Yes it is true. I just obtained a secret video of Vladimir Putin–he is in a full state of panic–warning the Russians to flee because the war is lost:
Okay. Maybe I was mistaken. But I had to post that video in honor of the western media’s reaction today to Putin’s speech announcing partial mobilization and declaring that Russian would use all of its weapons to defend itself. Instead of taking Putin at face value and acknowledging that he is not one to make idle threats, western pundits and politicians rushed to set the meme–i.e., Putin is hysterical and panicked. He is a desperate man ready to do desperate things because Ukraine is beating the crap out of Russia. Etc. Denethor is an island of tranquility compared to the anguished, despondent Putin. Or so we are told.
If it is said by “authorities” on television and repeated multiple times, it has to be true. There is no room for an alternative explanation. Does Vlad look rattled to you?
Do you know why a skunk has a white stripe down its back or a porcupine quills? Those are visible signs to warn unsuspecting souls that there is potential danger with those creatures. Putin’s body language should be viewed the same way. He is leaning forward and not quivering one bit. He is direct and firm and leaves no room for nuance.
The reaction of western political leaders to Putin’s speech is alarming. Most seem to believe that Putin is just bluffing because he is losing. Therefore they promise to continue sending advanced weaponry to Ukraine that will be used to attack Russian civilians. Let me remind you specifically what Putin said about these threats:
We will without questions use ALL means at our disposal to protect Russia and our people. This is not a bluff. And those who are using nuclear blackmail against us should know that the wind rose (NATO symbol) can turn around.”
Putin’s decision to declare a partial mobilization of men with prior military service was not precipitated by a significant attrition in the existing force. The facts are clear–the militias of Dontesk and Luhansk represent the majority of the Russian allied forces doing the fighting in the Donbas. The militias are reinforced by contract soldiers from the Wagner Group and the Chechens. This explains why Russia has less than 5,800 kia since February 24–Russians are not the primary force on the frontlines of the battles.
The number of Russians fighting in Ukraine is going to change dramatically. But the arrival of Russian units in force is at least a month away. The referenda in the Ukrainian oblasts come first and will be followed by the Government of Russia and the Russian legislature accepting the results and approving the annexation of these territories. After that, any attack on the new Russian republics would be treated as an act of war against Russia.
While Ukraine has carried out some spotty attacks in the Crimea and Belgorod in the last six months, Russia has shrugged these off and continued with its mission to secure Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia and Kherson. The referenda is a watershed and the special military operation will be replaced by Russia going on a war footing. The west will be well advised to acknowledge this fact rather than pretend that Russia is on the verge of collapse.
The reality is that western leaders, not Putin, are behaving like the deranged Denethor. We need a Gandalf with a big white wand to knock some sense into them. Otherwise, the world is entering some very dangerous waters and heightened risk of nuclear war.
ya, didnt look very rattled to me either…
i think all the gandalfs have retired long ago…
Putin said verbatim, “Those who are using nuclear blackmail against us should know that the wind rose (NATO symbol) can turn around.” Meaning, NATO’s plans will blow into its face.
Thank you. That makes a big difference.
I see it as just pure common sense.
The wind rose spins 360°
He is a very succint person, and doesn’t leave things for interpretation.
This is purely truth
The wind rose goes from east to west regularly
Which matter of factly means.. you will feel the pain of Russia being hit by nuclear weapons… The rose will make sure of that.
Hurrrahhh for Saint Vladimir the savior of Saint Russia!
No offense, but spins 360° = back where you started. I believe you mean spins 180°
In the West, especially in the EU and in the Nordics – Sweden “we didn’t see it coming”.
*“Those who are using nuclear blackmail against us should know that the wind rose (NATO symbol) can turn around.” Meaning, NATO’s plans will blow into its face.*
There’s a rather more specific point implied in that phrasing.
[1] The Kiev regime’s shelling of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, its lies about that, and the subsequent refusal of the IAEA and the UN to acknowledge those Ukrainian lies will have hardened Russian attitudes towards the EU and the West .
[2] There are fifteen nuclear power plants in Ukraine, IIRC.
[3] When the coming referendums are done, the territories of Donetz and Lugansk will become officially Russian territory. The US-NATO will continue to encourage the Kiev regime to attack those regions, though they will then be Russia by Russian lights. At that point, the Russians will take that as an act of war and conclude the special military operation and begin the war proper on Ukraine.
[4] They can then do what they’ve been technically capable of doing from the beginning and do what the USA canonically does when it invades a country: target and take out with missile and air strikes both the enemy’s C&C centers — which are currently occupied to some greater or lesser extent by the US-NATO military personnel actually directing this war, and the country’s civil infrastructure of water, railroads, communications, specific bridges and roads, and its power plants and transmission lines.
[5] Among those power plants are the fifteen nuclear plants. The targeting of those could be done on days when the wind is specifically blowing east to west.
Wind rose is not NATO symbol, but something that depicts how wind blows in certain area (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_rose). I belive it was used as usual “winds could change” metaphor , but also as a refence to nuclear fallout that is wind dependant and can suddenly go westwards instead of eastwards (i.e. potential fallout from Zaporozhie nuclear power plant shelling).
Wind is changing.
He has gone to the West with the other Ring Bearers. None of them are coming back.
The western leaders seem to be taking massive risks to support Ukraine and they don’t seem to worry about the risks of nuclear war .
‘Consistency is the refuge of fools’ Gandhi said, the West is doing the same thing – unjustified colonial wars, regime change and theft – everywhere for ages wit zero consequences or accountability.
So, they are repeating the same thing and expecting the same result. Russian blood and their less savage fighting style has made them crave MORE blood and their lucrative MIC shares have made them crave MORE money.
The West is playing chicken. If someone is driving at you in road you hold your nerve knowing you have right of way thinking they can’t be so stupid, the person then throws steering wheel out of window. Puts hands up and tounge out.
At that point you know they are crazy enough to do it. Whether they brake or not they are showing you they are not moving from your lane.
You have two choices, one swerve out of their way with risk of oncoming traffic or injury, two make sure you are driving an 8 wheel truck that will smash them on collision.
Russia is trying to build the truck to ram them off their lane.
The West thinks they can always pull the handbrake if Russia stays the course.
Unfortunately, if you are driving the truck, maybe you get mad enough that you don’t stop when they brake.
Maybe you stop also and talk or yell.
Maybe you just destroy so he cannot do it again.
“Russia is trying to build the truck to ram them off their lane.”
I think Russia’s truck is built. They’re just putting it into gear.
I suspect they don’t believe there is any risk. They’ve been swilling their own kool-aid about Russia (and China) for so long they’ve come to believe it is reality,
Any risk to them or their families.
They understand the rest of us face risk.
If Putin is taking over his neighbors using the threat of nuclear war then we are already in a nuclear war. He attacked Ukraine. Consider it Poland. Or the Sudetenland. You can’t let him do whatever he wants just because he has nukes and will use them and we won’t. You have to consider what comes next. What does this empower? Draw a clear line on the ground and defend it. It’s the best way to stop him from using nukes.
Mike,
Why do you ignore the actual threat that the United States and NATO presented to Russia? Russia’s action in Ukraine was totally provoked by the west. Are you a troll or just not well informed?
I didn’t want to say anything, but Vlad is hanging out at my house, trying to pull himself together and enjoying some fine American bourbon, which he is growing quite fond of, while I try to lift his spirits. True facts.
It only becomes true if the media repeats it again and again.
What brand does he like? I want to buy a bottle.
He shouldn’t drink. British press have confirmed he is dying again and had to be attended to by doctors before and after that speech for a coughing spluttering.
All UK press is declaring victory, it’s called high on your own supply.
What does the British press have to say about Biden?
That he sat in the 17th row at Queens funeral , didn’t want to sit on the bus, and Trump was laughing at him.
Living in Sparta Greece I can honestly say 90% of Greek public support Russia and not our leadership. My energy bill has gone from 90 euros per month to 320 all because Brussels and Nato force the puppet Prime Ministers to follow orders. All leaders of EURO block are like a franchisee running a Mcdonalds. The headquarters in Brussels telling the Greek PM to add feta cheese to hamburger to make it more appealing for Greeks.
Sad leadership in the west is all I can say and hope my english is ok:)
You are better at writing English than most Americans.
Maybe this is affecting CIA. They meant to type Iraq did not have weapons of mass destruction, but they did a typo. War broke out and they were to embarrassed to fess up.
Don’t provoke Russia, nuclear armed, became donuts provoke Russia, now clear for arms. They
Maybe this is all just a misunderstanding that can be solved by improving literacy levels in America.
I try to explain this to Americans, but it’s like talking to a wall. The overwhelming majority of people who live in Orthodox Christian nations are on Russia’s side in this matter. That also includes Orthodox Christians in the diaspora. And these are the people who are most in tune to what’s going on.
I always have always supported America when it comes to our national defense. But our government seems to have been taken over and occupied by neocons and neolibs and they are running our country into a ditch. And don’t get me started about the globalism and the secular religion of the people running our government.
Now that TempoNick (Nikolaos, I presume) has opened up the subject, Orthodox Christians believe firmly in the primacy of communion (Sobornost) which makes us — or should make us — instinctively sensitive to the divisive mendacity underlying “globalism and secular religion.” I might add: among their many victims, “they” seem to make predominantly Orthodox peoples preferred targets: the ruination of Ukraine, the dismantling of Russia, Serbia next in line, Bulgaria on the robes, Middle Eastern Orthodox (Christians generally speaking) martyred (in one way or another) — but, unfortunately, the rulers of Greece and Romania compromised with the European dream.
I should like to take this opportunity to thank you, Larry, for your helpful efforts.
Serbia is not next in line, but it was first in line. Serbia (un)willingly sacrificed itself to stall NATO and buy some time for Russia.
Word!
Quite right about the Orthodox Christians and our government’s path to oblivion. These are trying times as predicted by our holy men of the past. If we stand with Jesus, we will be OK.
I do not agree with you about the Americans since they only care about their interests. Don’t forget that they, with the British gave Turkey the green light to invade Cyprus.
On the other hand the only leader Erdogan listens to is Putin. And we are officially an enemy of Russia. So if Turkey attacks us …
Greece’s only true friend is GOD, as stated by Kolokotronis the great General of the revolution against the Ottomans.
This is so true. Let any doubter read the novels written by Nikos kazantzakis to gauge the depth of feeling of Christian Orthodox people for Mother Russia and what Moscow represents for them.
It’s Cold War conditioning amongst the… let’s call them honored elders. Ring the bell, and they snarl “Russkies! Commies!” Meanwhile real authoritarians have taken over much of the US, and the honored elders are unconcerned at best to see their own kind being erased, or they think it’s funny at worst. Or they blame me because my birth somehow altered the time stream at the quantum level back 50 years before I was born.
Sparta? Amazing…such history.
Perhaps we in the West will all need to learn some Spartan, Laconic practices to endure the winter that’s coming. 🙂
We don’t have leaders, we have rulers. And those are not the ones you see at the podium.
I love seeing fellow Greeks in the comments. But I think you are off with the 90%. Don’t forget that most people still believe the media and systemic political parties who play the US and NATO narrative.
Same for the rest of Europe….. btw I wish I could write and speak the Greek language 20 % of your capacity in English
The West leaders public “reactions” are geared to MSM for narrative control of their populations. Everything they do is for propaganda purposes. 100%. They are shitting bricks right now, at least in the EU. The USA will have its own epiphany soon enough.
Agree! Who would expect those “leaders” (on the top, not the ones on the strings) to tell the truth, repent and sacrifice their careers just to vanish into oblivion? They are like business men trying to buy time before they have to declare bankruptcy.
True. They are not unlike people who jump out of skyscrapers. The West is enveloped in madness and fantasy, and, dare I say it, a very real demonic possession. Will they awaken and be driven to their knees, not by an outside force, but by an inner desperation? The solution is there for all. Choose life, not just for themselves, but for future generations.
I agree with your characterization of the West’s insanity as ‘demonic possession’. Whether one considers its current state of mind to be due to the action of malevolent, inhuman entities, or simply a mass psychosis arising from the Jungian collective unconscious–or even some other cause–it is clear to me that the West is in the grip of ‘something’ which is anti-life, anti-love, anti-compassion: a pure negation of all that gives nobility to our existence.
A religious person might view this as the beginning of a ‘testing time’, or a time of tribulation; a secularist might view it as the end of the Age of Reason. Personally, I tend toward the ‘societal psychotic break’ view a la Jordan Peterson’s analysis. I also suspect that whatever is preserved of Western civilization will be due to the modern equivalents of the early medieval monastic movement….
What an eloquently stated and astute analysis. Best to you.
Not only them. They are telling the Ukranians and the Nazis they can win. Imagine what thousands of angry military trained young men would do to the West if they knew the West knows they can’t win.
There are also legal consequences in international law if it was known it was a known unknown.
I think the choice to the West is made clearer by the onset of winter?
Very low on military supplies, raging inflation, poor economy and a darn cold winter…
The longer this drags, the more seeds of hatred and anger will be sown, the harder it is to reach a negotiated settlement – let alone peace.
Don’t lose hope that common sense and pragmatism will prevail!
I don’t think common sense is “common” in the west any more. It is more like “come on, you want fight?”
Agree with Sumant – very unfortunately the West has long lost any common sense.
Actually the way the West’s myriad of interest groups are behaving does remind me of the “Walkin’ Dude” (Randall Flagg) character in Stephen King’s novel “The Stand”. Death with a smiley face. Wherever the “Walkin’ Dude” passes, discord ensues.
Besides evil (e.g. greed and envy for other countries’ resources, wanton sacrifice of human lives, control and coercion over European sovereign nation states, hate and torture, etc.) how else to explain the current situation?
Of course, we can “rationalize” everything: just geopolitics, defending “democracy” in Ukraine, “safeguarding” Europe, etc. But really?
Sometimes evil is evil; no sugar coating it.
Don’t give up!
There are always normal people on either sides of a conflict.
Keep the faith.
Alien Ideology & The Lonely Crows
As is obvious, military grade propaganda was intended to make it next to impossible for it to be socially acceptable to even discuss covid vax injuries and deaths. As Dr. Karen Horney prophetically said with socially induced neurosis on individuals: we’re dealing with dynamite.
Same goes for military grade propaganda intending to make it next to impossible for it to be socially acceptable to even discuss USA going down the drain — in the Ukraine context, especially, as Larry’s essay makes plain.
USA’s invincibility viz. Russian Federation: an illusion.
This illusion: spread far and wide in my country tis of thee, sweet land of tyranny?
Maniacs and deranged con men in charge of USA public health, medical-industrial complex, military industrial complex, Congress-industrial complex, White House industrial complex. Derelicts in charge of The Derelict Nation — but, importantly, this is our nation.
Russian Sociologist Alexander Dugin succinctly summarizes the new American, its totalitarianist progression. . . .in contradistinction to what had been its libertarianism — our nation. . . .
Quoted below:
[[In reality, it was these alien elites who hijacked the old American democracy. It was they who took the helm of globalist structures and gradually seized power in the United States.
These elites, often left-liberal, sometimes openly Trotskyist, have brought with them a position that is deeply alien to the American spirit: the belief in linear progress. Progress and pragmatism are incompatible. If progress works, fine. If not, it must be abandoned. Here is the law of pragmatism: it works/doesn’t work. If you want to move forward, move forward, if you want the opposite, no problem, that’s freedom the American way. . . .
The old America sees individual freedom as that which excludes any external prescription, any demand to use it only this way and no other, only for this and nothing else. Only for abortion and gay pride, for example, and never for banning abortion or demonising perverts. New America, on the other hand, insists that freedom requires violence against those who do not understand it well enough. Which means that freedom must have a normative interpretation and it is up to the neo-liberals themselves to determine how and to whom they use it and how they interpret it. The old liberalism is libertarian. The new is blatantly totalitarian. . . .]
https://katehon.com/en/article/united-states-court-against-ideology-progress
PS
My view is that traditional Liberalism has been interrupted, along with reason, logic, knowledge, science. . . .and military grade propaganda is an important dimension in this project; others being the agents and spooks of western elites infiltrated our colleges and universities, our medical system, our military, even. . . and all that this implies. And dividing us on race, gender, sexual identity and myriad and sundry sinister narratives. . . to try and make us crazy. And here we are, chaos. Chaos is very ugly, very dangerous, very deadly and things are now out of control.
-30-
I could not agree more, however, despite the hopelessness of the situation, the degree of corruption and the obvious overthrow of nearly every institution, I believe that GOD has not turned His back on those of us who have access to His throne through Jesus Christ and have been pleading for justice and an end to the evil that is prominent now in the US. There is hope.
Amen 👍🏻
God did not turn his back, God is not with any country or people.
The real question is who is with God.
Every religion teaches truth as a cornerstone. If you are with God you are with truth. If you are against God, you are with lies and ignorance.
Being with truth is an active not passive state. It require work and intent to know and act on truth. This is a core purpose of human life if you have faith or moral standards.
As Guru Nanak founder of the Sikh faith so aptly put it, ” Truth is great, but greater still is truthful living.”
Yes, but it can be a very lonely and sad life : because nobody trusts an honest man. They are in fact, the most dangerous man in the room.
Great post Jim, but be careful. To reference another fantasy book, you are getting dangerously close to “he who shall not be named!” The Lord Voldemort controlling US foreign policy.
You thought wrong; He said by their fruits you will know them, *but* when you judge others, judge yourself first.
Judgment and love are not opposites. True judgment is an act of love.
God did not say “judge nobody.”
KJV Matthew 7
Judge not lest ye be judged. For with what judgement ye judge, it shall be measured to you again….
…7:5 Thou hypocrite, first cast out the beam in thine own eye; then shalt thou see clearly to cast the mote out of thy brother’s eye.
Iow, you will be judged by the same standard that you use to judge others. The measurement you use on them will be used on you.
If you can’t judge rightly, without bias, then best to withhold judgement.
I believe when they are ready, there will be a demonstration of force.
I fear it maybe somewhat eye watering.
I sincerely hope it is not a demonstration that will cast a doubt or false hope on article 5.
However I think that is a real possibility.
There will be no artice 5 involved in my opinion. Everyone of those maniacs knows exactly what is coming to them when they try to cross one of the red lines. They all fear that when that moment comes NATO will simply fall apart. Take Hungary for example. They would be the first ones to fold because they know exactly what is going on and they are not going to sacrifice themself for some globalists wet dream. But there will be more cracks in that so called “alliance” when things get serious. EU and NATO are not what they pretend to be. They lost long time ago but they are not capable to acknowledge their mistakes and they will go down this way. Pouring money may prolong their agony but in the end there is no way out of this mess they created and brought themselves into.
The UK Column just reported the UK is going to cough up £2.3 billion in 2023 to continue training Ukrainian cannon fodder and for more weapons.
This while the war contractors on the UK plantation in the US at the behest of their masters in the UK who are currently occupied with groveling in shit at the Queen’s state funeral are increasing war production. That apparently is the only manufacturing the US plantation is capable of these days.
Who pays for all this? Printing presses.
Did anyone notice the news of the UK-US proxy in Kiev Zelensky about his parents alleged to have bought an $8 million villa in Israel? The $8 million likely coming out of US war aid to Ukraine. It pays to be a proxy. Nobody thinks this was for free do they?
The translation was incorrect regarding the “prevailing winds.” What Putin said verbatim, ” those who are using nuclear blackmail against us should know that the wind rose (the NATO emblem) can turn around.” Meaning, whatever NATO plots will blow into its collective face.
This scenario is no different than the old schoolyard bully scene. The bully only reacts to physical violence rather than just to threats or announcing red lines. There can be no other way to resolve this… except violence.
The complete insanity of this US policy will kill us all. With China as the very likely forthcoming global hegemon, Russia is a natural ally. Russia wanted to help with GWOT but were refused. My good friend was once on the Joint Staff, and they traveled to Moscow (and vice versa) and socialized with their equivalent staff. At the time, they all expected to be future allies. It’s all extremely nefarious.
I’ve recently saw reports that hours after Putin announced the partial mobilization some of the Azov militants, foreign mercenaries were exchanged with Russian PoWs.
This looks more like a diplomatic gesture and I’m thinking Russia is STILL leaving room open for peace deal.
I think that is right. Given that Saudi Arabia was the apparent intermediary it was also a diplomatic gift to the Saudis. Russia and China are slowly pulling them out of the pure western orbit. After all, in very simplistic terms what has western hegemony done for the Middle East?
They got the pro Russian leader of the Ukranian opposition in exchange. As well as others.
The leader of the opposition is a good catch. If they or US chop chop Ze then he is a leader Russia can install.
Maybe they can free Trump next because AG Garland is having too many orgasms.
Kalus,
It has seemed to me that remaining open to negotiations has been an unwavering position of Putin’s. But there’s a significant east/west difference in the understanding of what war should be; for the west it is simply a military affair in which the opponent is crushed.
When the reading of “…..mit anderen Mitteln” becomes “….by other means” the use of a two letter word instead of four (in Howard’s 1976 translation) the whole point of Clauswitz’s repeated statement is lost to strategists and scholars alike.
Perhaps Putin’s fluent German gives him a more reasoned and rational approach to the business of violence than his western counterparts.
Anyone know if the 5,800 KIA number is just Russian army soldiers, or does it include in that total all the DPR, LPR, Chechen, Wagner and other allied forces?
Only Russian. Does not include the Donbas militias.
You keep insisting, Larry, that the reported KIA are only Russian soldiers, although Shoigu did not specify (one would think he would make a reference to Russia’s allies regarding the matter). If, as you remark, the bulk of the fighting has been done by the militias and attached units – Chechens and Wagner – wouldn’t 5900 Russian KIA be too high a number, by just doing aerial, missile and artillery bombing and defence?
Just a thought.
i suggest you do your own research instead of asking questionss , on the day to day operation of SMO and the projected + real casualties of russia forces with and without their allies from DNR/LNR.
just a thought
Is it forbidden – or uncivilised – to ask a (reasonable) question on this site? Is addressing the owner of this site with a question beneath his dignity? Are one’s remarks so out of order, for such a rebuke?
Methinks nothing unbecoming has been posted by this reader.
More than a thought… a conclusion.
Ce n’est qu’un décompte officiel. Mais il est très proche de la réalité. Cependant dans votre approche, vous ne faites pas de différenciation entre la phase 1 et la phase 2 de la SMO. Dans la première phase il y avait beaucoup plus d’engagements de troupes russes, à Gostomel par exemple, donc une variation du nombre de morts et c’est logique…D’ailleurs des services américains ont fait une évaluation du nombre de tombés dans le cimetières Russes et arrivent à un décompte très proche….
Merci Larry pour votre article, encore du sens critique qui permet de la clairvoyance pour lire l’actualité que les MSM travestissent pour des buts opposés à la démocratie et les droits élémentaires des gens.
Je vous lis depuis la France, tous les jours.
Translation:
This is only an official count. But it is very close to reality. However in your approach, you do not differentiate between phase 1 and phase 2 of the SMO. In the first phase there were many more engagements of Russian troops, in Gostomel for example, so a variation in the number of dead and it is logical… Moreover, American services made an assessment of the number of fallen in the Russian cemeteries and arrive at a very close count….
Thank you Larry for your article, again with a critical sense that allows clairvoyance to read the news that MSM disguise for goals opposed to democracy and the basic rights of people.
I read you from France, every day.
Merci.
The comments on You Tube regarding this video is astonishing of how uninformed and delusional Western citizens really are. It’s actually frightening.
My contribution to the comments:
WOW! I can’t believe American people have gotten so stupid. The people you wave the flag for are the VERY SAME NEOCONS that caused problem after problem after problem after problem around the world. (Arab Spring, Vietnam, Weapons of Mass Destruction, stabbing Khadafi in the back, Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, etc.) But somehow, they’re completely not to blame here? You guys need some serious debrainwashing.
History lesson: Neocons are in great part descendants of people who were card-carrying Trotskyites. They were considered fringe until the flipped to the Republican Party and Reagan gave them a seat at the table. Since then, they have multiplied throughout the government like rabbits and have turned what used to be the “shining city on the hill” into the New Evil Empire. Decouple yourselves from the fake news and start thinking independently!
Sorry, but it seems that your history lesson is just diversion. Neocons have nothing with Trotskyites, but are descendants of eugenics and ‘old money’.
And both of them are the main instigators and supporters of WW1 and WW2. And now they pushing hardly for WW3.
Just my opinion.
False. Leo Strauss and the kristops were emigres from eastern Europe who were devotees of Trotsky. The neocons are basically Jewish leftists who found a new schtick.
Correct. They are also Luciferians (same as Karl Marx who wrote poetry from Lucifer’s POV) who seek the degradation, enslavement, and extermination of Christians of all nationalities.
I carry on seeing this connection being made between Trotsky and US neocons but never seen it referenced. I’d be interested in finding out anything that documents this if it exists.
Look up Leo Straus, university of Chicago professor who taught/mentored many of foundational neocons. It’s less about communism than Trotsky’s permanent revolution with shades of the revolutionary vanguard idea. There was some communism in straus but tinged with Zionism (common in early Zionism). It could get really weird if one starts to accept the theory that Trotsky was a western asset, which has just enough meat on the bones of historical record to be at least possible.
https://strategic-culture.org/news/2021/09/17/the-great-reset-how-managerial-revolution-was-plotted-80-years-ago-by-cia-neocon/
Always sort youtube comment by “most recent first” , the defaults comment presentation algorithms are kind of “oriented” theses days which induced a lot of perceptions biases.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nxlFMSPdcR4
I hope Putin carries through on his earlier threat to go after the decision makers. If US neocons and “British” trillionairs are wiped out, the whole world will be a much better place.
When is the next Davos conference? Asking for a товарищ
YES. Eliminate the neocons–Victoria Nuland, Sullivan, Kagan, and Biden. If the neocons are eliminated there will be peace on Earth.
Larry, this post & vids are priceless! All so well said, I’ve been cringing all day with Macron, Scholtz, Bidens UN address, let alone the idiot con artist running the Ukraine …I swear after Pres. Putins address I thought I d been transported to an alternate universe hearing the “responses”… anyways thx… a much needed sanity check, that I’m not the only one that doesn’t think Pres.Putin is crazy Denethor… perfect!
You highlight the most significant danger arising from this announcement: Western “leaders” have swallowed their own propaganda hook, line and sinker.
They exist within a bubble where everyone is reinforcing the delusion that Putin is bluffing because, really, if he isn’t then they can’t do what they want to do.
Ergo, as far as they are concerned he must be bluffing.
He must be, because they don’t like the alternative.
Russian Defense Minister Shoigu.
“Russia is at war with the collective West,” since Ukraine itself “has long since run out of weapons.”
Perhaps Ukraine may not be the target. The Collective West should listen and not run off with their mouths. But they wont.
With the collapse of the EU and American economies getting more engaged is not a wise idea.
Shoigu’s talk was most significant. Worth a close reread
Xi orders the armed forces to be ready for war. This is either a hint with a fence post or Moscow and Beijing know the plans of the zombies in the West. I fear that the U.S. and the NATO Europeans think they have to go all the way. I think it is impossible that the USA will suddenly capitulate. The only possibility is a ceasefire and an iron wall. If that is not the compromise, then I fear the worst. If the West wants to continue to control its populations, then it must take on Hitler’s legacy. Otherwise, the economic and social catastrophe will blow up in their faces.
On the contrary, I believe the West has already taken on this legacy. Rocket science wasn’t the only thing we took from the NAZIs.
The only off-ramp is “à la Afghanistan”… the West’s military promptly withdrawing, tail between legs, and papering over the embarrassment as if nothing happened. What? Forgotten already.
Other alternatives would most likely be cataclysmic.
Unfortunately the main stream media in Australia is just as delusional as the US/UK. The head of foreign editorial for the Australian newspaper, Greg Sheridan, today said “Russia has been out-fought, out-manoeuvred (their spelling!)and out-thought by his Ukrainian enemies.” and that ‘Putin is a despot’.
I added this website to my favorites yesterday. What is going to be hit first?
A ten KT on Ramstein AFB? I see there is a big storage area adjacent, probably one on that as well.
One important factor is how resource effective these weapons are in terms of bangs to the Buck/Ruble.
Is everyone high in Washington?
https://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/
I’ve been “sensing” it for a long time. When the gloves come off, and we all know that at one point they will have to, Russia in all her might will target Rammstein AFB in full force sending a shock-wave so devastating to Western leaders they will not know how to react. The reason for Rammstein is two-fold: On one hand, it sends a very loud message to the current German government to either desist in blindly following the diktats of its US overlords or risk enormous destruction to its country. On the other hand, it will send an unequivocal warning to the US establishment that to continue on the path of aggression would be suicidal.
A Carrier Group? No civilian casualties.
All the Carrier Groups at once? 80,000 US Sailors and Airmen gone? Once you start this thought exercise there are no good outcomes.
Poseidon is loose. If I was Russia each carrier would have a lurking first line Poseidon.
A second line on shores of US and UK. Possibly France. The rest of Europe are poodles who will fall in line once off leash.
A third line on US island bases, Chagos Garcia etc. No civilian casualties.
I’m sure they/ subs which US can’t detect are already positioned. That also probably why Russia is calm. US has alot of vulnerable bases and ships if the gloves come off. The deaths will be all military and well over 100,000 without touching mainland US
Moscow said 9 months or so ago a few times their response would be attacking those giving the orders. ( aka command and control centers )
I read a lot of sources daily both for useful information (thank you Larry) and to see what other people think. I have just been perusing the Guardian and readers comments. Such ill informed prejudiced from a group that claims moral superiority.
I conclude we are all dead.
UNGA speech yesterday by a small country’s President trying to stay neutral and thread the needle. Standing ovation by the chamber. 19 minutes by President of Serbia
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=vqe0s9O_LaY
“… to protect Russia and our people”. I wonder how it sounds in the original Russian. Does our people refer to the people living inside the borders of the Russian Federation, or does it also include Russian speakers in, say, the Baltics?
Baltic statelets know that they are next in line for denazification. That is why they can’t stop barking.
The madness of western leaders is clearly apparent. I’ve followed this since 2014 and all Russia and Putin expected was respect.
Respect for Russia and Russia’s Ambassadors/leaders was completely and absolutely refused and ignored by the west.
One wonders if this tactic by the west is psychologically driven or the result of a spiritual blindness by the west? It’s a deep and difficult question to answer but, nothing has changed since 2014 regardless of Administrations changing. The faces change but the ignorance remains.
The Russians for their part are guilty of believing that their ‘western partners’ would eventually see reason, logic and that they would come to an understanding.
They have been proven wrong again and again.
This makes me believe that the west is ideologically driven. Like religious zealots, trapped in a cult who’re unable to see facts, reason or truth. They’re literally blind to truth like people with scales over their eyes.
I think the Russians still hold out for hope in reason but they will eventually if not already come to the conclusion that the only way to ‘reach’ these people is through the expression of power. Real genuine power.
Every attempt of reason that the Russians have showed so far is only interpreted by the west as weakness.
As Mike Tyson said, “Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face”
Watching Putin last night has convinced me at least that Russia will oblige with that punch soon enough.
“The Russians for their part are guilty of believing that their ‘western partners’ would eventually see reason, logic and that they would come to an understanding.”
When did that happen ?
From 1969 onwards colleagues/partners often referred to those complicit in their own transcendence, as in dancing partners, for whom mirrors were sourced from Children’s World in 1991 instead of building villages.
Larry, A question – Do you believe that the professional USA military support this misadventure because they are aware that Russia with its modern armoury could and will pulverize them if a shooting war starts directly? It’s very clear that this seems to be a Jewish led State and CIA kind of operation but wouldn’t military leaders know that it’s their men who’s going to die in their thousands? Why would any leader accept that fact for an objective not threatening the homeland? Also one perspective writing from Asia – Asian and Eastern nations doesn’t attach too much significance to death whether it’s civilian or military because of their cultural and religious makeup and how the East and South views human life and it’s existence .But that’s not the case with the Christian West which will not tolerate massive losses of lives of their loved ones, so this itch to fight with Russia is inexplicable unless it was a mental illness
Looks like a serious leader talking to the children who pretend to be leaders in the west.
The wind blowing comment is both literal and metaphorical, of course; given that radiation could blow towards Europe.
Thank you, Larry.
To me, it is becoming clear that the Russian leadership is operating according to a very well thought out strategy, plan and timetable that has been developed over years, much of it with the Chinese.
This gives the Russians the ability to control the momentum and to dictate the course of events in Ukraine. By contrast, the west doesn’t seem to have a plan at all.
Just my opinion, but it cannot be a coincidence that the decision to hold the referenda and partial mobilisation is happening on the cusp of winter. And I suspect that we will also soon learn that it was not a coincidence that the Russians held their largest ever winter training exercise, in December 2021.
Maybe I will be proven wrong, but holding the referenda and consolidating gains in the Donbass, building up military assets there, as well as intensifying missile attacks to destroy Uke infrastructure and dams etc, makes perfect sense as precursors for a major winter offensive against a shattered Ukrainian army, presumably to take Odessa. Again, it all seems pre-planned.
This does not surprise me. Apart from some minor and normal errors, the Russians have been running rings around their Ukrainian)NATO adversaries since day 1 of this SMO.
But the Russian superiority goes deeper than that and to me, this is where things get really interesting. Putin and his people also seem to have an excellent understanding of the psychology of their geopolitical western adversaries.
I think the Russians have known for a long time that western elites just can’t let go of their view that Russians are vodka swilling peasants, ingrates and unsophisticated morons. The Russian leadership team knows that giving up this delusion would be an existential threat for these western elites, as it would require them to risk giving up their view of themselves as the most advanced, morally and intellectually superior humans to have ever existed.
The Russians use their understanding of the West’s collective hubris masterfully, in my view. They seem to be able to work out what western leaders will do, and to prepare in advance. For example, the Russians knew that the sanctions were coming. They were prepared for them. It seemed uncanny and almost genius. Did the Russians just get lucky? No. They predicted what these leaders would do.
This psychological advantage has in my view also allowed the Kremlin to deceive western leaders, for years. For example, during the Obama years I can recall Obama and his people using every chance that they could to demean Russia and in particular, Putin himself. Obama and his team had such hubris and grandiosity about themselves, and so little regard for Russia, that they even switched from the previous policy of deploying offensive missiles on Russia’s borders, to the pathetic strategy of using UAVs and drones against goat herders.
Putin and his team were only too happy to let the fools underestimate Russia. While Obama accepted Nobel prizes and wrote books about his own glorious role in history, what were Putin and his people doing? Buying gold, building food reserves, developing a fearsome industrial base for sustained warfare, diversifying the Russian economy, hooking Europe to cheap Russian gas, and developing these astonishing hypersonic weapons we are starting to see in action in 2022.
Putin knew he could do all these things by simply playing up to the delusional view DC and the west had of Russia, as well as him personally.
When you understand the psychological/psychiatric illness (malign narcissism/sociopathy) that’s taken over in DC, Brussels and London, everything these insane western leaders say and do makes sense.
Being malign narcissists, it is simply impossible for them to admit error and to change course. Being the most advanced and greatest humans ever is a core part of the way they understand themselves, remember. It’s a lie, but that’s not the point. They are sick. In fact, they would prefer to die with this delusion intact, than to change course.
It’s a collective sickness, too. Ukraine is exposing them. We see their response 24/7 – narcissistic rage, more pathological lying, intense and irrational hatred of Russians and of course, of Putin. You can read more about collective narcissism and narcissistic rage here (I find it very useful as a way to understand them): https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Narcissistic_injury
So what now? Putin will be pleased. It’s exactly the reaction he and his team will have expected. They will of course continue to use this psychological weakness in western elites, to their advantage. The Russians know that these western leaders would prefer to continue this irrational and suicidal approach, than to admit defeat. Why? Because admitting defeat means that they have to let go of the delusion of their greatness, that’s core to their psychology. They get exposed. And the worst nightmare for a malign narcissist is exposure.
The evidence supports this. Take the suicidal policies the West has taken vis-a-vis Ukraine. The only rational approach from day 1 was a negotiated ceasefire. But again, these leaders are not psychologically capable of acting rationally.
Watch – the Russians will continue to goad and lure these western leaders to keep making suicidal decisions. The Kremlin will be more than happy to let these fools continue draining western armouries and treasuries, as weakening western militaries and economies, while Russia gets stronger.
Until the west purges these imbeciles in power and finds hard nosed realists who accept reality – that this is an existential crisis for the west, which is facing a very strong and extremely clever adversary – leaders who can work out a way to get the west out of this ongoing disaster, things will sadly only get worse.
Sadly, I can’t see those leaders anywhere. In the West, we seem to be stuck with leaders who are very sick, but also powerful. I doubt much will change. After all, these elites have been able to bask in their false reflected glory for decades, with no accountability. They are addicted to the narcissistic supply it gives them. Like any junkie, they’ll keep looking for their next hit, 24/7.
The longer they remain in power, the easier it gets for Putin (& Xi) to achieve their objectives.
Putin is many things, but he’s no narcissist – he’s a very tough, smart realist who lives in the real world, not in a fantasy. May be I am wrong, but my sense is that he has an extraordinary ability to understand the psychology of his enemy. He and his team know how sick these western elites are, and how to control them to Russia’s advantage, and to eventual Russian victory.
Apologies yet again for the long post. I will try to make them briefer.
Thanks for the very informative and thought provoking post
I think the west , both their leader and their population , are in deep delusional mindset in face of reality of russia (and china) real power in a conflict. For decades the western nations under US have been fed incredible amount of kool aid propaganda and their current leaders are born with ruined mindset due to endless consumption of their own propaganda nonsense.
The fact that Russia and (or) China can easily destroy the western nation’s economic prosperity without resorting to war is never in their calculus due to their mindset totally rejected anything counter of their propaganda programming.
The incredible foolishness and arrogance of the western nations under US even more ridiculous considering they have only paper economy that can be easily demolished by any opponent.
Is there historical precedence of this kind of stupidity of nation leaders ? i can see the arrogant and decadent leaders of carthago foolishly make war with rome after their foolish defeat in PUNIC WAR 1..
“but it cannot be a coincidence that the decision to hold the referenda and partial mobilisation is happening on the cusp of winter. ” whilst facilitating interpretations that such is an act of desperation since the “Ukrainians” are “winning”.
Exactly – maskirovka on the battlefield and geopolitically.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_military_deception
or rope a dope,
or
always “encourage” the enemy when he/she is making a mistake.
“always “encourage” the enemy when he/she is making a mistake.”
A trifle primative as “taught” at West Point and elsewhere.
Always facilitate opportunities where the opponents encourage themselves, not limited to “facilitating interpretations”.
Time and tide wait for no men or women, even Tsun Tsu no longer walking on Tao.
I think this aspect of the Russian leaders understanding of and approach to geopolitics is very interesting: the fact that they’re using the Western political class’ neuroses against themselves.
I’d say this has a long history in Russian political thought, that started in Europe with Marx but Lenin took to its summit. Stalin too, I believe, spent a lot of thought on Churchill’s way of seeing things. All these leaders were really interested in their adversaries.
Today’s Russian leadership has very intelligent models that looked at the world not from the point of view of the elites, but of the underdog, where cleverness and powers of observation can grant advantages where there is no money and material resources (this last point is not a current problem in Russia).
But it all started with the modern scientific, rational, observational and informed approach of Marx and Engels to sociology, politics and the economy. It seems that it’s a durable tradition that survived the demise of the USSR.
This scientific (including modern psychological) approach helped Marx identify what he called the ‘contradictions’ within the bourgeois capitalist system, those weaknesses that are inherent to a system. I see echoes of this methodology in how the Russians are running rings around the west.
In contrast to this objective approach, western leaders have a revealed religion, in which the white peoples are the chosen ones, infinite growth is the goal and consumerism the main sacrament. It’s a medieval mentality, which runs counter to the realities of this planet.
And not only the East, but the Earth itself is saying enough.
Obama was only half white. He started the mess in Ukraine and killed Gaddafi in Africa, raised ISIS, killed lots of browns. Kamala Harris is half Indian, part white, part black. Lloyd Austin and Colin Powell are African American.
Colour is not relevant any more really in the Western power structures. It’s all about the team you are on. Lots of nonwhite Americans and Westerners involved in doing bad things and government too.
This means that they can’t be targeted on a race basis as their superiority complex and values are indoctrinated into others who then become one of them, a shield from racism and nazism accusations and a widening of the control power base.
The elites long moved past race to method.
“Colour is not relevant”
It is not relevant given that it is not referred to in the contribution you pretend to comment upon.
Thank you for your illustration of interpreting/inventing a narrative then commenting upon your own production, in addition to conflating “the underdog” with colour.
good post.
there’s got to be some way these nut jobs get out of the way and let normal people take over.
The US is boxing. Putin does combat sambo. Guess who wins? https://julianmacfarlane.substack.com/p/ukraine-winter-forecast After most of what used to be “Eastern Ukraine” joins Russia, Putin will change tactics, moving larger concentrations of forces into the area and taking advantage of his best friend — Winter. He will not declare war. Nobody has actually declared war since 1941. That’s an obsolete concept. Expect Western Ukraine to lose power, heating — things will get uncomfortable. But Putin most liberate the rest of Eastern Ukraine, especially the Nikolaev and Odessa. Then…it can think about Kharkov and the rich underbelly of Western Ukraine. Takes time. He has the time, despite what Scott Ritter says.
Sadly, the Polish govt is at the forefront of being stupid. But Poles are opening their eyes to what it means being an active “Eastern flank” of NATO. Active, as in, “hey, why don’t we have another war, we only lost 3 million in the last one, so whatever”.
You guys restore my faith in the decency of Americans. Your leaders make me despair that there is any good in the West. Thankyou for giving me hope.
Jj,
People in the US also despair at our leaders. They not only have an undeclared war on Russia, they also have an undeclared war on the American people. We’re in this together.
US and Europe getting ready for war in Africa, centred on Uganda and east Africa. So I think the wests schedule is to finish up with Russia by 2023, leave a counter insurgency there and start raping Africa again. Ripping it from Russian and China relationship.
The EU and US are aggressively intervening to stop an African Oil pipeline being built even threatening sanctions in addition to the sanctions for doing business with Russia they already put on Africa. Uganda has discovered massive gold and oil reserves. EU and US now talking about it’s human rights situation suddenly. Blinken also trying to get Kenya to break it’s defense pact with Ethiopia. Successful regime change quietly done in Somalia now US bases allowed back in. Increasing base numbers all over the place in Africa.
What doesn’t get much attention is that the West has not just sanctioned Russia. It has sanctioned literally everyone else.
It has unilaterally imposed the right to sanction and punish all of Africa (passed and signed by Biden) and most of Asia and South America.
It’s holding guns to alot of heads.
When you do that, make sure you can win. If the crowd turns they will rip you apart. The rage in the rest of the world at the wests behavior towards it, let alone Russia, is dangerously overlooked.
Unfortunately African leaders are a weak corrupt bunch with few exceptions. But they resent colonial attitudes. If the exceptions stand up the rest of Africa will largely follow.
The West is going from admired to feared and hated.
I’m not Gandalf, but I do have a big white wand. I’ll start with the Finnish Prime Minister; I’ll leave Liz Truss to y’all.
Grow up.
Have fun with that skanky dyke.
after i saw the putin speech; it reminded me of the lion speech below . it sounds like the russian lion has had enough. I know the russians are associated with the bear but there is no bear speech out there lol
Christopher Walken The Lion Speech
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4KB2xignE6c
We will know a lot tomorrow when the referendum starts. The Ukrainians will increase their targeting of civilian targets in the regions where the referendum is being held, I expect a Russian response based on the infrastructure of the rest of the country. From the level of the Russian response, we will be able to see how seriously they will defend the four regions
Larry,
I just read that another 2 HIMARS launcher are down (one in Nikolayev and one in Kharkov region).
According to some calculations ( by B.B, A.M, A.C.), there are still 6 (out of 16 publicly confirmed supplied).
Any knowledge of or comment on that?
Based on what Mr Shoigu is saying here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1SG2X4xNiVE … I would not want to be a NATO officer in Kiev or anywhere in Ukraine frankly. Note again the references to Satellites …
Thank you very much for another wonderful and insightful article, Mr Johnson.
The disconnect of Westerners, who constantly tout their rationality, borders on the delusional.
This is what I wrote to a European friend few days ago: “Europe could have used diplomacy to settle the fire in its backyard, instead the senseless woke ideologues in charge of its affairs decided to punch above their weight!
A resource-less parasite, which depends on others for its very existence, threw its puny weight around and get its inflated ego punctured by V Putin.
Fortunately for the rest of us, but unfortunately for Europe, its uncultured and uneducated elite forget that it took great cunning for Europe to sit atop the high table.
Sadly, Europe continue to dance to its self-generated lullabies, and continue to think mightily of itself while the rest of humanity regard it with the scorn, contempt and derision it so richly deserved.”
In colonial times European powers had weapons, manufacturing and strategic superiority and their culture was not well understood.
Neither Europe nor US has any weapons, manufacturing and strategic superiority over Russia or China. They understand how the West thinks better than West understands then. At best it’s mutual destruction.
Lots of western leaders seem to think it’s 1938 and Putin is Hitler
They seem committed to war until Russia is forced back from all Ukraine.
Their whole attitude toward Russia seems to be based on century old stereotypes.
With what did they intend to fight the Russians.
Armies needs not only the manpower, they need plenty of food, ammo (in industrial quantities) and FUEL.
With Europe’s inability to keep its domestic households heated, and with its industries collapsing on an industrial scale, how will it march its armies (let’s pretend that it has sufficient manpower) to face Russia?
Again, let’s forget about Russia’s unmatched hypersonic weapons and the likes of S400 and S500s.
These are rather simple questions that Europeans, who claim to be the only rational people in the world, should be asking their leaders!
Last night on “public television” (in Milwaukee) there was a woman guest ‘explaining’ to Judy what was going on with Putin and the war. At the end of the interview, the hostess thanked the talker from the Institute For The Study of War. So Victoria Nuland and the CIA can overthrow a democratically elected Ukraine gov’t and her family’s “think tank” can go on TV explaining the status of events there that the Kagan-Nuland-Neo-Con criminals fomented. What a shameful episode of lying and cheerleading for what was a preventable war. So much for fair and balanced journalism. Absolutely disgusting.
“What a shameful episode of lying and cheerleading for what was a preventable war. ”
To which war do you refer?
Interesting new piece by Snowden on the CIA, etc
https://www.lewrockwell.com/2022/09/no_author/americas-open-wound/
Look at Putin’s body language. Really! He looks like he is about to leap, poviting forward on his left hand while charging his right hand backward only to bring it forward and slap Biden into the middle of next week and with the same arc give unelected Ursula the liar a period at her age. Look at it again. Putin is about to kick ass and take names. He has the mandate from a p-oed nation.
This is dangerous because we have an intelligent man dealing with self delusional bullies.
The biggest problem of that conflict is no one can loose it … for now. It’s kind of a strip poker game , as long as one of the players is not drunk enough , you won’t see anything kinky ^^.
Cheers for the midterms !
The Poles think they can get away with having their country as a NATO weapons staging and supply area. I listened to a Polish official say that Ukraine territory was Polish. These dimwitted NATO stooges are going to learn fast when the Russia Bear decides to cross the Dneiper.
I see no reason for a training delay of months – Russia has more than enough active military to move 300,000 to the new Russian eastern border while the newly mobilized are the replacements. I expect western Ukraine to go dark and headless shortly after the referendum (awaiting a sure to arrive provocation) driving several millions of refugees flooding through Europe for the oncoming winter – a winter when Europe has no gas or electricity and has shutdown 40-60% of its industry. Turkey might take the opportunity to set a few million Syrian refugees heading north, too (or up the price to restrain).
Dueling recruitment messages… China-Russia-USA…
I presume many here have seen this, but just in case:
https://youtu.be/Kfe6d6MzeLM
I feel very disheartened with our new reality.
The 1% used to be the elite.. the richest of the rich.
No I feel the real 1% (anglo Saxon only) sees the world as it truly is.
We need to end big pharma. Our medication rates, have got to have something to do with our pure naivety
If the media were doing their job, instead of reciting regime talking points, they would ask Biden why the US wasn’t out front pushing peace talks. That would expose the whole fraud of Brandon’s “peace, justice and the American way” BS response. But of course, the media has been bought and paid for since its inception. Just look at the case of Walter Duranty who won a Pulitzer Prize for lying about Stalin’s famines.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Walter_Duranty
https://southfront.org/interview-with-minister-of-defense-of-russian-federation-army-general-s-k-shoigu/
It would seem that Shoigu agrees with Ritter’s “game changer” comments to which everyone on the pro-Russia side took offense. That is not to say Russia is on the ropes and about to throw in the towel; just that the SMO is no longer a cake walk and is, in fact, morphing into a full fledged war. Russia is responding accordingly.
US/NATO/UKR are raising a larger military to fight the Russians + more weapons systems and Russia is countering by doing the same. So this conflict, to my mind, is still in its nascent stage. It is definitely going to escalate. What that ultimately looks like, I don’t know, other than it will be very ugly and, perhaps, disastrous for all involved on a massive scale.
Setting aside the introduction of nuclear weapons to scene, the deciding factors in the conflict will be the quality of the new soldiers (training and motivation) on both sides, the quality and amount of weapons systems and the ability to continue to produce them and get them to the front + the quality of the military and political leadership of both sides.
The economic situation(s) on the home front(s) impacts all of the above. The ability of the involved governments to keep their populaces under control will also be critical. Societies with cold, hungry citizens under conditions of rampant inflation and low inventory of essential goods may revolt and refuse to support the war. Possibly, as western propaganda about the situation can no longer hold sway because the truth becomes undeniable as it impacts more citizens, and harder, current governments are removed from office – either by legal and normal means or otherwise – and the new governments take office with a mandate to make peace with Russia.
Even the best political outcome (for peace) will take some time to develop; six months minimum, but potentially – even likely – much more than a year. Meanwhile the fighting will rage on and the possibility for some kind of nuclear exchange will increase.
We’re just getting started folks
Think about it – ostensibly this is all over a few oblasts that have been at war w/ the Kiev govt since 2014. Who, of the avg Joe/Jane on the street, really cares? I’m thinking that it is the west’s support for the war that crumbles first once it is no longer painless easy virtue signaling to do so.
Eric, if that’s not enough, Bill Gates has been talking about a second epidemic.
If people are locked up in their houses in fear of bugs, they can’t revolt and state can use force to contain them on public safety grounds. Easy to contain so many people this way.
I feel like 5800 KIA in 7 months is still too high
Ukraine was the template. They knew our current Army cannot win wars. So, find a fool to fight your enemy for you. And even after the Ukraine debacle, fools are lining up. Look at Taiwan. Here. Let’s fight China for US foreign policy! The purpose of the US Army is evolving. There is currently a purge going on. It was started with the Covid vaccine as an excuse. But make no mistake. The US Army is being tailored to fight the “enemy within”. Which is what Washington DC truly fears. And for those fools who think the US Army will not fire on US citizens? I would give you numerous examples. But it would be more enlightening for you to read some history. But I will give you 1932. When MacArthur and Patton had tanks roll over striking US Army veterans that just wanted the benefits promised them.
A precedent that it were wise to remember, indeed.
It must be apperent by now that Western liberal democracies…for lack of a better term….are self destructive….and the leadership is hastening that slip into chaos by their policies…so it’s no stretch of the imagination that they are consciously pushing for the ultimate Reset and depopulation tool at their disposal and that is global thermonuclear war ..while the elites sit in luxury in the Deep Underground Bases the surface dwellers will be laying in ditches…..so it’s safe to assume from Western actions that they are poking the bear till they get their holocaust and the Russians know this and are holding out and warning us as much as they possibly can. There is no other logical explanation in my opinion…..
Human Resources decided to replace Gandalf:
https://babylonbee.com/video/exclusive-scene-from-the-rings-of-power (at 4:18)
Putin was, without naming her, responding to Liz Truss recently and unequivocally saying she’d launch the UK’s SLBMs. Obviously the only target being Russia. The audience clapped enthusiastically. The Guardian YT commenters, somehow, have either already forgotten this, or never knew. Russians OTOH observed carefully.
Growing up in peak late Cold War (60,000 warheads between US and USSR), it was inconceivable nuclear statecraft could be this stupid and media so unconcerned about it. Thanks to Stanislav Petrov in 1983, I got to go to college. But I’d wager several Franklins no western leader even knows that story.
RT reports today that North Korea has denied selling any weapons to Russia and also says that it has no intention whatsoever of selling weapons to Russia. North Korea calls stories that said that it would sell weapons to Russia “conspiracy theory.” So, it looks like Russia is going to have to purchase artillery and other weaponry from some other country. However, it’s extremely doubtful that China will be such a country that sells weapons to Russia because China realizes that economic sanctions will be levied against it by the US and European countries if it does this, and China wants to keep doing business with the US and Europe because of the billions of dollars in profits its companies make by selling products to the West. So, it looks like Russia is right now in a bind with respect to providing enough weapons to its soldiers in Ukraine.https://www.rt.com/news/563289-north-korea-weapons-russia/
Interesting perspective on the war by Martin Armstrong.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/russia/russian-anti-war-protests-the-3rd-generation/
The West has said that these referendums are a sham and that their independence will not be recognized.
Does that mean that Biden will have to return the 13 colonies back to Britain?
(Oh well, at least we won’t have to go metric)
As a pro-Russian, I need to admit. We have been beaten to the bone. With only Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhya and Kherson in 7 LONG MONTHS (vs 20 years of U.S. on pensants in Afghanistan before they had to flee without luggage the stage, yes, Russia has been beaten.
That’s the reason why Nato still can’t do it on Ukraine on boots. Maybe because they fear Russian sticks and stones.
And stolen washing machines and vacuum cleaners.
Maybe Nato is only on Russian resorts. For sure.
To once again have such men and warriors in positions proper and legitimate to our Republics safety and security.
Here is Mr. Putin in his opening remarks at a defense industry leadership conference:
https://thesaker.is/vladimir-putin-meeting-with-top-managers-of-defence-industry-companies/
This is copy pasted verbatim from a part of Mr. Putin’s opening remarks. I soent considerable time of my 45 years as an aeeospace welder/fabricator in the defense industry. In all that time only once did i hear any higer up where i worked say such a thing as this aboit the heroism and dedication of people working in this critical industry, my response and when inspole out you could hear a pin drop, and not one of my co-workers would look in my eyes for days afterwords, our president had gatgered us together, he had a proposition for us, it enrialed going bbeyond our normal efforts, his plan would save half our company from going to Poland and half to Mexico, he needed people to step up, take control of a project producing critical flexible metal hose assemblies used on almost all aerospace vehicles in existance, the parent comoany who had bought our before family owned run business was 3 years in arrears in deliverable compinants, hundreds of EOG and POG, (“engine in ground-plane on ground” status), due to gailure of on time delivery, he asked for a bolunteer group to gather, and in a closed cell organization, comometely begin an entire new line of product in our company, we where ourselves to accomplish everything, no outside support liwer than his immediate office as dual hatted President and CFO, we had to go thru the entire AMS qualification, from QPP and MPP, destructive and none destructive wual tests for FAA qualification/Certification, plus the always hideous FCC 100% audit of our entire processess. Only 5 of us volunteered. We had one year to pass. Left totally to ourselves, in 2 months we had attained our first production output, in four months we ate into 1 year of the parent companies backlog, in six months we delivered all 3 years of of the overdues and where 6 months ahaed of scheduled deliveries. Just 5 of us, all from the floor, no management or manufacturing engineering people, we did everything in cell ourselves, except NDT Radiographic inspection and FPI inspection.
At month 6, FAA auditors arrived for their laborious time intensive FAA qualification Audit, typically a two week affair, then a two week wait as results of their audit was composed.
On day 2, they all suddenly left the plant, cept two auditors, they stayed 3 more days but they never cane back to do further audits in our cell. Did not give it much thought but glad they where gone, thinking they would return soon.
Anyways end if the week the Prez comes diwn and has a short talk with us. tells us an unprecidented event happened. By the end of day 2 of the audit, the inspectors visited him in his office, they had chinese takeout for everyone, before starting to eat they told him they where only hanging out because they could not go back to the main FCC office and tell their boss our cell had passed audit with zero findings by mid morning second day, how they had not encountered our level of control of processes proceedures, quality control,inspection, testing, and documentation/material/product traceability. They stated by the first day they knew we had everything down pat and if they found any fault it would be very minor and only a non critical item. They never had such an audit before and had to ask our president for help in giving them cover for the week because nobody would believe what happened with our audit.
Us 5 in this cell saved 374 really good high paying jobs in a small town in NH.
For all our efforts not a single of our co-workers gave appreciation for saving all our jobs. Even worse, some started to sabotage our cell, and it was mostly management types who did so.
When i read Mr. Putin’s words, these ones here, i was heart stricken by how winderful his appreciation is for the efforts and dedication he holds in high regards. What i said to my big boss that day he asked for volunteers to save our company from being off shored, was what I heard my Aunt say one day when i was a kid, she worked at a plant that was involved in fabricating the moon lander Armstrong and Aldrin tode down to the moon in. She was talking with my grandmother and grandfather, they jad asked if she thought the lander would make it down and bring thise boys back, my Aunt said, this is beautiful, with a but in her mouth and her afternoon highball in her hand, “well, you know what Mildred, it ain’t gonna fail cause of me!” It just popped in my head and out my mouth before i knew what i had said that day.
” It ain’t gonna fail cause of me Mr. B!”
To just be in the company of such Men as Vladimeer Putin. I’d give a right nut tight now.
Here’s what Mr. P said:
“…Colleagues,
Given the circumstances, challenges, and threats that our country is facing, the defence companies are operating intensively, and their employees are acting quickly to address unconventional challenges, to rearrange production processes and to improve quality based on actual combat experience.
Your representatives go to the front lines – I want to note this and thank them for this. This transcends professional responsibility and is, to a certain extent, heroism, which is making a vast contribution to improving the military equipment that is being used in the combat operations…”
There more, lots more where that came from. And the guy speaks from memory too. I think it is a great heart of a lion and the heart of a philosophical man that loves his family and his motherland and all his fellow Russians. Only a Man who is willing to stand between his loved home and wars desolation, as the long lost 4th stanza in The Star Spangled Banner goes, who has the courage of his convictions to stand up say what Mr. Putin is saying in this conference to his audeince. Its really gteat stuff.
To have such good folks once again lead and make America great again. That to me is greatness, exceptionalism, its not an American thing, its courage and the great warrior virtues, believing in better and also larger than self.
No way, be a cold day in hell, before i would even think of crossing President Putin.
More than a little cheese fell of their crackers with all those fools and their clown car show messing with the Russians. Criminal gang members thinking they be all that. Great thing, got a sneaking hunch they ain’t gonna be around much longer. Like as in gone for good. Needs to be, needs to happen. I hope i get a chance to get my licks in. Oh brother do I. I had more en enough of their bullshit and what they have done to us.
https://thesaker.is/vladimir-putin-meeting-with-top-managers-of-defence-industry-companies/
Thanks for the information and the Putin speech.
I wonder how all of those people who try to discredit Putin by saying he’s crypto Globalist in cahoots with Klaus Schwab are handling the latest news. There doesn’t seem to be as much of that talk lately.
NATO’s symbol is a compass rose, not a wind rose. More to the point, though, is that the Chernobyl (also in Ukraine) disaster spread fallout all over western Europe, including England, France, Germany and Italy. What is now RF territory was also affected, but by no means exclusively so. A major release can have as much or more impact on the EU as it does on Russia, depending on how the winds happen to be blowing. And what will Europe do about that? They need to abandon Ukraine before this happens.
During WWII Hitler gave orders to his generals, and often his orders produced better results for the German army than what his generals thought should be done. One reason for this is because Hitler served on the front lines in WWI and therefore had a very good idea of how an army could be effectively led. Now we learn from many news reports that Putin is giving orders directly to Russian generals who are on the front line in Ukraine. But, Putin has never served a day in the Russian army and so it’s extremely unlikely that his advice and orders to his Russian generals will prove wise and effective. https://edition.cnn.com/2022/09/22/politics/russia-military-divided-ukraine-putin/index.html
” it’s extremely unlikely that his advice and orders to his Russian generals will prove wise and effective.”
That was Mr. Stalin you refer to, probably since you know little if anything about the Russian Federation.
However please continue to be immersed in your illusions as useful fools have continued facility for those not immersed in if-the-Papa-Czar-only-knewness.
“Now we learn from many news reports…”
lol
Facts about Russia are almost non existent for several decades. When lies are repeated so many times, lies are taken as facts as we all know.
Without a major event, the Air craft carrier full of lies and hot air can not be turned around.
Only Prayers and luck will save the humanity from Nuclear annihilation. This is a pivotal period which happens once every Millennium or so.
Collective psychosis is ruling the West, bred on Greed, Power and Hubris.
I didn’t know they had nukes last millennia? As far as I see it it’s all a first.
– first time leaders can be immune from death for starting and losing wars. All these leaders and billionaires have posh multi generational underground compounds to survive anything.
-First time they can eliminate most of world without much effort. Turn keys, push red buttons and done in 30-40 minutes.
– First time they have incentive to do so. Way too much surplus labor now as robots AI and computers come online. extra people everywhere are surplus. Plus they blame us useless eaters for global warming and ecological destruction.
Not collective psychosis but pure machiavellian logic tells me nuclear war is inevitable.
I think he went very well in his statement. I might call it even perfect, though I believe for those who have been intoxicated by the anti-Putin propaganda, perfect means horrid or any other negative adjective. For me, Putin is someone in history like Napoleon. He is a force of circumstances. Many years from now, many will want to study and remember him.
Very interesting to see Russian citizens engaging in partisan activity in Russia. Reportedly, a couple dozen military registration offices have been set on fire across Russia, and 80 railroad derailing have occurred since the invasion of Ukraine began in February. Reports say such activity has picked up noticeably in the past month, and no doubt Putin’s mobilization order will motivate the partisans to significantly intensify their attacks and acts of sabotage. This is a first for Russia–to have to deal with partisans within its own border.
uh huh yeah sure…. kind of like when the democrats turned BLM and ANTIFA on US cities. Lame tactics designed to add to the lame info ops., which you seek to further.
Dear Larry,
Hoping that you know people who know people who can gather world leaders to send messages to DC and let them know that the gig is up. That they’ve been salivating for a chance to try a “tactical” nuke, that everyone outside of the West and quite a few inside know they are losing, and they will know the West did it if one goes off anywhere and there will be worldwide consequences.
Please? I’ve already tried sending messages to people I used to vote for.
For the world, and for us in the West. I’d rather we all live.