Boy, looks like I missed the hysteria. Instead of thumbing my way around the internet to catch the latest news on the complete devastation of Russia’s Kerch bridge that unites Crimea with Mother Russia, I was at a gun range being trained by a retired Delta Force operator. He is a hell of a teacher.
Needless to say, my time was better spent (and cheaper) compared to what Ukraine spent on its spectacular failure to destroy the Kerch bridge. Failure? Yes. The initial images of a veritable Dante’s furnace, complete with rolling clouds of black smoke and frantic tongues of flames licking the bridge, seemed to have erased Ukraine’s previous reputation for inept sabotage.
Even Pillsbury Doughboy Alexander Vindman took time off from stuffing his pudgy cheeks with donuts to celebrate the moment.
Even the Brits felt the need to pop a bottle of bubbly and cheer the “MASSIVE” explosion.
But alas, once again, Ukraine failed to deliver the mythic death blow. The bridge is open and traffic is flowing, albeit a little slower and more congested because of damage to one section of the bridge (which is easily repaired). Yes, the portion of the bridge where the truck bomb detonated is closed, but the other part of the bridge is open and operating. Not exactly a “massive” blow. An inconvenience? Yes, but it does not create an insurmountable problem for Russia.
The over joyed reaction to the limited success of this operation in the West belies a desperation. If a major section of the entire bridge had been pulverized then I would understand the jubilation and snarky comments. This is akin to the Germans celebrating the failure to blow up the Bridge at Remagen during World War II. German attempts to destroy that bridge were foiled while allied forces continued to roll into Germany. That bridge–the Ludendorf–collapsed ten days after its capture but that came too late to save the Nazis from the American and British onslaught. Patton and his troops were settled comfortably in Germany.
Let us give Ukraine credit for one thing–they are really pissing off the people of Russia and galvanizing support for Putin to take decisive action. The West insists it wants to get rid of Vladimir Putin but actions like this attack on the Kerch bridge is having the opposite effect on Putin’s popularity and his growing mandate to punish Ukraine as a terrorist state. I suspect that Ukraine will not be as chirpy once Russia chooses to respond in force.
An ancient Hindu proverb that applies to Ukraine (an approximate translation): “At the time one’s destruction, opposite use of one’s brain”. In other words, desperate last-minute use of any method just to ward off the inevitable destruction.
विनाश काले विप्रित बुद्धि |
Yes, I used to holiday there years ago.
विनाश काले विपरीत बुद्धि
Moscow Exile says
When the time of one’s destruction comes, one’s mind thinks the opposite of what it should.
Henry Neild says
When the time comes for a Nation’s demise, it’s leadership act in the opposite way for survival
Sorry, you can’t use ancient cultural wisdom and sagacity on a group of societal parvenus like the Anglo-Saxon-and germanics in general. Arrogant and treacherous barbarians from the beginning they were, arrogant and treacherous barbarians they will perish. Their “intellect” only allows them to see 2 steps beyond their noses and all sense of nuance is lost on them.
The animus behind this war on Russia doesn’t come from “Anglo-Saxons or Germanics in general.” The driving ‘American’ part of it, the political architecture, is the policy of people from whom I fail to see a single one who could be descended from the generation of our founding fathers.
We WASPs are now a minority in America. You can fairly blame us (or more correctly our ancestors) for losing control of what used to be our country, but we are subjects in this open-borders imperial crony cartel corporatist trade zone the same as everyone else. There are many of us in the institutions of authority (do not mistake authority for power: power decides, authority implements) but they do what they are told the same as any Ukrainian cannon fodder sent to the east in the vain hope of stealing Russian land and resources for the internationalist oligarchy.
Power (the ability to coerce or persuade others to do what you want) belongs to those who control the financial system, especially the instantiation of fiat currency used to fund the carrots and sticks that determine institutional behavior both governmental and political. We heritage Americans are the primary victims of this empire in exactly the same way that ethnic Russians were the primary victims of the internationalist Bolshevik empire of the Soviet Union. Clearly we are being blamed for it in exactly the same way as Poles foolishly blame ethnic Russians as a group for the crimes of the Soviet Union.
Our mistake, our crime, is being stupid enough to think that power can EVER be shared inside a multiethnic polity. Multiethnic and even more so multiracial democracy is just tribal raiding parties formalized with paperwork and in slow motion.
We WASPs are now a minority in America.
Well, I suppose that is something to be grateful for. Still, some of my best friends are WASPs albeit not from the USA.
Walt Jeffords says
The destruction of the USA has accelerated rapidly under this old buffoon but it started long ago. The same forces that endorse this destruction whole heartedly support Ukraine. That alone is enough to hope for a total Russian victory over Ukraine.
Regardless of ethnicity, we are all slaves to the elites, call them anything you like: int’l bankers, oligarchs, neocons, Zionists, Illuminati, etc.
It’s nothing to do with being Anglo Saxon or Jewish
Look at Obama,Lloyd, Colin Powell’s and his embarrassing vial of chemicals,….Harris is half Indian part black and white.
It’s an American mindset influenced by Britain, Straussian thinking and France. Colour and race have nothing to with it.
It’s the system and the culture.
Play the ball not the man. Blaming Anglo Saxons for western foreign policy is silly. Western foreign policy was always the preserve of the elite and powerful, largely aristocracy.
The modern policy is shaped by the British elite and billionaire class of assorted. Of Anglo Saxon the lower classes were also enslaved for years by the upper classes and are still manipulated by them.
American superiority complex and western superiority complexes also don’t help.
What you see is a few people who manipulate the masses to pursue things the majority of their people would oppose if they knew the truth.
So what we have is a corrupt power structure that manipulates reality like never before.
The New Babylon will be destroyed in less than one hour — Question is, will that be just Washington DC or the entire USA
entire babylon will be destroyed by fire and totally totally burned even foreign ships bearing goods cannot dock , the ship captains lament the destruction of the great babylon due to their lost sales lol
it signify the destruction of whole CONUS either by natural disaster or nuclear fire or both
Duduman the romanian defector said he saw russia subs on both east and west coast launch surprise nuke attack on CONUS and destroyed it totally
true or false ? seem like current US govt asking for it
Muralidhar Rao says
Sir I beg to differ with your statement “Our mistake, our crime, is being stupid enough to think that power can EVER be shared inside a multiethnic polity.” Just look at India, it is the most multi ethnic multi religious polity as you can get. Some times these groups can be at each others throats. But now it seems the various groups realize they have to be cooperative if they are to survive and thrive. I think our problem is not the various ethnicities but the financial structures where we have the investment bankers (who Kevin Phillips calls as parasites in the host body) who have taken over the state institutions with their financial engineering of QE 0% intrest rates etc and are now engaged in a deadly battle against commercial bankers who did lots of good for the society inspite of their greed. If the people wake up to this reality and throw the bums in congress who are bought by the investment bankers we are doomed. In the mean while we are being served with KoolAid of ethnicity/race/gender. Thanks
Manuel V says
Es que asi nacio USA. era una nacion de anglos que se independisaron y luego por la fuerza bruta tomaron todo a su alrededor, masacraron a los nativos y se llenaron de extranjeros.
When they call “last orders, it’s too late to take your dick out of the wedding cake”.
Mel Profit says
As long as the reality on the ground is ambiguous enough to be manipulated, Russia loses. It wins by taking terrain, occupying cities, having its tanks and troops in Odessa. In Kharkov. When these occur, reality takes hold and the capacity to Convincingly fabricate, to bullshit, to create fraudulent narratives is crippled
The Russians must understand that relying on a strategy of destroying Ukraine forces and materials until only grandmothers attacking with BB guns are left is not enough. You can only defeat thd West by defeating it in fact, on the ground, with tangible trophies to hold up to the camera. The US is unbeatable on the terrain of shadows, image, and illusion. It reacts less well to an unambiguous, narrative-free punch to the gut.
“It wins by taking terrain, occupying cities, having its tanks and troops in Odessa.” Thank you. And it loses by giving up terrain and abandoning to the claws of Azov criminals the people that dared express their support. If you are going to take on ruthless bullies you go all out and well prepared, catch them by surprise, and explain yourself later. The people and countries that matter will understand.
Charlene Richards says
Just for the record, the power elite in Chicago back in 2008 boasted that Obama would be “our first Jewish president.”
Like Joe Biden said, “I am a Zionist! We are ALL Zionists!”
This is something I studied via targeting… steel reinforced concrete bridges (causeways) are very difficult to take out. You gotta hit them in the right spots. Sectionals can be repaired quite rapidly… look at how rapidly they’re being repaired in Florida.
The real effect here is another wake-up call to the Russian government.
Lastly, you were better off doing your training!
The problem is the heat. High temperatures over a certain duration destroy the concrete, make it crumbly. At least, that’s how it used to be …
Pym of Nantucket says
No, according to NIST engineers, rich fuel combustion in a localized part of a structure can cause all the main structural steel to disintegrate simultaneously. The bridge SHOULD have suddenly collapsed at free fall velocity.
Dr. George W Oprisko says
The above is rubbish!
First of all the heat of the burning tank cars was directed upward and away from the bridge.
Second, it is a railway. The concrete ties lie on a bed of fist sized gravel called “ballast” This acts to insulate the underlying structure.
Third the temperature of petroleum burning in an oxygen deprived environment, like a fuel tank is in the 500-900 degree F range… far to low to affect the steel rails supporting the bogies, much less the steel reinforcement within the reinforced concrete structure.
I think Pym is using sarcasm to make a point. The NIST reference is to the theory of how 3 steel-framed buildings disintegrated on 9-11 in NYC.
Qolotlh Kernow says
Glad your day was better spent! I did find myself shocked and a little worried when I saw that picture – the one you posted at the top and did spend a fair amount of wasted time trying to find out what had happened. Being in Airstrip One I don’t read or watch our ‘news’ so never thought the bridge was destroyed but it was great to eventtually see the Russians coolly and calmly restoring the bridge and seeing the traffic and trains rolling again. One thing I did learn is that the Russian army has these amazing ‘railway repair trains’ which were swiftly on the scene!
So, in catching up I ‘discover’ that NATO used:
indetectible drones and / or indetectible submerged drones
divers with demolition charges (who must have climbed the bridge supports just to damage a span or two up top (!)
Super indetectible missiles
HIMARS barrages including the 300km ATACMS
and so on.
A simple truck bomb just isn’t ‘modern’ enough it seems.
Keep up the good work in steadying the unbrainwashed Western nerve!
John Zelnicker says
I recently read that these railway repair trains are operated by elements of the Russian Armed Forces, specifically trained to quickly repair any damage to railways. This makes complete sense as Russian military logistics are highly dependent on trains, particularly, for example, getting major equipment from Russian territory to the front lines in Ukraine.
James Owen says
Generals Keane and Petraeus will appear on Fox and proclaim that there’s no way that the Russians can ever repair the bridge.
That nearly cost me a keyboard!
“Let me repeat that the dictatorship of the Western elites targets all societies, including the citizens of Western countries themselves. This is a challenge to all. This complete renunciation of what it means to be human, the overthrow of faith and traditional values, and the suppression of freedom are coming to resemble a “religion in reverse” – pure Satanism. Exposing false messiahs, Jesus Christ said in the Sermon on the Mount: “By their fruits ye shall know them.” These poisonous fruits are already obvious to people, and not only in our country but also in all countries, including many people in the West itself.” President Vladimir Putin, September 30, 2022 speech.
Josef Schweik says
Paroles, paroles, paroles, paroles, paroles
Encore des paroles que tu sèmes au vent…
spirit of the Wind says
Thanks for that.
Yes its about good vs evil.
The eternal struggle for the souls of mankind.
Evil tends to lose in the end, they have a penchent for turning on their own if it benefits them, that’s their weakness their own greed and narcissism.
Putin’s speech will be remembered for its historical importance a hundred years from now. The inane utterances out of the mouths of western elites will be forgotten or referenced as examples of ignorance.
Curt Nichols says
Larry, I agree with your premise in large. But Putin, while he hand jobs his European friends, is extending this war. While creating more death and destruction. I am not buying into the Putin big plan horseshit. He is a politician that is getting in the way of the military winning this war. As Russian civilians die at the hand of US terrorism. He moves soon. Or he loses all credibility. If you are going to fight a war? Fight a fucking war. And excuse my frustration. But I lived this as a E-5.
Larry Johnson says
Spoken like a man of action. I understand your frustration. We’ll see in the coming weeks whether Putin has a plan or is incompetent.
I find it a little but frustrating when men of action and arm chair generals just see what is happening on the level of tactics and as if it was just a conflict with Ukraine.
If Mr Putin just crushed the ukrainian resistance, nothing or very little would have ben won. This must end not only with a ukrainian surrender but a surrender of NATO/EU/UK/US a.k.a. combined west.
How can they not see that Ukraine is just the top on the iceberg and it is a lot more a delicate balancing act Putin and Shoigu et al have to do to end the hegemony of the west once for all. And that takes time and skills. Skills that are out of reach for those thinking only on the tactical level.
Putin has planned and built up for this during decades. It would be a disaster to throw it away with some emotional act on the tactical level.
Putin et al knows what they are doing.
Well said, a damaged and hours later repaired bridge should not be the catalyst of the dumping of well laid plans and strategy. Diversionary tactics should not deflect the well thought out strategy which has yielded important strategic aims at relatively low cost to the frontline Russian allied troops.
Winter is coming, as is the Nov 8th Mid Terms. The Russians need just to keep up the pace of wiping out the exposed forces attacking them for a headline.
It’s more than a ‘little’ frustrating.
It’s quite hard to keep abreast of the news, but the General Command of the 101st Chairborne should be able to understand that Russia’s playing ‘rope-a-dope’ to a fine art.
Germany has less than a week’s worth of artillery munitions left in its warehouses.
If Russia had simply flattened the field in the first week (and sent a quarter million khokhols to Bandera), NATO would not have empty warehouses now – and so would be better positioned when the US tries to force the EU to send its sons to the front.
As it now stands, it seems clear that Krautland cannot into war in Ukraine because they are of no-bullets-having.
Pooland certainly cannot into Ukraine because most Pooland MAMs are already there as mercs.
Besides: if Russia had cleared the field in Feb/Mar 2022, there would be no impending “Steckrübenwinter ’22” where everybody in Europe and the UK is of freezing.
The EU is already not happy of paying the ten-fold increase to get half their required NatGas from YankBalls (who also cannot into war).
All things considered, Russia is playing this game really well.
Mel Profit says
I have limited sympathy with the “armchair general” crack–but only limited. It’s not merely members of the cognoscenti like SONAR 21 readers who are frustrated –there’s a powerful surge of Russians complaining that Putin is too soft, too lawyerly, too calm, too enamored of the US and Europe. With the appointment of the new overall commander and yesterday’s missile barrage all across Ukraine, the gloves appear to have come off. Although possibly not: the Russia has done high drama one-offs before (seemingly more to get the critics off their back than anything “strategic”). Not likely but possibly this is just another.
hello mr. johnson
i found this vid interesting- especially the first third of it. According to this guy the people in the car probably saved the bridge from getting allot worse damage. they have become martyrs. The guy in the truck was probably set up and probably had no idea of what he was carrying especially if he moved over to the left side when the bomb went off as the car was passing. if this was a suicide mission for him he would not have done so. guess time will tell on all of this.
yu have to give the fsb credit. they are masters of creating sabotage, disinfo and terror with this and the dugan assasination. They have had allot of practice at it over the last 8 yrs. If the ukrainian army was as competent on the battlefield as the fsb is in the shadows the russian army would have been given a run for their money.
this was a long impromptu done by gonzalo. am listening to it know.
Black Cloud says
Ukies casualty rates of 40 or 50:1 does not indicate incompetence but rather prudence.
US strategy is to bomb a country- including civilian infrastructure of government facilities, transportation, communication, water treatment, sewage, hospitals, schools, etc. as well as the civilian population – back to the stone age.
Russia is more civilized, and by acting in this manner they make the terrorist behavior of the west obvious to all. Thus the rapid growth of the SCO and BRICS, as well as the failure of > 80% of the would to support Ukraine and the west.
I imagine that Russian patience frustrates the decision making centers of the west greatly. They want Russian escalation because that’s a way to keep the European vassals on side and it’s a way to rationalize their escalation. Russia’s refusal to play the game the way the US expects and needs is problematic.
Anyone can try this in a verbal altercation. If someone is yelling at you, angry and barely controlled while you are quiet, calm and drop a few careful verbal jabs, they tend to explode and do/say something really stupid. There’s a decent chance that Putin is baiting the western leaders.
Those are exactly my thoughts.
If you let yourself be scared by those people (collective west in this case) you have already lost.
Here in South East Asia, many are used to seeing RAW POWER unleashed by the West as collective punishment. Though we condemn this barbarity, we expect Russia to do the same in Ukraine. But we forgot that Russia is not the West.
No one is expecting Russia to flatten areas necessrily. No one wants them to behave like the West.
But hitting military targets,road and rail from Poland, troop and equipment supply lines, airports, etc is not barbaric it is ESSENTIAL if Russia has a chance of winning.
No one would like to see them carpet bombing civilians of failing to allow humanitarian corridors.
But basic military competence requires a serious bombing of military and duel use targets.otherwise you are a negligent and dangerous leader. Dangerous because you weaken your own position and kill your own by poor tactics.
There is a need to separate military competence and necessity from. Humanitarianism and war crimes.
No war is humane. None.
It’s a question of how proportionate the force is.
Force against military targets is long overdue and very proportionate.
If you are a soldier or target citizen, you don’t sit there thinking, I might die, but good think Putin did not order the bombing of military border crossings. Better my children are killed than western soldiers and newly trained Ukies.
Looking for a serious escalation from Russia.
I expect further retreats for a week or two in some areas from Russia.
Advance may be slow as I’m sure Nato is mininng heavily any retreat.
I think NATO will go after the rest of the navy in the sea aswell.
Putin’s long term goal was to be able to live side by side with fellow neighbor slavs. I’ll wager u never “lived this as an E-5” on your own border fighting people who spoke your own language and in some cases even your own family members. You’ll have to go back to the American Civil War to approximate anything like the same sociological and political stakes at work in the Ukraine conflict. And notice, the brutal savagery of total war unleashed in the US Civil War STILL has ramifications in the United States. There is STILL very much a cultural and historical divide inherited from that savage conflict that always threatens to boil over in the USA when times get tough. Putin is very senstitive to this kind of possibility and those kinds of sociological divisions ALREADY at work in a complicated place like post-Soviet Ukraine. A victory in war needs to be a long term political vitory or else it is merely a masturbatory display of violence that continues to manifest problematically in unforseen ways.
What an incisive, historically and sociologically accurate comment. Thank you.
Michael Droy says
I like the American civil war comparison.
For me there are two wars going on. A civil war within Ukraine and a super power war.
The civil war is not understood at all by the West. They tend to think that Ukraine got on rather like Belgium with the Flemish and the French speakers. Respectfully. But it clearly was tougher than that and from the point of the ATO and the unrestricted power given to the nazis from 2014, it has become much more like Rwanda with Hutu and Tutsi with one side out to kill the other and the other at the very least prepared to fight to defend themselves.
The global war is ignored entirely.
Comment of the whole thread. Bravo.
Let’s imagine the birthday boy does what you (and Larry) wish for, Curt.
What will be the likely outcome? A country that had the lowest GDP per capita in Europe before the special op began will be even more devastated, around 30mn hungry stomachs, no credits from the West to help to rebuild it, more sanctions on Russia, only China may have the funds and the desire to help, but does Russia needs China embedded in Ukraine?
On the broader scale of geopolitics it’s even worse what with Russia surrounded even more tightly by NATO enlarged by two more members eager to have US bases on their territory.
Any objections to the above?
Mark Marksson says
War-fighting is always subject to political constraints. Early in WW2 the UK pretended to only bomb military targets. This was soon extended to the general industry of the enemy, and eventually the working population, and in the end the US and UK were destroying entire cities by firebombing and atomic bombing.
Similarly, the savagery of the US civil war escalated over time.
Politicians have to consider all kinds of constraints, especially diplomatic and political, on what they can get away with in terms of war-fighting. Putin is a politician and a lawyer, not a military man, but war is the continuation of policy using other means, and is downstream of politics, so it is unsurprising if political considerations determine what is allowed and what isn’t.
You can argue about whether the choices made are correct, and you might be right about the military results, but those decisions are political not military in nature, though they include obviously the military consequences, and can only be judged as such.
A bridge that is a major transit point for suppliers is certainly a military target.
Mark Marksson says
Not disputing that.
But the Ukrainians have certainly made it even more difficult for the media in the Empire of Lies to get much mileage out of accusations of “targeting civilian infrastructure” for future Russian attacks on bridges, railway etc in the Ukraine.
Vallhalla Rising says
Curt… well said…I have literally driven myself bat-shit crazy wondering why Russia has not completely pummeled the Ukraine in the past several months (they could have–they have the capabilities). I am a retired military guy so I get where you are coming from…give me the mission statement and an end state, resource me and let me go blow shit up.
My opinion/advice…look beyond the pure operational military aspects of what’s going on with the Special Military Operation (SMO). The Russians get an A++++ in OPSEC and I’m sure that is by design because the rest of us are just left speculating…a shout out to forums like this one for critically thinking about what the SMO end state is beyond the stated demilitarization/denazification of the Ukraine.
I am trying to analyze the SMO from a broader geopolitical perspective and have a few thoughts on what the SMO’s intended “strategic” end state might look like with or without a “complete” Russian military victory:
– Weaken US uni-polar hegemonic global influence (especially dollar diplomacy)
– Strengthen Eurasian Regional alliances through commerce (Belt Road Initiative, Shanghai Cooperation Organization etc.)
– Strengthen Global alliances through commerce (BRICS+, OPEC+ etc.)
– A pragmatic vs an ideological (New World Order) EU
…there are several more strategic objectives I’m sure (only the Russians truly know)…but think about how the geopolitical “game” has changed in the past several months…for my part the Russians (Putin) are well on their way to “victory” however they have defined that.
Eric Newhill says
The Russians get an A+ in opsec only if they have an op. Sitting around with their collective thumb up their collective ass doesn’t count as an op. We can all see that, anyhow. So not even kept secure.
I’m with Ash. I see no good reason whatsoever that Russia hasn’t been hitting NATO rat lines from Poland and, perhaps, from the sea. I do not understand why reserve troops were not given mission specific training and had their TO&ES filled and ready to move months ago. That is such gross incompetence, IMO, that I am forced to consider suggestions that the Russian military is corrupt, disorganized, spent and/or totally foiled by some bizarre political decision making. yeah, yeah, I know. That’s the conclusion Russia wants me (and NATO) to come to – and then, BOOM! they spring their big offensive surprise. Wishful thinking, if you ask me, but, we’ll see.
Aside from the info wars facet of the conflict, one of these days NATO is going to get it right and their Russian targets are going to be destroyed and the destruction will be a serious strategic blow. The more time, the more ongoing supply and freedom of movement afforded to NATO and Kiev, the higher the probability of such adverse events occurring.
Regarding the info wars part, these attacks by NATO, which WILL continue, will bring the Putin government down one of these days. That is one of NATO’s goals. They’re on the path to achieving it. Now you might argue that achievement would be another Wile E Coyote moment b/c Putin could very well be replaced by a more hardcore element. However, I’m sure NATO has all kinds of agitators waiting to cause civil unrest in Russia when the govt collapses. The civil unrest would happen regardless, but the moles will make sure it becomes more severe and more widespread. Who will manage the war while all that is happening?
Nope. Russia – Putin specifically – is proving to be at least NOT a wartime leader, perhaps something even stupider. I actually respect the guy and wish we had leaders like him, but he doesn’t seem to have what it takes to succeed in the situation in which he finds himself.
Fair comment. And you are right re NATO being genuinely surprised at how easy this has been and how poorly Russia has done.
Let’s see what the new smo leader General Surovikin does.
He was used in Chechnya and Syria with operational successes and had a mixed reputation though appears respected by troops. His forte is combined ops, air defence and speciality is synchronisation of attack formations. He can be quite ruthless.
His appointment sidelines the chief of staff and head of army. So it’s quite a big move.
Let’s see what he does and what he is allowed to do. Something is very strange about how Russia is failing to take out key sites, like when you a sport that looks like one side has been bribed to lose, they play quite well but somehow lose the big points. Has that feel about it.
Let’s see if anything changes now.
Eric Newhill says
Agree. For the record, I’m not saying Russia is down and out for the count. Just there is enough happening that a reasonable observer would be justified in becoming concerned – enough that, in my most humble opinion, one really must at least consider the possibility that the pro-Russia 5D chess proponents might be wrong. Larry makes a good case for Russia’s ultimate success. I was solidly in that camp myself. I just think it is unwise to not explore other possibilities at this point.
I also think that the new General might signal a positive [for Russia] change coming. Perhaps now all of the i’s have been dotted and t’s crossed and Putin and Russia are ready to roll. I most certainly would not rule that out.
Theres a video of the truck being inspected by soldiers. They look inside and let it go. One of the entrances to the bridge has one of those xray machines the other nothing. The bridge has been threaten to be destroyed. Lax security no bomb sniffing dogs nothing. Someone should wake up on security on the Russian side.
Their were soldiers there but the actual inspections where done by Crimean Transportation. That responsibility has been transferred to the FSB.
I agree. Dogs and hand scans for the residue needed. I watched the video in Russian of this truck owner, and he said it was his uncle behind the wheel who died, a professional truck driver with many years of experience and the order was picked up through the internet website despatch center. I think if the uncle was a martyr, he’d use the left lane of the bridge to cause more harm.
Top Gum says
Indeed, they were too careless about that possibility of an attack. A mistake that will be corrected. Those things happen, they are clear mistakes, but you learn your lesson and move on not repeating the mistake again.
Ukrainian leadership on the other hand had again proved not to be seriously about ending that conflict soon. Russia should know better, they trusted the west and were played anyway. Of course to inflict more losses on the remaining Ukrainian forces is the best course of action, but some higher heads should pay for that attack on a clearly civilian target. It is about time to take the SMO to the next level and hunt down some of the people that think they are safe sitting in the back. With their lives at stake they may think twice before targeting civilian infrastructure.
Jack Gordon says
Impossible to agree with you more. This operation should be carried out by Russian intelligence forces expeditiously, leaving no trace of their hand in it but, equally, no doubt in sane minds as to exactly who executed the attack(s) and why.
Do they not have sniffer dogs?
You just need a few of those trained canines to sniff this out plus mirrors on sticks to check under cars.
Oct 8, evening. Russia fully restored railway traffic at the Kerch bridge. A 15 car train hauling cargo has passed through successfully after repairs were done.
Can’t wait for the western spin that the Russians did this to themselves so they have a reason to escalate….
Last week I heard about Arabs being recruited to join Ukraine – I assumed them to be from the Agency’s ‘ISIS Brigade’.
I have yet to hear this described as a suicide bomb – but that is what it appears to be. I guess the phrase is too toxic for the West.
Dima at the Military Summary Channel on YT made a convincing argument that the driver was not a suicide terrorists. He also makes the argument that the reason it was less effective was because the truck had moved to the outside lane of the bridge to allow a car to pass. If the truck had been on the inside lane, the blast would have been much more effective.
I wonder if the driver had control of detonation and knew exactly what he was carrying. Could be some poor schmuck. Maybe not.
It will come out at some point.
Another video angle shows a boat under the bridge and the blast coming upward…So I have doubts this was a truck bomb.
And another video shows two missiles hitting the bridge from a vertical perspective.
An official investigation will reveal the truth.
It occurred to me that perhaps the best way out of this isn’t a peace agreement, but a cease-fire along the lines of DPRK and So. Korea. If Russia and Ukraine are technically at war indefinitely, though perhaps not actively shooting at one another, wouldn’t that do more to keep the potential for a declared state of war between Russia and NATO powers at bay? As in, keeping the stakes of Ukrainian admittance to NATO too high for it to be seriously considered? I understand they’re doing everything in their power to goad the Russians into escalating, but so far they haven’t taken the bait. Say by some miracle the economic house of cards doesn’t blow over this winter/spring, it seems like that would be the safest course for Russia to chart. Given the experience of Minsk I/II from the Russian side, and the “non-agreement capable” Antlanticist leadership, i don’t see “bending to our will” in the manner Medvedev recently spoke about.
Top Gum says
It’s not about Ukraine. This whole conflict was designed by NATO/US to weaken Russia. It was already openly stated and Russia did know this from the beginning anyway. The west is not someone you can trust. So far Russia was able to bring EU to their knees and was also able to destroy a huge amount of the proxy military used against them. The backers of Ukraine are running out of military hardware and they all have to chip in to keep Ukraine financially going. This is the finial conflict between the collective west and the rest of the world living under their influence/control. That is why US rushed to whip the wold into siding with them against Russia, but it did not work. That is why OPEC+ is doing what they do now. No one won’t please the west anymore besides their own vassals.
Agreed – the Ukrainian Civil War is a sideshow in this Global War of Attrition.
French aristocrats were once asked to, “blink three times if you hear me?”
Ukraine has now reached that point. Poland will be asked politely , “ You want to be next.?”
It’s all about money and Saudi Arabia has just put the dollar on the table. Consequences LOL! Ukraine will be historically as big as the fall of the USSR.
Uki Nazis mean nothing really, but America and Britain could be dead on arrival or exit, as the case maybe.
Germany, France and Italy will change faster than Brandon’s diaper crew can spin shit……… You get that!
I think you understand Aaron what is REALLY going on much more than the dolts here who are imbibed with over-flowing not too subtle US-Western jingoism.
In the REAL world, the big players understand who the top dog is intuitively. The fact that you pointed out of Saudi Arabia falling out with the US on oil production quotas reveals volumes of what is happening at the geo-political level. The Saudis know it is over for the US and most of the West and need to realign their relationships according to the new balance of power that is forming on the world stage.
To their merit, Russia and Iran, who have been arming and training the Houthis in Yemen, can unleash their proxies at any given moment on the Kingdom bringing them to their knees. Although there is currently a cease-fire still in effect, the Yemenis have just warned Saudi Arabia and the UAE that unless they rid themselves of foreign multi-nationals meddling in their countries’ affairs they will resort to seriously inflicting massive disruption of their energy extraction means. The Houthis, in short, have humiliated the US, Britain, and Israel, Saudi Arabia’s former backers, whose supposedly high tech weapons have been exposed for how ineffective they really are in front of a determined foe.
Sorry but this is inaccurate
Saudis reduced the size of the cut that was needed to maintain prices going forward. They did the US a favor not Russia as the cut is no where near enough and much less than other opec members wanted.
Saudis are just gaming this for their own benefit. They have been annoyed with what they see as lack of sufficient US support against Iran even before this war.
Ofcourse they will ride both horses as long as they can but that was already their position before the war.
Saudis are Iran and getting closer on issues. The Saudis have decided that BRICS is the way to go (Iran will be in BRICS as well) and they are slowly moving away from the western world in general. Russia supports both Saudis and Iran and will act as a conduit for further easing of tensions. Ideologically the Saudis are far from the west anyway, the economic switch is a natural progression. Also, Saudis make stuff (oil) and have maximized their gains from the currency that is increasingly looking like it will be worth less than the paper it is printed on. Not only that but most of the non-western world (including Saudi Arabia) is increasingly seeing what the west is all about and naturally aligning with the projected winner (Putin/Xi/Modi/BRICS led global south).
You truly have no understanding. The oil production cut ensures a seller’s market:
scarcity of supply vs. competitive buyers. It destroys any prospect of an EU “price cap” actually working and undoes Biden’s 1 million barrel a day release from the American strategic petroleum reserve. It is the single most important reaction to the Ukraine project and its effects will be felt for a decade. And it was not just the Saudis that decided this. Your posts are pompous and full of ignorance; I can’t belive Larry doesn’t challenge your ignorance more often.
Instead of immature abuse try facts instead.
Do you even understand how oil forward contracts work?
EU prices caps were always dead in the water and had nothing to do with the decisions made. If you thought those would work you are truly clueless.
countries dont get ‘annoyed’ , the whole iran vs saudi is manufactured conflict because of israeli meddling in the region.
i find you are trying too hard in spreading FUD against russia , especially with your limited knowledge on the whole issue .. you just seeing tip of iceberg then go around saying russia is doomed ?
The US and the west have uttered and committed blasphemies, and the Saudis have moved away from the eventual lightning bolt from heaven.
Thank you Peppe….
For your words of continuing wisdom.
WAR PROPAGANDA is for you, not them.
There is no pain greater than the truth : no love stronger than the truth
All western BS and Bluster aside, none of them imagined Russian armed forces actually entering Syria [at invitation of that government] and none of them thought Russia would dare move in force into the former Ukraine.
Every Russian soldier and military object in Syria is a huge defeat for west, and ditto in former Ukraine.
For seven straight years US and NATO have no answer to Russia in Syria. For seven months, ditto their SMO.
The lies have become so absurd and ridiculous since they’ve run out of lies.
As Putin told the world this past summer, if the west thinks they can do something about it, he said, “let them try.”
In the meantime, let them cry.
Inability of our government and our major media to explain any of this in rational, coherent, logical and edifying manner is as great a symptom of our defeat as anything.
And why won’t they, what do they fear, or are they, collectively, really this ignorant of concrete reality?
Ignorance is for losers.
And terrorist operations against Russia is for war criminals. How many US soldiers will someday be put on trial in public for war crimes against Russia? How many that advocated war crimes and terrorist operations against Russia may also face the dock? I would guess, sooner than we think. And what can the US do about it, when this happens?
I’ve read a lot of Russian comments in TG Channels are now even angrier and are demanding swift action so one would imagine retaliation will be on the cards in the coming weeks.
Top Gum says
Best retaliation is crushing the Ukrainian forces and liberating more villages/towns/cities. Getting all emotional is not the way military decisions should be made. Ukrainians will always have some luck to strike like that. It only means, that Russian servicemen should stay vigilant and do their assigned tasks with great care and determination to avoid such attacks.
They’re real smart, these Ukrainians.
There’s no doubt that they intended to blow the bridge up. Rather than waiting, however, the Ukrainian leaders and their apparatchiks came out way too fast on social media, basically admitting their responsibility – assuming they’d been successful.
Uh oh. Turns out that the bridge will be fine, but they’ve exposed themselves badly as the culprits and also legitimised the Russian response, which I suspect will be devastating.
Nice work guys!
The word is also getting around that there are 4 pipes in the Nordstream 1-2 set up. Reports are that the bombers blow up one pipe twice! So one pipe is fully operational. But is it true?
There are more lies than pies getting around.
Eric Newhill says
This, like Nord Stream, is an act of terrorism. Worse than NS b/c civilians got killed. It could have been worse in terms of loss of civilian life. Putin must act – and now. There’s no reason to hold back. The problem will only get worse.
Brad Patton says
Questions need to be answered. Who set off the bomb? (or a timer)? Where were they?
Now Putin needs to order Pianodik’s control centers be turned into twisted beams and rubble. I bet this blog is a hot item for some FBI diverse female agent or alphabet to go over,
Blue Thunder says
@Curt Nichols – Feeling very much the same.
@Larry – Also agree with your analysis – in principle.
We’ll have to see where the road leads though. One thing is certain, as you say: “they are really pissing off the people of Russia and galvanizing support for Putin to take decisive action.”
While I’m not entirely convinced about all these events being carefully calibrated as part of some grand strategy from the Russian side, the end result remains overall favorable for them.
However, there’s a balance to everything. The velvet gloves must come off; it’s high time. An overly and persistent soft stand encourages further provocations and military and economic aid to Zelensky, allowing them to fight truly to the last Ukrainian (and foreign mercenaries looking for adventure, plunder, escape or whatever).
Airing some additional thoughts:
– Is Putin happy to take a few punches in exchange of seeing Europe being economically ruined?
– Or is Putin afraid of alienating China if he takes an overly aggressive approach? Note: While China is sympathetic to Russia, they are very much against foreign invasions. They have very clear memories of Japan’s invastion of China during WWII and in particular the Nanjing Massacre. It’s a very sensitive issue for the Chinese, and some their people who are less informed about Russian history assume (in my mind wrongly) some parallels. Russia needs China, and it simply cannot afford to antagonize them.
– Russia playing the victim role. Showing a bloody nose to the world. So any (eventual?!) retaliation would amply justified.
– Eastern vs Western thinking (and Russia will be somewhere in between). Easterners are much more patient (but not necessarily less forgiving!) and will plough along as long as their end goals are being met.
– Military spending! From the VisualCapitalist website, we see the US spending USD 778 billion annually. Russia by comparison USD 62! Less than a tenth. So the US propping up the Ukies with a “few” lousy billion is pocket change. The US could keep this game going on for a very long time too! (??) The Soviets had already been bankrupted while trying to keep pace with America. Are we seeing now the second half of the game with a few players changed – star striker USSR replaced by Russia?
– And finally blackmail! Putin’s alleged mistress: Alina Kabaeva and kids. Maybe Darya Dugina’s murder (though Aleksandr Dugin was the main target) was a message to Putin? Who knows. But that’s the point. What else is out there behind closed curtains. We all have an Achilles heel.
Prudent observer says
Very good point regarding China. The Chinese position is generally discussed too little. They have been having the Russian’s back in the UN but have done little to support them otherwise, at least not very visibly. What role are Chinese spy satellites playing in all of this? Russian restraint may have less to do with skittishness on the part of the Chinese in general, though, but more with the upcoming party congress where Xi Jinping wants to be re-elected. He may have told the Kremlin to avoid anything that would upset the international situation too much during that interval. Russia will be free to act once Xi has been re-elected sometime before the end of the month. The time window will be enough to carry out an offensive to influence the Midterms on the 18th of November.
I too think that Putin, and the Russian response to the latest Western goading is waiting on the outcome of the CCP congress being held later this month. It will be worth while waiting to see whether Xi remains top dog, or the Russians will need to deal with a younger, and possible hot headed leader.
Chinese public opinion very much behind Russia.Note Taiwan and other invasions by West not unnoticed.
What worries China is not so much the Ukrainian war but the loss of markets and sanctions and US attack on them.
So a controlled demolition that gives them time to prepare is preferable for them.
Note this is now a war between NATO and Russia. So 40% of China’s market is fighting it’s neighbor who is a bulwark for it against a Western invasion.
So it’s economic security v national security for China.
In the end they cannot afford to alienate Russia at least until they win to also secure China, after that it can keep distance.
It would be foolish for Russia to take China’s view excessively into account to detriment of military strategy.
China has no loyalty to Russia. It will do what suits China. Russia must do the same.
Russia has 3 actual friends for historical reasons, India, South Africa and Iran. The rest are business partners.
China is not important. Russia does not need China to survive.
China increasingly needs cheaper oil and gas to make all those nice exports. If only India gets those then India will begin to be outcompete China in exports in new areas. India and China have poor relations and the tensions are just being container below the surface. For now.
China is not Russias friend.
Eric Newhill says
Everyone “likes” a winner. Mission number 1 should be to win militarily. You can’t hinder action toward winning on the battlefield by fretting and cogitating neurotically about how it will all play out w/ all of the various countries. They are self-interested. Win. Demonstrate power and competence. Have something to offer that the others need, even if it’s only protection via your superior military might. Do that and other countries will fall in line as allies.
My anti-Clausewitz thought for the day
“And finally blackmail!” a very very dangerous escalation, that IMO NATO is unlikely to take. NATO leaders also have children.
I think you read too much into countries votes or statements of support or lack thereof in UN.
One of the reasons many countries don’t endorse foreign intervention in local issues of neighbors is because they have similar issues within their own countries with different regions/ethnicities looking to create space within or seek independence, they are doing the same thing that Ukraine did against it’s Russian population. For instance China has Taiwan, Uyghur, Tibet being Culturally sinecised.
Similarly India has Kashmir where it occupies against the will of local muslim majority and had promised to conduct referendum to acertain if people want it retained in India or join Pakistan while giving very significant autonomy till such a referendum is conducted.
It’s been 70 years, the autonomy if Kashmir was slowly chipped away and elected governments were jailed for most part of the 7 decades since independence from British rule.
Now the Hindu militant Nazi inspired party in power in India( ironically strongly supports Russia) has not just taken away the autonomy but is engaged in direct central rule in the region and busy trying to change the ethnic and cultural demography.
This is the reason many countries cannot openly support Ukraine operations by Russia because it would justify foreign intervention in their own countries where they are busy doing an Ukraine on their own ethnic and religious minorities
Young Suburbanite says
I started following your page after seeing you on TGP. I appreciate your commentary and knowledge and look forward to reading your take. I saw this news and the reaction and just think Ukraine is doing everything it can to goad Russia into an actual war. Does Zelensky think he needs this to happen to get the support he wants from the west? What can be gained from poking the bear. It’s tough to envision a way that Russia loses this conflict. Even if they only maintain their previous positions they can count that as a win. Ukraine has everything to lose. The narrative that this is Ukrainian freedom fighters up against communist Russia rings hollow. I’m waiting to see what Russia’s response will be to the recent advances and both the pipeline & bridge bombings. Very frustrating to think that my tax dollars are at work here.
Hal Duell says
At first the news was devastating. I will admit to that. Then more sober analyses began surfacing. It now seems that the collective west went into a paroxysm of glee over a terrorist attack that briefly shut down the Kerch Bridge and damaged one of the two roadways. Vehicular traffic has resumed, if restricted and under much tighter security. The trains are said to be rolling again.
One of the big take-aways for me in this is the glee shown by the collective west for what was clearly a terrorist attack. And this on top of the pipelines?
As the Global War on Terror morphs into the Global War of Terror, how can this not harden Russia’s resolve, and confirm the collective non-western world in its decision to do what they can to join the emerging multi-polar world?
Either the power and might of the Russian Federation is a self-serving myth soon to be exposed, or we are witnessing a calmness and determination that will soon become apparent to even the blinkered MSM.
Josef Schweik says
The fact that Ukies were able to damage the bridge, even as a Happy birthday Vlad, is humiliating enough. Ru had just a very lucky day. It is serious blow to the Ru moral and international credit. And it came with retreats on the front where Ru is after about 6 months in defensive war against supposedly the army of untrained and demoralized old conscripts. The bridge was made a red line by Russians. What happened? Nothing, again. Just Baghdad Bobs are trolling us that was only a pice of some bridge, anything goes according to the plan, Putin is great chess player, the Stavka has a plan…
I’m not sure. Anyone can carry out terrorist acts. They are hard to stop, as the west itself has found.
The west is seeking to goad Russia into acting irrationally. They need to stick to their plan.
The rest of the world is also seeing the sheer hypocrisy and evil of western governments. Even if 95% of the west’s own populations still believe the propaganda that they are fed. But strategically, the rest of the world matters more.
Séamus Ó Néill says
You’re either a troll or very uneducated about Russian warfare. Read the statement of Dec’21st and then read Putin’s statement of Sep’ 30t. This is an all-encompassing war against the west on many fronts…..militarily, financially and politically. America, Britain and Europe are bankrupt and crumbling, they’re panicking because they’ve thrown everything into Ukraine and lost. Putin and the Russians have the collective west in a vice and are just tightening the screws, 80% of the world agree with what they’re doing.
Top Gum says
Yep, Josef is as shortsighted as the west itself. There will always be some minor setbacks, but the main goals are still there and are being fulfilled. So, the best way is to stick to the plan, learn from mistakes and align rationally with what is happening on the battlefield.
Ukraine has zero chance to turn something around, they can at best hit a lucky strike once in a while and stall a little bit. Zelensky desperately calling for preemptive nuclear strikes against Russia tells you the whole story anyway.
Ukraine was beaten long ago.
NATO is fighting Russia and they do have a chance to win.
Russia is not having minor set backs. It had major set backs. You don’t call up.3-400k reserves plus ask for 3-400k more volunteers for minor set backs.
Ofcourse Russia has made mistakes. That’s normal. They will hopefully correct those. But let’s see if they do.
Top Gum says
Those 300k men are to secure the new territories. Russia is still grinding Ukrainian troops like nothing has changed. That was their objective and they are still on course.
Ukraine has zero chance to win. They are on life-support from their backers. West won’t turn this around. They make a wrong move and that’s it for them. EU can’t survive without cheap Russian gas. They are doomed anyway. It’s all so obvious.
Cato the Uncensored says
Josef, there are other senders beside ARD who do not merely parrot the state narrative.
Josef Schweik says
No doubt, I am from protektorat 2.0 , hence I am always careful what Deutschlandfunk reports.
What happen, alot has been happening, you are ji=ust ignorant of it, Josef:
John Q. Publick says
I’m not certain that it was a truck bomb; the video looks like the explosion originated from over the side of the bridge, and consumed the poor truck driver and passenger car occupants. I wouldn’t be driving across the Vincent Thomas anytime soon, just saying. If the Russians don’t retaliate, I will assume that they are incapable for reasons that aren’t apparent to us laymen. Larry, ask your contacts about Operation S o la r space Ev ere st this past April/May. Possibly a reason…
Spirit of the Wind says
Interesting video of some boats/barges mooring under the bridge structure just before the explosion.
A heck of a coincidence.
I can’t say about seeing barges, but my frame-by-frame review of the widely available video shows the truck in question (at least the tractor part with headlights) running for a few frames ahead of the blast and then being consumed by the shockwave and heat of that blast and flashes as well. To me that indicates the truck is not likely the origin of the blast…
BTW, as a rule of thumb, one shouldn’t blow bridge from above.
This sounds interesting!
Russia has given Biden his wish by appointing “General Armageddon” … Lol .. they have a sense of humor in the Kremlin you know …
Well, first of all, the Russians already have a solution:
And second, on a less humorous note, Régis Chamagne wrote a very interesting piece a couple of weeks ago about Ukraine resorting to terrorism as a mean of action, considering it implicit admission of helplessness.
Régis Chamagne is a former high ranking officer and pilot of the French air force, whose active duties included service as a squadron commander and later in his career strategic analysis. He scarcely posts on his site but his analyses are always worth reading, not a problem anymore for those who do not speak French thanks to the many online translation software.
So the disgusting Sun in the UK has a video up of cars in a queue and a headline that Russians are “fleeing” Ukraine. Of course, this is garbage. The queue is the sort of queue you would get if a lane was closed on the Thames Gateway Bridge. It would not mean everyone would be fleeing Kent to get to Essex.
Western corporate media is just 100% lies. Period. So are western governments. They lie so much that they even believe their own lies and do not know anymore what objective truth is.
Top Gum says
They lie to keep this mess going. If the people knew that Ukraine and NATO get their asses handed to them, there would be trouble at home. People already take it to the streets as they see clearly that all the sanctions have backfired. MSM is only fulfilling their given tasks. Not that they don’t deserve to be shut down anyway.
There is no free press in the west, never was.
At this point I am only interest in hard core war porn in the form of Russian military strikes on Ukrainian assets.
Within the last 12 hours Russian artillery scored a direct hit on a US supplied M113 armored vehicle with a mounted Browning .50 caliber machine gun. The M113 was shredded. Occupants were shredded into shards of burnt flesh.
Russian military took I would say between 20 and 22 Ukrainian soldiers as POWs overwhelming them with superior tactics and firepower. The Russian military had them face down on the ground stripping them of gear.
The 300,000 Russian military reservists are receiving training by Russian soldiers fighting in eastern Ukraine on tactics and how to ill Ukrainian soldiers more efficiently with less risk. The training is hard core killing.
In the settlements of Pershotravneve and Yagodnoe in the Kharkov region, the Russian military killed an estimated 100 Ukrainian servicemen, took out two tanks, five infantry fighting vehicles and four misc. vehicles were destroyed.
Oblomovka daydream says
The attack took place at a location where the Kerch bridge consists of concrete slabs. Perhaps the attacker tried to blow up the train wagons filled with fuel. This huge fire would then have caused the prestressed steel inside the concrete construction to loose its strength. That would truly have undermined the bridge construction. It remains a riddle why the detonation was not carried out at the site of the long arched steel bridge, where ships are passing underneath. This arched bridge was made by a Dutch firm (- it caused a big scandal in the Dutch media, when this Dutch involvement in Crimean things was exposed -), because Russian engineering in those days still was not able to make this special prestressed steel construction. A big explosion might have caused the prestressed steel of this arched bridge to loose strength (making this arched construction irreparable) and it would cause much more trouble for Russia to replace this vital part of the Kerch bridge.
How silly for the NATO planners to forget to consult the Saudi’s al-Queda branch, the outfit that furnished the seventeen highjackers that hit the Twin Towers, they knew how to do it, no botched job there, a top class expertise (only joking).
Their failure to take the right advice or hire the right operatives seems systematic. One of the two NS2 pipelines was not destroyed either, it seems. They do need to do a “Lessons Learned” debrief before they try anything else.
Hypothetically speaking, if a NATO member, (e.g. UK) unilaterally committed an attack on Russia, (e.g. SAS sabotaging Kersch Bridge)
Would NATO come to the UK’s aid if Russia labelled the UK a co-belligerent and launched pinpoint strikes against UK Military infra structure?
Has the UK made so many enemies in Europe that the EU collectively and EU Sovereign States individually would reject the proposition that the UK could drag the whole of Europe into war with Russia, and would stand on the touch line eating popcorn?
As for NATO, it no longer has the weapons and munitions to fight a war against Russia, and knowing that, NATO’s members would not necessarily support a NATO intervention to come to the UK’s aid, given that the UK endangered itself by a unilateral act of belligerence.
All hypothetical of course.
I would guess that some Europ countries were willing to start negotiating with Russia, and someone is making it politically costly or impossible after the NS pipelines and the Kersch bridge events.
By the modus operandi I’d guess the UK is behind it. Like when Tatcher sunk the Belgrano (ex USS Phoenix) to dynamite a peace agreement worked by Peruvian president Belaunde Terry, or this March agreement in Ukraine cancelled by a Boris Johnson visit to Kiev.
You are very right about the Brits.
They are the most malignant influence on America, people always bang on about the Jews etc. But they have greater influence through the years.
It’s actually the Brits that have the US by the balls..they corrupted the CIA they supply what they need to to get what they want, they set up 5 eyes, they can bedazzle any US president with a nice state dinner with the queen where they turn into gushing fools.
The Brits tried to break up the US (stopped by Russia) they wanted south to separate. Once they lost that they decided to take control of intelligence in the US and woo their presidents or try to changes them.
They hated Kennedy’s approach of US relying on its own creativity to create wealth and generally not that intersted in others.
They had MI6 (steele) get involved to kick Trump out and made it clear they hated him.
The British always wanted to go to war with Russia.
They and the US funded Hitler to go from unknown to leader as they thought he would destroy Russia for them. Left alone the Germans were not paying Hitler much attention and he would have just been an also ran.
Britain cannot sustain itself. It needs the US as it’s attack dog. It has done well to mould the US in its image. In the process it has destabilized the US, which also suits the Brits. They hide behind the US as the belligerent and avoid the same level of taint.
British soldiers tend to laugh at US soldiers as boys with all the toys and no idea how to use them. There are standing jokes about how when America fires everyone has to duck for risk of friendly fire. The Brits therefore believe that military they have the better brains if not the toys.
Really they are exceptional villains of the highest order.
John V. Doe says
Hitler was mostly funded by German heavy industry’s owners for what I read. The US & UK & France “just” let him rearm Germany in hope that he attacks USSR. Too bad he was to attack everybody and everything because that’s what nazism imply.
This mad ideology is made from aggregation of racism and fascism, therefore it is twice based on the feel of superiority and power. With this fragile ego, it must always prove it is the One, the Alpha. A single and minor defeat might be sufficient to kill it: see the fall of Argentina junta post-Malvinas or the crazy moves of hitler after the firsts defeats in USSR.
John V. Doe says
Agreed on Britain but hitler was mostly funded by German heavy industry’s owners for what I read. The US & UK & France “just” let him rearm Germany in hope that he attacks USSR. Too bad he was to attack everybody and everything because that’s what nazism imply.
Made from aggregation of racism and fascism, nazism is twice based on the need to prove superiority. With such fragile imago, it must always prove it is the One, the Alpha. A single and minor defeat might be sufficient to kill it: see the crazy moves of hitler after the firsts defeats in USSR. Thus cheating, lying, killing everything on site are its normal “way of death”.
Allen Dulles, before being the first director of the CIA ran a private bank owned by a German industrialist. His primary roll was helping Americans and Brits invest in Nazi germany quietly. Almost all the early US intelligence leads were Wall Street boys, which has a very long and fruitful relationship with the City of London. That being the real power of Britain.
British have already lost manufacturing due to high costs and low volumes. Of late they have lost trade benefits too with Brexit.
Now with Russian sanctions and rallying with Trump on technology and trade barriers ( remember 5g histeria on Huawei) with China they are busy ensuring that Financial services earnings also starting to be set to disappear in future( accounting, arbitarage courts, banking, commodity exchanges, metal exchanges) . UK will be left with very little in a decade or so.
What many western people don’t realise is that the industrial advantage the western societys had is steadily declining it’s financial grip too is declining the global South is breaking free. Still old systems and thinking prevails as new generations come even these crumbling systems will be discarded without much thought by global South. Prime example is MBS is one of the rare elite in Saudi establishment who didn’t study in West. The older ones three to four generations back was king Abdul Aziz.
Same process is happening world over. This is a change happening slowly and there is little the West can do to correct it.
All it can do is use its current advantages to gear up for an environment where they are just one among many equals and in some cases for small countries with low population and little energy resources gear up to play second fiddle with most of global South leaders.
But unfortunately for them they seem to be wasteing their resources in last attempt at retaining hegemony with a make or break play. Unfortunately you cannot make it with historically realignment if the world.
U.N. OUT OF USA, USA OUT OF U.N. says
CS, you answered your own questions. There is no way that NATO will confront Russia head on. Proxies to “hide” behind, sure. But no way will NATO risk head to head, public, war with Russia. They wouldn’t last as long as their meager ammo supplies (weeks only?). Russia would then be free to send “Mr. Zinzahl” (hypersonic missile) to visit them. In quantity. Game over.
If Russia does not escalate significantly, NATO will fight them head on as it’s not scared of them anymore. It’s already openly on ground. Russia is just pretending it isn’t.
I talk to British officers and there is a genuine belief they can beat Russia in conventional warfare. That wasn’t there at the beginning of the SMO
Mike D. says
This makes me laugh. It is like a football game in which a player is running for a touchdown and does a ESPN video highlight worthy celebration. at the one yard line. Game ends and the player’s reputation is that of an idiot.
Jim Giles says
MI Spooks once admonished me about my dull email recipients saying they lacked and I forget the exact phrase he used but basically lacked a beautiful woman. So I have added Anna Chapman.
Now, to the heart of the matter which Larry Johnson captures like no one else:
“Let us give Ukraine credit for one thing–they are really pissing off the people of Russia and galvanizing support for Putin to take decisive action. The West insists it wants to get rid of Vladimir Putin but actions like this attack on the Kerch bridge is having the opposite effect on Putin’s popularity and his growing mandate to punish Ukraine as a terrorist state. I suspect that Ukraine will not be as chirpy once Russia chooses to respond in force.”
What are you going to do?
Radio Free Mississippi
P.S. Mr. Johnson, I once interviewed Paul Howe: https://rebelarmy.com/audio/RFM-2008-08-07-PaulHowe.mp3 Was he your gun trainer yesterday?
Alex Thrace says
Yes Aaron, one string of NS 2 is intact and holds pressure, no apparent damage. The Germany never permitted NS2 however but that is merely a political technicality. Gazprom can start pumping gas any time the Germans say “gehen”.
According the Nordstream AG, each string can supply 27.5 bcm of gas per year
What might motivate the Russians to open the valves is another matter entirely.
Henry Tenenbaum says
1. First Ukraine was being freed from the Nazis – so far no Nazis captured
2. Kiev was going down in three days – Kiev continues to thrive and is being visited by dignitaries
3. The almighty Russian Army will decimate and do as it will – So far very pussilanimous and unable to fullfil what it promised the pundits.
4. Iran giving Russia help- is that not sick
5. Russia having to call up reservists and moving defensive equipment from Syria to the Ukraine- sssshhhhh, keep that one quiet so we don’t upset those who believe Russia is doing great.
6. The world is condemning Russia for invading a country for really no reason, now they will become NATO.
7. People speak Russian in the Dunbars, attack and take! Well people speak Spanish in Texas, Mexico should attack and take? Hell, there are those that believe the US fraudulently took Texas away from Mexico or for that matter California! – Give it back? Well maybe California 😊
8. Ukraine is putting up an amazing fight, yes with American and some European help. That is viewed as bad. Keep in mind Ukraine purposefully did not arm, voluntarily gave up nuclear weapons and held their miliary to a minimum as promised to NATO and US. So now that they are being attacked and given help, they are bad, because they are taking back weapons and help they gave up.
9. The Russian propaganda is as stunning as the Western Propaganda. Russia does not have a good history of truth telling (i.e., Pravda). In fact Russia’s history of aggression is far more blatant and discoverable than that of the Ukraine. In fact, Russia has a long history of evil and death forces that invaded their own country and that of Eastern Europe. Shall Ukraine forget shall Poland forget, shall Hungary forget?
10. Russia supports the destruction of Israel- remember that. Soon, if they discover people speaking Russian in Tel-Aviv will they make it theirs?
In conclusion, it was a great symbolic victory that the bridge was attacked. Shall I remind those who are quick to denounce the bridge attack as a failure, that Doolittle’s Raiders did pretty much the same thing, but the moral and hope and the message it sent was magnificent. Russia is vulnerable, we see it with our own eyes, no matter what others try to write, Russia has been hurt. Will Ukraine win this, WTF knows, but they symbolize what so many of us lack, bravery, dedication and to eradicate what the evil done to them. Imagine if the German people took up arms against the Nazis, like the Ukrainians have done, well 40 to 50 Million people would to have perished or far fewer would have.
Jim Giles says
Before He Was President of Ukraine…
Zelensky was a popular comedian who knew his way around high heels and leather pants. Video is from 2014. Zelensky became president in 2019.
Song is called “Cossacks” and is about gay Cossacks.
Hanging is too good for him.
Radio Free Mississippi
At least swine have some usefulness at the table.
Nazis captured but blown to hell in a Donbas prison before they could spill all the beans.
Biswapriya Purkayastha says
The fact is that Russia has not responded in curve despite all previous red line warnings, that the nazi coup regime believes, almost certainly correctly, that there is no credibility to Russian Red line warnings, and that the fact that the bridge was successfully attacked at all points to staggeringly inept security for what is an incredibly high value target. Of course the nazis are celebrating. It’s a Doolittle Raid moment for them, which, like the Doolittle Raid, caused little actual damage but was symbolically vital.
Putin’s absolute refusal to strike at the Ukranazi transport system is the reason the nazis felt bold enough to even try this.
Biswapriya Purkayastha says
These acts are not meant to be successfully but are meant as political acts to enhance some sort of messaging or agenda. In this case maybe to pressure US to provide long range missiles instead of using a truck bomb? After a lot of the bridge traffic was restored on rail end, Western media went to theme that this was a reputational blow to Putin. I have to wonder if the bombing was extortion aimed at NATO powers in that if the flow of arms stopped, Ukrainians and even the US can start sabotaging infrastructure of allies as in the recent cutting of German communication wires.
The attacks on nordstream and Crimea bridge are highly significant. That they were made at all is significant.
It shows Russia that the West can easily disable its ability to move gas and attack it’s heart.
West could also disable other pipelines. At will without fear of retaliation.
These attacks are tasters of what is coming from NATO.
Hitting inside Russia itself
Zero Russian response of any note.
The message that comes across loud and clear is Russia fears the West and is fighting half hearted, and the West no longer fears Russia and is fighting all in to the end.
Henry Rech says
I think Putin is afraid of an all in war with the West. He didn’t count on it in the beginning. That’s why he has held back from a wholesale destruction of Ukraine. He knows there’s a red line and it’s probably been communicated to him directly by NATO.
Larry and co tell us NATO is weapons depleted. I imagine the US carrier group in the eastern Mediterranean is there to tune up its rubber slingshots.
So far, the West, which is really the Americans, have been fighting only through the supply of military hardware and some personnel not openly but clandestinely, Ash, why?
When Assad in Syria was seriously pressured by ISIS, it looked bleak, his regime was about to collapse in 2015 he asked Putin to come help, Putin did. Why haven’t the Americans told Z to ask them to come help also? What’s keeping the Americans from going into Ukrainian as Americans (or NATO which is the same)? Why the reluctance to hit and defeat Russia that seems incapable to subdue the ‘poor Ukrainian neighbour’?
Don’t you think a victory against Putin’s Russia wouldn’t play well for the November election and beyond?
So why is the Pentagon so adamantly reluctant to join the fray directly?
Larry Johnson says
America, despite the tough talk and bluster, has no capability to provide a competent ground force. Plus, doing so would be considered an act of war by Russia. The United States does not have the industrial base to fight a war with Russia.
HMS Terror says
It doesn’t fear the West, Russia fears war itself.
Unlike US/EU/NATO/UA, Russia remembers and understands war. It also understands that the West doesn’t. Russia’s fear is the fear one feels being trapped in the same room with a monkey holding a hand-grenade.
Disarming a monkey ain’t as easy as it looks. Zen-like patience, and no moves until The Moment presents itself are the order of the day. US/EU/NATO/UA doesn’t understand that either.
As for your point that the monkey (aka: the West) has lost its fear of Russia, I’d agree. Those who continue to fear Russia’s war-making powers have been sidelined, but those who had some reticence have lost it. They mistake Russia’s fear of war for fear of themselves.
An extremely dangerous situation.
just saying says
This victory is even bigger than the one on Snake Island.
just saying says
I stand corrected. This Snake Island victory lasted longer than this one.
Benedict Arnold was much more of a man and a patriot than Alexander S. Vindman.
Blue Thunder says
“they symbolize what so many of us lack, bravery, dedication and to eradicate what the evil done to them.”
We must live in alternate universes!
Would you care to do an image search for “azov nazi nato”? And let us not even talk about the torturing of local civilians for being Russian speakers or sympathizers by these “brave” xenophobic militias.
Did someone just fart?
Just a guess but incoming!
Bittu (Indian) says
Most unrated but the best comment in this thread. Prophetic. Larry’s blog has some of the best posters.
One for the voice of peace-
Interview with Jeffrey Sachs.
Come on, get on the phones with the politicians!
Andrew M says
Is it just me or there is something bin Laden-ish about Kiev’s strategy these days? (Dugina, Crimean bridge, what’s next?)
Funny that only a few short years ago, things like this were bona fide terrorist activity. Remember Madrid and London bombing incidents?
I see it as desperate move by Kiev. Lack of real victories on the battlefield caused them to resort to sabotage and terrorist attacks. No, Russian retreats from various places do not mean Ukrainian victory. Kiev needs to look at what Russia accomplished in Mariupol if they want to know what victory on the battleground lookas like. Has there been even one like that which Kiev can claim? Not that I know of.
just saying says
It’s not just you. It is intentional.
Jim S says
If the train had been pulling tanker cars full of jet fuel, the steel girders of the railway bridge would’ve melted and the whole bridge would’ve come down in free fall. The saboteurs screwed up by targeting the wrong train, see.
The Duran has a good one up today. What would happen if the Russian Federation and Saudi Kindom were to collude on certain vital matters that concern the US and Europe very much; namely oil, and its supply and price?
There is actually a lot of laughs throughout, because what else is there to do but find humor in our deteriorating situation? The Duran lads rightly point out I think, that all the most important European nations are presently being run by people who are nothing more than poodles, taking orders from a US President who shakes hands with ghosts.
Even if I’m completely wrong and there will be no Russian offensive, decisive or otherwise, and a 40 year military stalemate is in the cards for central Europe instead, is it just me or can the Russian Federation simply win a greater war by other means any time they want?
Of course, the spector of the greatest war looms over all these other lesser ones, both actual and geopolitical, and that’s the US edge. The United States may never have been able to realize the Holy Grail of its nuclear war planners by gaining first strike primacy vis a vis the USSR/Russia, but that doesn’t mean my country isn’t filled with powerful people who don’t think they can win the war that will end all wars.
And thereby achieve their dreams of world domination! Or whatever is they’re after.
Perhaps that is the reason why Vlad seems to tip toe around everywhere he goes these days? He understands our psychopathologies better than we know them ourselves?
A poster on a subreddit I formerly spent a lot of time on, once asked what I believe may be the most pertinant question in human history; “Does anyone in here truly believe the US will go down without firing off its nukes first?”
I replied below, “I take it that is a rhetorical?”
We were both promptly downvoted most severely.
Satans little helper, John Bolton, on tv plugging the idea that Russia will use nukes and that will be the American justification to “take him out”
is this part of the scheme, laying down the narrative prior to the event?
we’ve seen this as claims Bin Laden was responsible for 9/11 and in Afghanistan,
we’ve seen this over Saddam supposedly having WMD in Iraq,
we’ve seen this over Assad supposedly gassing his own people in Syria,
we’ve seen this as claims that Gaddafi was giving his soldiers viagra to rape people in Libya,
my spider senses are tingling.
they need their Pearl Harbour, Gulf of Tonkin moment to justify escalation.
Remember the Maine?
Russia knows the bridge is a target.
Ukraine has not hidden their intention to strike it (or glee at having done so) and, in any case, it is a military target — a supply route. Russia targets bridges in Ukraine, too, for the same reason. Moreover, if Russia did not think the bridge was at risk, and all their logistical plans revolve around it remaining undamaged, then they will lose this war and deservedly so…
The bombing simply creates yet another propaganda splash in the west. But much like its currency, western propaganda just ain’t what it used to be. That’s a truth which will never see light in western media, at least until the dollar crashes and burns, but the rest of the world has already caught on. Putin understands and is nurturing this strategic reality…
The bridge is just a sideshow.
Just a quick thanks for your analysis and opinion, not to mention a place to both listen to others and participate in reasoned, uncensored conversations with those more informed than myself. Your website is a primary example of why the U.S. government will move heaven and earth to censor the internet — propaganda cannot hold sway where accurate facts are well-known and openly discussed. Lies fall before truth. And your website is an important contributor to the discovery of that truth.
Good article on the Saker about the Iranian approach to US “when they hit, we hit back”
Iran survived a 8 year proxy war where Iraq was given chemical and biological weapons as well as conventional by the US to kill them. And it’s hit a US base and was prepared to hit another 400 US bases had they retaliated.
– scroll down to the interview section
The Saker has emerged thankfully from the destruction of his house on Florida. His take on the Crimea attack is I think a balanced one in that this is not good news for Russia. It will bleed them.
“In other words, this is yet another case of “it is humiliating, but not dangerous”
But that is an increasingly mistaken notion: this time is also VERY dangerous.
It is self-evident that the Kiev regime would never have had the means, technical and political, to execute such an attack without being told to do so by its masters in the West.
Such an attack, right on the heels of the attacks on of NS1/NS2 shows beyond any doubt that West has now set a course on total terrorist warfare.
This makes sense, since for all the so-called “victories” of the NATO forces in the Ukraine, the reality is that they reconquered a few villages and towns while Russia liberated and then incorporated entire regions.
And Russia did that while always being at a numerical disadvantage
And while inflicting 10:1 KIA ratios.
In other words the West’s “redirection” towards terrorism is an admission of military, economic and political defeat.
While this is hardly a surprise, the West *always* uses terrorism against sovereign governments, this is still a very negative development for Russia.
Simply put, there are always more targets than cops/guards.
Furthermore, terrorists can always chose the time and location of their attacks.
The Kerch bridge attack reportedly killed three people and has been called a terrorist attack by Putin. Reports today say that 14 civilians living in an apartment building in Zaporizhzhia were killed, with many more injured, in a rocket attack. It seems like every day there are similar reports of some rocket smashing into an apartment building in some city or town in Ukraine and killing and injuring a bunch of people. Assuming the rockets were fired by the Russian army, how does targeting and killing or injuring civilians living in apartment buildings help Russia defeat Ukraine? Is the reasoning behind such attacks that targeting and killing civilians will demoralize the Ukrainians? Whatever the reasoning, isn’t targeting civilians a violation of the Geneva Convention?
Larry Johnson says
Most likely they were military and/or intelligence personnel. Russia has been very judicious in the targets it is hitting.
Dan Farrand says
When Russia started the war in February, they assembled BTG’s by taking experienced contract people and weapons from many Brigades all over Russia. Now they are assembling a proper army, the BTG idea is not appropriate. Thus Brigades, Divisions, Corp are being reconstituted. That means existing BTG’s are pulled off the line, dismantled and reincorporated into conventional Brigade structures. This takes time. It’s not just a matter of retraining the new people. It probably also explains why the front is even more under-manned than before.
Once the process is complete, Russia will 12 Divisions and some number of independent Brigades organized into 2-4 Corp and ready for large scale conventional operations.
Hopefully these new formations will also incorporate lessons learned, especially about the need for very rapid translation from target-spotted to fires on the way.
Or we will find that all the rumors/fears about the basic inability of the Russian Army are true.
A reorganization does seem to makes sense, and does a fairly lengthy operational pause. Thanks for the info.
A commentator at MoA mentioned that a large percentage of the Donbass militia units (regulars!) have been pulled off the line for rest and refit, and maybe a few medal ceremonies as well.
Lord know they deserve it. They’ve done their utmost for the Motherland, or been cynically used by same, depending on viewpoint.
Or maybe its been a little bit of both. For a relatively small and contained war as far as geography goes, its been a helluva complex one, and one with the kind of earth shattering possibilities World War II couldn’t hold a candle to.
NATO has blown bridges with Belarus and it looks like troops are going to enter Belarus.
Likely half the Polish army.
Russia needs to escalate very fast.
stop spreading FUD and lies
i know from the beginning you are a troll assigned here and your recent posts showed you are now openly posting Lies , fakenews and spreading FUD
Here you go dear
just saying says
They are blowing up bridges to prevent invasion from Belarus, not to invade it. Poles invading Belarus would get nuked in an instant.
You are repeatedly posting utter nonsese here. What are you thrying to achive anyway?
Russia air power is not that effective, doesn’t do much damage, they need to use drones or get weapons with wider damage zones.
If they invade Belarus they can cut in behind Russian lines and attack from.there. the troops on border have reportedly been firing at Belarus border guards.
This is going to get very ugly.
you are working overtime spreading FUD and nonsense
it is obvious you are now openly trolling
Hello dear. Nice to have you back with your useful contributions.
Blue Thunder says
Ash’s comments are valid. I also have concerns. (Sorry, I guess I’m not the relaxed type… there’s a lot at stake and things can get very ugly indeed!).
just saying says
Ukraine/NATO invading Belarus is one of the dumbest thing I’ve read in a while. If you think that is a valid concern, then I have a bridge to sell you.
just saying says
Effectiveness of your trolling here leaves a lot to be desired too.
Latest ukrainian nazi massacre with a video proof this time.
Any news person who understands what is going on in this war and spikes this knowledge is incredibly evil. The human mind, as in the case of Soros, rationalizes and justifies evil. Seeing this searing of the conscience should frighten the hell out of a person. However, the group think of the media is very strong. Broad is the way that leads to destruction. Ignoring the divine mandate is very perilous.
Check this morning’s headlines. Missile barrage all over the Ukraine including Kiev. I suspect many towns, cities and the Capital have no electricity anymore.
I have an off subject question for you since you’re a Firearms Instructor. Which OWB Holster would you recommend for a full size 1911?