If you are looking for a TV show ending to the war in Ukraine, this is not the place for you. This piece is written with the intent of trying to give you a variety of information that is not being reported on the mainstream news channels, western and Russian.
I want to start with the commentary of Austrian Colonel Markus Reisner, which coincides with my own recent analysis:
Austrian colonel and military expert Markus Reisner declared that Western countries are seriously mistaken in relying on large arms supplies for the Ukrainian army. According to Markus Reisner, ”the Russian army continues to make solid progress in its offensive against Ukrainian positions in the Donbass, and it will be victorious in the region. This is evidenced by the fact that most of the territories of the DPR and LPR, including large cities, are already under the control of the Russian army.
Russia also controls important facilities in southern Ukraine, on the shores of the Sea of Azov.” Austrian colonel also added that ”in the West they try not to talk about the obvious advance of the Russian armed forces and the Western media make a lot of efforts to hide the obvious successes of the Russians, which is a serious mistake”.
Markus Reisner stressed that ”He is following the situation in Ukraine from various sources, and concluded that the West is deeply mistaken in relying on large military aid supplies for the Armed Forces of Ukraine”. According to the colonel, ”it takes a lot of time to send weapons, and these weapons are spent literally in one day. And more often than not, these Western weapons do not even have time to fall into the hands of the Ukrainian military on the front line”. ”According to the US defense department, the weapons that the West sends to Ukraine during the week – runs out within a day. This means that Western weapons are immediately used by the Ukrainians and most of these weapons are captured or destroyed by the Russians. The Russian army seizes a lot of weapons”, – said Markus Reisner.
The Austrian colonel also drew attention to the high professionalism of the Russian special forces, which opposes the Ukrainian troops. According to Markus Reisner, ”Russian special forces successfully track down groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and neutralize them. This means that the supply lines for the offensive of the Russian Armed Forces in the Donbass are not damaged”.
He also noted the well-coordinated work of the infantry and artillery of the Russian armed forces. ”The Russian offensive in the Donbass is currently slow but steady and thorough, with significant artillery and infantry support. This is not a sign of weakness. Rather, it shows that the battalion tactical groups interact more closely with each other and are controlled centrally”, – said Austrian colonel and military expert Markus Reisner.
Without a functional air force and the capability to maneuver artillery and tank units, Ukraine is confronted with a war of attrition that it cannot win. Ignore the military activities and focus on the economic reality confronting Ukraine. Their ability to produce and export grain (a critical source of foreign exchange) has been damaged severely. Ukraine is no longer able to rely on container ships importing and exporting critical goods. Ukriane cannot replace this with truck convoys from Poland. At this point, Ukraine is like a soldier with a bleeding femoral artery. Death is just a matter of time.
The Ukrainians got a bit of good news today with reports that they mounted a counteroffensive north of Kharkiv. Focus on the rivers shown in the following map. The Russians are withdrawing from positions that would leave them trapped with their backs to the water. But this is not a great victory for Ukraine. From the Russian standpoint it is tactical withdrawal so that their forces retain the freedom to move in different directions. The danger for the Ukrainians is that they are out in the open and provide a potential fat target for Russian artillery and airstrikes.
Kharkov Counteroffensive by the Ukrainian Forces—Rybar SitRep, as of 19:00, May 6, 2022
1—Following the withdrawal of Russian forces from Stary Saltov, the withdrawal of the troops from the northeastern outskirts of Kharkov became only a matter of time.
2—After a Ukrainian saboteur-recon group blew up the bridge across the Murom river, between Russkiye Tishki & Cherkasskiye Tishki, threat of encirclement in a cauldron became obvious.
3—Russian command decided to withdraw RF units from Tsirkuny, Cherkasskiye Tishki, & Liptsy.
4—The advance units of Ukrainian forces entered Liptsy in the morning of May 6, 2022. At that time, there were not longer any Russian troops in the settlement: The units had withdrawn to the north. At this time, Russian forces control a 7-8 km buffer zone north of Kharkov.
5—Ukrainian forces are conducting a zachistka (mop-up operations against civilians). Ukrainian units are breaking into basements, checking the cellphones of local residents, and are searching for agents and informers of the Russian forces.
Next up is the tactical picture on the southern front. The Russians are enjoying more success here. If they seize control of Orekhov they will be positioned to move on Zaporozhye and create a threat to the Ukrainian forces occupying territory north of them. This means the Ukrainians will be facing increased pressure to avoid being encircled.
1—In Mariupol, the Allied forces have taken control of the terrikon (man-made slag heap mountain) on the southeastern outskirts of the Azovstal industrial complex. The strikes at the positions of the Azov (Ukrainian neo-Nazi National Guard regiment) continue unabated. After demanding to exchange the civilians they hold as human shield hostages for food, the Azov nationalists have been categorized as terrorists.
2—Russian forces are conducting constant strikes against Gulyai Pole and Orekhov. These are two of the primary fortified strongholds of the Ukrainian forces in this theatre of the conflict. Once the Ukrainian defensive lines at Gulayi Pole are broken, a further offensive in the direction of the northern Allied grouping that is advancing on Slavyansk from the north will become possible.
3—To the west of Orekhov, the Russian forces have taken the minor settlement of Shcherbaki. Taking control of Orekhov would open the door to an offensive on Zaporozhye (the administrative centre of the Zaporozhye region).
4—On the boundary line between Novoukrainka-Ugledar-Sladkoye, Russian forces have evened out the line of front.
The plight of those fighting for Ukraine is not cheery. In the following video you will see some seemingly happy Georgian mercenaries bullshitting until they are hit with an artillery strike.
The next video shows how the Russians are using drones as an eye in the sky to pinpoint Ukrainian ground positions. The S-300 anti-aircraft unit is eliminated.