin in Ukraine with the funny money and probably the bio crud too.
Why should I, or any one else attempt to bury that little nugget with convenient forgetfulness?
But hey, lets forget the ties between China and the Bidens in Ukraine for a minute.
So what else could it be? what is another angle they could have that allows them to grin like a fox in a henhouse?
Because I have seen this behavior several times before, and they do this when they have it (it = the current thing) all locked up tight with wickedness.
If everyone wants to say it’s just them whistling in the dark, thats fine. But I am not going to underestimate these things anymore.
One note to add though from a psycopathic standpoint the USA is not really losing. Ukraine and the EU are losing. This is a massive money laundering operation… made famous by Assange and why he is so hated. SBF wasn’t the only game in town. Plenty of kickbacks to the Bidens, Austins and Milleys, the EU is more dependent on the USA than ever, plenty of prospects for a military buildup in Poland, Germany, Romania, etc with US weapons. The failure in Ukraine will be set up as a cold war on steroids. This is their get out of jail free card. We have to rally around Europe! They will wipe the slate clean that way. Raytheon has been flooding my inbox with job prospects for 6 months now. They are hiring all the engineers they can find. I think this a good strategy myself. It is going to be terrible for the populations. Living standards are going to collapse in the EU and to some extent the USA but not as bad. This is how they’ll spin it move us all into Cold war 2.0. From the US standpoint this war is perfect. It can continue as long as possible as far as they are concerned. Small US military footprint so no blowback from casualties of US military personnel.
Dang. Another good point and an “in my face” option I missed. The grins are sometimes because they get richer and develop even more power to abuse, while the consequences of their actions are suffered by others.
This goes as number 3.
1. – blah
2. – blah blah
3. – The confident outlook on what appears to be a hopeless situation for them is due to their knowing (thinking) they will not ever suffer any consequences due to their crimes of unhealthy lust and greed, others will, while the big boys running the show and their immediate friends and families gain more wealth and power.
“Yet it does amaze me that so many seem to forget that China is and was …”
You might have a point -or not …
…but China has at least presented a PEACE plan. Yes, “peace” in capital letters.
Indeed you are correct eva.
I am not pointing that possibility out in any way other than it was the best I could think of at the moment. It seemed a greater chance in my mind than the other option (#2) I had thought of, the use of Nuclear and or Biological weapons in an all out first strike.
I am a nobody with zero training in these matters. Yet it would be nice not to be completely blindsided by wickedness once again if I can help it.
I remember how naive I was thinking that their may be some good people in the courts of this nation, or even in the various law enforcement agencies.
I was proven wrong.
So I know these absolute monsters running the West have something nasty up their sleeve. Or they would not be grinning so.
They are preparing a false flag with horrible chemical weapons.
They will blame Russia and their propaganda organs will working non-stop
24h a day. They hope the rest of the world switch to their side.
I don’t think the rest of the world is that stupid.
This is definitely a possibility.
So in no particular order what we have so far is
1. first strike
2. China betrayal
3. Grinning due to getting rich and getting away with all their crimes
4. false flag and blame Russia
Femi Akomolafe – great handle, sounds English.
Such a good British name surely makes you eligible to be their prime minister.
Not since Ghana became independent
Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya. Syria, Georgia…. nah. They don’t have a track record to support such a thesis. They do have a great track re ord at propaganda and public relations. Firms like the Fors Marsh Group are a level above the seemingly quaint Hill & Knowlton of Iraqri incubator fame.
“Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya. Syria, Georgia…. nah. They don’t have a track record to support such a thesis.”
Good point. Solid argument too.
Yet what if the track record we tend to look for is not the same as what a psychopath with an unhealthy focus on wealth and powers track record actually is?
For if you look at it from a wealth perspective from a psycho’s viewpoint, the psycho’s who pulled all that off made out big time and won so hard that they can now afford to do anything. Including destroying their own nation. It’s only the populaces of the various nations that suffer. None of the “elite” will suffer at all. Only regular joes and jills.
They are grinning because they know that the average Yank still thinks that the good ol’ US of A won all of those wars and they will be convinced that they won this one as well……
Still trying to list possible explanations for the shit eating grins of western leaders that mirror the ones they had over the past years when they were destroying our nation via multiple psychological operations combined with boots on the ground, which they should have been locked up for.
Turns out they were grinning so big because they had all the courts and police locked up tight and knew they could do anything illegal, including murder, blowing up buildings where critical infrastructure is housed such as fiber head-ins, arson, theft, and on and on and on.
They were grinning so big because they knew the courts and police were corrupted and they could murder your grandmothers en-mass by using force to place old folks in nursing homes full of covid patients or shoot up your concert with Government assets and kill people violently en-mass.
So my list so far is short.
It includes
1. the use of wmds by America with NATO against Russia in a sneak attack with combined nuclear and biological assets.
2. The Chinese coming up through the South while the Western Nations come at Russia from the West.
Followed by a couple that are too outlandish to be put in a serious list –
IE: NATO Sniper teams are shadowing Putin 24/7, or other such rambo type hogwash not worth mentioning.
IE: 2 – Western Nations have compromised enough Russian commanders to know they will win (more hogwash)
If any other readers have thought on this any, I would be interested in hearing your ideas. Yet it’s a fun brain exercise too if you just want to discuss various possibilities, or why you may believe these chit eating grins are just a big nothing burger and they are just whistling in the dark.
I have just started the list of reasonable possibilities. (“reasonable” in the current environment of insanity is quite broad by the way). I will check back in a bit.
What are good ones to add that explain the crocodile grins. The very same grins they have every time they screw over, murder, enslave, and destroy the populations of our own and other nations and get away with it.
3. –
4. –
5. –
6. –
7. –
I recommend you should watch the forward-looking documentary, Idiocracy, for an explanation.
Heh. At this point I am considering a rewatching of “they Live” in that regard.
To be fair, the aliens in They Live were running a functioning (albeit exploitive) interstellar economy. Idiocracy was also wrong- the people running the show in the real world are not stupid, but intentionally crashing things.
A friend once suggested The Marching Morons, but the system in that one was desperately trying to keep all the idiots alive when the main character shows up. Beware if Elon Musk starts offering one way colonization trips to Mars, I guess.
Honestly, I can’t think of a work of fiction that really fits, and I read a lot of sci-fi growing up. The cyberpunk genre comes close, but they usually depicted weak government dominated by the corpos, not this unholy alliance between the State and corporations we seem to be stuck with.
Or…this China looking to take over the world.
They own Biden.
The weaken the US and Russia.
They then take the “Great Leap Forward” and become the masters of the world.
QED.
I’ve come to the conclusion that Russia wants to delay taking Artëmovsk as long as possible since the Ukranazi coup regime is bleeding its military to death trying to hold on to the city. It is exactly the same thing that Falkenhayn envisaged the Battle of Verdun would be: the French bleeding themselves to death trying to hold on to a place that they should logically abandon. None of Falkenhayn’s weaknesses – logistics and manpower, primarily – are applicable to Russia now, so the outcome will go only one way.
I think so too. They would like NATO to keep throwing weapons into the Ukrainian Nazi trash compactor
Why advance in the mud when the enemy continues to come right up where you are firing a considerable amount of ordnance while putting few of your own troops in harms way? Is there some flaw to this plan? Is it bad to have a larger army when the weather does allow for movement on the entire front?
The joint chiefs would love to have it so good.
Interesting video from Prigozhin.
What Prigozhin is saying about Bakhmut.
Because new offensives are declared every day and then they disappear somewhere, our actions, of course, cause envy.
I know why they are disappearing. Because the management system must be built locally, not by orders from far away.
We have successes, while in other places, successes are not what they’d like, then instead of rewarding success, they insist that we should only get the ammunition of the unsuccessful,… remember what grandpa Lenin said: We thought we were all meant to live well, but instead, they made it so that everyone lived the same but poorly.
Anyway, the objective (of the MOD) is simple: PMC Wagner must not take Bakhmut.
We had enough (glory?) from Soledar, the whole country supported PMC Wagner.
So PMC Wagner should not be capturing Bakhmut under any circumstances!
Obviously, the restriction of ammunition is the basis to prevent PMC Wagner taking Bakhmut.
But PMC Wagner will take Bakhmut anyway. We’ll take it anyway.
Not because Prigozhin wants it.
And, not because Prigozhin now has,… excuse me,… “huge political ambitions” and he must take Bakhmut to promote himself.
B*tch,… we must prove to the whole world that Russia can!
What’s the difference, Bakhmut, Vuhledar, Avdiivka, or some other shithole in (the) Svatove-Kreminna (line).
No matter what it is, take fu*king something.
So I think that the restriction of ammunition is the first part in a Ballet de la Merlaison (a sudden turn of events).
It’s not just the restriction of ammunition, it’s about cut flights, about removed military phones, which I cannot use to call anyone, and no one can call me. Leave me the phone! Wiretap it if you like. Know what I am talking about and call me sometimes. and say “Prigozhin, you’re a dick, go f*ck yourself” and hang up. At least this. What’s the point of cutting the phone.
Is it so that my pilot, when he plans to fly, couldn’t warn air defense not to shoot me down because I’m flying? Why cut it? Kindergarten. You shouldn’t be playing kindergarten, war is very serious work.
So when they cut off our ammunition we couldn’t do anything, so we would be like everyone else (and do nothing).
But if I now say, thank you Founding Fathers, thanks for everything, then what would that be? Sarcasm!
It would be Prigozhin who, in his boorish manner, trolled respected people.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1636127574622347267
When you are strong appear weak.
Do you really think Putin and Prigozhin are stupid enough to air their dirt in public accidentally?
“Do you really think Putin and Prigozhin are stupid enough to air their dirt in public?”
YES, of course.
Prigozhin has no option.
The traitors on the Russian side are many,… but they definitely don’t want to be exposed.
Publicity, will get Prigozhin some of the ammunition etc he needs.
Although they may arrange an accident for him like they did Kirill Stremousov.
They pulled out of Kherson shortly after they killed Stremousov.
Hopefully Wagner can convince the Ukrainians to surrender. They could be eating pirozhki in a warm POW camp until the war is over and go back alive to their families.
Excellent review thanks. Artemovsk (Bakhmut)and Avdeeka represent the backbone of the Ukronazi proxy forces defense structure against RAF. Their capture by RAF will be major blow to NATO. Why would Zelinski and company launch another southward offensive on Crimea when their back is being broken in the middle? It’s more like Mulla Nasruddin is in charge of NATO-Kiev strategic war plannings, these days.
In the real life, the reality always wins.
Sadly, the ‘west’ thinks that real life is an PR exercise that can me won with lots of BS.
With 3 banks gone out of 186 banks ready to fall, the house of cards is ready to crumble.
Russia may take 4-8 Ukrainian oblasts (provinces), which means NOTHING. They hurt deadly the dollar system, exposing it as an unreliable, unsustainable PONZI type of system and that makes for more than all the gains on the ground. ( https://t.me/fred33flint/376 )
Sadly, enough even serious politicians don’t take anything coming from US serious ( https://t.me/fred33flint/372 )
Comfort in the Field
After the front line, the Russian units arrive at the recovery areas, where the servicemen change linen and wash their uniforms.
With the mobile bath-laundry complex, a mobile laundry is always moving, in which there are washing machines, where personnel can wash their uniforms and equipment.
In the bath complex, **up to a hundred fighters can take a shower in one hour**. After visiting the resting places, the personnel goes to the advanced positions.
( https://t.me/fred33flint/380 )
and what about the microchips for the washing machines?
The Ukrainian nightmare reminds one of the “Sea Wolf” (1941, starring E G Robinson as Captain Larsen) screenplay.
The “Sea Wolf” captain himself is blind and a psycho, nonetheless he successfully terrorizes his crew until the ghost ship sinks and disappears in the fogs.
He very nearly even kills the ultimate survivor in a one to one last fight.
The blatant discrepancy between the political and military situation in U. and the Western official narrative is amazing and tells something about the meekness of the Western audiences.
The only “truth” is what happens on the battlefield. Everything else is deception.
What happens on the battlefield is ALSO deception.
Check out the article on the battle of Prokhorovka (supposedly part of the ww2 battle of Kursk) called
The Greatest Tank Battle there NEVER was.
http://preearth.net/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?f=22&t=1174
Deception that will amaze you.
Thanks for putting out the truth, Larry.
You and Colonel McGregor are my most trusted sources for the real picture of the war in Ukraine.
Would be happy if you and him have a video chat sometime… maybe weekly !
The Russian MOD keeps on posting crude numbers, which are around 300 KIA per day. KIA X 3 are WIA so about 900 per day. So, KIA + WIA are 1200 per day. If we add deserters and prisoners we get 1400 per day.
365 days 1400×365 = 511000
The Ukrainian military commandant said that the Ukrainian army was 1,200,000 and after a year there are now 700,000 (so 500,000) missing
One more year and the army will be 200,000
Thus the demilitarization
Who was I listening to the other day ? He was saying Soviet Union was losing 2400 men every 4 hours at Stalingrad
Seems Col. MacGregor’s YouTube channel has been cancelled/censored.
404 Not Found — This page isn’t available. Sorry about that. Try searching for something else.
Is that his channel, or one of those pop up channels made by someone else to cash in on his traffic? There’s a lot of that about.
https://www.youtube.com/@StraightCallsDouglasMacgregor
You may well be right… above channel returns a 404 error.
Searched his name and found another YouTube channel featuring his analysis;
https://www.youtube.com/@douglasmacgregorcol5835/videos
and this one, which lists his pre-war videos;
https://www.youtube.com/user/douglasmacgregorTV
Seems you’re right about that…
There seem to be a few theories about Russia’s speed. Russian ineptness, Russian concern for her own men and civilians on both sides and Ukrainian pig-headedness among the leaders.
I’ll add another one. The Ukrainians are well and deeply dug in.
I think NATO helped there, while Russia spent her time inventing hyper-sonic missiles and sanction-proofing her economy.
The Cheshire Cat’s smile is a worry. Who is looking after those bio-labs?
Iirc, the US ordered the labs to ship out specimens to specific other worldwide biolabs as soon as the smo started. Among the 1st things Russia did, while all eyes were on the Kiev “failed offensive” was secure the 26 biolabs along their border (also ZNPP). The specimens had been removed, but they took control of the labs & retrieved much documentary evidence of what was going on, eg emails about targeting slavic dna. They shared that evidence with China.
Hal Duell says
“Who is looking after those bio-labs?”
I’m worried about those “BIOlaboratories”
and you should be worried too.
Interesting video from Prigozhin.
What Prigozhin is saying about Bakhmut.
Because new offensives are declared every day and then they disappear somewhere, our actions, of course, cause envy.
I know why they are disappearing. Because the management system must be built locally, not by orders from far away.
We have successes, while in other places, successes are not what they’d like, then instead of rewarding success, they insist that we should only get the ammunition of the unsuccessful,… remember what grandpa Lenin said: We thought we were all meant to live well, but instead, they made it so that everyone lived the same but poorly.
Anyway, the objective (of the MOD) is simple: PMC Wagner must not take Bakhmut.
We had enough (glory?) from Soledar, the whole country supported PMC Wagner.
So PMC Wagner should not be capturing Bakhmut under any circumstances!
Obviously, the restriction of ammunition is the basis to prevent PMC Wagner taking Bakhmut.
But PMC Wagner will take Bakhmut anyway. We’ll take it anyway.
Not because Prigozhin wants it.
And, not because Prigozhin now has,… excuse me,… “huge political ambitions” and he must take Bakhmut to promote himself.
B*tch,… we must prove to the whole world that Russia can!
What’s the difference, Bakhmut, Vuhledar, Avdiivka, or some other shithole in (the) Svatove-Kreminna (line).
No matter what it is, take fu*king something.
So I think that the restriction of ammunition is the first part in a Ballet de la Merlaison (a sudden turn of events).
It’s not just the restriction of ammunition, it’s about cut flights, about removed military phones, which I cannot use to call anyone, and no one can call me. Leave me the phone! Wiretap it if you like. Know what I am talking about and call me sometimes and say “Prigozhin, you’re a dick, go f*ck yourself” and hang up. At least this. What’s the point of cutting the phone.
Is it so that my pilot, when he plans to fly, couldn’t warn air defense not to shoot me down because I’m flying? Why cut it? Kindergarten. You shouldn’t be playing kindergarten, war is very serious work.
So when they cut off our ammunition we couldn’t do anything, so we would be like everyone else (and do nothing).
But if I now say, thank you Founding Fathers, thanks for everything, then what would that be? Sarcasm!
It would be Prigozhin who, in his boorish manner, trolled respected people.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1636127574622347267
Prighozin seems to want some part of retaken Ukraine to govern over…I dunno if to be kinda warlord in North Afghanistan…..
Of course, it is up to Putin and his security council to conceed on that aspiration.
I ignore what his capabilities to govern are, but I fear that for a certain ammount of time the nazis and NATO saboteurs will have to be kept in line….T
hus, he would make a good governor of a territory like, say, Idlib….Bakhmut would make it….
On the other hand, may be it is better that Prighozin remains what he is, a PMC CEO .with a lot of work to do around the world…If it works, why to fix it?
As they would say in Spain, shoemaker to your shoes….
And, as he mentions Lenin, from anyone as much as his capabilities, for anyone as much as his needs….( or something similar….)
Also, it could well be that Prighozin wants to settle, get married, and have a family, like Kadyrov….once Ukraine pacified…..and why he is aspiring to a governorate….He posted a very handsome photo of himself in a suit, surrounded by tulips, on March 8th…
Imagine being a Ukie POW and finding out you are being exchanged with a Russian soldier so you can be sent to defend Bakhmut?
Ritter claimed – early on in the SMO – that Western media psyop was aimed at “educated” Russians who were skeptical of their own media, and sought the “truth” from the BBC/NYT/CNN etc.
They hoped that the relentless “Russia is losing” narrative would inspire them to rise up against the kremlin.
Scott was probably right about their intentions. But it hasn’t worked out too well!
Umm they always lie about war – since at least Vietnam in my lifetime. Influencing Russians maybe a side effect but real motive is and always be to keep Americans supportive of whatever war or proxy war we are engaged in. Now it’s worse in a way because we don’t have instigative reporting anymore and billionaires that consolidated media of course want empireatallcosts so Sy Hersh or Chris Hedges is not longer in employ at NYT. You have go to Substack to read them. Not to mention they no longer have an expense account, assistant, photographer, and travel budget NYT gave them so access and revelations of real stories is less. Most Americans don’t trust media and Russian that can’t see MSM is worse than Pravda ever was is dumb as a box of rocks.
They did manage to convince some. They rose up, and fled the country.
“If you look carefully at the last three seconds of the video gif you will see that there are at least 9 Ukrainian brigades that are now surrounded and trapped …”
9 brigades …! Assuming that they must be heavily depleted after weeks of intense combat and shelling, we are talking about 20-25,000 Ukrainian soldiers in the cauldron awaiting what? A miracle?
What a horrendous loss of life …!
the new operation ZITADELLE
Just because someone put a little designation of some brigade on a map does not mean that full 9 brigades have been committed or surrounded. VSU has been replacing the losses pretty consistently and 9 brigades would mean up to 40 000 soldiers in a cauldron.
This is not the case.
Elements of various brigades have indeed fighting there but not full brigades.
I doubt there are more than 10 000 soldiers left in Bakhmut and many will manage to get out if they fail to hold on to that town.
Agreed. But many are dying trying to leave. I have seen more than a few gruelling videos of this happening. It beggars belief that they are sending more in.
It may well be a media ruse, and that they are building up the best troops for the much-touted counter offensive. I don’t think we really know what’s going on, but I suspect the Russians have a good idea, since they have many spies in the AFU.
They are trading lives for time. Whether that trade will pay off remains to be seen.
Maybe it’s the counter offensive prep or maybe they are just trying to stave off a complete collapse. It’s a two sided meat grinder for sure.
Yes (trading lives for time). As we saw in Vietnam and Iraq and Afghanistan, body counts and kill ratios do not necessarily = victory.
Estimates of the number troops each side has on the line are, in reality, very murky. Same for the number of troops each side has in reserves. I’ve read everything from 180K to 350K Russians currently engaged in combat and another 250K to 650K in reserves. Macgregor has recently been saying that the Russians will big arrow [one of these days, when the ground either freezes or thaws and dries] with a million man force. IMO, he’s pulling that figure out of his ass; pretty sure the 650K end of the spectrum also comes from some unsupported source.
The Ukrainians seem to be feeding their least effective forces into the meat grinder and may have something like 650K to 750K better NATO (mostly) trained and armed troops in reserve. But who knows? Btw, that number doesn’t include NATO troops fighting for Ukraine, nor those preparing to. Lots of assumptions by the pundits on both sides (Russophile and Russophobic) as to the numbers and what they mean for the trajectory of the conflict. Suffice it to say that Ukraine does indeed have enough troops to launch a big attack toward Crimea once NATO training and supply of weapons systems are complete early this coming Summer.
The 1,000 mile front is a double edge sword. The Russians have to defend it as much the Ukrainians do. Which brings us back to the speculations as to the number of troops each side has available. As best I can tell, conservatively, Both sides seem to have about an equal number. So the length of the front does not represent an advantage for either side.
Another assumption is that Russia can continue artillery fires at the current rate. I know it is dogma among the Russophiles that they can, but I see nothing to support that perspective. One must consider the possibility that western intel has correctly determined that Russia will be running low by the time NATO is ready to move on Crimea – at least one must if one wants to be objective as opposed to a mere Russian propagandist or fanboy. On that note, the assertion that Russia is firing more shells and rockets means that Russia enjoys a proportional kill ratio is just plain wrong. Attackers will initially (during the assault phase) incur more casualties than defenders and well dug in defenders can absorb more incoming fire with proportionally fewer casualties. So saying that Russia is firing 5X the artillery = killing 5X more Ukrainians is just plain wrong. Most likely Ukraine is suffering more casualties, based on what I can tell, but the artillery fires ratio is not the way to arrive at that conclusion. Furthermore, the notion that NATO can’t deliver enough ammo to keep the war going is also a huge assumption. Statements about NATO running short could be an intel op. Ammo for NATO weapons is produced in Canada and the US and that production id ramping up – again, Ukraine needs to buy time for that production to occur. So Bakhmut falls, then Russia has to deal with the next line of defense, which looks equally formidable. That means something like another six months of combat in a relatively isolated section of the front – and more massive expenditure of artillery round, more casualties. Ukraine is indeed buying the time they need. This conflict is far from over. It will either escalate to terrifying levels or, when enough men have died and both sides are weary, a Korean style solution. The current slug fest cannot go on indefinitely for either side, IMO.
I don’t know where McGrregor got that figure from but I doubt it is true.
You can’t just conjure a million men army out of thin air.
The amount of logistics involved would be impossible to conceal.
The Russian mobilization managed to correct some of the initial deficiencies regarding manpower, but they seem to be unable to logistically support more than 250 – 350 000 combat troops. At least for now.
So, I agree with your assesment that big arrow offensive’s are unlikely and attritional warfare is probably to continue for a time.
The Russians have to be carefull though. The front is long and their land bridge to Crimea is not very wide.
One major blunder on Russian side and Ukraine could cut it.
You are making just as many assumptions about the Ukrainian/NATO side as you are claiming are commonly made about the Russian side.
Nice try, Yuko, but no. Where did I make any assumptions? I questioned the official Russophile narrative, which you, along with virtually everyone here don’t like me doing, but I will continue to because it is almost as obviously distorted, rife with post hoc justifications and excuse making and full of holes, as it is presented by its pundits and advocates, as is the propaganda blaring all over in the west.
Both sides are full of “rah rah we’re the most awesome and the the other guys are evil, insane, morons – and they’re losing” crap as far as I can see. As is usually the case throughout history, I suspect, based on evidence I can interpret, that the truth is somewhere in between.
“The Ukrainians seem to be feeding their least effective forces into the meat grinder and may have something like 650K to 750K better NATO (mostly) trained and armed troops in reserve. But who knows? [!] Btw, that number doesn’t include NATO troops fighting for Ukraine, nor those preparing to. ”
What I have marked is a cheap rhetorical trick to hide an assumption. The list goes on. Your comment is full of that.
Funny, in my experience at elite educational institutions I found you get some people who “do detail” and others who are mystically “broad brush”. I see the ones who study law specialise in “fluid truth” and bending facts to fit narratives and confidently relaying counterfactual but sincerely held nonsense to wide-eyed audiences.
Most politicians went through legal education and have mastered the art of sincerely espousing what they once knew to be untrue but with each re-telling the belief consolidates………Anthony Blair, Olaf Scholz, and assorted Senators and Congressmen in USA…..
Getting into Law is relatively easy but tediously boring and soon the need to transition into politics pressing – the training is perfect – mouth for hire – and the similarity to media is evident……..as the British say “Rent a Gob”
It is self-referencing reality
Thank you Larry, and all your colleagues who continue to tell us Truth, deduced or inferred from observable facts.
To my fellow Americans: How do we stop lying to ourselves?
From a fellow American: Turning off the TV is a good place to start…
It’s called programming for a reason, and it is effective.
Very True, Spanky! Dead-Nuts nailed it. You da Man
https://youtu.be/5b3LyqDqbGE
Two U.S. carrier strike groups sent to Turkey. Implications?
When Obiden crew start ramming CBDC down the throat of America after another biological weapon deployment during Trump’s struggle session show trial one of the carriers will be sunk by joint MI6/CIA false flag op, blamed on Ruskies, then its Slim Pickens showtime!
Watch your local statehouses in US. There is CBDC legislation in them already, right NOW. Under the radar. Even here in Maine. Maybe this nasty long link works:
https://www.uniformlaws.org/committees/community-home?communitykey=1457c422-ddb7-40b0-8c76-39a1991651ac#:~:text=The%202022%20amendments%20to%20the,intelligence%2C%20and%20other%20technological%20developments
Maybe that’s why the brass is smiling – that same Fauci smile – they all expect to get away with the massive looting. $150 billion to Ukraine; I didn’t realize until watching a recent Ritter that this number does NOT include and additional $300 billion or so of hardware. I’d assumed the hardware price was what made up the $150b.
Massive looting. And CBDC turns your “home” into your prison camp. Grow claws!
Do you remember the USS Liberty?
Probably going to arrest the “war criminal”. It can only be a matter of time now before these idiots go in all guns blazing and get us all killed.
It will be interesting to see what becomes of the true war criminals such as Zelensky and his government, Poroshenko, Merkel, etc. for intentional fraud regarding Minsk which led to all the combat and civilian deaths. Somewhere Euro leaders and NATO leaders figure into these war crimes as well.
As this is typed, the coward Ukrainian soldier is shelling a civilian village. Odd how they are running out of shells for the front line but manage to lob some shells past the front line and into villages.
Are Zelensky, his military commanders and government such big dumbasses that they think they will not be held accountable? None of them will ever have a day of peace for them or their family, no matter the country they escape too. There will be too many people seeking revenge against them.
I think its less about keeping hope alive, and much more about trying to put up a defiant facade in confronting the China-sponsored peace plan and ensuing negotiations.
No implication. US is impotent and only “projecting” power (they don’t really posses anymore). You can intimidate someone who has no navy and no defenses against ships with that move. Russia has no problem to take care of that, should it become a problem. Even the dumbest bubble-head in the US military should know that you don’t come to a gun-fight with a knife.
The US is desperate. It has created problems and can’t really handle them. A lot of their “moves” are therefore meaningless, as they are done in panic without knowing / planning what consequences they bear. Russia on the other hand doesn’t care about stuff that has not apparent meaning for them. US wants some sort of reaction to decide their next “move”. This is common if people have no clue what to do. They poke the other one to see what they will do and align with that.
Derailing trains, bankrupt banks, inflation … there are many problems that the US wants to deflect from.
Just let’s get on with this WW3. Even if I get only 10 seconds to see or know that Washington, Brussels and London have been wiped off the map I’ll die a happy man.
Go to Dignitas and let the rest of us live on
That costs $10.000 per person. WWIII is free for all.
In the comment section they say it’s old footage from the Pacific fleet. And nobody has yet found any news about it either. So until further evidence is provide I call bs.
Useful, and may you be right. Thanks.
…ship tracking folks, confirm or deny? Strike group pretty hard to hide…
https://news.usni.org/category/fleet-tracker
If (questions about its accuracy) this 11 ship formation is sailing toward Turkey, it looks like some good old-fashioned gunboat diplomacy to show Turkey of the error of Erdoğan’s ways.
Or, perhaps, a little pick-me-up for Syria (can’t let that Kremlin visit go unnoticed).
And, although I may be the dumbest bubble-head ever, even I recognize a target-rich environment. The boat might survive a Russian encounter in the Med, but surface ships… are targets.
Let’s hope this is propaganda to keep NAFOs singing the Empire’s songs. But going into the Black Sea, or attacking Syria — all bets are off.
No implications. The video is bullshit. These carriers don’t operate in the Med.
The USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) is homeported in San Deigo and is currently operating in the Southern California Operating Areas. The USS Ronald Reagan (CVN-76) is in port in Yokosuka, Japan.
How is it that people continue to fall for this crap? Lazy. Gullible. A quick internet search would have debunked this bullshit video.
Once the U.S. west started lying and convinced the Euro west to spew lies in unison, with all lies conveyed to the public via the extremely corrupt press…well, once these lies became obvious lies the West were forced to continue the lies. A General of the U.S. Army with that much “scrambled eggs” on his chest cannot publicly admit he is a bought, corrupt, and morally bankrupt dumbass.
As a U.S veteran it pains me to watch these military members stand before the press and spew such bullshit. They certainly know they are suffering from oral diarrhea, willfully spewing lies to the American public and the world at large. The Euro side is no better. These are men and women that history will paint as blatant lier’s, corrupt servants and morally bankrupt individuals.
Thanks for those maps. The situation looks similar to the “Falaise Pocket”, where there were no significant Allied gains in territory (see map in link):
Falaise Pocket (Normandy)
“The battle resulted in the destruction of most of Army Group B west of the Seine, (in Normandy) which opened the way to Paris and the Franco-German border.”
“…the German Army expended irreplaceable resources defending the frontline. Allied air forces achieved air superiority up to 100 km behind enemy lines. Allied forces continuously bombed and strafed German logistical lines, limiting the availability of fuel and ammunition. The German Army had used its available reserves (especially its armour reserves) to buttress the front lines around Caen…”
“By the evening of 21 August, the pocket had been sealed, with est. 50,000 Germans trapped inside. Many Germans escaped, but losses were huge. The Allied Liberation of Paris (200 km from Falaise) came a few days later, and on 30 August the remnants of Army Group B retreated across the Seine, completing Operation Overlord.”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falaise_pocket
France was not liberated until the German Army in Normandy was destroyed, after that most of the country was liberated in a few weeks.
But the Polish forces swapped their Wehrmacht uniforms to join General Macjek’s Polish Allied Forces instead……..
It would be years if not decades the loss in Ukraine will be understood in USA. For the elites that is ok. They will keep lying. A troops on the ground defeat would be different. The US will be in even more chaos with cyber strikes..
Attacks with missiles on US infrastructure -all bets are off. When Barack and Michelle think Malia and Natasha may be toastered they would be getting out of Dodge. That goes the same for all. That could put a conservative in charge by default because the uniparty will run.
“I find it difficult to believe that responsible military leaders and planners would be publicly tipping their hand about what they intend to do and where they intend to strike.”…that’s exactly why there was never a large-scale Russian Winter offensive….but not necessarily the case for the UAF.
There’s several possibilities here:
1. NATO planners and Western decision makers may actually believe their own rhetoric and assessment of how the tactical situation is unfolding hence they may feel emboldened enough to confidently launch a UAF Spring Offensive. I will say this…never during the 20-year Afghanistan (Operation Enduring Freedom) did ISAF (NATO) planners ever say things were going badly for ISAF or Afghan National Security Forces–look how that ended.
2. NATO may insist on a UAF Spring Offensive knowing it will fail. The failure can then be exploited or spun as a causus belli for NATO force entry into the Ukraine proper–especially under some false flag scenario: genocide, war crimes, dirty bombs, chemical warfare etc…..
3. ALL parties to the SMO want this to end as soon as possible. NATO wants a “Korean Armistice” style resolution because it still looks like victory to the West…a UAF Spring Offensive may be intended to delineate the Ukrainian “38th Parallel”. That would be unacceptable to Russia UNLESS…Xi and Putin have a plan to collapse the “Hegemon” regardless of that type of resolution (diplomatic solution if you will). I believe that is why Xi is Russia this week…
We shall see.
“ALL parties to the SMO want this to end as soon as possible.”
Certainty is the greatest weakness.
In your opinion who benefits by a protracted and escalated SMO conflict? Why…what are the advantages of that?
“In your opinion who benefits by a protracted and escalated SMO conflict?”
Cui bono is the question posed by spectators which is never answered, thereby continuing the spectatorship of spectators.
In Western political vocabularies, terms such as ‘cui bono’ and ‘precedent’ were long ago thrown out and replaced with new age globalist gobbledgook that’s designed to bypass western rhetorical inconveniences.
“My God, that’s not precedent. That’s whataboutism, you Kremlin stooge!”
And so it goes.
RE: The best laid pains… says
19 March 2023 at 15:49
“In Western political vocabularies, terms such as ‘cui bono’ and ‘precedent’ were long ago thrown out and replaced with new age globalist gobbledgook that’s designed to bypass western rhetorical inconveniences.”
MirrorMirrorOnTheWall says
19 March 2023 at 10:24
“Certainty is the greatest weakness.”
MirrorMirrorOnTheWall says
19 March 2023 at 13:48
“Cui bono is the question posed by spectators which is never answered, thereby continuing the spectatorship of spectators.”
Thank you for your confirmation of the above, including your spectatorship focusing on vocabularies rather than practices in emulation of some other spectators.
Mr. Johnson, what would we do without you? Best analysis out there. What I am looking at is the timeline. Biden will be running full time for re-election shortly. This has to be won (impossible) or over and out of the news cycle by early 2024. Since most Americans have a 30 second attention span.
That is why we have the suicidal but US planned “Spring” offensive. To “win” this war? The Uke’s would be fighting a delaying action back to the Dnieper. Building a huge defensive line Southeast of Kiev. And planning on holding that part of Ukraine. And most importantly Odessa so they don’t go landlocked. But that would be a prelude to a forever Korea war. And Biden can’t have that.
So shortly, the stressed and dead on its feet Uke army has an “offensive”. And that might be the only hope for a quick resolution to this bloodbath. It’s not like the Russians don’t see this coming. After the last lives are thrown away, the question is how do the Russians roll it up?
I don’t think they do. They obviously, like any sane man, want Biden gone. They are going to slow play this, and make the West stay in the game thru the 2024 election. If they have to take month long operational “pauses”, they will. There will be huge Russian missile strikes in Western Ukraine going on two weeks before the November election.
And as normal? The poor die so the rich can play “Game of Thrones”.
I disagree. Russia doesn’t care much about American elections. Americans must soon realize that they’re not exceptional and that the world doesn’t revolve around them. We heard the same things before the midterms: “Putin’s gonna blah blah”. And the same things before May 9th and July 4th, Christmas last year, as well as New Year, Orthodox Christmas and February 24th. It’s always the same, Putin will this and Putin will that because he’s obsessed with symbols or other things that occupy our Western minds.
Russia has a long term vision of things, but yes if the war goes on and it fits into their plans to bomb a little extra before the next presidential election, they might of course do that.
GOG…I think Curt is right, the SMO has to be “resolved” by the 2024 election or it hurts the DEM candidate whoever that may be. As I mentioned above, a “Korean Armistice” is an acceptable “victory for NATOstan.
Putin and Xi are not just enjoying tea and crumpets this week…they are no doubt developing and refining a longer-term strategy and unlike the NATOstan strategy, it will actually make sense.
The wild card is Odessa. The West will obviously concede the Donbas. It is a done deal. Where the world blows up? Odessa. That is where a slow Russian roll also plays in. Just consolidate the entire Donbas. Don’t go into Odessa thru 2024. Even accept a temporary DMZ “Korea”. See if America elects someone with better sense. Or even someone dumb that has an “out” because he just walked in the door. NATO troops in Odessa. That is where you start using your shovel to dig a hole.
Yeah I still say Putin and Xi are nugging this out this week…I read somewhere that Putin wants the Wagner Group CEO to be the new UKR President…that would be awesome!
I seriously do not believe Russia will accept a divided Ukraine ala Korea. That would only perpetuate the current nazism, military, and corporate and government corruption in the west of Ukraine. That would defeat the purpose of the SMO by Russia and Russia simply will not accept such an ending after their soldiers have died for this SMO. Putin will not stand for it, nor will Russia.
Ukraine, other than a token oblast around Kiev is likely going to be parted out to Hungary, Poland and Romania. The western part anyway. The south and east will go to Russia. Russia will never permit a Ukraine that will fester and cause problems years later.
I don’t disagree with any of this. What I’m saying is that Russia does not consider the American election in 18 months very important. Trump armed Ukraine for 4 years, abandoned the INF treaty, and even hired people like John Bolton. De Santis is a wild card when it comes to foreign politics and any Democrat will continue the same path of destruction as the current administration. Russia is smarter than placing a bet on any of these.
It doesn’t matter how important Americans think they are, neither they nor any of their vassals are the biggest player in the Eurasian Great Game. During the last year they have simply written their own lead role out of the play.
Just like you say, Russia and China will put a peace proposal on the table. Then, as I see it, it’s either for the US and its stooges to accept it, face a loss in Ukraine or worse: face WW3. Elections in the US, the EU, the UN or anywhere else will not change anything.
There’s a club over there in the East. It’s a big club. And we ain’t in it.
De Santis [sic] is a wild card when it comes to foreign politics… — Gog
No, he’s not… he’ll be a reliable MIC enabler. He’s a good governor, and I’m not anti-, but his history and current national RINO support say otherwise.
Had hoped he and Trump might team up, but Trump’s personal idiosyncrasies and DeSantis’ ambition don’t appear to be compatible.
If Trump is arrested tomorrow, it will mark the official end of the American Republic, regardless of what ensues.
Compared to that, the war in Ukraine is an irrelevancy, regardless of outcome.
Trump will be arrested tomorrow. We have not had a Republic in years, if actually ever. It is a sign though. The Imperial Federal government isn’t even pretending anymore. But I do disagree with you on Ukraine. Russia is fighting for the world’s freedom. If Russia falls, the criminals in Washington DC will spread their slavery thru the whole world.
“Russia is fighting for the world’s freedom. If Russia falls, the criminals in Washington DC will spread their slavery thru the whole world.”
Exactly the way I see this as well. Russia for many years has been working to this end. From BRICS, BRI, selling off U.S. debt, buying gold, SWIFT alternative, and working with other countries they have played the long game against the West. We must hope and pray that Russia is successful, if not then this criminal cartel we have in D.C., London and Brussels will continue.
From my viewpoint…Russia has won. I believe they have won, it is only that the U.S. and Europe are clinging to their last hopes of life. Soon it will end.
As for Trump…well, if he would keep his mouth shut he and all the rest of us would be better off. His ego and oral diarrhea are a bit much, even for those of us who voted for him. His arrest will only make him stronger and will likely, propel other events in the country that will bring him back to office, which I would be glad to have happen.
The US does repetition of failure. Russia does not. UKRoids keep assualting Russian artillery with their bodies; as instructed. Russians keep eliminating UKRoids in accord with the 1st goal – demilitarization. US/UK/NATO/EU keeps harping about the use of nukes. Russia wants to avoid using nukes. Doe Russia intend, with the continuing aid of US/UK/NATO/EU, to fight and defeat them, some or all of them, within UKR if possible? Caveat emptor: past behavior of no guarantee of future actions.
All a grown up can say to the perfumed princes of the Pentagram is: come back and talk to us after the ground in Ukraine dries up.
What is disturbing, is one’s inability to decide on whether they are propagandizing or are they just too dense. If they are the latter, are they the ones about to lead us in war against China and possibly Russia?
Col. Macgregor’s site is https://futuredefensevisions.blogspot.com/ and it is still up.
Thanks
I’m beginning to think that there will be a replay of Kursk. The Russians are baiting the Ukies into throwing their much planned offensive into Bakhmut. That’s why they’ve left the road marginally open into the city. As it is Bakhmut is a festering sore and the Ukies will not be able to resist throwing their offensive at it. The Russians will be ready.
At Kursk the Soviets knew where the Germans were going to attack months in advance, and built fortifications and deployed large numbers of units
The Russians won’t have time to build elaborate fortifications before the counter attack – if it happens this week or this month. So the defense will probably be mostly drone spotted artillery barrages. The Ukrainians will take heavy casualties, as usual.
I find it absurd that the time and place of your attack is announced months in advance by the MSM. American politicians state what the objectives must include. Maybe they think the Russians can’t read English.
We are truly living in an Idiocracy, this entire war is a debacle for the Ages
I suspect he Russians have already been planning for a couple months and there are at least two months before it gets dry enough for the big Ukie offensive. That sounds like “months” to me.
Russia has already built serious defense lines in the south and the north-east. They’re ready.
https://www.easternherald.com/2023/03/07/russian-troops-strengthen-their-positions-in-the-zaporizhzhia-region-building-new-defensive-lines/
yes, I should have added “in the recently captured areas like Soledar and Bakhmut”
Parts of the front line that have been under Russian control for a while are probably all getting fortified, the NY Times did a big spread about this weeks ago. Municipal workers by the thousands came from cities in Russia and built defensive lines.
Behind Bakhut/Soledar at the previous line, the Russians are likely fortifying, you need a low level of enemy activity before civilian contractors can get to work.
So the very recently fought over areas won’t be what I would considered “fortified” but the existing rubble and surviving buildings and half-buildings will make for defensive cover. Probably good enough, since the Ukrainians will be lacking large artillery support.
My main point is that attacking Ukrainian troops will be heavily barraged by RUssian artillery, like all of their other offensives have been, and they will take the usual very heavy casualties. As might be expected for troops in open ground, when their opponent has lots of surveillance drones.
Which is why they always project the “human wave attack” meme on the Russians, it’s not Russia using that tactic.
The neo-cons are determined to fight to the last Ukrainian (and merc).
Destroying the enemy’s army is more important than capturing ground, in many cases. Ground is more or less like squares on a chess board. Holding certain squares just helps you to better destroy the enemy, and keep your army in fighting form. But in and of itself, ground may or may not have any intrinsic value.
In older ages, they fought on battle fields. This took one day or two at most. Today time and space extended, but not the principle. The winner takes it all, and the winner will be Russia.
” The winner takes it all, and the winner will be Russia.”
No.
The “winner”, and apparently you, think it takes it all, such as “the decider” flying to an aircraft carrier to announce “Mission Accomplished” of a certain definition of “Mission Accomplished”, and then after a period finds that the mission wasn’t accomplished, so another mission/surge needs to be initiated and then also not accomplished.
Certainty is the greatest weakness not restricted to your own mission/purposes, but also in respect of the mission/purposes of others.
Those who want to gobble all the sausages tend to suffer more heart problems.
Maybe next time out, you shouldn’t place an apple on the boy’s head just in case ?
The globalists’ movie calls for a plot change an offensive attack so the remnants of Ukraine military must enact this change or attempt to. Globalist plans have many moving subplots and timeframes worldwide so coordinating their operation is messy. The Russians know their time constraints and won’t be pushed to speed up. Fascinating and tragic to watch from afar.
You may find this comment, from “bela jarolics”, at Defense Politics Asia an interesting read. It is taken from the comments to the video “[ BAKHMUT ] 500 METERS FROM ADMINISTRATION BUILDING – Wagner Forces progress in the S & SW Bakhmut”
In my opinion… “se non è vero, è molto ben trovato”
“Geetings from Hungary !
The truth is always logical and simple! Its concealment is opaque and complicated.
An example: Why is Bahmut and its area important?
Because in 2014, the Jacenyuk regime handed over the biggest Ukrainian gas field under this region to Burisma led by Hunter Biden for 1 dollar, confirmed by a parliamentary decision for 40 years.
At the time of the handover, the Americans already had the gas purchase agreement signed by the EU at the rate of production. This would have been intended to ease Russian gas dependence and at the same time increase American influence.
The problem was “only” that this area was inhabited by a majority of Russians (Bakhmut – Kramatorsk area). Either the Russian resistance must be broken or they must be reduced to a minority (even at the cost of genocide) so that the extraction can begin.
The other Russian interest is also connected to this region:
The “Oremburg” gas pipeline passes by Kramatorsk and here is one of its branches, which supplies energy to the Transnistria and Moldova.
If the pipeline falls into Russian hands, the branch going to the EU can be closed at any time.
So, by occupying the areas east of the Kharkiv-Odessa line, all of Ukraine and Kiev will become energetically vulnerable, while the pipeline to Tiraspol may pass through Russian-controlled territory.
(An additional benefit is that American agricultural production can only reach the Black Sea with Russian permission.)
https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=15411
“Ukraine lost 80% of Black Sea oil and gas deposits and a significant portion of its port infrastructure to the annexation of Crimea.”
https://www.forbes.com/sites/arielcohen/2019/02/28/as-russia-closes-in-on-crimeas-energy-resources-what-is-next-for-ukraine/
The following map superimposes the gas field and the front lines. A closer look shows that Bahmut is a key area:
http://www.energy-cg.com/Ukraine/Ukraine_RussianInvasion_NatGasLines_Status_FullFrame_Image1x1_EnergyConsultingGroup.png
”
[…] Sick of western propaganda, I am very grateful for the existence of this Sonar21 blog.
Gonzalo Lira has been silent for 3 weeks.
Why?
Or did I just miss it?
I don’t follow him but he was on The Duran 12 days ago.
Today we were driving through the EU. This evening I read this news on RT . At least Hunter Biden acknowledges that the content on his broken laptop is genuine.
https://www.rt.com/news/573241-hunter-biden-countersues-laptop-repairman/
Hunter Biden sues ‘laptop from hell’ repair shop
The US president’s son accused the store owner of invading his privacy by distributing information found on his computer
Hunter Biden, the son of US President Joe Biden, filed a countersuit on Friday against the owner of the Delaware laptop repair shop where he allegedly abandoned his ‘laptop from hell’, claiming invasion of privacy – but still not admitting the laptop is actually his.
Mac Shop owner John Paul Mac Isaac copied and shared Biden’s private data without his permission for personal and commercial gain, the countersuit claims, charging the computer repairman with six counts of invasion of privacy. Biden’s lawyers seek a jury trial, compensatory and punitive damages, and the return of any of Biden’s data still in the possession of Mac Isaac or anyone he shared it with.
Biden had a “reasonable expectation of privacy” regarding his computer’s contents for a full year after it was dropped at the Mac Shop, the countersuit argues, citing Delaware state law. While a repair authorization form “allegedly signed by Mr. Biden” agreed to relinquish any claims of loss or damage after 90 days, the filing points out that Mac Isaac initially said he didn’t know who had dropped the computer off.
Nor did Mac Isaac even wait the 90 days before digging into the data, according to his own book, in which he describes accessing footage of Biden engaged in sex acts and drug taking that made him “uncomfortable.”
Even if the laptop could be considered formally abandoned, the suit continues, Mac Isaac would technically only have possession of the computer itself, and not the data stored on it.
Mac Isaac sued Biden, along with former House Intelligence Committee chief Adam Schiff (D-California), CNN, and Politico, for defamation earlier this month.
Biden’s countersuit argues that the comments held up as defamatory – his public statements suggesting the incriminating data found on the “laptop from hell” could have been hacked or physically stolen by Russian agents – did not name the computer repair shop or its owner and therefore do not qualify as defamation.
The presidential scion also went on the attack against Rudy Giuliani, a former adviser to President Donald Trump, former Trump campaign director Steve Bannon, and several others, enlisting the Department of Justice’s National Security Division to hunt for violations of federal law in the named parties’ copying and sharing of “Biden’s personal computer data.”
In the meantime, multiple Biden family members and associates are under investigation by the House Oversight Committee for taking payments from Chinese companies in exchange for undefined services.
What we have said before, and we’ll say it again today, that if coming out of this meeting, there’s some sort of call for a ceasefire, well, that’s just going to be unacceptable because all that’s going to do… is ratify Russian’s conquest to date… John Kirby, NSC spokesmodel, as quoted by RT
https://www.rt.com/news/573242-ukraine-russia-ceasefire-unacceptable/
Confused, again…
Didn’t Kirby (and every other American and European official talking head, including Biden) claim all decisions about war and peace in Ukraine were strictly Ukrainian decisions? This almost sounds like Kirby is giving Zelensky his marching orders…
At this rate, someone is going to get whiplash.
Simplicius has a new sitrep up. The last section is about the Ukrainians’ announced counter-offensive in Bakhmut (scheduled for next Thursday).
“So let’s summarize. General Syrsky (commander of all UA ground forces) is reportedly accumulating massive amounts of men, upwards of 50k+ with (according to one UA report) secretly smuggled in Leopards, new main battle tanks, etc., to punch a huge shock fist through Wagner flanks and completely deblock Bakhmut.”
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sitrep-31923-and-weekend-mailbag
“Reportedly” is the key verb. Verified is not mentioned.
Unfortunately, because probably none of us here are members of the Russian Ministry of Defense, we can know only what we are allowed to know by reading or listening to reports issued by it. All we can do is consume those reports, websites like Larry’s that have valuable information, do our own analysis and draw our own conclusions.
Because of past experience, absolutely anything that I read or hear from the West’s MSM (other than the prediction of a solar eclipse) I instinctively assume to be a bald-faced lie and my instinct almost always turns out to be correct. But there is still some value in knowing what the western microscopic percentages want their herds to think, because very often the truth is the exact opposite – for example, when the western MSM claims that what the US is doing at the moment is “spreading freedom and democracy”.
So after 1 year in, the goals of the SMO are still the demilitarization and denazification of Ukraine. I have to assume that that means that after a successful SMO there will be no Russia-threatening military or, how to put it, “politically active” Nazis living on the part of the earth delineated on a present map of the earth as Ukraine. Is that goal reachable? I think that we will have a pretty good estimate of the likelihood of that happening in a few months.
But most of us have the irresistible urge to speculate on the future of that region. (Call that urge Martyanov’s “Reminiscence of the Future”.) I’m going to stop resisting mine for a bit right now by asking a series of intentionally provocative questions.
Let’s face it, US-imposed obstacles on Russia’s path to reach its two major goals have already appeared, big time, and will no doubt increase as time marches on, leading to greater a greater destuction in/of Ukraine. Will the microscopic percentage of the population that constitutes “Ukraine” even exist within the present land area of Ukraine after the SMO is completed, or will the present “Ukraine” be magically moved to London and be officially recognized by the rest of the West as the government of Ukraine “in exile” (as they dutifully did the ridiculous government of Venezuela “in waiting” with Guaido as its internationally recognized president), and will whatever national government, if any, that remains within the land borders of Ukraine after the SMO be declared “illegitimate” by the West and, thereafter, be subjected to continual regime-change operations with the stated goal of moving the government in exile back into Ukraine, having full sovereign control of the eastern regions and Crimea, “at some point in the future”? Why not? After all, there is a literally infinite amount of money available at the Fed to pay for that quest (as long as someone is willing to buy $1.3 trillion and rising worth of US Treasuries from here to eternity). All it will take to make that quest an ongoing reality is a never-ending supply of mercenaries who will be desperate or brainwashed enough to kill and be killed for that money. But the mercenaries will have to be paid in money that can buy whatever they want. They won’t accept “play” money. How long will/can the USD continue to act as “real” money?
Back to the UK and BM “Rasheed Sanook”. Of course “the UK” can call any group of people living in the UK whatever it wants to call them – for example, the UK’s officially recognized government of Mars “in waiting” (it’d be pretty tough to label it “in exile”). What is important is how many other nations’ microscopic percentages will support the UK’s latest future insanity. How many “in waiting” or “in exile” governments are “the international community” going to tolerate?
Will a nation, a country or a microscopic percentage with the label Ukraine even exist after the SMO? If it doesn’t, Russia’s goal of demilitarization and denazification of Ukraine will either have to be modified to apply to the area of land that used to be labeled Ukraine, or it will have to be modified to apply to the new nation or multiple nations or autonomous regions or protectorates, etc. that come to exist on that area of land. My point in stating things this way is that I believe that what Russia wants is to have the area of land that is now called Ukraine not inhabited by people who are Nazis — people who also do not have a military force capable of threatening Russia, — regardless of the label that is placed on a map of that area of the earth’s surface.
Further, and more problematic, if a large part of what is now labeled “Ukraine” comes to be invaded/occupied/annexed/whatevered by “Poland”, will Russia then demand security guarantees (you know, no Nazis, a non-threatening military presence only) from the microscopic percentage that will then constitute “New Poland”………. or else maybe SMO 2? Will New Poland still be part of NATO and, if so, will the no doubt new and improved government of New Poland then be forced by other NATO members to rein in its new, still-Nazi-leaning population’s irresistible desire to keep shelling Russia-controlled areas from behind a new, much longer (perhaps even Maginot-style!) “line of contact, version 2”, which will then be called a “national border”? Is New Poland going to allow to happen on its newly acquired territory what it is today allowing to happen on Old Poland – US (“NATO”) military bases and a huge build-up of US (“NATO”) military forces?
What, if anything, will the microscopic percentage that constitutes “Russia” have to say about what may soon come to be called a New European Order (NEO)? Is Russia going to allow Poland to simply walk into the western part of Ukraine, plant its flag and declare that “this is Poland”, or is there going to be some kind of “negotiated settlement” between “Russia” and the US (AKA “Poland”) for that region? Negotiations between Russia and the West have gone so well lately that I think that this negotiation will be over and done with very quickly and cleanly, with all parties being very satisfied in the end.
While I’m typing, it’s now obvious, even to stone cold cadavers, that the microscopic percentage of the US population that constitutes “the US” is willing to fight the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation to the death ………………….…………of every living Ukrainian, Pole, Fin, Dane, Swede, German, Italian, Frenchman, Turk, etc.. If all of these stupid, suicidal US dominoes eventually fall and Russia and China still stand tall, what rabbit will the magician US then pull out of its hat?
Oh,… these irresistible reminiscences of the future!
If there were animals living on other planets in the universe — animals who had somehow “figured out” how to quickly travel from one solar system to another — and you had the opportunity to meet one of those animals, what is THE most important question that you would want them to answer, especially considering the march to nuclear war that nuclear-powered human animals on our planet are presently undertaking? The question is so simple and its answer so vitally important today.
https://clip.cafe/contact-1997/and-permitted-only-one-question-ask-of-them/
One question? “What do these bitches actually want”? From a married three times, had 7 other live ins, various booty calls, and quite a few rent women kinda guy.
At this point these reports are cheerleading to keep the home team supporting the guys on the field, even though they are losing badly.
A distorted lens will do that.
“Propaganda … serves more to justify ourselves than to convince others; and the more reason we have to feel guilty, the more fervent our propaganda.”
― Eric Hoffer, The True Believer: Thoughts on the Nature of Mass Movements
“A distorted lens will do that.”
And interacting halls of mirrors more so, especially when context/positioning/ways of “seeing” are lateral multipliers in contexts where “would like to be agents” are enmazed in the linear, including by rendering hoped “propaganda” into communication through lateral”perspectives”, and “would like to be agents” into spectators.
“The True Believer”
Hence the plethora of songs in the “American Songbook” including but not limited to:
the “its all opinion and my opinion is as valid as anyone else’s” supporter:
I believe for every drop of rain that falls
a flower grows.
or the “seeing is believing” supporter:
I saw her face
Now I’m a believer
Not a trace of doubt
In my mind
I’m in love
I’m a believer
I couldn’t leave her
If I tried
or the “can do attitude” supporter:
I believe I can fly
I believe I can touch the sky
in attempts to assuage doubt in hope of attaining certainty which is “the greatest weakness”, in hoped for conformance with “We the people hold these truths to be self-evident” to minimise alienation through comfort blanket sanctions imposed by others.
Guys, GREAT conversation, but let’s remember to be kind to each other.
Yeah, let’s have a great disagreement of opinions.
Ukraine telegraphing its intentions has to be put into perspective. For one, we live in the age of satellite surveillance. It’s impossible to hide any larger ground operation, so you can just as well telegraph it in advance to a certain degree. That’s exactly what Ukraine is doing. It did actually succeed in Kherson last summer. Telegraphing it in advance certainly amplified the propaganda effect that this counteroffensive had and also helped distracting from heavy losses incurred during its course. It’s possible to talk about the broad strokes of impending offensive without giving away too much detail.
counteroffensive in the Kharkov region was not telegraphed
You know what NATO and the MSM resemble? Boxing match commentators, commenting on one boxer only.