If you are looking for a TV show ending to the war in Ukraine, this is not the place for you. This piece is written with the intent of trying to give you a variety of information that is not being reported on the mainstream news channels, western and Russian.
I want to start with the commentary of Austrian Colonel Markus Reisner, which coincides with my own recent analysis:
Austrian colonel and military expert Markus Reisner declared that Western countries are seriously mistaken in relying on large arms supplies for the Ukrainian army. According to Markus Reisner, ”the Russian army continues to make solid progress in its offensive against Ukrainian positions in the Donbass, and it will be victorious in the region. This is evidenced by the fact that most of the territories of the DPR and LPR, including large cities, are already under the control of the Russian army.
Russia also controls important facilities in southern Ukraine, on the shores of the Sea of Azov.” Austrian colonel also added that ”in the West they try not to talk about the obvious advance of the Russian armed forces and the Western media make a lot of efforts to hide the obvious successes of the Russians, which is a serious mistake”.
Markus Reisner stressed that ”He is following the situation in Ukraine from various sources, and concluded that the West is deeply mistaken in relying on large military aid supplies for the Armed Forces of Ukraine”. According to the colonel, ”it takes a lot of time to send weapons, and these weapons are spent literally in one day. And more often than not, these Western weapons do not even have time to fall into the hands of the Ukrainian military on the front line”. ”According to the US defense department, the weapons that the West sends to Ukraine during the week – runs out within a day. This means that Western weapons are immediately used by the Ukrainians and most of these weapons are captured or destroyed by the Russians. The Russian army seizes a lot of weapons”, – said Markus Reisner.
The Austrian colonel also drew attention to the high professionalism of the Russian special forces, which opposes the Ukrainian troops. According to Markus Reisner, ”Russian special forces successfully track down groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and neutralize them. This means that the supply lines for the offensive of the Russian Armed Forces in the Donbass are not damaged”.
He also noted the well-coordinated work of the infantry and artillery of the Russian armed forces. ”The Russian offensive in the Donbass is currently slow but steady and thorough, with significant artillery and infantry support. This is not a sign of weakness. Rather, it shows that the battalion tactical groups interact more closely with each other and are controlled centrally”, – said Austrian colonel and military expert Markus Reisner.
Without a functional air force and the capability to maneuver artillery and tank units, Ukraine is confronted with a war of attrition that it cannot win. Ignore the military activities and focus on the economic reality confronting Ukraine. Their ability to produce and export grain (a critical source of foreign exchange) has been damaged severely. Ukraine is no longer able to rely on container ships importing and exporting critical goods. Ukriane cannot replace this with truck convoys from Poland. At this point, Ukraine is like a soldier with a bleeding femoral artery. Death is just a matter of time.
The Ukrainians got a bit of good news today with reports that they mounted a counteroffensive north of Kharkiv. Focus on the rivers shown in the following map. The Russians are withdrawing from positions that would leave them trapped with their backs to the water. But this is not a great victory for Ukraine. From the Russian standpoint it is tactical withdrawal so that their forces retain the freedom to move in different directions. The danger for the Ukrainians is that they are out in the open and provide a potential fat target for Russian artillery and airstrikes.
Kharkov Counteroffensive by the Ukrainian Forces—Rybar SitRep, as of 19:00, May 6, 2022
1—Following the withdrawal of Russian forces from Stary Saltov, the withdrawal of the troops from the northeastern outskirts of Kharkov became only a matter of time.
2—After a Ukrainian saboteur-recon group blew up the bridge across the Murom river, between Russkiye Tishki & Cherkasskiye Tishki, threat of encirclement in a cauldron became obvious.
3—Russian command decided to withdraw RF units from Tsirkuny, Cherkasskiye Tishki, & Liptsy.
4—The advance units of Ukrainian forces entered Liptsy in the morning of May 6, 2022. At that time, there were not longer any Russian troops in the settlement: The units had withdrawn to the north. At this time, Russian forces control a 7-8 km buffer zone north of Kharkov.
5—Ukrainian forces are conducting a zachistka (mop-up operations against civilians). Ukrainian units are breaking into basements, checking the cellphones of local residents, and are searching for agents and informers of the Russian forces.
Next up is the tactical picture on the southern front. The Russians are enjoying more success here. If they seize control of Orekhov they will be positioned to move on Zaporozhye and create a threat to the Ukrainian forces occupying territory north of them. This means the Ukrainians will be facing increased pressure to avoid being encircled.
1—In Mariupol, the Allied forces have taken control of the terrikon (man-made slag heap mountain) on the southeastern outskirts of the Azovstal industrial complex. The strikes at the positions of the Azov (Ukrainian neo-Nazi National Guard regiment) continue unabated. After demanding to exchange the civilians they hold as human shield hostages for food, the Azov nationalists have been categorized as terrorists.
2—Russian forces are conducting constant strikes against Gulyai Pole and Orekhov. These are two of the primary fortified strongholds of the Ukrainian forces in this theatre of the conflict. Once the Ukrainian defensive lines at Gulayi Pole are broken, a further offensive in the direction of the northern Allied grouping that is advancing on Slavyansk from the north will become possible.
3—To the west of Orekhov, the Russian forces have taken the minor settlement of Shcherbaki. Taking control of Orekhov would open the door to an offensive on Zaporozhye (the administrative centre of the Zaporozhye region).
4—On the boundary line between Novoukrainka-Ugledar-Sladkoye, Russian forces have evened out the line of front.
The plight of those fighting for Ukraine is not cheery. In the following video you will see some seemingly happy Georgian mercenaries bullshitting until they are hit with an artillery strike.
The next video shows how the Russians are using drones as an eye in the sky to pinpoint Ukrainian ground positions. The S-300 anti-aircraft unit is eliminated.
Thanks Larry, my listeners love your reporting.
Larry Johnson says
Good to know. Thanks
Christoforu posits that the American Propaganda that the Russians are losing badly is to mislead the sheep into thinking that the US and Nato can win on the ground so they will send troops. I agree. I and others believe a severe damage false flag is coming so these Judas goats can “send in the marines”.
D.E. Murray says
Why? We send in troops and the moment one kid from Peoria gets killed you’ll have a revolution.
The Pentagon does seem to be pushing the bad propaganda the rest of Washington is. Suggests they know and understand the real situation on the ground and don’t want a broader war. They can’t contradict the bad propaganda as that would damage the Pentagon but they seem to be avoiding pushing it.
Great article. It’s nice to hear from an Australian.
Soon the ground will also dry up as summer turns mud solid.
austria is different country
Yahoo is beginning to post a few non MSM narratives.
“We’re the underdogs here and whatever you say about the Russians, they’re a professional army and they’re using a lot of hi-tech [equipment],” says one British ex-Royal Marine fighting around Kyiv. “You’re out there in trenches, being buzzed with camera drones, and the moment they spot you, they send artillery in. I had three very close encounters just in the first couple of weeks. This is a grown-up war – it’s what I came for, but it’s not for everyone.”
it is harsh reality when these bozos encounter real opponents and real war. it is one thing to fight insurgents with full air cover behind you and dont have to fear arty. it is another thing to fight opponents with air superiority and artilery dominance all over the battlefield.
the safari is over when the lions have air support and artilery and can fire back
Frank Hewson says
Larry, great stuff as always.
I came across an exceptional article in the Asia Times that I haven’t seen anyone else comment on and that I think you and your readers would appreciate.
I was a little surprised when the Russians chose to launch a campaign in late February … during WW2 both sides had to wait until mid june for the ground to firm up enough for an offensive. First there’s the spring thaw then there are the spring rains.
One can only conclude that the US administration is evil.
The war is lost but continue to supply weapons to get in one last punch to Russia to make them suffer. A true schoolground bully.
Continue the war and sanctions even though it will lead to food shortages and political instability around the world. How many deaths and unintended consequences.
If only our grifter political class wasn’t so beholden to the neocons and their 30 pieces of silver.
Ukraine is being used like Russia was used during WW2. Russia lost 20+ million soldiers fighting on the eastern front. We used Russia with the lend lease act. Between England and the USA we provided Russia with over 14,000 aircraft’s, many thousands of tanks, over 400,000 vehicles, guns galore, artillery, supplies, ammo, food, so they would do the brunt of the fighting, so when Germany was depleted the Americans and British came in on the west and claimed to have won the war. We did win, but we gave very little credit to Russia, and we didn’t provide them with the economic rewards after the war which Stalin, Roosevelt, and Churchill agreed upon. I believe the reason it didn’t happen was due to Roosevelt’s death right after the war. Roosevelt was the one who got Churchill and Stalin to get along and agree to the terms. Roosevelt didn’t hate Stalin like Churchill did.
Ukraine is being used like Russia was used. We started the lend lease act again on the 13th just to upset the Russians. The reason I know WW3 has begun is because we’ve brought back the lend lease act which has only been used once before, during WW2, almost a century ago. We are providing Ukrainians with all their weapons and supplies to expend Russias resources, geopolitical purposes, and to gain knowledge on Russian tech and methods of fighting. But, Russia isn’t dumb which is why they used many of their older equipment at the beginning of the war. They’re holding off on using their best stuff until they face NATO.
I think that the pretense of UKR victory has to be maintained to keep the money flowing.
The unstated Neocon goals are reasonably clear: weaken Russia to allow Israel a free hand in Syria and to punish Russia for disrupting the Syria plan and for long ago pogroms. These are not financial.
But other groups have monetary motives. Clever reporters should be looking into State Dept funding of NGOs in UKR. Bet that a large cut will flow back to DC political organizations and lobbies. Lara Logan said this has been going on large scale for a long time. I believe Pelosi and Schiff’s Recent UKR visit was more than likely to arrange their cut. The upcoming mid term lawfare and ballot fraud efforts have to be funded!
Over on Fox there are two charities soliciting donations nightly for evacuation of UKR Jews to Israel. I assume these are focused on the Christian Zionist element of the US population. Fleeing the Russian Army, husband off fighting to defend UKR etc. The curious may ask where these people will live once in Israel: new settlements on the West Bank or will an attempt be made to seize southern Lebanon and the Litani River for Lebensraum?
No need to ask who is paying the bill!
When asked why did America spend $$$$xxxx billion on Ukrainie war while Americans suffer, they have plausable deniability – “redacted intelligence said the Ukrainians could win.”
Intelligence will be released in 30 years and heavily retracted.
Eric Newhill says
I also think the UKR is winning narrative is to keep the money flowing into UKR. Zelensky is no doubt becoming very wealthy from skimming the aid money. He will retire in exile to a nice beach front property in Miami. Also, there can be little doubt that some of the skim goes back to the Bidens and other supporters in the US, both sides of the aisle.
I hope that Putin has more intelligence than biden and biden’s handlers.
What would be the reason for America to brag that they are supplying ukraine with military intelligence?
So far, I’ve read that they’re responsible for supplying the intelligence that led to the sinking of the Moskva and the killing of the Russian generals. And this is coming from US ‘intelligence’.
Just shake my head and hope that when the nukes start flying, I’m in their path.
i dunno why some ppl constantly use the word ‘putin’ as if he is singlehandedly did everything when it is obvious that many professional ppl are around him like shoigu and lavrov. The notion that it is putin this putin that is very dumbed down propagandaish term used to demonize a single person from the opposition
and i also question ppl who constantly accuse biden of this and that , when it is VERY OBVIOUS he is a puppet used by ppl behind him as a prop to furtheir their own agenda.
the west are lucky russia have putin as leader , once putin died or quit , the next russian leader will be far more aggresive against the west and he / she will emerge at the time all russian people know the west’s hatred toward everything russian..
russia will emerge stronger as a nation , because it is not alone in this world. Economic and Energy will decide it’s fate and it is a saviour for non-west nations.
D.E. Murray says
“Grinding” – you took the words right out of my mouth.
I’m not at all convinced that the Kharkiv disengagement is such a win for the Ukrainians. I seem to remember that this happened a gazillion times in Vietnam. The other side would just give way, leaving us with a “win.” Then they’d come back at their leisure & attack again. Who really won? The guy that controlled the course of events.
What really worries me is what’s going on in Congress, especially our 100 prima donna Senators. They are talking us into a war, Larry.
just curious what will happen to the biden admininstration (democrat) if they publicly intent to reenact military draft to fight russia.
with today’s volunteer military it is perfectly safe for chicken hawks to scream WAR WAR WAR behind the comfort of their own home. Once military draft start these same loud mouth will be the first to flee CONUS. The ones that left will have a choice , to be cannon fodder against the nuke armed opponent (russia) and fight under contested air umbrella (as opposed as fighting with total air supremacy ala vietnam) , or these sheeps can reenact anti war protests again.
Tough luck for the new anti war protesters , the whole social media will be shutdown for them as shills/trolls will flood socmed with pro war posts and the ministry of truth will arrest key people in the antiwar protest..
All of them want war except for about 11 Republicans in the House who voted not to provided weapons to Ukraine and against starting the lend lease act which was only used once before, WW2
Jacob Dreizin of the Dreizin Report made an interesting comment about all of this Russian maneuvering; it is confusing the population as to whom to support. Obviously any retreat by the Russians even for tactical reasons means that the population will be accused of supporting Russians and targeted by the Ukrainians as traitors or enemy collaborators with serious results. Bucha many times over.
the population are free to move back toward russia , which in this time of war they should be wise to do so just in case the front line see saw like this.
anyone with a brain will bug out carrying essentials and leave their house temporarily. the one that stay know the risk.
Frankly, that is asking too much of civilians. They are not privy to what militaries are going to do next.
Canadian sniper tells truth about Ukraine
Those social media and Media commenters who claimed russia is slow thus weak and incompetent totally reveal themselves as know nothing about real warfare. How you define ‘slow’ ? compared to what ? of course these western commenters also believed in tens of thousands russian dead and hundreds of russian tanks destroyed (with no photo except fake ones from ORYX disinfo brOsint) , these are the commenters who believed in snake island heroic last stand and Ghost of Kiev nonsense..
Case for example , US Marines assault on Fallujah (2nd battle of fallujah) , with superior number , full air cover / supremacy , armor and indirect fire support , ISR and Drone support , and they need almost 2 months to clear this free-fire-zone city , taking horrible casualties against insurgents.. Is the marines SLOW ? Only those who never knew history and warfare would said so
Michael Murry says
In regards to Falluja, U.S. dogs-of-war mercenaries from Blackwater, Inc, terrorized and pissed off the local Iraqis who killed four of them and hung their charred corpses from a bridge for all to see. General James “Mad Dog” Mattis then led a contingent of Marines into the city, got a bloody nose, and had to retreat. So much for the First Battle of Falluja.
So the Mad Dog and his bullet catchers had to reorganize, re-arm (with white phosphorus and depleted uranium munitions, etc.) and go back into the city again, but the Second Battle of Falluja first had to wait for the re-election of Deputy Dubya Bush and Sheriff Dick Cheney, the Mayberry Machiavellis. That electoral priority concluded, the two-months-long destruction of Falluja could commence. Again: all to avenge the deaths of four dogs-of-war mercenaries.
A year later, when Marine Corps privates first class discovered that their $29,000 per year salaries did not remotely compare to the six-figure salaries of those poor Blackwater mercenaries, the Marines began hassling, shooting at, and arresting the dogs-of-war just for the hell, if not fun, of it. Falluja, unfortunately, still lay in ruins, although the Mad Dog later got himself a job as President Trump’s Secretary of Defense.
Anyway, the Vietnam veteran in me — enraged and helpless watching the venal savagery — tried a little bibliotherapy to calm down. The result: Flowers for Falluja. It helped a little.
D.E. Murray says
The more I read about the insane things the US has done to other countries, and to its own fighting men, the more disgusted I get.
Harlan Easley says
Over at the CNN Blog TTG said:
In response to this question from a commenter
‘One thing I’m wondering is why those surrounded in Mariupol steel plant do not surrender ?’
“The same reason the Texans did not surrender at the Alamo. That place is now a holy shrine. History is full of heroic fights to the death.”
And the Colonel said
“But it would feel so good for Vlad.”
Arguing that Putin may target the Azovstal plant with a tactical nuclear weapon due to the May 9th Victory day and the pressure for results.
They have both gone completely batshit insane. The Alamo were men actually fighting for a cause they believed in.
The Nazis hiding in the bunkers at the plant are no different than Hitler hiding in his bunker. They make videos constantly about Life being unfair and why doesn’t anybody come save them. They murdered innocent civilians and fought a militia for 8 years. Now when the worm has turned they are shown for the craven cowards they have always been.
And why in the hell would Russia target the Azovstal plant with a tactical nuclear weapon when all they have to do is starve them out. The Nazis ain’t going anywhere. Certainly not coming out to fight. They will continue to hide in their bunker until they walk out and surrender.
The SST blog and their operators (TTG and old col lang) continue to post endless fake pro ukraine lies even when some commenters asking questions about objectivity of SST. plenty of ass kisser and trolls bullying people who question TTG lies and the col happily insult and ban people for his perceived pro russia posters.
SST back then and SST today are differen kind of beast , it seem the old col was bought by the powers that be and to act / pretend to be against neocons until the time come when the real owner (TTG) activate his IO fully supporting govt propaganda.
Human weakness always centered on Power/Ego , Money and Sex. Seem like the old Col sold his soul for money to act like bootlicker of neocon.. i doubt he sold SST for sexual favors at his age
Eric Newhill says
You’re an interesting character.
SST/Turco now talking about Russia deploying nukes on a small band of surrounded, depleted UKRonazis, which is nuts, but the US needing to prepare to retaliate. Responding to the voices in their own heads, both the Col and TTG seem to be relishing the idea of damning the nukes and full steam ahead. My last comment to them that I will ever make and which won’t be published, I’m sure:
“Wow. Dr Strangelove is alive and well at Turcopolier. I’m just trying to decide if it’s TTG or Col Lang in the Slim Pickens role riding an A-bomb down to target. Yee haw!
You guys have lost your minds. It’s almost as if MK-Ultra has gotten to you and dropped some kind of nasty mind bending drug in your cocktails. That or you’ve been kidnapped and replaced by hardcore neocon bots. Then again it’s also like the last 24 hours at Jonestown, only 320 million Americans are the duped cult members being served their last drink by Reverends Lang and TTG.
You guys have disgraced yourselves.
I think the spooks running them should take note that a lot of us aren’t buying what they’re selling. Moreover, it pisses us off.
i would opine that TTG is the one sane and normal enough to run IO on SST and keep responding to commenters questioning him by taking the role of ‘good cop’ , meanwhile the old senile and sick col lang lost ALL his analytical ability and his honor (if he ever have one) and become the ‘bad cop’ insulting people who objected and banning people outright.
the only one disgracing himself is the old col lang , TTG as far back then always posted govt narrative nonsense and only rise to this level of absurdity with the ukraine IO he run on SST.
Pat lang lost his mind , in his old age or due to vaccine shot / covid , he forgot who his friends and who his foe.. recall in old posts how he despise biden , now he practically lick biden’s shoes by letting SST used as propaganda mouthpiece.
either he in dire need of money (gambling / debt related) or blackmailed (caught in honeytrap/pedophile sting or family member threatened/blackmailed) , or he lost his mind after vaccination
btw i dont see your comment in that thread you mentioned.. but it is very apt comment for that very stupid ‘tac nuke on azovtal to save putin’s face’ article
On the one hand, it’s truly sad to see a place like SST/Turcopolier, where sane geopolitical analysis was once produced, transformed into a cesspit of BS (though, to be honest, Lang has always been a bitter self-aggrandizing rude bully), but on the other hand, the drivel they spout now is so crazy, it’s almost funny.
The Dr.Strangelove reference is an apt one, my first reaction when i read something there, is often stifled laughter, it sometimes reminds me of Black Adder’s “battle plan”.
Lang/TTG do not merely regurgitate MSM propaganda, they go far further than that.
The MSM has to thread a fine line between presenting Russia’s campaign as a failure and still painting her as a menacing ogre, ready to swallow the Ukraine whole if kind and loyal NATO doesn’t step in.
For the luminaries at SST however, Russia’s military is worse than a third world army, entirely composed of incompetent fools, clueless draftees, obsolete hardware and deranged leaders, while the Ukrainians are brave and invincible cow-boys, riding their T64 with a smile on their lips, and effortlessly driving the impotent bear out of their country, direction Moscow, one successful counter-offensive after the other (and this despite the HUNDREDS of videos showing the desperate state of the Ukrainian military and the steady and often gruesome grinding by Russian artillery).
This is like a comedy act.
more likely the old col need $$$ and was paid a wad of cash to kow tow the neocon line , and of course his old photos of him engaging in pedophilic sexual activities will be kept hidden by the PTB
that explained a lot why he so enthusiasticslly support neocons..
Michael Murry says
I saw this comment recently at the Moon of Alabama blog:
And it would seem like — after the back-and-forth tactical exchange — that the proxy-NATO Kiev-regime forces would have significantly less men, equipment, fuel, and ammunition available for the next round of the dance. Rinse and repeat, so to speak. Or, “military math” as Scott Ritter likes to say. Not hard to see where this leads. Only a matter of time.