My brother-in-law sent me the following CNBC piece of “journalism” which paints a dire picture of Russia’s “failure” in Ukraine– https://apple.news/AmdObZL84Rj6_fApH4PPK3A.
It is laughably devoid of facts, but hey, that is what passes for journalism anymore in the West. I am old enough to remember the good old days (i.e., Soviet Pravda) when we Americans could chortle heartily at the spin coming out of Moscow. Well, I have now lived to see almost the entire establishment media outdoing Pravda in terms of flat out lying to its audience.
The CNBC piece insists that “Moscow is facing unintended consequences of its aggression in Ukraine, ranging from high casualties among its troops to economic ruin for years to come.” Before delving into the 5 CNBC points, I want to comment on the talking point that Putin expected a “quick victory” and that the failure to conquer Ukraine in four weeks is a disaster for him.
This is ridiculous and is Western propagand. There is not one statement from Putin or any of the Russian Generals promising a lightning war and a quick victory. Putin was very clear in the objectives of this military campagin–De-Nazify and De-Militarize Ukraine. Period. No deadline was ever announced. I have noted in previous posts that Russia’s progress in Ukraine outshines what the Nazis did in Operation Barbarossa. It took the Nazis seven weeks to reach the outskirts of Kiev and another seven weeks to quell the resistance in 1941. Russia has moved farther and faster in four and a half weeks.
And if speed of conquest is the metric, why did the United States fail to pacify Afghanistan after 20 years? People living in glass houses should not throw stones.
Now to CNBC’s 5 points:
1) Russian casualties are high
Russia has been coy about releasing statistics on its losses, but one Russian Defense Ministry official said Friday that 1,351 Russian soldiers had died in the war so far, and that 3,825 were injured.
Ukraine’s authorities claim that more than 15,000 Russian soldiers have been killed in the conflict, while a senior NATO official last week estimated that between 8,000 and 15,000 have been killed.
If this were true, where are the pictures of miles of wrecked tanks and armored personnel carriers? Where are the pictures of the thousands of Russian casualties? What is preventing western reporters from going forward with the supposedly invincible Ukrainian units to film the carnage they are inflicting on the hapless Russian conscripts? If you tell me your house is guarded by a Rottweiler but I hear no barking and see no doggie turds, I will question whether you really have a dog.
One other point that I made in my last post, but it bears repeating. If Russian units suffered high casualties then those units would no longer be combat effective. The correct military decision is to withdraw the unit (or units) and replace them with fresh reserves. That has not happened. The nurses, doctors and support staff at Russian field hospitals would be talking and word would leak out.
One final observation–the NATO official “estimated.” Estimated? The U.S. and the U.K. have sigint. They can intercept communications. Are we to believe that the Russian’s opsec is so magnificent that not a word of actual data has leaked out about their casualties? Russia is good, but not that good. If the West had actual hard intel the Biden Administration would be shouting it from the rooftops. That is not happening either.
2) Ukrainians now loathe Russia
One of the likely consequences of this war is that many Ukrainians will harbor an abiding animosity toward Russia, particularly after the bombing of homes and civilian infrastructure — including a children’s hospital and maternity ward in Mariupol, as well as a theater where families were seeking shelter. These are widely seen as war crimes by the international community. Russia claims it has not targeted civilians.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy summed up the mood in the country in early March when he stated that “we will not forgive, we will not forget, we will punish everyone who committed atrocities in this war on our land,” before adding that “there will be no quiet place on this Earth except the grave.”
Volodomyr Zelensky is more unpopular in Ukraine than Joe Biden in the United States. The Statista Research poll in October only “28 percent of the Ukrainian population approved of the activities of Volodymyr Zelensky as the president of the country. The approval rating saw a decrease in recent months. Furthermore, Volodymyr Zelensky was trusted by over 31 percent of Ukrainians in March 2021.” One of the main reasons for Zelensky’s flagging political fortunes was his failure to follow thru on his campaign promise to seek peace with Russia. I have not seen any new polls. CNBC is just repeating Western wishful thinking.
3) Economic ruin
The international community was accused of being slow and ineffective when Russia annexed Crimea from Ukraine in 2014. This time, it upped the ante when Russia’s full-scale invasion began, with Western democracies imposing wide-ranging sanctions on key Russian sectors, businesses and individuals connected to the Kremlin or who support the invasion.
As a result, the Russian economy is expected to fall into a deep recession this year. The Institute of International Finance predicts Russia’s economy will contract by as much as 15% in 2022 because of the war. It also predicted a decline of 3% in 2023 and warned in a note last week that the war “will wipe out fifteen years of economic growth.”
More delusional wishful thinking from the West. Russia is self-sufficient. It is not dependent on foreign imports to fuel its economy. The World outside of Russia needs Russian exports–wheat, fertilizer, gas, oil, aluminum, neon and palladium, just to mention a few. Whatever damage Russia suffers from the sanctions will pale in comparison to the economic wound the United States and Europe have inflicted on themselves by their desperate effort to sanction Russia. Russia, China, India and Saudi Arabia have made it quite clear that they are no longer willing to genuflect before the once almighty petro-dollar.
4) Europe is dropping Russian energy
The war has also accelerated Europe’s transition away from Russian energy imports, putting a large dent in the revenue the country gets from its oil and gas business.”?
It has also made the $11 billion Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline — designed to bring more Russian gas to Europe (and which the United States, Poland and Ukraine warned would increase the region’s energy insecurity) — redundant, perhaps for good.
Good luck with that cowboys. Their is no magic fountain of oil and gas to fill the cars and heat the homes of the Europeans. They might be able to work out a long term solution but the economic damage those economies will endure if they stop buying Russian oil and gas will be enormous.
5) Russia has united the West
During Putin’s 22 years or so in power, he has systematically and repeatedly tried to weaken and undermine the West, whether it has been interference in democratic processes in the U.S. (with the 2016 election) and Europe (with the funding of right-wing political groups) or serious incidents such as the alleged use of nerve agents against his personal and political enemies.
I call this the Titanic fantasy. Yes, the Europeans and the Americans will politely step aside and encourage all women and children to get into the lifeboats. There will be no panic and the Western leaders will patiently and cheerfully sip scotch and smoke cigars as the ship is sinking under the weight of economic chaos. If you believe that I have a bridge to sell you.
It was reported on Zerohedge that Russia recently took the “denazification” off the table as a condition for cease fire. Is this true?
If it is true, that would indication that Russia is failing in one of its two stated objectives for the war.
Both “denazification” and demilitarization seem to have been taken off the table by Russia. We’ll see what that means long-term. It appears for now like they’re realizing they’re not going to get their stated objectives.
As an observer I see the “De-Nazification” as a done deal, Russia will handle that by itself without Ukraine’s buy-in. The Azov forces are surrounded and cut off, no fuel, food or ammo. Reports are coming out that they are actually shooting Ukraine regular Army. The De-Nazification is already well underway.
That’s correct; ‘de-nazification’, like ‘demilitarization’, was never a combat objective which required Ukrainian cooperation, so as such it was never ‘on the table’. The operation in Mariupol will continue until it is complete. Azov and cooperating military forces still present a significant combat threat, and at present they are being herded toward Azovstal, which was once one of the world’s largest steelworks and fabricators. That’s where they will make their last stand, and observers are divided on whether the Russians will simply blast it flat, wiping them all out, or are reluctant to level a Soviet icon and will draw out the battle until its conclusion is unavoidable, taking more casualties in the second option.
It took the Nazis seven weeks to reach Kyiv because they are hundreds of miles further from the city geographically than Russia is. Russia has moved further and faster because they are, in fact, much closer.
Taking pre-war polls from October 2021 to say Zelensky is unpopular now in March 2022 is also a big stretch. You wouldn’t rate Trump’s popularity in September based on his polls from May.
Definitely a fair point about economic chaos coming from the world’s reliance on Russian fertilizer. That element is underreported for sure. That and the collapse of Ukraine’s grain exports could definitely cause food shortages.
The germans were in Poland and in checkoslovakia by that Time. Near soviet unión. Also hungary and bulgary took part in the war
Comments on Breitbart and Newsmax show that most reflective Maga types are against supplying Ukraine with Berlin Airlifts of weapons. Polls show 70% of independents are against more weapon 58% of republicans and 32% of democrats against it.
Our woke diverse globalists have turned Ukraine/Putin into Trump. The only difference is a lot of our republican neo cons have hopped on board. Our media including Fox are globalist and run with narratives like an echo chamber to serve their purpose. They also with hold information. Every example of Russian failures like a ship destroyed or maternity ward shelled is sourced from the Ukraine Gov’t.
I read RT Sputnik RIA and various Russian sources. (you have to use a VPN like hola.org) The maternity ward was held by group of Azovs. The news articles talk of how to govern taken areas: military/civilian and how the country will be divided up.
As for the world has sanctioned Russia. This “world” does not include Israel all of Africa South America The Middle East and Asia. Only Europe US Japan and Taiwan and Australia NZ have sanctions. Hungary won’t let weapons cross its territory nor Greece. Not much of a World. Indian news videos are distinctly pro Russian including one I saw on the Donbas.
I have watched lots of interviews with our experts like Mearsheimer and Cohen and McGregor and others they are conclude we provoked this. The embassy in Kiev prior to the invasion has 900 employees from 10 gov’t agencies. We had hundreds of soldiers training the Ukrainians on how to take back the Donbas. The UK had a $3 billion deal to supply 6 warship and construct a couple new naval platform bases. Last summer Zelenski vowed to take back Crimea. Of course the Russians reacted.
My father-in-law should know better than to get any kind of news from the MSM…
It’s very sad that the U.S. southern border invasion/crisis gets little to no coverage. The Military Industrial Complex is alive and well! The Russia/Ukraine conflict will continue to be the “shiny object” to keep the total failure of the Biden Administration out of the spotlight.
This is what America has become… China awaits…
Larry Johnson says
Roger that. He doesn’t listen well as you know. Glad you’re reading.
Roger that! Was looking for the old site… Glad I am on…
This is a bunch of baloney. Furthermore, in other post the author actually thinks there are neo-Nazi factions in Ukraine. I can’t believe people actually believe this crap. He really wants Putin to win this war and continue killing children. Sad.
Larry Johnson says
Your problem is you are lacking in intelligence. Mental retardation is a sad thing. I’m sorry you are so afflicted. You obviously have other handicaps and limitations. The videos and printed articles documenting the Nazi presence and activity in Ukraine is beyond dispute. You just have your head so far up your ass that you can’t see it.
There is no “real news” out there anymore. You need to wake up and smell the Communism! You, and like minded sheep are the reason the MSM can spoon feed their BS across the airwaves… Go back to Facebook and Twitter commie!
You need to wake up and smell the Fascism. Globalist and Atlanticist oligarchy and their MICIMATT lackeys are not communists. They are parasites and fascists. That’s all they ever were, all they can be. Most of them are mediocrities and incapable of self-reflection. But top dogs of that despicable clique know exactly what they are and what they are doing. Just because a certain type of fascist present themselves or believe themselves noble and virtuous doesn’t make them a lesser abomination, but greater, in fact. Systematic top-down destruction of society cannot be communist. Spoiled and vulgar middle-class hordes of Woke degenerates are also not communist. Many people in the West are trying to explain full social disintegration as “communism” but communism was never a Western ill.