After months of promising to strike a blow ostensibly to push Russia back to its original border Ukraine is on the March and, as expected, is suffering massive losses in men and materiel. And the losses are going to get worse. Russia already is claiming it killed almost 4,000 Ukrainian soldiers in a 48 hour period. The reasons for Ukraine’s impending failure are pretty simple. First, Ukraine does not have the trained manpower to muster 300,000 combat ready troops required to seriously threaten the Russians. Second, the troops that comprise the assault brigades have received different training from different countries (e.g., the U.S., the U.K., France and Poland) and have not been trained to operate as an army on the move. Third, Ukraine lacks the tanks, mobile artillery and close air support from fixed and rotary winged aircraft required to sustain an offensive beyond a week. Fourth, Ukraine lacks a viable air defense system and cannot stop Russian aircraft from pounding relentlessly Ukrainian supply lines and storage depots.
The destruction of a major section of the Kakhova dam and ensuing flooding of souther Ukraine is keeping the pundits quite busy with endless speculation about who done it and what does it mean. I suggest you read Simplicius’ account, which is comprehensive and provides a great summary of the various theories about who benefits and who suffers from this disaster.
Personally, I think it was a Ukrainian operation. The following tweet makes the case succinctly.
We have proof of sorts that this is the long promised Ukrainian offensive courtesy of Russian General Shoigu. He made an unusual public appearance and described in detail what Russia is doing:
Ukraine’s inability to defeat Russia on the battlefield and the accompanying destruction of almost a billion dollars in recently donated Western military equipment is likely to provoke a political upheaval in Kiev. I think Zelensky’s days are numbered. He is on a path eerily similar to Adolf Hitler’s demise in the bunker below the Reichstag as Soviet troops closed in.
When the post-mortem is finally done on Ukraine I think we will learn that Russian intelligence out-classed anything that Ukraine was provided by its Western allies. It appears that no one in the West has any good sources inside the Russian military command. Russia, however, has significant sources inside the Ukrainian General Staff, military intelligence and NATO and knows Ukraine’s plans and order of battle. Like a good poker player, Russia is not tipping its hand and is bidding its time in deciding when and how to strike. Right now the Ukrainian troops trying to advance on Russian defensive lines are being torn to pieces. Stay tuned.
That the Imperialist States of America is now trying to blame NordStream on Zaluzhny is as close as it comes to an admission that he’s dead, as good as dead, or under arrest. In any case he’s in no condition to defend himself.
Remember that Zaluzhny was against this suicidal offensive.
Excellent observation…!!!
Heads Up:
This video is not from this year’s attack on the Kakhovka Dam as Judge Napolitano is led to believe.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1666087387716534277
The video is from Last year’s Ukrainian attack on the Kakhovka dam.
Notice (at first in the video) the Power line masts behind the Power station (House) on the Dam.
When the missile strikes the dam you see the first explosion right on the Dam (not the House).
After the explosion you see smoke and small debris returning to the center of explosion.
Then you see flashes of Arch-Lights, when the power lines falls off the powerline Masts to the ground, and short circuits with each other.
I dont believe the explosion was caused from within the power station as Col. McGregor suggests to Judge Napolitano.
Don’t know what the damn is made of but if it is reinforced concrete then conventional weapons may not do the trick; toured both Glenn Canyon (lake powell) and hoover (lake meade) damns in the US and was told that both were impervious to nuclear strikes; that only very powerful explosive devices inside the dams could damage the basic damn structure that is designed to withstand massive external pressures. I also have seen old German ammo magazines/bunkers at Miesau Army Depot in Germany that the US Navy destroyed using underwater demolition charges (shaped) after filling the bunkers with water and sealing them because they were invulnerable to outside explosive devices; the enhanced charges only cracked the walls. Consequently, Col MacGregor’s explanation that some something went wrong inside the damn may not be correct, but it is highly plausible.
On October 21 2022, Russia send a letter to the UN security council, expressing concern that Ukraine had struck the Kakhovka Dam with Rockets and artillery, and were planning to float sea mines down the Dnepr River to destroy the dam.
In december 2022, an Ukrainian commander claimed in an interview with the Washington Post, that Ukraine had launched a HIMARS rocket against the Kakhovka dam in order to destroy some of the water ports located at the top of the Dam.
I guess that is what we see in the video above.
Quite so
I guess that the US or MI6 are behind the removal of Zaluzhny
Those foreign puppeteers couldn’t care less about the fate of the Ukrainians
Biswapriya Purkayastha- How do you do it? First poster most of the time. Don’t you think you are sort of hogging it? (smiles).
The links to articles on this site are posted on Larry Johnson’s Telegram channel before they show up on his site homepage. I just comment via Telegram.
Good point, BP. I too found Zaluzhny’s proof-of-life video utterly unconvincing. But the full significance of CIA et al blaming him for Nordstream, in their latest tranche of disinformation, hadn’t occurred to me. May he rest in pieces, along with Budanov.
Zaluzhny sold down the river. Who’s next?….Zelensky maybe?
Anyone ever considered the theory that a survivalist faction in the US military urged the dam’s destruction so that this ill-conceived operation is sure to fail and they gain an upper hand over the neoconniving warmongers and finally force a peace deal before the entire friggin’ world blows up?
Self-survival…a very powerful instinct in most rational folks.
Stay tuned indeed! 97 hours to Able Archer II.
I agree, this “biggest exercise in NATO history” is the elephant in the room.
In my opinion. the destruction of this dam lines up with “Gleiwitz”, Tonkin” and “9/11” as a pretext for full scale engagement.
Any useful thoughts?
My thoughts: “Bullshit”. What are a couple of hundred NATO planes going to do with regards to the Ukraine war? How would they justify engaging the Russians? Russia has a vast AD network in place along the entire line of contact. It would be a turkey shoot for the Russians.
Well, they’d try to take out the AD. Say for argument’s sake that the AD took out half and the other half took out the AD. Then, what would be Russia’s next absolutely required move? To take out bases in Europe, either by conventional or nuclear means.
There’s your WWIII, no way around it. So, if you see 200 F-16’s in the air over Ukraine, kiss your loved ones goodbye and resign yourselves with a long, helpless sigh.
That’s where we’re at. They can huff and can puff but there’s no escaping that.
If only one NATO plane “by accident” violates the russian border, what could be the russian conclusion?
a) It’s a mistake, they’re just playing an excercise.
b) It’s no mistake, they’re going to real war.
How many time will be left for the Russians to decide between this two scenarios? Minutes? Seconds?
To assume a) is correct, you need a lot of trust to NATO and also in rational behavior.
Is there any trust left between Russia and NATO? I’m in doubt.
What would YOU do in this case, if you are a Russian and in command?
“Duck and cover” or “Push the button”?
Interesting decision, isn’t it? One mistake and you’re out. No replay.
This excercise is ludicrous, it’s like playing marbles with hand grenades.
What could possibly go wrong?
Greek mythology said: “If POSAIDON it’s trident is itching, the sea will visit the land.”
Ukraine acts as if it does not have viable choices. In the first year Ukraine sacrificed thousands of its trained and seasoned warriors. Now they are looking at sacrificing pilots, Ukrainian or mercenaries, instead of suing for some sort of settlement and living with its mistakes. US pressure and bad leadership render Ukraine as fresh meat for the grinder. They are choosing death for their soldiers and ignoring moral imperatives. What a shame and pity. Their future is going down the drain. Their population is being sifted.
Do have any trust that the ‘masterminds’ at OTAN, WEC, WEF, der swabenklaus, the brandon bidette regime handlers are sane enough not to continue to triple-double down? If not this time, then how long until …?
Unfortunately, the link to the 2007 documentary Andy provided is age restricted. However these links are up, and available.
Full 2hr Discovery docunmentary:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2EI3_jCIkkA
1hr version:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMGAFWX2D6o
I’ve posted this before, but if you haven’t seen it, it’s worth a look.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=tPit2BGNKwo&pp=ygUQMTk4MyBhcHBvY29seXBzZQ%3D%3D
Tucker Carlson is back. UKR/Dam
[opinion: If tucker reported like this in UKR..he would be in jail with Gonzala Lira]
https://twitter.com/TuckerCarlson/status/1666203439146172419?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1666203439146172419%7Ctwgr%5Eb23523f778d3a1fb5cf284b9d6d30c70a4ac9e9d%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fpolitical%2Ftuckers-back-triumphant-return-demolishes-ukraine-dam-propaganda-massacres-msm-ignoring
Fox broadcasting response:
https://twitter.com/KimDotcom/status/1666231851294547968?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1666231851294547968%7Ctwgr%5Eb23523f778d3a1fb5cf284b9d6d30c70a4ac9e9d%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fpolitical%2Ftuckers-back-triumphant-return-demolishes-ukraine-dam-propaganda-massacres-msm-ignoring
Thanks for the links
“[opinion: If tucker reported like this in UKR..he would be in jail with Gonzala Lira]”
Actually, I was thinking the same thing. Tucker Carlson will end up on the same list as Julian Assange, Edward Snowden, Jeffrey Epstein, the 71 Clinton associates who died mysteriously. Even JFK.
Gonzalo Lira, an American Citizen, will probably be left to rot in some Ukrainian jail. Someday we will find out he died there.
Of course, just by saying this, I’ve guaranteed Gonzalo Lira’s immediate release. Can’t be calling our Democracy for what it really is. A fiction, founded upon a callous disregard for human life. And other fictions, like Liberty and Freedom, Freedom of Speech, Freedom of expression. You know, the usual unicorns.
I’ve heard it said that during Roman times all you had to say was “Civus Romanus,” “I am a Roman Citizen!” So sure, and swift, and certain was the revenge of the Roman government upon anyone who dared lay a hand on a Roman Citizen.
Oh, to live in a real country. One that values its people, honor, and character.
USicans need to understand that when the Founding Fathers wrote “We The People”, they meant “we the wealthy land-owning, politically connected, English-speaking old white men”. Women, non-whites, slaves, etc. need not apply for suffrage, history and The Bible said they didn’t matter, so needed no voice in government. Only recently did the USSC decide all the humans born to, or living in the US were “we the people”.
There is the root of all this. To paraphrase a Monty Python skit, “nice Republic ya got there, shame if sumpthin’ should happen to it”.
And now that Putin, Xi and the BRICS, recently joined by former “staunch allies” as Saudi Arabia and Syria, are fish-slapping Biden and the gone-rogue NeoCon/CIA at every turn.
WAIT, WHAT, SYRIA WAS AN ALLY OF THE US??? Yes, the current Assad’s father was indeed a US puppet, hosting the black-ops rendition site where innocent people like Canadian Mahar Arrar, grabbed at a layover at JFK Airport in New York, was tortured for years on US flawed “intel”. After he was released and went to court to get justice, the US refused to allow the suit due to… you guessed it, “National Security”. The US has all sorts of little Guantanamos scattered around the planet. Abu Graib anyone?
And how about presidential candidate, JaG enforcer De Santis who stood by and cheered while innocent Guantanamo inmates were force-fed. He should AT LEAST publicly acknowledge his mistake and tell voters that nothing like that will happen under his presidency… but no.
Ya, sure, “a few bad apples”.
The US has been at war or involved in proxy wars/insurgencies for all but about 20 years of its existence. THAT is the US legacy or “spreading democracy”… y’know, that “We the rich white people” variety of democracy.
And BTW, I don’t think Ukraine, or at least Zelensky’s crew, blew up the dam. See Nordstream for your answer. Britain, just like BoJo ordered the end of the Minsk and Istanbul talks. And if Britain is in the middle of it, the Rothschilds are in it up to their yarmulkes. Just like the Lord Rothschild and US Zionists of the day dictated the Balfour Declaration to lay the groundwork for the theft of Palestine from the the indigenous locals. This is an inter-generational fight. “If my sons wanted no wars, there would be none”.
Even aiming at Schwab and his WEF isn’t an effective target, as if the WEF disappeared tomorrow, the Rothschild Empire being built since the late 1700s still spans the world,.
Much of this is done by the Rothschild controlled central banks. Ask Macron who he worked for before his current job. The City of London still stands, and has power… see Bojo’s antics above.
Seems someone gets the point. The elephant in the room subject overlooked by almost everyone including this blogger Johnson.
Privately it may be being discussed behind closed doors. We, the west, the collective western Christian civilization, Has A JEW PROBLEM!
Goddammit someone admit it!
They will tell you, no, no, no, no, and call you an anti-Semitic until they are red in the face while ruining your life, Jews and gentiles alike.
But not one goddamned thing is going to change until that subject is openly broached and discussed, and without repercussions.
There is not one place in the world where there is conflict, graft, misdeeds, human suffering, assainations, and including pornography, organ harvesting, bio-labs, pharmaceutical crimes, blatant misinformation and lying coverups….. That cannot be traced or connected to Jewish criminality. After this is posted I am sure other things will come to mind.
If indeed the blogger will even post this.
You can go to the bank with what I am saying here and it is nothing more than mental masterbation to think anything will change until a stop is put to this shit.
Wake up America, and the world. After COVID I have learned just how stupid you are… dito EU, UK, five eyes.
You have an enemy and don’t even know who or what it is! And you propose to win the revolution?!
Good fucking luck.
Seleukas says reply:
S – It is a rhetoric mistake to broad brush any large demographic. All large populations have a mafia. There is a Jewish Mafia problem..not a Jewish problem in general.
https://ncrenegade.com/russia-last-hope-of-the-west/
10. Russia is attempting to break the back of the Khazarian (Jewish) mafia’s hold on world economies by destroying their central banking system and returning to a commodity (gold, etc.) based currency rather than continue with debt based currencies.
The Federal Reserve Cartel
https://hannenabintuherland.com/usa/the-federal-reserve-cartel-the-eight-families-who-own-usa-dean-henderson-herlandreport/
They are the Goldman Sachs, Rockefellers, Lehmans and Kuhn Loebs of New York; the Rothschilds of Paris and London;
the Warburgs of Hamburg; the Lazards of Paris; and the Israel Moses Seifs of Rome.
Many of the bank’s stockholders reside in Europe.
The US government had a historical distrust of BIS, lobbying unsuccessfully for its demise at the 1944 post-WWII Bretton Woods Conference.
Instead the Eight Families’ power was exacerbated, with the Bretton Woods creation of the IMF and the World Bank.
As LBJ said… “I am first a free man”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2-FibDxpkb0
or as JFK said… “a ruthless conspiracy”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V9uDlOA_bNA
Blackrock, Vanguard, State Street
Who want to buy up the UKR real estate? Good old White Stone.
https://www.bank-codes.com/?q=ukraine
I know the Three Eyes or Three Architects (David Rockfeller, Henry Kissinger, Zbignev Brzezinski) Ur-Lodge. Never heard anything of five eyes !
Seleukas – You are correct, the “elephant in the room” wears a Tiny Hat.
What Mark J said, “It is a rhetoric mistake to broad brush any large demographic. All large populations have a mafia. There is a Jewish Mafia problem..not a Jewish problem in general.” is a lame trope used by (((them))) to silence anyone who Points Out the Tribe’s complicity in all that Afflicts the World today.
Like the Germans tried before, unless and Until the Parasites are Removed from America and Europe (Russia included) the Wars they foment for Profit will continue. History Shows that this is TRUTH, no matter how hard (((they))) try to cover it up with their Lies.
And as for the always-at-the-ready “antisemitism” label, Semitism is a term defining speakers of Semitic LANGUAGES.
Let me repeat that: Semitic LANGUAGES.
Hebrew is a Semitic language, but so is Arabic. That’s right, being anti-arabic-speakers is ANTISEMITIC. So the Jewish State of Israel is ANTISEMITIC by the proper definition.
Most sources state there are about 9 million Hebrew speakers worldwide, about 6 million as mother tongue. There are 220,000 in the US, yet US/Israeli passport holders seem to be in far greater proportion in the US gov’t than the general US population.
The same sources show over 400 million Arabic speakers worldwide. Egypt alone has over 90 million.
Beginning in the late 1800’s the Zionists deliberately hijacked the antisemitism label to mean ONLY Jews could be so discriminated against.
Funny how these changes in definition “just happen”. Sure, right.
I have no quarrel with Jews in general, anymore than any religion. BUT by any measure the Zionists wag too many gov’t, banking and corporate dogs in the US and Europe. Hiding in plain sight.
The most merciful act Russia could offer the world would be to bomb the City of London.
Nah. Just sever the communication cables and disable satellites. It would be enough to lead to mass suicides amongst Moloch worshippers in the City.
As the chicken shit always falls from the top down, “the most merciful act” would be if Russia were to drop five (5) 25-megaton nukes on Washington, DC. One on the CIA, one on the FBI, one on the US Capitol Building (used to be known as the People’s House), and one on the White House. And one for good luck.
Don’t forget the Utah Data Center. It’s probably already been eclipsed in menacing power by Chat GPT, but it’s still on my wish list.
I remember being a young teenager at a disco when a fight started. Mayhem was ensuing when we suddenly heard some guy shout, “I’m an American, you can’t hit me”. That drew everyones attention, the guy got thrown off the balcony head first. Moral of the story, don’t ever claim to be untouchable, stuff happens you may not have expected.
Perfect example of “doubling down.”
Too bad he mars a great segment with disinfo he bought gullibly which he doesn’t seem to recognize is created specifically to distract us from the real important issues he discusses so intelligently.
Tucker shoots himself in the foot when he goes off the deep end with “whistleblower” stories about aliens and opines that copying alien technologies has helped us develop advanced weaponry.
I would ask him if perhaps those extra-terrestrials favor Russia and drop their spaceships more frequently on Russian territory. That would explain why Russia has hypersonic missiles and we don’t.
The F-35 was definitely an alien design. It crashed to Earth a few years ago …and as been crashing ever since. That is why the aliens never bothered to recover it. The hope is that the Lockheed engineers can figure it out how to make it work, where the alien engineers failed, then reverse engineer the Lockheed solution.
Hahahahahahahahaha!!!!!!!!!!!!!! ROTFL
this is ABSOLUTELY the funniest comment I’ve seen, EVER!!!!!!!
ANYWHERE.
thanks for cheering up my entire day, Rokossovsky 🙂
“Tucker shoots himself in the foot when he goes off the deep end with “whistleblower” stories about aliens and opines that copying alien technologies has helped us develop advanced weaponry.”
There IS something going on with that… shall I call it a “meme”? There have been too many alien abduction/visitation stories, too many whistleblower stories over the past few months. We’ve been discussing it a bit in an IPAK-EDU class I’m taking on Lies and Deception. I’m surprised Tucker took it up, but then again, his piece was about the failure of the media to inform, so perhaps.
Still, the idea that Raytheon could reverse engineer some materials from another universe or dimension, well, maybe if they got another $10B they could try? Better put that in the budget before the Russians do it.
OTOH, the pyramids got built. There is that.
And if you listen closely to Tucker’s first show on Twitter he said that Ukrainians did the Nordstream destruction!
He bought into the latest CIA dump saying five Ukrainians and a doctor on a yacht named Andromeda did the deed.
I called him out on a Tweet and told him to get Seymour Hersch for an interview.
I guess claiming Joe Biden and his warmongering State Department handlers were the culprits is a bridge too far?!
Bringing back the 1960’s “extraterrestrials” is to fill in the “nuisance, noise space” where the Flat Earthers left off. I watched many videos where real engineers and scientists took their valuable time and demonstrated just how stupid the flat earth and associated geocentric BS was. Real science won that little CIA psy-op. But ETs cannot be proven or disproven at this point, unless the US gov’t is going to show us what the whistleblower CLAIMS they have. And they won’t, because they haven’t got any of it. NONE.
Should we also think that Russia and China, as the other major powers, have also been contacted or retrieved ET technology? Next the US will be claiming that’s how the Russians managed to build hypersonics. But that then begs the question why the ETs gave it to the Russians, not the US, the sole beacon of freedom and democracy on the planet. How does the US MIC produce turkeys like the F35 and Patriot systems if the gov’t has access to all that ET tech?
Funny how the lies get away from them with just a little critical thought.
But if you can get people to “want to believe” in something with no factual foundation, ETs and flat earth/geocentric is a good primer for believing other things the gov’t says that aren’t true. Like Covid came from a wet market. Or was cooked up in a lab next door to the wet market. Just because Fauci connived to send a few US$$$ to the Wuhan lab does NOT mean that is where it was created, let alone “leaked” from.
4000 lost=casualties, not KiA
*3,715 troops* to be exact
// All in all during 3 days of fighting in all directions, the losses of the AFU amounted to *3,715 troops*, 52 tanks, 207 armoured fighting vehicles, 134 motor vehicles, 5 aircraft, 2 helicopters, 48 pieces of field artillery, and 53 unmanned aerial vehicles. //
( https://t.me/fred33flint/798 )
I’ve seen this argument made, but it doesn’t convince me. The Russian word used when listing both human casualties and equipment in the MoD report is “уничтожено” or literally, annihilated. It’s the same term used when the police shoot a suspect.
The problem is that you cannot count enemy dead, unless you have the bodies.
Neutralized personnel that are carried off may be dead or wounded, some of who will die in hospital, others may even return to the front after a shorter or longer convalescence. WiA cannot simply be added, since people might have more than a single session with the medics. Judging by the continuing confusion over real numbers from past historical conflicts, even history does not give us firm examples. We know that the wounded have much better treatment (anti-biotics, drug, trauma medicine, tourniquets, training, emphasis, body armour & protection[!]), but we can’t even conclude if this affects the numbers positively (the number and quality of the weaponry is incomparably better too). Even rules of thumb like 3:1 for offense (which some extrapolate to losses) or 4:1 wounded to fatal have only the force of repetition, and not evidence. Civilian deaths due to war (?direct; indirect; loss of civil support & infrastructure) are routinely misrepresented and also lack rigour and baselines.
The problem is that you cannot count enemy dead, unless you have the bodies.
Neutralized personnel that are carried off may be dead or wounded, some of who will die in hospital, others may even return to the front after a shorter or longer convalescence. WiA cannot simply be added, since people might have more than a single session with the medics. Judging by the continuing confusion over real numbers from past historical conflicts, even history does not give us firm examples. We know that the wounded have much better treatment (anti-biotics, drug, trauma medicine, tourniquets, training, emphasis, body armour & protection[!]), but we can’t even conclude if this affects the numbers positively (the number and quality of the weaponry is incomparably better too). Even rules of thumb like 3:1 for offense (which some extrapolate to losses) or 4:1 wounded to fatal have only the force of repetition, and not evidence. Civilian deaths due to war (?direct; indirect; loss of civil support & infrastructure) are routinely misrepresented and also lack rigour and baselines.
I hope the dam breach doesn’t impede Russia’s ability to take Odessa. I expect them to take all of historical Novorossiya. You’d think there’d been enough examples of countries learning the hard way that expecting the US to save you is dumb: South Vietnam, the Marsh Arabs in Iraq, Afghanistan. Russia’s victory in the Ukraine is needed to show places like Taiwan not to count on the US. Make your own peace with your neighboring superpower. We Americans live on the other side of the planet, and when it’s all said and done, we don’t really care about places like Taiwan or the Ukraine.
Approaching Odessa along the coast would be very difficult because of river estuaries one has to cross. In WW2, Odessa was liberated by Red Army by coming down from north.
Yep. Both Odessa and Kherson city have to be taken from the north.
It would not be difficult at all if you possess the largest most advanced hovercraft ever built. The Zubr class hovercraft can carry 500 soldiers. Guess which Federation has those.
“us Americans don’t care about places like ukro and tai”…
no you Americans are not interested and neither are we Europeans, but WHO commands us and commands our governments, they are more interested in ukros than in our lives, our families and our money that they use for weapons.
WHO is another money laundering cartel with no cost benefit. They are mentally unhealthy and are only using the public heath alibi as a cover story to get a cut from the social control racket.
Who says ‘us Americans’ and not ‘we Americans’?
Sorry to be blunt, but images of toe-picking folks from the Ozarks or Ukraine’s Carpathians immediately springs to mind.
The chance to take Odessa was last March right after Kherson. Now it is all but impossible unless the nazi army implodes.
That presupposes that taking Odessa is in Russia’s plans at all.
I think the implode scenario is most likely. Not right yet though. Once NATO has been smacked a few mire times, the embarrassment could lead to a different strategy.
“Implosion” of enemy army/economy is what war of attrition is all about. Initial phase was about “land grab”. Retreat from some of those areas indicated switch to war of attrition.
Taking back Odessa is surely in long term plans of Russians. How will they go about it, is another question.
Russia never had men in Ukraine to take Odessa. Which is to say I never wanted to take Odessa to this day. People build their own fantasies and then feel frustrated. I already hear the speech of taking from Kharkov to Odessa from the 1st day. Which was never clearly Russia’s goal. And to think that we get to see the entire geostrategic chessboard that is at stake in Ukraine is another fantasy. Ukraine with sea is a totally different reality from Ukraine without access to the sea. Which doesn’t matter to many people in many parts of the world.
not the Ukrainian POV – the US will continue to provide massive graft opportunities to the country’s leadership – a country it rated one of the most corrupt on Earth – and of the legal kind on K street.
About the dam explosion I also pointed out in the Simplicious substak the reasons why it was Ukraine. But you just need think that Russia would never lie in the UN! Where it has already filed a lawsuit to accuse Ukraine of damages from the dam explosion. Russia has been waiting for this action from Ukraine for a long time. And warned the world!
In fact, I find it funny that many analyzes only take into account the course of the water in the first 24 hours. The water is also destroying Russia’s first lines of defense especially the minefields on the east bank. And the fields will dry up and facilitate the crossing of the Dnieper in south. Where Ukraine liked to attack. I am much more concerned with another false flag in ZNPP like Ukraine has already tried several times and where the water has already gone down a lot. Desperate countries take desperate measures. Especially when supported by psychopaths like Nuland.
And I also agree that Zelensky is on his last legs. Even physically. In addition to having aged very quickly, he must be on the verge of a heart attack. I’m close to tears. I hope the SAS will take good care of Zelenska.
“Mr.” Zelensky is the one responsible for his own damage.
We’re also seeing a shift in the narrative – MSM picking up on the Brandon Admin’s BS about Ukraine behind the Nordstream sabotage, taking that angle over Hersh’s reporting. More talk about Ukraine going rogue, and even admitting soldiers wear Nazi insignia. I think they’re starting to build the exit story in conjunction with pushing Chin and even UFO’s to the front of the news cycle. As you point out, not good for the coke head.
I’ve even seen articles from reputable sources saying NATO can’t take on Russia and win. Those get in to the points Larry has raised about logistics – no supply chain to support a conflict with Russia. I suppose Russia knows this for sure, and maybe some in the US intel community, though they won’t admit it. Now the move seems to be to find an exit narrative in Ukraine and try to bluff China while getting us all hyped up about UFO’s. You can’t make this stuff up.
Tucker Carlson said Ukraine destroyed Nordstream. I doubt he believes that, but it’s acceptable to say that now that Biden’s people are blaming Ukraine. Obviously the US did it.
I’d put my money on the Brits blowing up the dam. We know they were more than casually involved in Nordstream, the attempt to destroy the Kerch bridge, the Belgorod attacks and Bojo personally scuttled the peace talks… Why? The Brits and their US Neocon buddies don’t care about Ukraine or Ukranians, other than as cannon fodder to “weaken Russia”. They have idiotically said that repeatedly out loud.
Whoever blew the dam, they did Zelensky no favours upstream, as what is left of the reservoir and the new mudflats surrounding it are visually wide open and impassible by either boats or vehicles, at least for many weeks. No Grand Ukie Offensive there. Below the dam is now even swampier than before… again, no way for the Ukies to attack, even if they had equipment capable of crossing such muck. The Russians will simply build more defensive lines back from where the water settles downstream, and if/when the water recedes, much of the old line will simply re-emerge.
Yes, this significantly shortens the line of direct contact, but also moves the Ukie artillery back as well, plus having to reach further to shell/drone the Russian lines. The shorter line of contact also means the Russians can concentrate their efforts as the Ukies shuffle diminishing amounts of troops and equipment to fill in where literally thousands of Ukie soldiers and weapons are being put to the grinder daily.
Bojo and Nuland might think terror-attacking Russia proper via the Belgorod area is effective at drawing some Russian assets there, but all it does is brings real Russian military in force to a formerly lightly guarded area. The Ukies barely have enough to cover the line as it was, let alone defend all along that section of the Russian border as well.
I can see a couple potential scenarios here. Has Macron seen the light after his visit with Xi and has parted ways with his former employer for the sake of France and his own skin after he is turfed from office? Or perhaps the Rothschilds are beginning to realize that Bojo and the US NeoCons have gone rogue and threaten to permanently derail 250 years of prep work. Think “easier to ask forgiveness than permission”, but that hinges on the rogues being successful.
This begs the question “successful at what?” Destroying the EU? It certainly is backfiring if the objective was to destroy Russia and separate them from China and the BRICS. The Davos/Bilderberg toadies don’t seem to know what to do, will we soon see these Rothschild-Class puppet organizations move to eclipse the WEF, throwing Schwab under the bus? After all, he’s not a “real” Rothschild…
Or maybe the Rothschild Class are using the rogue NeoCon/CIA/Black-Ops to force a “off ramp/frozen conflict” on the Biden Administration/NATO before 250 years of prep is fully revealed as largely smoke and mirrors, and summarily trashed by Russia/China? The Saudis would not be switching sides if all was copacetic in Rothschild-land. Time will tell.
One thing is nearly 100% certain, the ONLY words from the Ukie Nazis/ZATO that will get the Russian military to stop grinding is “unconditional surrender”. Negotiations will centre around how much of Ukraine will remain, and who will be in charge of it.
The US “nuclear shield” is now largely impotent, exposed by the fact Russian (and Chinese?) CONVENTIONAL hypersonics can destroy the US silo-based ICBMs in minutes, no matter where they are placed, Patriot defences notwithstanding. Ditto for their naval fleet and vassal-state nuclear bases.
You’re right, there have always been 2 groups on the West side, as we say. UK with Eastern Europe. Poland, Lithuania, etc. Undoubtedly the most fanatical Russophobes. And the US with Western Europe. Germany, France, etc. And yes, as Mac says, the US is already looking for an off-ramp.
” . . . The Saudis would not be switching sides if all was copacetic in Rothschild-land.” A most insightful comment AP, standing out in your well thought out commentary
Concise, clear and to the point; very straight shooting Larry.
If you want to know the crap the Western media is pumping out to hide truth about the dam demolition, The Telegraph in London took the opportunity to compare Vladimir Putin to Josef Stalin. Of course it was picked up by the Australian media who went full cowbell: https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/in-destroying-ukraine-s-dams-vladimir-putin-follows-in-josef-stalin-s-footsteps-20230607-p5dekm.html
Thank God for the internet and the rational adults who bring us factual information on it.
Australian media are terrible and can only be watched if you are totally brainwashed.
Irish media are probably worse
Yes. Because you have to watch Irish media the same way the Irish do — drunk out of your mind.
The only way to watch any western media is drunk. That’s why Paul Pelosi stayed home and got hammered.
Aqui no Brasil também não é diferente.
In his documentary Ukraine on Fire, director Olivers Stone documents how the groundwork for a color revolution is laid.
A fundamental step is control of media.
IMHO, America and Europe are undergoing their versions of Color Revolutions.
aim appropriately
Yes. That’s something most seem to miss, that there is an ongoing color revolution of some sort – perhaps a rainbow revolution – in the US. The media is already owned. If one cites the Constitution, one gets laughed at.
Interesting Jordan Peterson podcast, about pushing back on the woke. The point he makes is that by the time many feel they have to push back, they have already missed 5000 times when they should have and it’s irretrievable. We are in what Gonzalo Lira called “auto-golpe”, essentially a coup undertaken by the administrative state.
But hey, write your congresscritter because they are your representative and it’s important you do your part, suckers’r’us.
Humpty Dumpty is not going back together again.
Putin is both Stalin and Hitler at the same time, and Australia still somehow manages to take the cake for being a fashist state.
What are the estimates now? 300,000 – 350,000 dead or seriously wounded Ukrainian soldiers?
South Front had a piece up on UkroNazis going around shooting Ukrainian deserters or Ukrainian soldiers leaving the battlefield. Called them the “barrier squad.” The hard core Nazis known as the “punishers.” Russian military drone video covered the shootings in amazing detail.
Andrei Martyanov is reporting 3,750 SVU KIAs in the last 48 hours. That is some counter offensive.
Some are wondering about that new Kondor-FKA radar military satellite Russia out up about a week ago. There are now reports the Russian military are locating and destroying German Leopard tanks.
While that slimy corporate General Milley states, “Ukraine is well prepared for a counter offense.” Sure thing, anything you say Milley.
if russia were actually destroying leopard tanks, one would think they would be able to present some kind of video evidence, akin to the evidence we have of the patriot hit: until such a time therefore, I would take such claims with a pinch of salt.
You need to broaden your media sources. Although still open to skepticism, they already have.
All of those claims/estimates should be taken with a big pinch of salt. What actually happened, we will know only long after the whole thing ends.
Whether Leopards were destroyed or not is only relevant for propaganda purposes. They are just tanks, and burn all the same. Those that don’t believe me, could ask the Turks that drove them into Syria. All the fuss about them being wunderwaffe is just a clear sign of idiocracy we live in. WWII wunderwaffe was at least special in some way.
If one follows the North Crimean Canal on sat. maps, before it reaches the isthmus to the Crimean Peninsula it has two branches that floe west to irrigate the farmland south of the Dnieper.
The first thing that happened after Russian forces started their “SMO” in 2022, was to reopen the canal Kyiev closed in 2014. It provides 80%+ of fresh water needs in Crimea.
The flood damaged areas are Crimean territory.
In figuring out who had the most to lose from such an attack it seems a no brainer.
Interesting to note that the UK prime minister is keeping his powder dry as to who he believes carried out the attack…_
Powder dry? More akin to Whitehall Bastards cognisant of Uckie dastardly conduct throughout the SMO, with the inevitable dam of anti-Russian lies drowning into oblivion those pro-active degenerates supportive of Rat Face’s vile regime.
Watch the murderous supporters melt away.
Great Post Larry! We inch closer and closer every day. I believe the only thing that could save us is a mass awakening. These people who have been become accustomed to running things have no desire to give it up. What’s a world without them running it.
A world without them and their families alive should be even worse.
Here we are in a brave new world. Western media superimposes the losses of UKR’s as though they are Russian losses. Same with weaknesses, lack of supply, ordnance, etc.
Fantasy. I remember when this started and never stopped. They got away with it so they went 1984 and chose to alter reality.
Would anyone believe we have come to this point say 5 years ago? The malignancy has been festering for so long and then an extinction psychosis event of pandemic nonsense.
America is the nonsense nation. Unserious about anything but threatening the world to obey or die. That is all that is left. Frank Zappa was right. They bullshitted us until they lost the ability to hide the destruction.
Thousands dead (whichever side, all human). Billions of dollars up in smoke. Environmental vandalism at scale.
And for what? The sick games played in Washington, London, Brussels. This troupe of monkeys wanting to beat up on that troupe of monkeys.
IT’S DISGUSTING.
“Too long a sacrifice
Can make a stone of the heart.
O when may it suffice?”
W.B.Yeats, “Easter, 1916”
I must say it is a full time Muppet show we are witnessing in Ukraine ‘propaganda war & otherwise right now, just consider events as soon as Bachmut has fallen … (not that Kiev has admitted the fact – they apparently think fields outside of the city are part of the CBD?!)
Main charade has started though (sorry – a counter offensive is the propper orwelian word:
1/ Attack on Russian region near Belgorod by so-called “Russian Partisan Army” in the west – only that it came out of Ukraine territory, supported by Ukrainian artillery and fully fitted by Nato arms and armed vehicles …. SURE! all Russian partisans do come in this ‘flavour and outfit’ – that they are “outright funded, trained & instructed by Nato/US that’s a technicality & purely accidental nature of russian opposition (lol).
2/ if Russian partisans would not be enough, let’s rub it in a bit more and insert “Polish volunteers” (you know Orwell would be very upset if we call paid soldiers of foreign states mercenaries!) ….. as far as volunteers go they exhibit as much Nato support, fit-out, training and instruction as the silly nazi ruzzian boys in point one!
3/ Now introducing the “offensive” – delayed by good 4 months or so …. so far lasting 3 days and so far not announced by Kiev … how do we know it started? ….. well in south east of Zaporhozie Ukraine suddenly lost as many tanks in 3 days as they have in 5 months (call is between 30 & 50!) – any guess why – well, one idea is that they finally took them out of hiding & brought to the front line – guess what, Russians were prepared …. and wiped them out !!!!!
4/ 3 day offensive went blank – well let’s continue with the false claims & terror action – introducing Kakhovka dam blow up ….. many months on the cards – actually all the way back to August when Ukraine ‘tried’ to bomb the dam wall & bridge on daily basis for over a month ….. once Russians pulled back from the right bank of Dnieper in Kherson it was put on a back burner …. why? – well it comes down to getting yet another advantage from geographical disruption …. the south part of the Dnieper delta (Russian held) sits lower and it naturally would disrupt any defenses built by Russians if the dam would blow up. That’s however only ‘secondary’ benefit …. There is a much bigger one and that is – as dam would empty in the section above the dam wall, it would significantly shorten the water distance to be crossed by Ukrainian amphibian forces which were training last 6 months in the region (reference history legends channel) – a huge amount of equipment has been sourced for this effort ….. pontoon bridges brigades in force are ready to cross yet again near or close to the NPP Zaporhozia.
And this I believe is the main price – if Ukraine could take control of the NPP in the Zaporhozia region and amplify it’s blackmail of nuclear destruction unless 200km around the nuclear plant is declared a ‘safe zone’ – which would of course have to be policed by “UN” …. and thus by default wiping out the ‘land bridge’ Russian has secured over the past year.
5/ this point of course is a “pure speculation” and has not happened yet but if it ever does – it will be as a direct consequence of the point 4! If Ukraine manages to take over the Nuclear Plant in Zaporozhye, it is my believe the UN/(Nato by default) is now standing ready to interfere with ‘peace keeping mission’ …. what they tried & could not do last August/September when the IAE came to inspect and Ukraine attacked the NPP at the same time – hoping to gain control at the same time and announce the above mentioned “peace keeping mission” … they are ‘hell bent’ on destroying the Russian land bridge in order to limit Russia’s access to Crimea … anotherwords Crimea is still the price …. 2014 has not been forgotten and Obama’s company is still upset about Russia taking a quick step to secure that peninsula !!!
In conclusion …. the offensive has started – but the main attack has not been made by Ukraine – last 3 day’s of losses are a token gesture, trying to put Russian leadership to sleep by believing that they have done their job ….. there will be at least 2 maybe 3 big steps before the main strike is unleashed – and the main goal is control of Zaporozhye NPP !!!! Once they (Ukraine) have it Nato/UN are ready to move in!
….. will Russia go Nuclear also at that point? – everyone in the west believes they will not! …. and yet – this is “THE ARMAGEDDON LINE” – strap in, watch & prey !!!
(still bit messy but I hope there’s a lot of food for thought)
Excellent post, as always.
A minor correction, though.
Shoigu, the Russian Defense Minister is not a General as he was not a military man!
Воинские звания
1977 — лейтенант запаса (после окончания Красноярского политехнического института, обучался на военной кафедре при нём).
1993 — генерал-майор (26 апреля)[116].
1995 — генерал-лейтенант (5 мая)[117].
1998 — генерал-полковник (8 декабря)[118].
2003 — генерал армии (7 мая)[119].
Military ranks
1977 – reserve lieutenant (after graduating from the Krasnoyarsk Polytechnic Institute, he studied at the military department under him).
1993 – Major General (April 26) [116].
1995 – Lieutenant General (May 5) [117].
1998 – Colonel General (December 8) [118].
2003 – General of the Army (May 7) [119].
https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A8%D0%BE%D0%B9%D0%B3%D1%83,_%D0%A1%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B3%D0%B5%D0%B9_%D0%9A%D1%83%D0%B6%D1%83%D0%B3%D0%B5%D1%82%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B8%D1%87
Are these numbers, (fox example 4000 soldiers lost) credible ?
Could there also be propaganda?
I ´m always skeptical when such huge numbers are presented, regardless from which side.
But nevertheless.
the current situation recalls me the episode from Honduras, Nicaragua and the contras,
which you , Larry , had written some monts ago.
The silence of Western media tells us these figures are spot on. The offensive is a catastrophe for Kiev that even the seasoned liars in the US and Europe can’t distort.
Consider them overestimated. By how much, some future historians will tell (or lie about).
I wish Larry would answer one question (two I guess), if he can. Maybe as an opinion only.
1) Was US Ambassador to El Savador William Walker actively covering up the army’s war crimes (genocides even) in the 80’s and 2) was he sent to Racak, Kosovo in early ’99 specifically to fabricate a war crime?
The fact that for whatever reason Russia could have just opened the upper gates instead of blowing it up is a very important evidence to consider. Also according to overall NATO strategy, any kind of structural damage across Ukraine including in those pure-race Ukrainian western regions is the best thing that can happen during this. The idea is to make Ukraine become a full-fledged failed state and trouble maker which Russia must spend huge amounts of her national resources /energy to deal with in the future. It will force Russia focus on its western borders ripe against increasing terrorist activities, therefore Moscow will have less time and energy spend on other important issues including, Eurasian integration process, de-dollarization, introduction of the BRICK+ new currency, creation of a new Eurasian-based OPEC+ energy system…and other important projects. The main culprit for causing damage to the dam is therefore the Ukrainian terrorists following an order from their NATO handlers.
vero!
Maybe the “reason Russia could have just opened the upper gates instead of blowing it up” and didn’t is because the dam is so old that once the gates were opened the Russians knew they could not have closed them again. And the whole thing would have fallen apart. (Like it did.)
I mean, if you remember, the same situation faced the Oroville Dam here in the United States in February of 2017.
Sorry, just throwing that out there.
One might also consider that the idea that rising waters created unsustainable pressure on the gates or dam itself and led to failure doesn’t make any sense IF the Russians were aware of the growing danger and able to open gates to relieve the pressure.
Too many unknowns and that is clearly by design. We already well know the technique of purposely introducing disparate vectors, both physically and verbally, as a fog bank of war. Doesn’t prove it was definitely used in this case. Just means it can be used when needed.
What we DO know as concrete undeniable fact is that, just as NATO bombed ammonia plants in Serbia in ’99, Ukraine just blew up the ammonia export pipeline to Odessa.
Or just make the place unliveable, easier to manage and foist the refugee problem onto Europe.
It works for the US, so why not?
“…make Ukraine become a full-fledged failed state and trouble maker…”
The creation of failed states seems a US specialty. Seems to me it is a goal and an often desired outcome for US “thinkers”. Name a recent US intervention that didn’t aim in that direction. From the POV of maintaining hegemony, it makes sense. Didn’t the Romans do that sort of thing too, destroying neighboring kingdoms perfering instead random warlords? [My grade school history is showing.]
Point is, “failed” states don’t seem exactly failures, rather they are successfully implemented policy.
There seems to be someone crazier than the American neocons. It is the Kiev junta that has already destroyed its people and country, and now they are dragging the world into WW3. The most dangerous thing is that the West supports them in all their suicidal moves and accepts their lies without any doubt. This gives these lunatics around Zelenski a motive for new destructive moves. Now the West and Kiev have jointly created a narrative that the Russians destroyed the Kahovka dam and thus flooded their own population and army, leaving Crimea without water. It’s only a matter of time before the Ukrainians use nuclear weapons and then the West will blame the Russians.
maskazer says
For those who say that Russia did it: consider this:
Russia could have just opened the upper gates of the dam instead of blowing up the whole Dam.
Excactly!
”The NATO strategy is to make Ukraine become a failed state and trouble maker which Russia must spend huge amounts of resources to deal with in the future”.
YES but It will not succeed.
Russia will split Ukraine into 2 States, and build a Berlin wall between them.
The Eastern and Southern Part of Ukraine will be independent republics but part of the Russian Empire.
The western Part will lose its access to the Black Sea, become a land-locked failed state connected to the EU, but will never be allowed to be part of NATO.
So the consequences will be that the NAZI in western Ukraine will only be able to infiltrate and blackmail EU nations with terror.
Bily says
“Now that the West has created a narrative that Russia destroyed the Kahovka dam, It’s only a matter of time before the Ukrainians use nuclear weapons and blame it on Russia”.
Zelensky is on his way out of Ukraine, and his NAZIs are on their way to Lviv.
So any use of Nuclear weapons or dirty bombs will not happen in Russian controlled areas.
“Russia will split Ukraine into 2 States, and build a Berlin wall between them.”
Like that worked the first time. (It didn’t.) The U.S. will just double down, move its forces right up to the new wall, and then send Nazis across that border to blow something up daily.
The Russians will have to take all of Russia, and then some.
Eventually, the whole world will be involved in this “Ukrainian Conflict,” in one way or the other. When the boredom, and tedium, and the doubling down, becomes too much to bear, that’s when the nukes fly.
No country can long survive on endless war and endless warmongering. The people go insane.
The people go insane.
America fits that bill nicely.
“Third, Ukraine lacks the tanks, mobile artillery and close air support from fixed and rotary winged aircraft required to sustain an offensive beyond a week.”
Coincidence? Exercise Air Defender 2023, June 12-23.
Brilliant report as always (thanks Larry and Andrei). The THREE STOOGES (US + UK + EU), still have NOT LEARNED this SIMPLE RULE = NEVER POKE THE RUSSIAN BEAR
Looks like someone hit a panic button… and in a few month some will ask how come the reds are crossing upstream the Dnieper .
I said it before and I’ll say it again : stupids don’t win wars.
“. . . in a few month [sic] some will ask how come the reds are crossing upstream the Dnieper.”
Or the Mississippi River. [sarc]
What international pressure? At this point that is silly.
By the way, apparently in the West they are concerned and are beginning an offensive using the fear of extraterrestrials to call for international unity in defense of humanity, of course under their control and command.
scorched (drowned) earth policy.
When I heard about it from the telegraph.co.uk’s live ukraine blog, my initial reaction was the Ukrainians did it.
Now reading brighter minds than mine, I am 99.9% sure it was the Ukrainians.
Aww . . . I wouldn’t worry about the loss of all that Western war material. I’m sure some of those Abram’s tanks will show up on our southern border, a perfect match for all those Javelins we are seeing pictures of. More choice pickings for the Mexican drug cartels to go with all those AR-15s given away by Barack Obama’s DoJ.
Video of cartel member sporting AT4 (and some AK style weapon) is misrepresented as cartels having Javelins. Drug cartels are smart enough not to mess with unreliable junk like Javelin or Abrams. 🙂
The AT4 and the Javelin are variants — close cousins. One is Swiss made; the other American. The Swiss AT4 version is unguided; the American Javelin is guided. Both versions have been sent to the Ukraine. Both are anti-tank weapons.
You could at least check Wikipedia before writing. It is still mostly right in regards to technical stuff like this.
AT4 is not Swiss but Swedish, and is not variant – close cousin of Javelin in any way. They don’t even belong to same weapon class. Javelin is top-attack infrared guided missile. AT4 is smooth-bore recoilless gun, which makes it actually related to Carl Gustaf (another Swedish anti-tank weapon sent to this conflict).
“Men will not look at things as they really are, but as they wish them to be-and are ruined.” Niccolo Machiavelli
“All wars are follies, vary expensive and very mischievous ones” Ben Franklin
Exactly.
We are still looking at conventional warfare as though the natural resources needed to fight a conventional war (natural gas, oil, coal, minerals and rare earths) are infinite.
We are living on a finite planet, yet, by some accounts, we are using up the resources of a planet and a half. Think of it: 1.5-planets. How long can this go on for?
It is still some kind of state secret who much crude oil was burned up fighting World War II. Miles per gallon were only discussed in terms of the range of a B-17 or a Tiger tank.
And now conventional warfare is unsustainable. It really does come down to basic choices between guns or butter.
Butter?
I think you’ll find our elites want us living on insects and turnips, while they eat foie gras and hover overhead in their space ships to check we’re still working for them.
We will need guns to shoot the b*stards!
Larry, Friends! Hopefully we can find something to make us happy! The Russians already have it: watching German tanks burn.
“It appears that no one in the West has any good sources inside the Russian military command.”
I agree Larry. The West became so obtuse and arrogant over the last decade, they felt no need to build contacts or alliances.
The West is turkey shooting in the dark. Day to day wondering what the Russians/Chinese will do next.
It’s the same at present with China. The have held the position of superiority and their “rules based order”, believing they had all international bodies in their back pocket & could simply sanction or attack any nation resisting, so no need to have reliable on the ground intel. They are very obviously flailing and opting continual terrorist attacks everywhere in the world out of inability militarily to subjugate resisters.
In addition, the last decade or so, Russia, China, Turkey et el have been weeding out traitors. Central Asia/Mideast/India currently following suit.
Milley said yesterday at Normandy(for June 6 D Day event) that this will be a long war.
Defense Industry money wants it. The entrenched government officials want it
to keep accumulating power. Barack and Michelle want their two daughters to be privileged. They don’t want them competing with hungry asian kids for 6 figure jobs.
That is the way the ruling class thinks.
Mark my words-we will see one of the two porkers in a broadcast job soon making $700,000.
Interesting article in The Guardian. Also how the reservoir level has risen sharply over the past 6 months.
Stated here is: “dam was blown up by Russian forces detonating mines in a turbine hall on the eastern bank of the Dnipro.”
That is a bit more detail than I would expect if the dam was truly hit by Russian forces.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/07/ukraine-dam-flood-kakhovka-reservoir-destroyed-kherson-oblast-floodwaters-peak-dnipro-river
The Guardian? Really?
Once, a looooooong time ago the Groan was a half pie decent newspaper. Now it’s little more than a stenographer for HMG & the City, printing propaganda interspersed with BS. Agree with ‘GRR’ who would read it let alone quote it
Rick H – “Must do better”
Larry, I suspected for years that the Kremlin and Russian general staff were a big black box to western intelligence. A lot of my suspicion came from following Patrick Armstrong’s ‘Russia Observer’ blog before Trudeau’s Stasi shut him down. But US officials’ own inane statements contributed as well, especially after I spent a semester in Russia in 2018 and saw things for myself.
Confirmation – as far as I was concerned – came during the first days of the SMO, when all the talking heads abruptly began parroting the ‘Putin’s not well’ talking point. First he had gone mad. Later he was dying of any of several forms of cancer. Meanwhile Putin kept making regular public appearances, his vitality and poise in stark contrast to the doddering unelected sock-puppet who fronts for America’s secret junta.
That went on for MONTHS. It wasn’t til June last year that William Burns testily acknowledged that Putin was ‘all too healthy.’
I think CIA long since gave up on gathering intelligence on Russia. Their role is purely that of shaping US public opinion by disseminating disinformation.
No, no, no, that was not the counter-offensive. It was just a reconnaissance mission meant to palpate the Russian defense line in three specific locations to identify the weak points. About the 1,500 Ukrainian soldiers who were killed in this action it can be said with Albrightesque candor that it was all worth it because as a result it has been determined with certainty that the weak points are not in those locations.
Well, at least Ukraine/Zelenski was 100% telling the truth in calling this an act of terrorism and a war crime.
It is also intersting that the deep state mouthpiece, the NYT, is going the “he said / she said” route with this rather than automatically blaming Russia:
“Moscow blamed Ukraine, calling the blast an act of sabotage, but did not elaborate on how it might have been done. Mr. Zelensky said Russian forces had blown up the dam”
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2023/06/07/world/russia-ukraine-news
Everyone should read Lee Slusher’s recent analysis on substack. He’s not well known, but its a great analysis
https://deepdivewithleeslusher.substack.com/p/rubble-and-rhetoric
Ooops! Someone in the WH press corps asked a real question!
“Does it seem believable to you that Russia would destroy a dam and flood ethnic Russian villages and cut off the water supply to Crimea? That doesn’t seem logical. As logical as blowing up ones own pipeline?”
https://twitter.com/i/status/1666463624196419584
Last year Ukraine openly stated they were considering blowing up the dam, so I would assume Russia has had contingencies for that. It also may give indications as to where the main attack may be. It can’t be downstream of the dam any time soon, so has to be elsewhere.
As to all the hype about the nuclear power plant losing its cooling water – give your head a shake, all that has to happen is pull the rods and stop the reaction, so cooling water won’t be needed. Yes, this will hurt those in Russian controlled areas, but it will hurt the rest of Ukraine more as they get power from the plant as well. Russia didn’t shut off the supply to the rest of Ukraine, at least I haven’t heard anything about that.
Talk of things like attacks against Belarus or Moldova have to be nonsense, or at least would be stupid. It seems Ukraine has invited Russia out for a fight further north, I suppose to try to keep Odesa. I would think this is a bad strategy, but then again that’s nothing new here. It could end up with Russia sawing off a line from Belarus north of Kiev to Moldova leaving a rump state about a third the size of current Ukraine that would be an economic basket case for Europe to contend with while simultaneously being de-industrialized. Some discussion has that rump divided among Poland, Romania and Hungary, though I’m not sure anybody would want any part of what’s left of Ukraine as it would be cost only, no benefits.
Recent events, in my view, will insure the demise of anything resembling an independent Ukraine, and it remains to be seen how much Russia wants, and how much they don’t. Word is trickling out that NATO isn’t in any position to take on Russia, despite the wishes of the neocons – you can’t fight without a supply of ammunition, and NATO doesn’t have that, and their nukes are in questionable state of readiness, whereas Russia’s are in a more ready state. Nukes deteriorate with time and require a lot of constant service that hasn’t been done in the west. I’ve seen estimates that as little as 20% are ready to use.
In short, NATO is in no position to start any major conflict with anybody, Russia probably knows it, the US should know it, but may be too busy putting on makeup and lipstick.
Key questions: did Russia anticipate the dam attack, and did they plan for it? I suspect the answers are yes.
Notice to all employees.
I know everyone has been working long and hard hours for the last little while.
The added pressure of working away from the office for extended lengths of time has had its effect on the whole organization.
Here at the Company we have a long and proud history of Hilarity and Humour within the work environment.
However I want to make it clear that no one and I mean no one is to leave items ie diving boots etc at the hotel in Vilnius next Month.
Lunchroom noticeboard.
The whole thing will be settled once I find the one-booted man.
Harrison Ford
Forget the rubber boots, that ship has flown.
When the waters go down, the war between Washington and Moscow will still be meandering on, unlike the counter offensive which will have run its course.
July 11-12 in Vilnius may be the fulcrum for the next generation in Europe.
30 Kms from the dark side, take your pick.
Mr Z backed in a corner.
Wayward S-300 used in ground to ground role (as always).
Mr P takes out legitimate participating, supporting military target.
As yet unknown Make Prussia Great Again breakaway group goes rogue.
Pie factory explosion.
The Russians did it.
The Dutch rented a boat.
MSM operation paid for by un-named Chinese woman/man/them from Taiwan?
The water is so muddy right now, if the top of NATO was attacked, I would not know who to point the finger at first with any amount of certainty.
And as to who would benefit the most from such a hypothetical attack is just as uncertain.
Love it! 🙂
Thanks again Larry for your blog!
The solution to the enigma of the destroyed Dam, or the destroyed Oil Pipelines obeys an impeccable “Kantian logic” of the German philosophy who direct the strategic and tactics of NATO.
Regarding this philosophy, here I tell you what happened one fateful day in my own family.
My uncle Olaf was a man of great tenderness. He gave my aunt Annalena a real Florence leather chair.
One day he returned from work earlier than usual.
Upon entering the living-room, he sees my aunt Annalena making love with a stranger, on top of the precious Florentine armchair.
This was a deep emotional shock for him !
The next day he met – urgently – with his bosom friend Fritz.
-You don’t know the horror I’m experiencing, he told him.
– Tell me everything, replied Fritz.-
So my uncle Olaf explained that he didn’t know what to do in this situation.
– I’m torn ! and I don’t know what to do to put an end to this situation.
– Well, I don’t see the problem, the solution is very simple – said Fritz
– Oh? Tell me the solution please!
– Very simple : – Sell the Florentine Armchair !!
I saw post dam breech videos after substantial flooding downstream that shows that the water in the dam was still notable high even after the breech which indicates that upstream dams may have increased their outflow to compound and facilitate damage and flooding.. This seems like something pretty easy to prove and if so indicates intent..
There’s a video showing that upper dam release on bitchute. Commercial satellites may verify the event, if anyone bothers and it’s not kibashed.
nobody is concerning the archetypal landscape, accompanying the political events. Douglas Mcgregor said: Wars are won 20 years before.
And planets are suggesting and accompanying healthy strategies. Its fascinating, to aquire dimension of their ‘talk’.
23.Week 2023: “Mankind Leaving Dwarfing Spell”
http://astromundanediary.blogspot.com/2023/06/uniqueness.html
Larry I read the “Simplicius Write-up” and a well presented analysis. I will take the “semi-natural” cause that he calls it. First the damage done by Ukraine last year on the dam and then the intentional opening of upstream dams to fill a dam with an already damaged and weakened retaining wall. And the simple engineering technical aspects of nature – pressure of the upstream water and bingo. Semi-natural and orchestrated by Ukraine.
That seems the logical answer and points it out in clear detail. I do not know who Simplicius is or who the group of reporters are but they sure as hell have an array of sources and they do a very detailed analysis on everything and give a clear insight to the happenings.
Cheers – Have a great day Larry!
Zakharova to Blinken: S T F U
“I suggest to Mr. Blinken to muster up the courage and publish all the materials regarding the political assassinations of the US presidents, in particular John F. Kennedy, and tell his people – his people, first of all – the truth about what happened in Dallas and later in Chicago, at the Democratic Party Convention,” she said.
https://www.rt.com/news/577672-kennedy-assassination-russia-lecture/
Also during her briefing Wednesday, she commented on the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant attack.
“Now, the question for [the United States of American] — all the people who are in charge of communications at the White House. . . .Were you aware of how American weapons, the weapons that are being supplied to Ukraine, are used?” “you must answer”
Russia views the attack on the Kakhovka HPP as “certainly an act of terrorism.”
“That trial tests of a terrorist attack against civilian infrastructure in third countries are being made? These are the questions that we directly pose in the public space before the White House; you must answer them,” she said
Is this start of legal proceedings directly against those companies who made the weapons, those who bought and sold them, and all those involved in getting these into Ukraine and provided intel, etc., including on targeting the dam?
https://tass.com/politics/1629181
-30-
Thousands of Ukrainian casualties yet Western media is split between hailing Ukraine’s success or moderating that with the gaining of a stronger hand in future negotiations with Russia. Please insert every expletive you know.
somehow …
this feels familiar…
a weakened enemy attempting to storm heavily defended battle line..
is this Kursk Redux ?
Ukrop Military looks like they are cosplaying Wehrmact NAZI military , of course the combat result is far less spectacular than the real NAZI , after all they just playing as dressed up NAZI