I did two interviews on Wednesday — the first, with Alex Christoforou and the second, with Alex Krainer. It was Alex day. I will post the conversation with brother Chrsitoforou on Friday or Saturday. It did not deal with as many “time-sensitive” issues. I considered it an honor that both gentlemen would take time from their busy schedules to spend an hour with me.
There is still plenty of time before Donald Trump is inaugurated for Joe Biden’s team of cretins to start World War III. I think the biggest risk is that Israel may be emboldened to attack Iran and try to destroy sites, and may be encouraged to do so by the Biden lackeys.
Why? When it comes to Iran and Russia, the leading pundits, policymakers, legislators and, apparently, the intelligence community are making the same grievous error — they start with the assumption that Iran and Russia are weakened and incapable of response. The Western media is filled with pundits and government officials who insist that Israel wiped-out Iran’s air defenses, which means Israel can fly freely over Iranian air space without fear of being attacked. Alastair Crooke, on the other hand, insists that Iran’s system is fully intact. I side with Alastair on this issue. Apart from his years of experience in the region and his skill as a diplomat, who has spoken directly with most of the major players, Alastair does not have a motive to lie or offer an opinion on something beyond his expertise.
If the Netanyahu government decides that it stands a good chance of delivering a knock-out blow to the mullahs in Tehran, I think the Israelis will pull the trigger.
Here is the problem and the danger — if Alastair is right, Iran stands a good chance of defeating an Israeli attack. While Iran has vowed to retaliate against Israel for its October attack on Iran, Tehran has deferred carrying out new strikes, most likely following counsel from Russia to exercise restraint and build support in the global south. Unfortunately, the West has interpreted Iranian patience with weakness and fear.
I believe the most dangerous scenario is as follows — Iran defeats and Israeli attack and then moves immediately to launch a massive missile counterstrike on Israeli targets. If Iran inflicts major destruction on Israel, then there will be enormous pressure on the Biden Administration to come to their rescue and carrying out new attacks on Iran. Given the new military relationship between Iran and Russia, this could escalate rapidly into something more than an isolated regional war.
Failed generals, like Jack Keane, dismiss this scenario as nonsense. Keane bases his conclusion on his belief that Russia has been significantly weakened by events in Syria and its failure to achieve victory in Ukraine while suffering catastrophic losses in personnel. I know this is ridiculous, but it does not matter what I think. The key policymakers in Washington, including the intelligence community, accept this fantasy as reality.
How do I know what the intelligence community believes? While it is true that I no longer have clearances, nor have I spoken to someone with access who gave me a heads-up, but I can read. Donald Trump, during an interview with a Time magazine reporter, said the following about the situation in Ukraine:
“[T]he number of dead soldiers that have been killed in the last month are numbers that are staggering, both Russians and Ukrainians, and the amounts are fairly equal … the numbers of dead young soldiers lying on fields all over the place are staggering,” he said.
That is what the intelligence community briefers are telling Trump. It is not true. MediaZona, reports that Russian casualties have been declining dramatically, not escalating:
Here is the breakdown by region:
Ukrainian dead are eight to ten-times larger than Russia’s. Why the bad intel? I believe the West is relying almost exclusively on Ukrainian sources for its numbers.
Trump is being deceived on two counts — he is getting a low-ball estimate of Ukrainian losses and a gross exaggeration of Russian casualties. Bad intel makes for bad policy.
Alex Krainer and I talk about some of this in our conversation. Enjoy:
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Yes great assessment. Feared POTUS Trump being given false info. Looking forward to your interview w/ Alex of Greece. Thank you PS Drones + anomalies in NJ are staging for a set up.
Here the view of Gilbert Doctorow on the situation in Syria:
https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2024/12/14/press-tv-iran-israeli-aggression-in-syria
He thinks that the current situation will make it much easier for the US (and Israel) to bomb targets in Iran and in other parts of the Middle East.
The entire West living in a fantasy world. If Israel is foolish enough to strike Iran and Hormuz closes there will be massive consequences for East Asia and Australia. With oil supplies shut down, and Australia with years of below minimum oil reserves, it clearly means economic shut down. The MSM down here have the sheep convinced that Israel is the poor victim and Iran the great Satan (alongside Russia)…. They have no idea how close to the precipice they are.
FWIW,…
I like Alex K. a lot and catch his thoughts whenever I can, but there’s a whiff of copium about his trap theory.
If by calling it a “trap”, Kraimer is implying that Syria’s undoubted malaise and almost instant collapse was purposefully contrived to draw the US/IL/TR in, then my response would be that I think there’s simply too many moving parts and too many covert and overt players to pull that off reliably.
Alex’s argument seems to be primarily based on the speed with which Syria fell. One is reminded of Iraq 2003, where Iraqi commanders were bribed with fat bank accounts and beachside homes in Florida to abandon their posts. Saddam’s apparently stronger army found itself suddenly rudderless and faded away.
I believe that the Russians, Iranians, HZB and Assad himself saw the writing on the wall, but (IMHO) it’s just as/more likely a decision was made that with the in/ex-ternal pressures Syria faced, it was becoming a trap for them and they had to cut it loose.
It’s a short hop from there to a deal with Turkey whereby Erdo gets a shot at achieving his neo-Ottoman dreams in exchange for a guarantee that Russia’s Mediterranean bases are sacrosanct and the Bosphorus stays open to Russian shipping. He can now go medieval on the Kurds and any jihadis who don’t bend the knee. He could, by his recidivist lights go all the way to Gaza. In any case, that’s the sort of “trap” Erdogan has long wanted to walk into.
Khairullin goes further and suggests that the foundations of a strategic partnership between Russia and Turkey has thus been laid. If so, the Kremlin’s made a very subtle, but far-reaching move. The US may find itself between Scylla and Charybdis, having to defend Israel against Turkey will blow a lot of gaskets in Washington.
Trump is a puppet, ignorant and narcissistic. They are moving him by remote control.
And yes they will attack Iran. Scorpions and wasps will attack always. Predators sense weakness. After all, the bully is made of weakness and fear. Where there is inaction, he will act. Where there is silence, he will speak. Where there is retreat, he will advance. And they know that Iran will be basically alone. There is no really Axis of Resistance, nor BRICS, no “multipolar world”. Because, as in the case of a revolution, an idea (a political or geopolitical proposition) is worth what it is capable of defending itself. Putin’s collusion with Israel is a mistake. The allegiance of the zionist entity is to the United States and to the United States alone; US’s allegiance is to Israel and to Israel alone. They are one and the same geopolitical entity. The fact that there are 2.5 million Russian Israelis is not an advantage but a liability: they are a huge Trojan horse (as are the oligarchs). Not recognizing the true character of the enemy is a deadly mistake. And it is not possible to build a supposedly “multipolar” world, more “just”, etc. (these are just words) on these mistakes and this morality based solely on selfishness and narrow national interests. It would be more honest to recognize that one is not up to the task and withdraw. The problem is that the enemies of Russia and China will not let them retreat. Unlike these countries, they have very clear plans: there can be only one Hegemon, and all others must submit. That is why they will harass and provoke them by all possible means (essentially, by means of caos: subversion, terrorist armies, “color revolutions”, intelligence frontends disguised as “ngos”, assassinations of leaders, secret prisons, draconian sanctions, and a massive control and modulation of information (including television and cinema) to anesthetize the populations, brainwash them, stimulate the maximum conformism and turn them into docile instruments), until they manage at least to corner them (using also the weaker ones, such as India and Brazil, to achieve this goal) and prevent the dollar from stop being the world reserve currency or replace it with another equally dominant mechanism, to continue to subsidize the entire military industrial and military base network, to continue to extract wealth wherever they can, so they can extend as long as possible the status of the United States as the “one indispensable nation”. This is a total war which, if its character and objectives are not clearly understood, may last a long time and cause enormous suffering and unimaginable cultural destruction. Inertia is pushing them now and they cannot stop: they have no sense that there are limits. If something does not show this to them in a forceful way, they will continue to destroy, like a beast that feeds not only on the bodies, but also on the spirit of human beings.
Larry , how does one share information without fear of consequences.
Some comments were removed. I understand it as the exit door being opened for me.
Thanks. Goodbye.
No, no. There is simply a limit on the number of comments in each topic. Unfortunately.
Electric War proceeds apace in UKraine. h/t Helmer.
Electric War if Iran has to strike Israel , now that they are running into Syria looks like this :
No nukes needed. The last blackout for Israel was lifted by God’s Temple Miracle 2,188 years ago.
That was a one-off.
Zionists realize their strategic situation, by design a sitting duck.
Draw the US in, sure King Charles III, Zionist-in-Chief relishes the idea.
Larry posted recently FAFO – F*ck Around, Find Out.
That should be MAFO – Monkey Around , Find Out.
There was a time around 1901 when NYT printed – Do not Monkey with US!
Holy Crap Bonbon…I am going to have to take your pictures seriously. 44 into the video The old security infrastructure of The Heartland is a product of 1904 British geo-politics….and the trans-siberian railway scared the brits who created the arc-of-crisis…and Putin gonna blow that shit up and put in a new security infrastructure.
I Like Putin. Thank you, God for Putin.
Kramer’s thesis on Syria being a trap is very good.
One factor is the hubris of the zionists and their triumphant entry into Syria
Putin is moving the arc-of-crisis away from Russia border’s to those of her enemies.
Also…somebody decided to make all the webcams in London go dark….
“this is not a hack, this is built in” is my initial take.
Class A Flunkies!
Hey Larry! On your sign off are you tempted to pull a Walter Cronkite ?
Fascinating interview, thank you very much.
✅ ✅
Very interesting comment on Cartels, Bitcoin, the BlockChain and money laundering….on the Krainer video.
I can hear it now….”If you do not use the block-chain you are a money-launderer!” as they try to herd us into digital currency.
No need for Iran to develop a nuke, Russia or North Korea can give them a few.
So…..Did ABC report a million Ukrainian killed or not? I thought a saw a video yesterday, but today it is gone?
See simplicius – MSM in tears laughing at UAF graveyards.
Bonbon. I haven’t seen the videos yet. I’m sure the UK is high on the list of any reprisal strikes by Russia. I imagine Russia’s patience has worn thin. Must be tiresome when you keep getting sneaky little kicks to the balls from a midget when you are a titan.
I’m having issues getting on the comments. Sorry I couldn’t reply directly.
I have issues too –
NUMBER #1 the newest button DOES NOT WORK!!!!!
NUMBER #2 only 150 comments visible.
No, I did press the POWER-ON-OFF button before any dimwit tries stupid ideas.
I get so exasperated by the idiocy of the leadership (if you can call it that) in the West. None of them seem qualified to have any opinion on the events taking place. It’s so calming to come on here and read rational analysis of events, even when it doesn’t paint a pretty picture.
When I was a kid, during the last decade of the Cold War, everyone was afraid of WW3 and the nuclear holocaust that would come with it. Now, everyone in my country (the UK) treats it flippantly, like we are playing games. And our political leaders (bunch of half-wit traitors and clowns) and the military seem to be the worst.
It’s as though they are all finally living out their fantasies about being in a major conflict, and swelling up with self-importance as they do so. By being the rabid and sneaky little attack dog (at least, with Ukrainian soldiers) they finally feel relevant again. They never seem to understand the consequences of their actions. Everything in geopolitics has consequences, sooner or later, and any student of history should understand that.
They can’t even organise their own country so the trains run on time, that old age pensioners can get through a winter without suffering miserably, and yet they always want to stir up more trouble and misery in the world which will inevitably come back to bite us.
I’m ashamed of the lot of them, and I regard them as traitors to their own people, and to humanity as a whole. I feel things might only get better after ordinary people suffer, and perhaps start to understand what these freaks have done. We are too brain-washed here in the UK for anything to change soon. Unfortunately, we may have to go through the fire before these assholes get held to account.
Leadership are not idiots…. They are the ones who are lining their pockets and getting ready for this whole thing to colapse. They are screwing us to the wall, and we are letting them do it. Who are the real idiots?
Fair point, though I think they are biting off more than they can chew these days. Perhaps I’m an idiot for thinking an ideal government should focus on the good of its citizens. I understand it has never been this way, but no point in giving up on dreaming.
Like I say, if they cause too much chaos and we see a drastic drop in the standard of living for ordinary people, perhaps this will come back to bite them in the arse.
People aren’t angry enough yet, and their anger is always misdirected. But if they start worrying about feeding their kids, rather than whether they can see the latest show on Netflix, perhaps this will change.
The real idiots are those that say the leadership are not idiots.
They have everything and you have nothing. Who is the idiot.
Did you hear what Alex Krainer said in the video about the City of London?
London calls obama, tells them to go light on HBC…
Then Wachovia.
We do not live in a country, we live in a crime syndicate.
I like what Krainer said about treason and hanging the sons-a-bitches.
✅
I’m guessing that would be one of the most inviting targets, given our behaviour
Dare to watch, not guess.
I’ll give it a go. Somehow, I feel a punch in the teeth is the only way to wake up these arseholes. I really wouldn’t blame Russia. I think they have been incredibly patient.
But if Russia does give the UK a resounding wake up call, I hope they hit decision-making centres. The ordinary people here are still fairly sound, if mislead. I live in the north and I can have the best conversations with the farmers who don’t watch the news. They are rational. They only want to get on with their own lives. And they are remarkably astute, given the lack of information. They see things that don’t make any sense, and they work it out for themselves.
Some of the more intelligent youngsters are also quite switched on. They read alternative media and have a deep skepticism of power. But the people in between are largely brain-washed. Too many of them still carry a secret little hard-on for empire, and they still swell with pride if they think their country is in the action.
The older crew, who knew people who went through the war, and the horrors that came with it – even if it wasn’t as terrible as the Eastern Front – tend to be more cautious. The richer types are less so, in my experience.
Same here in Appalachia…Scots-Irish farmers…same sentiments. Same with the youngsters.
This used to happen in Florida, but it still happens up here…people stop their cars in the street to talk to one another..
Since there is so little traffic…its all good.
Every now and then…we look up and there are two or three cars patiently waiting for us to finish talking.
It is beautiful.
Nice to hear that. I think there are good people all over the world. And in the West, it seems that the people who live in the more rural communities have more common sense and decent values – though that is a big generalisation.
I used to live in Cambridge, UK, for a while. Nice place, but there I found that people have become heavily brain-washed over the last ten years or so. I do find it strange that they seem to think that they are active participants in the whole globalist agenda, rather than realising they are the useful idiots in this game.
I saw a bizarre inverse relationship between education and having any common sense when looking at what is taking place in the world. I’m a chef, and I found the people around me in that environment where more inquisitive and open-minded when looking at events in the world. My friends who worked in good jobs in tech companies gradually seemed to become brain-washed over the years, DEI courses, etc., and didn’t seem to have any urge to rock the boat that made them wealthy.
And yet they always saw themselves as rebels, rather than civie foot soldiers for the empire. As the lyrics go: “Freedom’s just another word for nothing left to loose…”
Thank you very much for that.
Been reading your comments, so likewise. It’s great to have a forum like this where everyone can share what they have experienced, and the knowledge they have. As the French saying goes, “everyone brings to the table what they have.”
No one seems to have a comprehensive view of what the economic situation is, and what is coming. A debt jubalee solves nothing, because at its root the real problem is money destruction, and money destruction is the fundemental problem going forward.
Everyone is familiar with the concept of money creation through inflation and credit issuance, where money is created by inflating asset value and then borrowing money against those inflated values, but almost no one understands that process going into reverse.
The last time he US experience money destruction was the Great Depression. Billions of dollars simply dissapeard as asset values dropped and debt defaulted. Even the government and the Fed became insolvent. The only way to stabilize the situation was to litterally steal the wealth of the people. One of the only assets that retained its value at that time was gold, and so the government stole the gold from the people, and used it to recapitalize the Fed and the government.
Today, few people own gold, and the majority of wealth is represented by home equity and equities held in 401K’s and other retirement accounts. In an economic crises, the values of those assets drops and the difference between their former value and their depreciated value is money destruction.
In the last crisis in 2008, homeowners walked away from their homes when their values sank to below what they owed. The banks and lending institution carrying the debts on those homes became insolvent as a result and the government printed money to bail them out, and averted a bigger crisis.
The government today is struggling to make the payments on its gigantic debt, and in the event of an economic crisis, faces the very real possibility of becoming insolvent itself just as it did in 1933. In which case, it will have no option except to get the money it needs from the people to stabilize the situation. As most all the wealth in the country today is concentrated in home equity and retirement accounts, those are the only assets they will have to access.
Debt notes are a fungible (positive) monetary asset. A creditor taking a haircut or total jubilee wipeout of debt counts as money destruction, no?
[…note: this only works if the gov’t does not bail out the creditor and make them whole. They have to eat the loss.]
looks like currency destruction to me, pls explain if I’m incorrect.
That cannot be ‘spalined within British Monetarism . Look at the link from List above.
Jdog: That’s one of the more succinct and accurate summaries I’ve seen of how fiat money works, and the problems with fiat when events destroy money (e.g. asset-price declines, and debt-defaults). Well-done.
I differ with you only at the end of your post, wherein you assert that the USG will re-capitalize by stealing “the people’s” assets, like 401K holdings, and their houses.
Bear in mind that when asset prices fall, or even crash, the value of the 401K holdings and the house falls at the same time. There won’t be that much equity to seize relative to the fall in the money supply.
The Fed’s re-flation of the money supply required that the public spend a lot more than they had – via taking on more debt (credit card debt, buy new house, cash for clunkers, all that stuff). That can certainly happen again; interest rates can be slashed to zero, money can be printed and given away (ala Covid – remember that?).
Recall that in 2008, during the GFC, the USG didn’t give away money to spur spending, they way they did after Covid. The public just wasn’t ready for that (yet) … but they are now. That is an extremely powerful re-flation tool, and you can bet it’ll get used again.
The Fed still has a lot of tools to use to re-flate the money supply in the event of stock-market or solvency (can’t pay back debt) instances.
The re-flate the money supply trick will fail to work if and when the amount of money destruction exceeds the rate of re-flation technique.
The likeliest cause of a monetary crisis in the U.S. is inflation. Every time the re-flation trick gets used (print some more money, in one form or another, injected into the economy in one manner or another) the value of the dollar falls. That’s been the inexorable trend since the Fed was created: dollars lose buying power. Usually slowly, but that’s not guaranteed; sometimes inflation speeds up a lot.
When we’re creating wealth at the same rate as we’re printing money, there’s no inflation.
It’s been a while now since that was the case.
Inflation (money supply increase funded by debt) and mis-allocation of capital are what’s going to (continue to) wreck our economy. That, and concentration of wealth into the hands of too few. That’s hurting us a lot, too.
The government will steal the peoples assets, because that is the only place the government can get the money. That is the buisness of government, to steal the peoples wealth. It has different ways that it does it, to try to disguise what they are doing but in the end, it is all the same. Inflation is simply another way to steal your money.
You are correct that asset prices fall in a recession, but to say there will not be that much money left to steal is not right. US household assets now stands at about $174 trillion dollars. Even if assets are devalued by a large percentage, the remaining meat on the bone is the largest source of wealth that the government has to tap.
The other factor to consider is that the National Debt is not the Governments debt, it is the citizens debt. The government has no source of income except the citizens. It is not Joe Bidens, or Nancy Pelosi’s debt, it is your debt.
No the Fed does not have any more tools to reinflate the economy. Every ponzie scheme has a point where it is no longer mathmatically feasible, and it collapses. In order for an economy to stay solvent, the production of goods and services (real GDP) has to stay in balance with the money production. When the money creation is higher than real GDP you have inflation. The GDP in the US is a gigantic lie, because things like government spending, most of which is stolen, and financial dirivitives are included in GDP despite the fact they are not the producition of any tangible good or service. The government then lies about the data, and we all pretend to believe it.
The GFC was the last trick the Fed had, lowering rates to near zero and lowering the costs of servicing the debt. Now with interest rates a little below 4.5% the cost to service the debt costs more than the military. That is not sustainable, but it is only going to get worse. 7.6 trillion in Federal Debt will roll over in 2025, with the interest rate on that debt increasing to about double what it was before, meaning the debt service is going up substantially from where it currently is. Now add to that we are already by most indicators already in recession, which is going to get much, much worse over the next couple years.
The banks are mostly insolvent sitting on trillions of bad CRE loans, and companies nation wide are going bankrupt.
That is all London School of Economics balderdash.
ok, what’s the counter narrative.
please.
The US system of Political Economics, by Henry Carey, published in German and English by Friedrich List. Here on archive :
https://archive.org/details/NationalSystemOfPoliticalEconomyFriedrichList/mode/2up
Note the Woke warning for a book from 1841. 😁 😁
There is the fight.
Downloaded thank you.
That woke warning is sickening. They do not want us to think anew.
How about that publisher address: PaterNoster street.
Bonbon: you saying so doesn’t make it so. Provide backup for your statement, or we can all safely ignore you.
The LSE is well known – look at alumni like Ursula FondOfFlying, Baerbock.
How anyone does not know Prof. Hayek and Prof. Keynes of the London School of Economics , the tweedle-dum and tweedle-dee of Ivy League economics is beyond me.
The 1934 Glass-Steagall Banking Act solved the problem then, repealed end 1999 by Clinton under impeachment threat. Lehman in 2008 was not a bank, the derivative paper implosion happened only because of that. It is not rocket science, but much bigger than 1934.
Alex Krainer said in the video the oligarchy will fry us all rather than allow this intervention or a Jubilee. Which is why he expects a major false-flag.
The Glass-Steagall Act did not solve anything, because it did not address the problem which was and is, out of control government spending, stacked upon a debt based Central Banking system that is designed to bankrupt governments.
Money loaned into existence at interest, can only produce a system destined to collapse. It is simple mathmatics.
It did – The New Deal managed to defeat Hitler, as Stalin said , the World Factory. Russia worked closely and took huge injury.
That is why mathematicians are idiots.
It solved nothing. The stealing of the citizens gold recapitalized the Fed and the government.
The US did not defeat Hitler, Stalin did. Get a clue. You are about as ignorant about history as is possible…
So you do not take Stalin’s comment seriously?
Hard to believe today, back then the USA was the World Factory.
Of course the USSR were on the job. What an ignoramus!
I took my time to review my notes about the historical shifts in the Middle East over the last 3000 years.
I must agree with Alex and you about the fall of Syria. It happened something like that before. The last was around the 1250 – 1280 period. The region was overwhelmed by 5 centuries of a military turmoil between the fall of 3 military powers – Mongol, Roman, Crusades.
Coincidentally the trap was the city of Aleppo back in the day. It could only have happened with a secret alliance between the Arabs and Turks to get rid of all invaders.
It’s easy to criticize Putin, but he seems to be the only one trying to save humanity.
Since the 2013 Adelman/Nuland takedown of Kiev, Posts of Putin ostensibly beginning with words- “Putin warns West” were at least a dozen. On one other occasion an alleged Putin post read-” if more cruise missiles are launched on Syria, I shall destroy the source of those missiles” the source was a US destroyer, and 100 (other) cruise missiles had already been launched, (strangely hitting no valuable targets) . 100 more would follow
ostensibly under Trump orders, again hitting no valuable targets, and Putin did nothing.
I’ve often feared that Putin is role playing in a bigger picture that we’re all missing.
He does after all have one foot in the door for global carbon currency…. are we witnessing the most sophisticated conspiracy of all time?
I agree with Alex and after thinking it through, the technocratic model of establishment order is the one to be adopted to replace the current one. IMO.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technocracy
You will never believe who headed the Canadian Technocratic Party….
Nimrod?
Hint – the dad.
https://www.biblicalarchaeology.org/daily/cush/
I will let this idea ruminate…it will take time as it is there in the background waiting for an aha! correlation.
thx.
Will look into it. thx.
Five Takeaways From The Historic Russian-Indian Oil Deal | ZeroHedge
Classic. China which is Russia’s ally was screwing them to the wall with low ball offers for the Power of Siberia energy.
And Russia just signed a $13 billlion a year oil deal with India. Which is China’s main competitor as assembler/slave labor capitol of the world.
Fucking classic. China has fucked everyone on both sides. And the Eye of Sauron now turns on them. And I deeply hope that Russia helps China in a completely proportionate way as to how China helped Russia.
That is actually from Korybko and Oilprice,
And FT. All MSM.
I must admit I get a bit of wry amusement from those who declare that leadership is malinformed, or even better, that Western society is decaying.
Enough with these silly assertions; the one ones who have changed are those expressing such opinions. Only now armed with sufficient information do they see the ultimate truth: the current state of affairs is practically identical to any other point in time.
In this proper context, one can see the USA/UK are merely the current *political* manifestations of the essential idea, the concept of dominance, whether by means fair or foul.
If you understand this important point, then you’ll reach the next conclusion: the “West” indeed will win a nuclear confrontation. Note that you can’t kill an idea; it matters not that Russia might emerge as a still extant political entity.
No, the key idea is that piracy will once again emerge dominant in the surviving populations. The same principles will be applied because they work. And they are effective because the bald ape bears the evolutionary marks of its schooling fish predecesors – conflict avoidance and self preservation.
Know this truth and the world makes perfect sense.
EMBurlingame (https://x.com/EMBurlingame) has a much more intriguing model than yours.
His perspective is, as is yours, evolutionary.
In his model there are three players in the Eternal War.
The Resentfuls, the Responsibles and The Adoptables.
Your model accounts for only the first in that triad.
Which do you think has better explanatory power? I think his.
Cordially.
It is a free choice – Leonardo is not impressed.
Oracles are quadrupeds who like to hang down from tree canopy and make pronouncements.
I am not sure why Larry puts up with your nonsence, but I look forward to the day when you are no longer here.
Still hanging from the trees? So is D.C.
It is sad that some people are so profoundly ignorant….
MAFO – above.
Hi Larry,
Thanks for all the great work you do. A quick question.
The possibility of a Hyperinflation nightmare in the US (eventually) haunts me. How did you manage in Argentina when it happened. Does the income of people (e.g. salaries) also keep up with hyperinflation? How do ordinary people manage to survive in such environment? Since cash loses value by the day, is holding tangible assets like real estate (houses) or stocks help keep up with hyperinflation?
Hope you have some time to answer this question based on your experience in Argentina. Thanks.
LK
Why would it be a bad thing if following an Israeli attack Iran destroys Israel and ultimately the American economy through oil price spike?
America & Israel are the 2 most evil, destructive & dangerous countries on earth- both controlled by Global Jewry.
Appeasing these 2 evil regimes only emboldens them.
The day after Israel is destroyed, the world is a better place.
I understand there are risks.
Right now we are at the most risky point in world history because of these 2 countries.
They must be decisively weakened to have a better world.
TRUMP ALSO WANTS TO EXTEND THE WAR, people wake up, Trump lied to all of you
<blink>TRUMP ALSO WANTS TO EXTEND THE WAR, people wake up, Trump lied to all of you</blink>
This is a test of the deprecated <blink> tag on the website’s comment section, if the text above is not blinking…then it does not work.
p.s. html attributes to add to the <blink> tag, much appreciated.
darn…it did not work.
the entire Internet has gone to shit since they got rid of that wonderful tag.
LOL! I’m on the job…
Only if the peacekeeping force to be sent to Ukraine suggested by Trump is unacceptable to the Russian side.
That is a lie.
“the West has interpreted Iranian patience with weakness and fear”
Or the talking Monkeys like Keane read their lines. “Rah, rah. USA, USA.”
The Biden Mob Family, of the Multiple D.C. Mob families, still need to be alive to spend their loot.
Larry, Argentina, when you and your wife moved in to build your church or something like that, was just starting to pay the price for the Falklands War (1982). If not for US intervention, the UK would have lost that war. The British were in hot water. The Argentinian Air Force would send Maverick and Iceman back to school.
The Russians and Iranians may be capable of defeating the Empire. Their not confronting the Empire directly means they are doing everything they can to avoid a conflict.
Yet their withdrawal from Syria empowers the warmongers in Washington(“see they are weak and afraid of us!”) which means more warmongering and an inevitable conflict.
I’m not saying the Iranian/Russian strategy is wrong. Arguably they are getting stronger while the Empire grows weaker. Diplomatically they are seen by the rest of the world as the reasonable party, while the Empire is seen to be deranged.
The concern many here have is that when push comes to shove Putin will sell out. That his turning the other cheek is not playing for time and building up strength, instead it is endless appeasement.
Seeing how easier the Syrians were just “bought off” does not ease anyone’s mind.
Krainer’s view on this is important. He brings a century+ of historical context to this event.
It is worth your time to understand his point of view on his terms.
Men like Kraimer are the type of men you want to associate with, or, just be privileged to be in the same room and listen.
cordially
It takes time and a lot of epic mistakes to make the world see who are the ones to be demonized for the centuries to come. Before this conflict we already had more than 100 monkeys. Imagine now.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hundredth_monkey_effect
Complete vapors.
Did you even listen to Alex Krainer?
Did you ever see a post of mine you didn’t reply to? I don’t harrass you when you post. A little courtesy would be nice troll.
Alex said the Syrian Army were ordered to stand down. You are making stuff up.
So, that American admiral was not talking nonsense.
Just saying, apparently this conflict in Europe will be settled only after the US can launch its own hypersonic missiles against Russia. Then, depending on the outcome – assuming they have not launched nukes in the heat of that moment – this conflict will be finished.
Let’s just say good night to each other for safe insurance, okay?
They did not work.
define “work”
j.k.
I can already see the Hollywood movies talking about how heroic and brave the United States were defending freedom and democracy against tyranny.
Mr. Johnson, I have to say your experienced observations and commentary are second to none. It is so disheartening to see a power like America descending into the delusional, hubris fantasy level that happens at the end of empire. I was hoping Trump returning would change something for the better, but he doesn’t seem like the same Trump from 2016. Something is different about him and he appears like he will be more reckless to prove himself. In his first term he was more reconciliatory with different leaders and nations, and now he’s more aggressive and hawkish. Not to mention he seems to be determined to continue past administrations’ objective of destroying the dollar. No president will challenge the Federal Reserve since that day in Dallas back in November 1963. It’s very hard to be optimistic nowadays.
Europe cannot sustain itself since immemorial times. It needs everything from abroad just to be open for business from 8AM – 18PM.
The worst thing to ever happen for Europeans in history was to the have the UK as neighbor. Always scheming the next raid in far away shores for a quick profit.
Most of time, successful; but it was not rare to see them being chased from the other side of the world by furious people and armies. The UK problems left for Europe to face and to solve were not small feats to be achieved. The Turkish invasion of Europe is the best example of it. I blame the Turkish for not doing the whole trip till that bog-island to finish the job. Certainly, we would not have had a lot of historical problems, that’s for sure.
So, my point here is that Russia knows what Europe is better than anyone else and it does not want Europe again. The Dnieper River is the furthest point they want to go. And they are just there because of this whole NATO mess idea started by Bill Clinton in the 90s to move their bases close to Russia. Perhaps Bill is more related to the British ideas than to America’s poor understanding of reality.
So, this whole talking here is about to tell you that Europe is for Russia-Asia what Dubai is for the Emirates. A very expensive entrepreneurship not worthy the cost in the pocket. But you have to build it first to verify what your engineers told you beforehand. What about Las Vegas then? Ah, Las Vegas is another level of dumbness that only a Hollywood movie can soft it enough to be told. And what about Israel? Same, but they are committed to go to the bitter of end of a genocide to make it worth the ego of a dozen fascists.
To sum up, the existence of Europe, Israel, as it is today, it is only possible at the expense of the rest of the world.
Clinton is an Oxford Rhodes Scholar 1 of thousands in the US.
“Europe” will join BRICS and will always be the west side of Eurasia. It is already part of the Belt and Road.
Heck , even the UK is with the Chunnel.
I see the Russians have launched a massive attack on the Little Russians again. Someone explain to me how this response will discourage American attacks on Russia?
BTW if Russia is at war with the Ukraine why didn’t they do this two years ago? This 21st century warfare leaves me rather confused. I’m going back to reading my Civil War books.
They are not American attacks, they are joint Ukraine / American attacks.
Putin keeps making the mistake of thinking he is dealing with halfway inteligent and rational people who will not do things that are detremental to their own interests. The west keep proving he is way overestimating their inteligence….
What about these “decision making centres” we keep hearing about?
You would think these would be the first targets, but they seem to be keeping them for some special occasion in the future. Why?
The decision making centers are well known.
That Civil war claimed 700,000 American lives. The UKrainian Civil war already well over 1 million. Maybe you missed the repeated Electric War missile salvos – heck, there was no electricity in the US Civil War.
From TASS : 120+ missiles, Kalibr, Iskander, no mention of Oreshnik.
Aftermath of the strike- In the morning, an air alert went off throughout Ukraine. Explosions occurred in several areas, including the Lvov Region.
– Ukrenergo announced restrictions on power supply.
– Infrastructure damage was reported in a number of regions.
– Russian missile strikes hit a UAV production facility in the city of Borispol and a Ukrainian heavy equipment repair facility in Pereyaslavl, said Vladimir Rogov, Chairman of the Civic Chamber Commission on Sovereignty, Patriotic Projects, and Support of Veterans.
– According to him, more than 120 attacks using various weapons, including hypersonic Kinzhal missiles, were carried out.
– Rogov added that the Russian Armed Forces had launched a missile strike on the facilities of an airport in Kiev, where pilots of F-16 fighter jets were undergoing training.
The media zone numbers for Russian deaths aren’t tailing off. It is only that more recent deaths take up to 3 months to be registered using their system.
Still it is probably fair to say that the previous low levels of deaths for the first half of the year have continued at the same rate even as the Russian advance accelerates.
The worlds biggest graveyard.
What is that giant cracking sound?
Or as Heinrich Heine wrote in Atlas :
I, wretched Atlas, must carry the world,
I must carry this wide world of wrenching pain.
I bear the unbearable and my heart
Breaks within this feeble frame.
You proud heart, you got what you wanted!
You longed for happiness, for eternal bliss,
Or maybe it was for misery, proud heart—
Now you know true wretchedness.
Original
Ich unglücksel’ger Atlas! Eine Welt,
Die ganze Welt der Schmerzen muß ich tragen,
Ich trage Unerträgliches, und brechen
Will mir das Herz im Leibe.
Du stolzes Herz, du hast es ja gewollt!
Du wolltest glücklich sein, unendlich glücklich,
Oder unendlich elend, stolzes Herz,
Und jetzo bist du elend.
https://thechainedmuse.substack.com/p/atlas-by-heinrich-heine
Ask Larry to pin your pictures to the header of each thread and number them.
Then you can give links in messages: see picture #1, #2, #3…
In my opinion, this is a rational proposal.
When opinions are numbered.
All that sounds kaballistic?
So the US has an Oreshnik!!!
Someone ought to tell the FeD idiot bankers you do not test fire directly up – it comes down on your head!
The Deep State needs a wining headline, also Trump need to show the world that american army is in good shape …
… but going against Iran? No.
They need a small rival they know can squash easily and the perfect opponent is the Houthies, that’s what Trump is going to do. He’ll start a war against them and he’ll win.
And lets not forget, they need the Red Sea unblocked so the mighty israhell can keep running bussiness as usual.
They’ve been bombing the Houthis for ten years. What is Chump🤡 going to do that has not been done already? Put boots on the ground? Good luck with that!
BTW. I would think supplies to Asrallah are going into overdrive now the main link to Hezbollah has been broken.
I agree they will be a target, but if Chump🤡 thinks they can can be “squashed easily” he’s in for a nasty surprise.
Alex Krainer was correctly informed – a massive attack all across UKraine followed within hours. Ongoing…
As for Britain’s Mac-kindergarten, the world has grown up. The way forward was shown by Colorado Gov. Gilpin’s Cosmopolitan Railways in the 1880’s. China has ploughed ahead.
It is natural that the USA joins in. Trump invited Xi to his inauguration the second time.
This is Lincoln’s TransContinental on steroids!
Ten Humans and a Banker
Ten humans decide they want to start their own community, but they have no common “money” to build their economy on. A banker from a nearby town offers to help them out, and they accept. So, the banker prints $100 worth of new money in his basement, loans each person in the community $10, and agrees to accept interest-only payments on the loans at a rate of ten percent. (A tiny $1.00 interest payment per person, per year.)
So, the new community begins with a total money supply of $100. Prices in the community are set according to this money supply and everything seems fine.
At the end of the first year, the banker gathers everyone together to collect his interest. Each of the ten people surrenders their $1 interest-only payment, but none of them stops to consider that, after making the payment, all ten of them still owe the banker $10 each. How can everyone pay their debt if the community’s total money supply is now only $90? There are no longer enough dollars in circulation to pay the banker the $100 he is owed.
Side Note: The banker could spend the $10 worth of interest payments he collected back into the economy and this would raise the community’s money supply back to $100, but he won’t do that. For now, the people will be left with only $90 to pay $100 in debt.
Although the common people might not have figured out their debt predicament, they have noticed that getting a fair price for their products and services seems a little tougher than the year before. Prices, across the board, are dropping and they’re not sure why. …But the banker understands why. He knows that there are fewer dollars in circulation and this raises the value or purchasing power of each dollar. As the value of each dollar goes up, the number of dollars a customer is willing to pay (in exchange for another person’s products or services) goes down.
By the end of the second year a successful businessman, who has managed to accumulate $15, makes his interest payment AND pays off his debt in full. So, as everyone else makes their second $1.00 “interest-only” payment, he pays both the interest due and the $10 he originally borrowed. This reduces the community’s total money supply by another $20. ($10 is lost to interest payments, plus another $10 leaves the economy due to the businessman’s $10 principal payment.) There are now only 70 dollars to be shared by all ten people in the community and nine people still owe the banker the full $10 they originally borrowed ($90 in total debt).
Two more years pass and two more people manage to earn enough to pay off their debts. By the end of the fourth year, the money supply has shrunk by another $38. ($18 in interest payments plus another $20 from the two individuals who, despite the difficulty, earned enough from the shrinking money supply to pay off their loans.) There are now only $32 left in the community, to be shared among all ten people and seven of those people still owe the banker $10 each ($70 total).
At this point, it will be nearly impossible for those who are still in debt to make their $1.00 interest payments, let alone pay off their debt. Where once there was $10 for each person in the community, there is now only $3.20. With so few dollars left in circulation, the purchasing power of each dollar has gone through the roof. Prices have fallen drastically and the economy is in shambles. If the banker does not help the people out (by putting more money back into the community), bankruptcies are inevitable; bank seizure of property is inevitable, financial ruin is inevitable. [1]
The successful businessman who paid his debt off first approaches the banker. He explains to the banker that the people want to work; it’s just that times are tough. At its height, his business employed half the town. Now, he is down to just a couple employees and he has had to cut their pay…he just can’t afford the $2.00 per year salary anymore, and even at that rate, HALF of their pay is being eaten up by their annual interest payment. They can barely feed themselves!
He points out, if the banker agrees to fund a new and ambitious project, the town will spring to life. There will be jobs for all and the suffering will end. But he also points out, without the project, many people are likely to default on their loans…the businessman just doesn’t see how the people will be able to continue making their payments in such a depressed economy. “Please Mr. Banker,” he says, “you’ve got to help us out.”
The banker agrees to the loan, and it’s a whopper ($100). The businessman is ecstatic. Shaking the banker’s hand, he promises to make good on the loan. He’s not only certain his new venture will be profitable, he’s certain the whole town will benefit. “Oh, thank you Mr. Banker” he says sincerely, “you have done a good thing here!”
But nobody stops to think that there is now $132.00 in the economy to cover $170.00 of debt. And each year, $10 in interest will be due on the new $100 loan and $7 will be due on the $70 that was unpaid from before. The banker knows the math…and with a smile on his face he creates the $100 out of thin air and the cycle starts over.
Welcome to the debt-based monetary system. Whether it is a small community or a powerful nation, any economy built on this fraudulent system is doomed. Its debt is mathematically inescapable and, if the people start paying down their debts, or if the banks simply refuse to renew loans, the money supply will evaporate and financial ruin will follow.
When the Federal Government talks about “paying off the national debt” it is LYING to you. It cannot do this without destroying our economy. The bankers that created our Federal Reserve System in 1913 built dependency into the system. It was designed to create ever-expanding, inescapable debt. By inflating and deflating the money supply, our wealth (as a nation and as individuals) is at the mercy of the bankers.
We must free ourselves from this monetary system. We must demand honest money.
[1] Again, the banker could technically spend ALL of the interest he has collected back into the economy to ease the pressure (quite a deal for him since the dollars he has “earned” will now be worth a small fortune), but this does not change the fact that the debt is inescapable. As the debts are paid, the money supply shrinks. Without new loans (new debt) the economy will grind to a halt and those still holding debt will have no choice but default.
All credits due to Joseph Plummer
Good one. In Ontario during the Mike Harris years (our small brush with provincial fascism) the premier made a statement that he was going to pay off the provincial debt.
The right wing Frazer Institute decided it was time for Mike to go. He went.
👍👍👍
thank you.
This is a kesson on how to enslave nations.
Russian soldiers encounter thousands of fleeing Syrian soldiers who had thrown away their weapons instead of defending their homeland. The Russian soldiers berate these Syrians for not fighting. But Russian soldiers should die for Syria. The words ooze deep contempt.
https://t.me/Verbundenheit_mit_Russland/26747
Ukraine is just the front line, the “hot” war at the edge of russia territory. Tough shit for the Ukrainians, they fell for the american bullshit and now they pay a high high price.
the real action is throughout the asian continent… russia is not “standing alone,” it represents a geopolitical struggle from the Middle East to the extreme far east of asia, and its support comes from the major asian players: China, India, Iran and to a lesser extent the countries of central and southern asia.
The coordinated international movement (which admittedly may be like trying to herd cats) is to break the US/UK hegemony. This power struggle is based on the obvious FACTS: the british empire (which did NOT go away after the world wars) is collapsing rapidly and the US can’t save it.
Fuck Britannia, the Empire on which the BLACK SUN never set (Cynthia Chung) a good read which will fill you in on your tragic lack of historícal background.
👍
Looks like Biden & Co. are resistant to radiation.
43:37 Krainer gets into the strategic plans of the british empire since (before) 1904.
Britain has been a declared, avowed foe of russia for over 250 years…. the brits were instrumental in fomenting the FRENCH revolution in 1789, and the RUSSIAN revolution in 1917… at one point the brits promised Tsar Nicholas CONSTANTINOPLE If he would stay in the first WW, then when Russia was completely defeated, the brits, working with Wall Street and the germs, conjured up a “spontaneous Revolution” and put Lenin in power in 1917… shortly thereafter the new russian Foreign Minister, Trotsky, revoked ALL EXISTING AGREEMENTS of the old tsarist government and HANDED OVER IRAN to the brits… largest acquisition of known oil assets to that time.
and therein lie the seeds of the middle east conflict today.
Which is why the Trotter was a Fabian Society asset. Note the books here in the London School of Economics plaque today :
All the Neocons are Trotters as C.Chung fully documents.
The British Empire’s Gnostic Revival of Scientific Paganism and a New World Religion
bookmarked
As Krainer explains the Syrian trap, I kept thinking of Custer’s march into the Little Big Horn.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xWGAdzn5_KU
Of course it’s perfectly possible that Trump is aware that the “Russian casualties” figures are a load of baloney, but that he is ok with going along the narrative.
I’m guessing he’s watched a fair few Col Doug videos over the last few years and is better informed than we know.
However, his policy is to make a deal. And that deal hinges on the idea that Russia is ready to make a compromise due to the massive suffering being incurred on the battlefields. So it makes sense for him to promote this falsehood, he likely doesn’t believe himself.
The question is: Will Putin cave in to a deal after seeing what happened due to leaving unfinished business in Syria? Will Russia sell out the Chinese?
I hope the answer to both is no. But that is likely the deal Trump is coming with.
Trump will use whatever tactic he feels will help him make a favorable deal. I am not a believer that Trump will save America, but at least he is bringing in advisors who have enough integrety to tell him the truth, regardless of whether he likes it or not.
The biggest problem with government, is that it is based mostly on lies. People in positions of power are told what they want to hear, and not the reality of the situations they are dealing with. There is a science to problems like everything else. For a problem to persist, it must contain a lie. Once the lie is identified, the solution to the problem becomes obvious and the problem can be solved.
The problems in government exist because no one wants to solve them. They lie to obscure the obvious solution to the problems, and thus justify the contiual robbery of the citizens to justify government spending. The purpose of government, is to steal the wealth of its citizens.
Wheeling and dealing requires a foundation of due diligence, which I think was lacking in Trump’s first administration. I’m sure it’s better now, but how much better? Hard to say. I think that until January 20th, everything Trump says is what the Deep State wants to hear. That may or may not be aligned with what Trump intends to do when he’s actually president. We’ll just have to see.
From what I just read, U.S. Senators seem more concerned with Chinese garlic as a security threat. (Not kidding) And how in 100 days the EU will completely sever any fuel ties with Russia! Frau Ursula, the destroyer of the EU. These people little make me ill. Great Candace Owens interview with someone from the USS Liberty. Takes me a couple of days to keep up with podcasts. Loved you interview with Alex Krainer. I just figure we’re either doomed because of Ukraine, Israel, or China with these lunatics. And when you think the world can’t get anymore insane, I was astonished to see Palestinians cheering the overthrow of Assad, one of their few quiet saviors.
RT reports large scale attacks all across Ukraine aimed at energy systems. Also a report that Trump wants European troops, ahem, ‘peacekeepers’ sent to Ukraine. However, discussions are still at ‘an early stage’.
I think the Americans are getting what they want in Ukraine, despite the fact that the war is very close to lost. The missile attacks are intent on provoking the kind of reaction that will force the reluctant hands of the Europeans. The Americans never intended to fight the Russians. Their primary enemy is China. The idea is to provoke a permanent rupture between Russia and Europe. Mission accomplished. The great and preventable mistake of the Atlanticists was to provoke an alliance between the two peer military competitors: Russia and China. Both Zbig and Kissinger warned about this. But the Atlantic mediocrities … . In any case the role of the Europeans is to occupy the Russians while the Americans play their ‘air-sea’ tricks in the ‘Indo-Pac’. But again, the Americans have got what they wanted in Ukraine. By cutting Europe’s energy supplies the place is now deindustrialising. And that’s why this remilitarisation is likely to go forwards. It’s the only way they’ll be able to salvage their key industries, by establishing a protected, that is, planned consumption program. Just like America actually. That’s what they’re trying to do but I have serious doubts as to whether it’s really possible. To finance the whole business they’ll have to bury the social democratic welfare state. And they’ll have to institute pan European bond selling and taxation program. A real Euro super state. The people don’t want this and the big ‘Russia threat’ is wearing thin. I expect that they’ll try and keep trying but fail and keep failing.
As for the actual strategic issue, I can’t see why it would matter. The Russian Army has made concerted preparations for just this sort of confrontation. What they’ll do in Ukraine is unclear but they’re not going to send the First Guards to roll through the Brandenburg Gate again (been there; done that). So, let the dogs bark; that’s what dogs do. But be that as it may, Russia will still be able to offer its Chinese partner considerable assistance in the Pacific. Nobody, aside from the Koreans, are going to have much use for an army in the confrontation to come (Pacific theatre). And this is why I’m hoping to hear more from Peter Lee. His last report largely concerning the Phillipines asserted that upcoming operations are being orchestrated from Hawaii and when the brass figure they’re ready their plans will be green-lighted by Washington – like pushing in an open door. I find it incredible that a military that has war gamed a confrontation in the South China Sea so many times, and always with the same result, would so recklessly go ahead. And yet it looks like it will. Nobody’s paying much attention to this business. But we should.
Maybe like the Israeli’s. They can’t win their small wars so they start something bigger and hope the ‘higher powers’ help them out.
The real question here is whether the East survives the divorce from the West. China has all that trade related debt paper that it really doesn’t appreciate. So dumping the US dollar is also an existential necessity for it and to keep that trade going for the US is also a goal. So how does one explain the “need” for war between East and West? I know the WEF is an influence in all this, but the trend for the divorce is also a solution. Does China really need to trade with the US, especially as it is failing by the day?
You don’t understand the Chinese economy. All that paper is just that- paper. China’s economy is fundamentally a command economy, and the government can readily move productive resources from one sector to another, establish new social goals, and so on. The government controls the banking sector, not the other way around as in the west. The government also has all essential industries in its own hands. Entrepreneurs can get rich, but they can’t get powerful.
The paper that China holds is just a political tool. Debts can be enforced or forgiven, as the situations demands- not for the money, but to influence the behavior of other countries. Foreign trade is the same- China doesn’t need western currency, so trading with another country is about international relations, not profit. The fundamental reason that the US did not engage China in war since they lost the Soviet nuclear umbrella in 91 is that it was too profitable for western investor class to maintain ‘friendly’ (ie, exploitive in the west’s favor) relations. That is still a huge inhibitor of direct action against China. The US economy would go into a tailspin if trade with China was cut off, and the banking class would lose their shirts.
“ Entrepreneurs can get rich, but they can’t get powerful.” very important insight. thank you.
“and the banking class would lose their shirts.”
good.
I don’t disagree with you but keep in mind that the East is driving towards a stable monetary system backed by gold. When they finally shift to that, the West is going to have great difficulties settling trade with a devaluing fiat currency system.
BRICS is not doing that. It will NOT follow the British Gold Standard.
Yikes! Behold bonbon destroyer of presuppositions.
Are their two standards? The Gold Standard and the British Gold Standard?
fwiw, my view is on the morality of currency…an objective standard that no fiend in a 10,000 dollar suit can circumvent.
As a pint is a pound the whole world round, a second is a portion of the vibration of a certain element , a gram is …
i.e. universally agreed upon realities.
Or are pints, seconds, meters conspiracy theories too?
Bretton Woods conference Dexter White blasted Lord Maynard Keynes Bancor. FDR dumped the British gold Standard in 1934. The Gold Reserve was killed in 1971 by Nixon under British blackmail by Baring Bank. Links if you need.
Remilitarisation is a pipe dream. Armaments factories would be turned into dust by Oreshniks. It is a total fantasy.
Tens of millions of folk who used to pay taxes with good jobs are going to be on the dole draining the economies of Europe further. Pro war governments will fall and be replaced by more sensible people who are capable of looking at a map and understand that good relations with Russia are the key to European prosperity.
👍
Yes, I think so to. They’re swimming against the stream. H. Kissinger spoke well: ‘to be an enemy of America is dangerous. To be a friend is fatal’
Larry, Counter Currents is a great program. This latest discussion with Alex was truly excellent! You guys addressed key points and very effectively clarified the Syria situation as it relates to the power struggle going on. Hopefully Alex will join you again for further discussion as this situation develops. Keep up the great work and thanks for all your hard work to bring this to us.
If there is nuclear war then none of this matters.
you can find an excerpt of Tsar Alexander II’s interview with The Independent, dated around 1861 or 2, where he stated that he would NOT participate in a French/English plan to blockade the northern states, and that would WOULD send fleets to both the east and west coasts of the US to prevent this… which HE DID, probably saving the union.
Statue in Moscow , military record.
Re your chat with Alex. I also left this on the YouTube version and yes the monetary problem is huge and increasingly damaging. But unrecognized mostly.
To wit:
Think of global currencies as sky divers who are falling at the same level. A bit of air lift raises one a bit (USD) above the rest. It has a bit more grab on the atmosphere (demand) to slow it a little. But in the end all the currencies are falling/failing. There are other currency systems, under assets like gold and silver, even copper, but if the collapse compromises productivity, the ability of people to make and support themselves, then no real currency can work given a damage that passes a certain point of death. A monetary system can not buy what is not there.
War.
I doesn’t interest me. I want nothing to do with it. It is simply not in me. So what am I doing here?
Please forgive me.
Western culture is dying. Or rather, western civilization is dying. The illness has sneaked upon us for a long time – keeping us unaware of its hostile evil – and is now spreading, with clear symptoms showing. So we are facing a quite firm prognosis and wonder if a remedy can be found. Most like to think that they are fighting the illness with military means, and in some ways they are; surgery is sometimes necessary, even if it is just to buy some time. While others see this as just a part of the prognosis. So we reach for a remedy.
And it exists…
But like the symptoms at this point, the remedy will affect whole body. To avoid remission, it must restore the entirety of it all. The root causes must be addressed. And something will arise from the remnants. Will that be a copy of the past, or will it be something genuinely new? How is progress actually achieved and how is it measured? Can it be measured at all, if we have nothing to compare it with?
We can only rank ourselves with ourselves…
Civilizations go through cycles like everything else. This fact has been studied and written about ever since the Romans conquered the Greeks.
We are at the point in our Democratic cycle where the system has become so corrupt, it is degenerating into anarchism. Anarchism in time, will fall to feudalism, and the cycle will repeat.
Thank you Jdog. 🙂
“Civilizations go through cycles like everything else.”
I think I know what you mean with the “democratic cycle”; the rise and fall of civilizations is a fascinating topic.
I don’t consider the development of modern world cyclic. It is linear, as events are not abstracted, but have physical impact. Human society has been manipulated, exploited, dominated and bereft since Babylonian times. And I don’t consider governance in the modern world “democratic”.
Elections are misunderstood as proof of democracy. They’re not. The losing party in an election cannot be considered self-determining. To consider entering a vote as the social contract that binds the individual to the existing degraded form of “democracy” is injustice in practice. A result of indoctrination, rendering the populace uninformed.
And “anarchy” has several meanings. If you mean lawlessness as the main feature in this, then a society based on individualistic characteristic does not deprive individuals of agreements. Such agreements may even include mobilization to protect the community or larger society from external threats.
Few, if anything in life is actually linear. Civilizations are cyclical because human nature, and indeed nature itself, is cyclical. Humans react the same way to certain situation regardless of the time period. Some call it generational turnings, and we are now in the latest part of the cycle.
I agree that elections and democracy are exclusive of each other. Being able to vote for your choice of dictators does not constitute a democracy.
The democratic process involves representatives that actually represent the will of the people they advocate for.
The true meaning of anarchy is simply “without government”, but is often used to describe less government, or the dissolution of government.
It does not have anything to do with lawlessness or chaos, and that is a misrepresentation based on the lie that you cannot have a society that respects the rights of others without a government, which in most cases respects the rights of no one.
I must admit that the cyclicity goes a long way to explain the observed development. But that word in itself leads my understanding into some sort of return to an entry-point, and I find it hard to see this in the span of a single lifetime. So I prefer a (perhaps) related term; “rhythmical”. But it’s not something I will stand on the barricades and fight for.
The resulting representation from an election is dubious. The losers of an election are represented by someone with different values than themselves in matters that made them vote differently.
I have wondered if the re-public is defined by the re-presentation given from the elections. Representatives are the result in either one. But at this point I see no significant difference in the mechanics between “republic” and “democracy” where elections are utilized.
I thought the root of “anarchy” was “archon”, as in “ruler”. Thanks for clearing that up. In the history of ideas, I guess you are spot on. I consider the “lawless” feature as an urban legend really, as in what is usually meant whenever it is mentioned.
How about a return to Kings?
They were overthrown by the same clowns we see today.
Arguably, Putin is the Russian Tzar and Xi the Chinese Emperor.
Heck, Trump is King of the American people.
Seriously….when Putin hazelnutz D.C. the people will flock to their king.
AshaLogos has a wonderful video series on the French Revolution…
Same shitty people trying to destroy Russia today were trying to destroy Europe then.
It worked for a time…but, there is a structure to God’s creation an Hierarchy is a part of it, permeating everything in living beings.
To destroy Hierarchy is to mock God. And you end up with the disgusting pieces of shit Larry talked about in the video where they rule the banks and fsck the people.
Here is the Jesuit and the King – guess what gift was given?
The guy on the left is not the pope.
https://www.lifesitenews.com/opinion/if-francis-is-pope-a-cloud-of-witnesses-have-been-wrong-about-the-papacy/
I have no idea what the gift is.
And, yes, the jesuits were infected by the Modernist Heresy.
“Elections are misunderstood as proof of democracy. They’re not. The losing party in an election cannot be considered self-determining. To consider entering a vote as the social contract that binds the individual to the existing degraded form of “democracy” is injustice in practice. A result of indoctrination, rendering the populace uninformed.”
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I really appreciate your feedback in this, heikomr. Thank you. 🙂
I feel like I should have emphasized the consensus-requirement more. We know this from the big international fora – like UNSC, BRICS+, Shanghai Cooperation Corporation and the Valdai Discussion-Club – where it is applied in connections with admittance and so-called “peace-keeping” missions. But the core of the consensus-concept is also found with the individual, where it boils down to simply mean “agreement”. This may not even be necessary to mention, but it really is at the heart of the matter, since it inhibits authoritarian abuse at local levels whenever applied.
Treaty of WestPhalia which halted the 100 year war in 1648 – Do for the Good of the Other, even your deadliest enemy.
UN Motto, Sir Tony Blair declared it ended , recently dubbed Knight Companion of the Most Noble Order of the Garter by the British Monarch,
As with an illness, you have to find the cause or causes.
What is the cause of wars, crime, terrorism, oppression, lack of freedom, slavery, censorship, repression, exploitation, corruption, the two-class system, etc.? To put it bluntly, no, it is not in “human nature”. Humans have simply not evolved for thousands of years.
Thank you, heikomr. 🙂
What you point at is what is considered “criminal intent”. We find this both collectively and individually.
In the west we have strayed away from the upbringing a stable society provides. We all know how the teenage years can be filled with turmoil. Those are the years our individuality is supposed to mature to become recognized in the wider independent connections. There are all sorts of entries to describe this, from sexuality to intact role-models, and everything in-between. A healthy social environment provides guidance and freedom to expand.
But criminal intent is difficult. This can mostly be considered breach of some general standard taken for granted elsewhere in the society. With our empathy, we can put ourselves in the shoes of the victim; that’s why we know right from wrong in this.
Life is difficult with a lot of challenges in all matters. And to adapt to it all is difficult, there’s no way to deny it.
What I have found – I’m in my 60s now – is that most people are not really malicious deep inside. But we make mistakes, sometimes really bad ones. Humans are actually notorious for that. And when it becomes obvious, we usually receive the corresponding responses socially. And such responses are important to us, because those are the correctives we need to understand how to change our own understanding and behaviour whenever we interact with each other. If not, the “matrix” fails in a way we likely don’t want it to.
We learn from our mistakes. But we may not even know they are mistakes, because we never grew up received the responses we deserved, or maybe we were encouraged asocially. Our justice-systems are meant to catch up in this, but even justice has been warped in many areas. It needs to be restored. And there are several approaches to achieve this.
My own understanding in this is largely based on the Golden Rule a lot; “do unto others…”, etc.. It can be phrased in many ways, but I like “you are allowed to do whatever you like, but don’t hurt others”. And that includes nature, as well.
Just some thoughts… 🙂
I have the impression that you are a very thoughtful person. Your comments are very interesting to me. …. My biography is like a rollercoaster and my greatest regret is related to the time I wasted senselessly and irretrievably lost. I am now in my early 60s and have become calmer.
So what is the root evil? You call it “criminal intent”. I think that the original sin was when individuals told their tribe, the clan, that this land, this pond, this percentage of the hunting spoils was their property. Dependencies and oppression began.
I don’t subscribe to the concept “original sin”. But I see the temptation for “power over others” as a very real stumbling-block in the maturation-process for an individual. – to the degree that it is connected to a severely limiting impact when a deep spiritual understanding is approached. 🙂
“original sin” is just a word. We can find another equivalent for it. I just wanted to identify what I see as problematic. 🙂
Human ideas have evolved, in jumps.
Which is why no primate ever exceeded 10 million in 30 million years. Never heard of “fire”?
We have now about 8+ billion, heading for 25 billion, that is if British Malthusian eugenics is trashed.
@bonbon, technologies have evolved. Human society hasn’t really. I love historical novels as well as science fiction novels. Why? Well, actually mainly because I’m curious and full of imagination myself. (This imagination flows into some of my comments. Sometimes. 😂) But there are very few novels in this genre that are enriching. Because the authors simply link current social structures, thinking, relationships and grievances with future technologies. That’s always disappointing.
All SciFi is pure psyop, from HG Wells onward.
Jewish Supremacy
Here is the disease, and the cure , a free choice.
And to some, everything worth considering has been put a label upon, and the choice has narrowed into being cheeky or sarcastic. But how constructive is that?
It is a free choice of being human.
How dare one mock Darwin!! His Quadrupeds are running the world to disaster, not constructive at all!
I like your last statement especially. It defines the general limited outlook. And if that outlook is a process of psyop operations, then what we rank is a foundation of lies laid by others that mean us harm. When a country turns its back, and I am talking cultural level thing, on what its government is doing within its domestic policies AND dismissing its crimes against whole other sovereign states, then that defines a decline as a society and in the case of the US, a civilizational event.
“I like your last statement especially. It defines the general limited outlook.”
Yes, I think you got that one. 🙂 And the moment we dare to extend ourselves with the intention of true progress and mutual respect, the limiting ceiling evaporates and we find ourselves in a new terrain. Dare we enter it?
And you also get the within/between dichotomy. This is crucial, because it is the within-dynamics which determines how the between-dynamics work out. This puts an emphasis on borders in every shape and form, and I don’t think this is difficult to understand in the western parts of the world anymore.
True democracy has never been formalized on Earth before, apart from small native and tribal communities perhaps. This realization is based on the disconnection between voting, self-determination and democracy, as the voting-process will preserve self-determination to the majority only. So the task to change this is humongous. But so is the illness.
And the challenge becomes how to implement self-determination for all. Most people I have talked with about this find it hard even to understand this point. They sort of get it when I mention the Swiss model, but that’s only one step forward. The road is long.
It is a given that local councils can be far more utilized than what is seen in the world today. Much of the mechanics in the governance of the nation-state needs to be scaled down to achieve local consensus, because this becomes a premise; the fundamental agreement upon what everything else is built upon. And it doesn’t exclude internet as a tool. But the personal verbal attendance and confirmed agreement is seen as necessary. At least I see it that way.
A hierarchical structure without authoritarian abuse between levels needs to emerge. If this is formalized at a local level where consensus is first established, it will likely not be a problem, since the consensus-criterion will be transferred up from the local levels to the regional and higher ones. After all, present-day consensus-requirement in international forums can be argued to be a residue from tribal structures.
From this, it possible to build a functional, socially healthy, and lasting and working structure. And it doesn’t exclude complexity, as long as the basic structure is acknowledged.
I have barely touched upon all nuances in this and I am sure I could have explained it better, but I guess you get the gist of it. 🙂
Democracy is not a form of government, it is a system, based on mob rule.
Democracy in most forms, is a propaganda tool used by feudal systems to deceive the people that they have some degree of self determination.
Early American government was successful due to the fact that the practice of democracy was kept very limited, and the issues decided by the democratic process were relatively unimportant. The majority of issues were decided by a fairly strict compliance with the Constitution and Bill of Rights which limited the creation of laws and the powers of government.
Politicians seeking expanded power and the ability to exploit the public hated the restraints of the Constitution and continually tried to overcome the restrictions using “democracy” as justification. This practice of usurping power by nullifying the Constitution continued to the point where today the Constitution for all intent and purpose in no longer in effect, and thus the rights of the people no longer exist.
Good points, Jdog. 🙂 “Democracy” as I use the word is the collection of rules applied to the collective when the collective chooses how to interact with each other and the world at large.
But all rights of the people are based on the individual’s rights. So those rights are not gone. They are better described as suppressed and inhibited.
“From this, it possible to build a functional, socially healthy, and lasting and working structure.”
Please provide an actual example, to test the theory.
Home-schooling in contrast to CRT.
Home schooling? which nation exactly?
America.
Your test. You choose.
So you have no evidence where this actually worked. Propose any theory, back it up.
“Socialism with Chinese Characteristics.” The west, unfortunately, has no pre-existing ‘characteristics’ to apply to the hierarchy. Since Roman times, at the very latest, western culture has been characterized by violence and rapacity. We can always find some philosophers offering alternative view points, but they never have power in the west, because the institutions have core understandings of the world that will not allow it.
Thank you, Honzo. 🙂
I consider “socialism” a collectivistic ideology. If I was to explain the core difference between socialism and individualism it would be: “In socialism you prioritize the collective when you have the choice, in individualism you prioritize the individual.”
And my entry into this maze is meant to be firmly individual, as such.
Kinda get the gist. But the US democracy is more a sham than a reality. We get direction from the oligarchs who have wealth and power in view for themselves and none for the great unwashed. The rot in US society has been entrenched for so long that many states and their people would suffer if the drug problem was solved. Some of those foundational bricks are insubstantial. Again Catherine Austin Fitts has an argument for the above.
“[…] the US democracy is more a sham […]“.
I know. What I have suggested is even a re-make of the non-functional Constitution. It isn’t even contained within the Antique’s republic.
It’s a new terrain…
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No it is not new terrain, just a rehash of ancient stuff – Babylon.
You are right, Larry! Bad int leads to bad decisions. People like Trump, who – as he boasted himself – reads few or no books, have no reference points to reality, know little of substance, and are therefore susceptible to the kind of garbage int and garbage military assessments which the Biden regime and the deep state and its proponents, like Generalissimo Keane, produce. I was hoping against hope that Trump would not sink so low so fast, but I expected it.
As a result, Trump may well end up blowing his second administration (like his first) on stumbling blocks which the deep state throws in his path.
That said, I do believe that there are people in both the US and Israeli defence establishments who know that an attack against Iran would be very costly, and potentially not very effective. Unless they can get at all of Iran’s assets (which, we know, are nicely hidden underground – so there seems to be little chance that they can all be destroyed in a first wave attack), Iran will strike back, and that will cause devastating losses in air defence capability in Israel. Moreover, depending on how many Russian systems Iran now has, these missiles will get through. Israel has no strategic depth like Russia or even Ukraine. When the Iranian missiles start hitting, Israel will be in trouble. Maybe Russia would also assist Iran with an Oreshnik or two. Maybe Russia is threatening the West and Israel with that possibility over secret channels. I would not doubt it. Also, Israel is presently blowing a big load in Syria in order to destroy the SAA’s remaining assets. It will take a while until Israel has fully restocked its air force. To sum up, only a fool would be in a hurry to attack Iran. But, we know there are lots of fools – desperate and panicking fools.
Like many North Americans one of our flaws is seemingly a political need to put people in office that represent the common level of understanding of the world. Trump could run quite successfully, given his financial beginnings, as already an oligarch level, but intellectually is more like someone who can run a general store business. No reading means no real education but an intellectual level that is far less informed than a Putin.
I call this willful self limiting behavior and is a fatal flaw for any country.
Oreshnik is a war-fighting weapon. Nukes are there to destroy entire countries. Iran already has missiles that can destroy US bases in the region, it doesn’t need oreshnik for that. What Iran cannot do is strike the US, but the US can strike Iran. The only way to achieve a relatively stable stand-off with a nuclear power is to have nukes and a way to deliver them to the enemy’s homeland. In this context, building nukes with ICBMs capable of reaching US cities is inviting destruction. Sure, Iran could destroy the US bases in the ME, could destroy Israel as a functioning state, could destroy all the oil infrastructure in the region and make the strait of Hormuz long-term impassable, but they couldn’t nuke the US, so no MAD.
William Schryver and Andrei Martyanov on the same topic.
https://imetatronink.substack.com/p/dictating-terms
https://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2024/12/this-is-pure-gold.html?m=1
The most likely next Federal Chancellor (governor) Merz (Black Rock) wants Taurus missiles on Russia and to give Putin a 24-hour ultimatum. He wants a new military draft, war capability and another 100 billion euros for the military. …. “The fish always stinks from the head.” …. Idiots only tolerate yes-men and idiots in the hierarchies. There’s something Black Rock is overlooking. Firstly, you can’t win a war with idiots and after the next war there will be no Black Rock and its owners will no longer exist.
So mankind is dying out due to idiocy. At least with the dinosaurs it was a meteorite.
That is my opinion.
Martyanov, unlike William Schweiver, does not write that Putin can be overthrown for some reason by unknown persons who are dissatisfied with something.
Firstly, the overthrow of the President is a coup d’etat, which in wartime means a strategic defeat.
Secondly, Putin is not so stupid as not to listen to the opinions of influential people in his circle and not so stupid as to allow influential people with an alternative opinion into his circle.
Thirdly, the capture of Odessa as a strategic depth is being too persistently imposed by Western experts and analysts.
In this regard, I recall a Ukrainian channel hosted by a former Odessa resident who now lives in Israel. He also wrote in 2022 that Russian troops should take Odessa in the sense of encircling and protecting it from Kyiv’s influence. At the same time, NATO countries should enter the city itself.
Strategists think very funny.
I read Arabic, Russian, German, Chinese, Persian articles and articles from the USA etc. Gera1, I don’t have to agree with every detail, not every point about each individual. But the overall picture, the different perspectives and arguments are important. It’s too easy to get tunnel vision and find yourself in supervised thinking.
This brings us to thinking. Just because a renowned person says something, you don’t have to deactivate your independent thinking. That’s what matters in the end. Furthermore, you shouldn’t cast your point of view in concrete, always be ready to check your own arguments.
I think Putin is the greatest statesman of the 21st century. But I’m wary of a personality cult. Even if a President Putin says something, your own thinking shouldn’t be switched off.
In my view, control of the Black Sea is absolutely vital for Russia. This includes Odessa. USNATO has clear plans regarding Odessa and the Black Sea. Let’s also remember that Russia can never be sure that Turkey can have dangerous plans in this context.
All this is just my opinion. Nothing more.
“I read articles in Arabic, Russian, German, Chinese, Persian, and also articles from the US, etc. Gera1, I don’t have to agree with every detail, every point about every person. But the big picture, the different points of view and arguments are important. It’s too easy to get lost and get trapped in a pattern of thinking.”
And you know, Putin acts exactly like you and works with information exactly the same way. 😘
I agree.
Well, I’m just a nobody with a keyboard. I have no secret services, no satellites and thousands of employees working for me. What does it matter to an American and a Russian president what I think and what my opinion is? I am a nobody. But this nobody is trying to do the best he can and “thoughts are free”. The Germans had already followed an emperor and then a “leader”. You only had to have one opinion. Any other opinion was punished. This is exactly what is increasingly happening again in Germany. But I have an opinion. My opinion. 🤷♂️
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I am also a nobody and therefore free.
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Exactly, as long as it is your own opinion, you are free. … But we are getting into philosophizing. Bonbon has already thrown Kant into the ring. 😂
Kant the omni-pulverizer, the anti-philosopher.
Adored all across EUSUK.
It took a great Poet, Heinrich Heine, to nail Kant.
And Kant can’t do it as Edgar Poe wrote in Eureka.
Western “strategists” is an oxymoron. Does anyone really think that Russia taking Odessa is as important as demeaning Ukraine as a threat? Some report that Russian ethnics have abandoned the city. Putin has to consider if an open port is left to what is left of Ukraine can be used to supply a supply of mischief to Russia that is greater than already exits on its eastern borders with NATO.
On the other hand an international port on the Black Sea still makes Ukraine a constant strategic interest to the Western war mongers.
In the public sphere, none of the Russian analysts can predict what will happen to Odessa, and cannot sufficiently substantiate one or another scenario.
Some cannot sleep or eat without Odessa as part of Russia.
Others say that there is no one to save in Odessa – it has long been non-Russian, and it is enough to blockade the city, make it uninhabitable.
Still others believe that Odessa should be cut off from the sea, destroying the port infrastructure beyond the possibility of restoration, and leaving the city itself for the residents, and let them live as they want.
The fourth… and I do not know what the fourth. They are trying to maneuver between the streams of rain.
The General Staff’s plans for Odessa are not reported.
Well though out. Thanks but I am still up in the air about what will happen – as are you.
simplicius makes the point that if and when the UAF completely breaks down, Russia will simply walk into Odessa.
Why walk? Russians are exceptional dancers.
It is one of the things I love about their civilization…America used to have it with Gene Kelly and Fred Astaire…where dance was for men.
I am increasingly getting the impression that Odessa will remain with Ukraine…Could be wrong, however.
Thanks for the words.
Odessa is not a priority, the lithium reserves in Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk regions are.
That is a “was a priority” unless one believes in the neocons.
There is a massive Russian attack underway, I cannot get an overview or if Orashnik was used. Alex Krainer was informed.
Still checking…
The hazel was not used. The calibers were.
“In response to the use of American long-range weapons, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation launched a massive strike with high-precision long-range air and sea-based weapons and strike unmanned aerial vehicles against critically important fuel and energy infrastructure facilities in Ukraine that support the operation of the military-industrial complex.”
https://t.me/dtlive/107528
-10 (Fahrenheit? Celsius?) in Ukraine…high rises become unlivable….
Celsius
120+ missiles. Electric war, as promised.
BTW good channel. Can open it without the TG app :
DT D.Kulikov-VZ-T.Sergeytsev – Telegram
Beneath all the noise, the west is tired of wars going nowhere. The idea of exhausting an adversary like Russia has been revealed to be daft, all over again. Whatever happens in the ME will present problems of its own. Nothing is going into hyper-escalation, quite the reverse. It will all wind down for a good while while everyone refuels. (and while Russia continues to prosecute its objectives in Ukraine at its own pace).
Happy Christmas.
Wrong, Trump will do whatever bibi wants.
Can a people take a moral position in a vacuum of information? The citizen is seemingly only worried somewhat by taxpayer costs without benefits. And not that much. But the times will get hungrier and while they won’t connect the cause with the affects. the end result will be anger. We have a way to go yet for even that understanding.
Figuratively, the situation seems to me like this:
Russia is standing in the ring, ready to fight.
The United States and NATO run behind the fence around the platform and through ropes and soft cushions they try to reach their ankles and bite, periodically receiving a kick in the jaw.
Krainer said this in the video..the ring of chaos purposefully put there by the Brits back in the early 19’s.
Krainer referenced Putin’s speech where he will uproot this evil in its entirety.
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👍🤣. Great word picture!
Or a stepped on paw. Happens frequently. I like the metaphone. This is theatre without substance now, which is all that NATO can muster unless going to war. Heaven forbid they would even carry through with this,…
Larry bangs a key point. The USA perceives Russia as weak. And that is fatal.
William Schryver echoes this in his article “Dictating terms”.
And here is the problem. If you perceive Russia as weak, you cannot let them win. And you think you can win. So why not?
Schryver paints the scenario of my nightmare dreams. Russia keeps winning in Ukraine. Trump calls Putin with the ceasefire idea. Putin for once stands up and says no. Trump doesn’t want the loss of Ukraine in his resume. The NeoCons convince him we can whack Russia easily.
They use the air force and their vaunted F35’s and other boondoggles. Some get thru. Some get shot down. Which will make the West react even harder.
And eventually. Even Putin has to strike back. Welcome to WW3. kids.
Two key elements. They are not even lying to Trump. They believe this shit. And Trumps ego will not allow a loss.
Putin is incredibly legalistic. And he can lawyer himself thru letting Ukraine strike Russia with USA weapons. BUT. I think when the USA and NATO strike directly? He will commit. And if he does not, he will be removed from the Russian government. Patience is wearing thin in Russia.
The Russian side is very polite and educate when emphasizing that they will not accept terms dictate about its own national security interests from idiots on the other side of the world who have not a single national security concern being threatened by this conflict in Ukraine. I have no doubt the Russians will not hesitate to shoot the hell out of the entire North American continent if they see their national integrity compromised by these current idiots in Washington.
The human condition can best be described by the struggle for humans to tell the difference between reality and perception. US military power at this point in time is more perception than reality. Reality is that the US struggles to project military power against very low level advisaries as we have seen in Afghanistan, and Yemen. Ukriaine was a proxy war of US vs Russia, and the US lost. An actual war against Russia, or China for that matter would have the same outcome. Many military experts do not even think the US could win a war against Iran.
The truth is the US militiary is the result of decades of corruption that is so pervasive, it has hollowed out both the quality and quanity of equipment and personel the US is able to mobilize to fight any conflict. The MIC is not in the buisness of creating a competent military, it is in the corruption buisness where the emphasis is on stealing money and laundering it back through Washington to bribe the government for higher and higher budgets in order to steal even more money.
The U.S. Army and Navy are more effective as propaganda tools than in the real world. They struggled significantly to occupy one-third of Iraq after facing numerous logistical and operational setbacks. The situation in Afghanistan was similar. Colonel MacGregor could tell stories about that for days. The rest of the world is aware of that too. I look at current events and the calendar just to see if I will witness the fall of this Empire of Jokes in my lifetime. Future generations will need to educate themselves about this ridiculous tragedy we are witnessing. We need to have more reasons to live than to die as puppets of a bunch of knuckleheads in power wasting public taxpayer money to perpetuate oligarchs who didn’t have to bleed for a single penny.
So what happens if Israel attacks and AGAIN does little damage. One is always faced, it seems, that when reality spits in the face of the West, they can make excuses for failures without accepting the obvious. All Iran has to do is repulse the attacks and as long as the damage is curtailed the message gets underlined. Putin is right. Let Israel flail away and get dismissed while the constraints on its statehood remain in place. The economics will eventually win. UNLESS the US is sucked in with both feet. Then all is askew again.
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“They believe in this crap”
“And if not, he will be removed from the Russian government. Patience in Russia is running out.”
How do you know about patience?
Who and for what reason will remove Putin from the government?
You reproach your government for being poorly informed and for believing in all sorts of crap. Although I don’t think so. Surely the US government is better informed than you. They are hammering crap into your heads, and apparently quite effectively.
For reference (as I understand it): the war at the strategic and operational level in Russia is conducted by the General Staff. All operations are planned and prepared in advance. Operations involving the use of strategic weapons are only coordinated with Putin.
Weapons such as Oreshnik, Kinzhal, Zircon… are used to hit pre-designated targets, and not at all because Putin is in a bad mood today, because he was “humiliated”, and he once again “fell offended” by the Ukrainians and NATO.
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well said. this site is characterized by a lot of speculation armchar warriors
Putin’s support speaks volumes. In the USA political success, acceptance with votes is no measure of wisdom of either the government or its moral interface with the world. . What can one expect of citizens that do not pay attention to their world? Americans and Europeans are not concerned when their country is involved in a genocide. And their country has a MSM that is a government propaganda institution. Where does one see a positive here?
This conflict in Ukraine made of Putin the greatest political leader in the XXI century. If we will live to see another day it is not because of the nazi support for Ukraine coming from Washington, London, Brussels. There is no other leader in history who practiced in a daily basis self-restraining. Any other in Putin’s shoes would have overreacted like those well-known pansies who don’t need introduction anymore.
Russia is logical and have strategic mindsets. The US “geniuses” wing it on hubris. Keep up the good thoughts.
The people who really run things have a strategic mindset. The difference is that they care about profits and power, not people. The ground- that is, actual work on the ground- for the current hot phase of the hundred-plus year war was laid out in the open in 2014 with the Maidan coup. And that was not winging it, it was part of an operation begun in earnest 1991, etc. Trump renouncing JPOAC was another pincer in this war against the EU. Ukraine and the ME are rapidly destroying what’s left of European sovereignty- that’s not an accident, it’s the point of the operation.
This war is for global domination, not Russia per se, or China, or Iran. Everyone is a target, and the question of any given moment is ‘who is the ripest, lowest-hanging fruit?’ In the post-91 space, the answer has been Europe. Longer term, of course the US wants to break up Russia and China and occupy North Korea and Iran, but that’s just not possible now. All this bloodshed is about isolating and digesting Europe.
All the public-source material I can find tells me that the next low-hanging fruit is South America. Russia, China and Iran are going to be ‘if only’s for a long time.
Venezuela.
Too broad a brush? Most of our pundits know the US as “the Empire of Chaos” and the title fits what their foreign policy is. Is that a strategy to destroy instead of building? Why not rebuild the US as a constitutional republic? Are you saying that the chaos is the goal for the US and that goal is a logical strategy?
Great exchange. Projecting a ‘thought game’, it stands to reason that whoever seeks to rule in Syria will need funds. There are two potential sources, one domestic and independent and another dependent on a foreign benefactor. Logically, the former puts oil & three interests into play: the US (with a base), the Kurds (who want a homeland), and the Turks (who are antagonistic to the Kurds). One possible scenario would be that both the US and the Kurds will become marginalized. If a central government attempts consolidate power and attempt to establish some sort of stability it will need a ‘sponsor’ and some other country very well could provide the resources, otherwise chaos or a reaction qgains the jihdist ‘rebels’. Trump has indicated his preference is not to get involved in Syria; the Turks would seem to be happy with some territory a neutralization of the Kurds. Israel seems stretched. Will US run interference for the Kurds? Into a vacuum, who else is left?
I’d put money on the Kurds being hung out to dry. The US has a long, storied history of cozying up and leaving town when needed most. They will probably stick around long enough to use the territory to target Iran with the Israelis and then split
I agree. Erdogon sees the world doing nothing as Israel commits genocide in Gaza and Lebennon and figures they will not do anything if he commits genocida against the Kurds. Syria is now for the most part up for grabs, and will probably be devided up between Israel, Turkey and the US.
Or the US quietly supports the Kurds to keep the Turks distracted.
Great interview podcast with Alex Krainer. Brilliant. Just watching him answer questions is instructive. Usually a bit of hesitation. He seems to back off and take everything ‘from the top’. One little piece of info might be enough to change the whole picture. Admirable. His ‘trap’ theory of Syria is weighty enough to warrant serious consideration. I’m completely convinced by his comment on how Putin’s Astana speech should be understood. Yes, the entire architecture of Eurasia is what is at issue. Good Bye Mackinder, rimland destabilising viciousness, and a closure not just to a century and some years of British imperialist theory but turning the page on the 500 year dark age (a phrase from a Tibetan chant). I rather doubt that any of the Foreign Affairs pundits have what it takes to comprehend this matter. So the Russian president will have to content himself with winning this war, the SMO. Real negotiations will likely have to wait.
A request: Larry, please have a look at Peter Lee’s China Threat Report. On Patreon. Some public, some paywalled. I don’t know anybody else whose grasp of the ‘Indopac’ situation is as focused and informed as his. Lee (not Chinese. Lee as in Lighthouse Harry, or Robert Edward) has some trenchant things to say about Trump’s China hawk cabinet picks. I’ve long believed that when the real fireworks start it will start there.
not that I matter, but following him on X. Krainer is my kind of guy too. Somebody worth listening to.
Will do. Thanks for the recommendation.
I also think that Alastair is right.
But as you said, what I think and everyone else does not matter in this game of life and death for the warmongers in Washington and London.
Russia also is something beyond me at this point. The lack of a loud answer to stop the attacks supported by the US, UK, minions and chihuahuas in Europe and the Middle East is unnerving. It only embolden the idiots in America, Europe and Middle East that they actually are right doing all this reckless madness gambling the lives of billions without consent. And for this alone all of them should be prosecuted.
But a LOUD ANSWER from Russia and Iran is exactly what these idiots in Washington, London, Paris, Brussels above all want right now. I would not be surprised to see them staging a whole scam to leave Trump out of office due to the necessity of a declaration of war to protect the new United Fascist States of America and allies colluded to form the 4th Reich in a war against all Fascism enemies.
I don’t know about the future but these guys leaving the office may have their craziest acts in store saved for the last moments. I hope I’m totally wrong.
Russia threatens to unleash Oreshnik on Ukraine again. Why would the US care?
Ok, I should have elaborated. The US demonstrated the atomic bomb before it was used. Did it matter? This is the Russian hope, but I suspect the “experts” in the West are too entrenched in their “superiority” to take anything Russian seriously. Or they have a ethos that wants nihilism. The latter is not very impossible too.
+1
“The Israeli Air Force now assesses it is capable of safely conducting operations over Syrian airspace after achieving air superiority in the area. The quick dismantlement of Syrian military capabilities now allows the occupation to use Syrian airspace for long-range strikes on Iran.”
https://jamesburrillangell.substack.com/p/strange-states-autonomous-administration
Israel can fly over Syrian airspace without retaliation? Like for several decades. What’s new?
Another great discussion. If you can, try and line one up with Patrick Henningsen.
Anyone taking bets that Genocide Joe is going to tell genocidal freak Netanyahu to attack Iran on Friday January 17th at 6pm eastern time? The Biden regime is doing anything and everything to spark the Global War on Terror 2.0.
I will take that bet. Iran has the capability to destoy Israel several times over.
“Israel destroyed all of Iran’s air defense systems” 🤡
At least that’s what the Zionists “claim.”
If Iran destroyed these genocidal freaks there would be peace in West Asia.
Very good conversation with Krainer. I posted it at The Duran.
Two members of the NSA have been hospitalize after being found on the floor crying with uncontrollable hysterical laughter.
Five Chinese government officials with the same symptoms where also found in Beijing.
In other news….
Jordanian King Abdullah II said in a phone call with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz that Syrians must put their country’s interests at the forefront of their priorities during the coming period.
‘hospitalize(d)’
They were turned into a hospital?
At least that was not NHS.
I find it a little overwhelming that I, in New Zealand, appear to be better informed than the current and the future President’s of the United States.
Isn’t it supposed to be the other way around?
John Rothery 😎 (currently back in Tauranga
While fully agreeing with your take on what little percolates up to the U.S. Presidents, may I remind you that your country became the Southern Hemisphere’s Covid Prison. Are you certain you are getting untainted information from your Guards?
you don’t know WHAT the president knows… all you know is what he says.
those are two entirely different things.
the president has good advisors, and then he has his lying, neocon intelligence community which has its own agenda
Apparently Trump does NOT trust his CIA briefings or his National Security Council
Melania is of Slavic blood. Baron has Slavic blood. Trump must be keenly aware of the amoral killing of Slavs for the European/British UberClass.
Let Europe and Britain have a Referendum and ask their People if they want a War with Russia, or Peace and Commerce?
What is all that talk of Blut und Boden?
Already rampant in Kiev and Tel Aviv.
John Helmer in Russia seems to me the best informed on the Syria debacle
https://johnhelmer.net/the-new-time-of-troubles-part-ii-putin-overruled-the-general-staff/
Military sources on Putin’s decision not to defend Syrian Army al-Assad, taken at least 2 wks before Turkish break-out from Idlib, given to Assad by 12/6. On Dec 2, Iran’s Pres made an urgent call to Putin. They agreed on “unconditional support for the efforts of Syria’s legitimate authorities to restore constitutional order and maintain the country’s territorial integrity.”
In practice, Putin told Pezeshkian that Russian anti-air in Syria would not operate against Israeli attack nor defend the Iranian air bridge to Khmeimim, that Russian air, ground and artillery would not engage Turkish forces.
Putin believed he had the word of Erdogan and Netanyahu that Tartus and Khmeimim would not be attacked nor Russian forces threatened. Their pre-condition was that Putin would not encourage or defend Iranian reinforcements.
The General Staff (GS) and GRU warned Putin that Erdogan and Netanyahu could not be trusted, they would take over Syrian territory – the Turks down the coast to Lebanon to Damascus; the Israelis across the Golan and the Quneitra buffer to the southern outskirts of Damascus.
Zakharova signaled there was no deal for the bases short of evacuation from Syria, with terms of safe passage still to be negotiated with the Turks.
Asked what reaction Russia has to the Israeli occupation of southern Syria, Zakharova [equivocated] Kremlin record of Putin’s call with Erdogan claims Putin told Erdogan “to stop radical groups’ terrorist aggression against the Syrian state.” Erdogan, who initiated the call, didn’t agree.
GS understood Putin agreed to Turkey, Israel and US for a de facto partition of Syria. GS warned Putin that Russian military in the bases would be too weak to enforce his verbal exchanges with Erdogan and Netanyahu; a Russian a forced evacuation was possible; and that Putin was risking the destruction of Russian credibility with strategic allies, Iran first of all, then China.
Ex-President Dmitry Medvedev was then sent to Beijing on December 12 to explain and assure President Xi Jinping. Xi has not been reassured. The General Staff messaged Putin, “We told you so”. Now read on….
Don’t always agree with Helmer, but have always been suspicious that Putin was a closet Zionist. The way events played out could easily be interpreted as Helmer lays out. Still recall Lavrov being forced to offer a retraction after a mild criticism of Israel, plus the Russian government apologized. Russia like the US serve their own interests, as long as it doesn’t interfere with Israel’s.
Better education system therefore more intellectually motivated population and perhaps even less censorship. Most of the global south is more aware than the vassal states of the empire of chaos, but the empire is nothing but confident in its control of everyone. That alone is built upon a concept of ignorance and a myth based history. The hollow superman.
First Rule of Western Teaching System.
#1. Never, Ever let a student think.
Wrong.
The rule is to PUNISH students for thinking
Maybe true now.
I grew up in an ‘educational experiment,’ that in most regards raised the ‘operational IQ’ of its students five to twenty points (more at the top end than the bottom). This would certainly provide a big boost to any society, but the best an educational system can do is to shift the Bell Curve to the right and stretch that side of side of it. Below 85 IQ there’s not much that can be done. What we need, and what I think China has and Russia is ‘growing’ are social designs in which competence AND moral character are essential components of power. This is what made Confucianism the stabilizing institution of China for over two millennia. The Soviets attempted to achieve this through ‘scientific socialism,’ and Russia is now trying to use the Orthodox Church as a tool in this project. (I will note that the Church was a tool of Tsarist oppression before 1917- the doctrine may be the same, but the political role has inverted). In any event, nowhere in the west is there a similar channel for keeping the necessary technocracy aligned with the interest of the people as a whole. Religion is definitely not it- not without the purgation of an extended time wandering in the wilderness, as Orthodox Christianity and Confucianism both experienced.
IQ is of the body, Virtue is of the soul.
A proper Catholic education maximizes both to the glory of God.
I agree with you on the purgation, now in its infancy with the Catholic church’s escape from the modernist heresy.
very good comment, thank you.
I also liked Honzo’s comment and your words “purification, which is now in its infancy.”
I do not have a liberal arts education, which I am partly happy about. Much knowledge – much sorrow.
But, we from different ends of the Earth are coming to the understanding that we are in the process of destroying the old world order, which has ceased to suit humanity. What the new world should be like, what the rules of interaction of its different parts (cultures) will be – no one has a clear idea yet.
In its infancy is the realization that, just as in every person there should be a connection of body and spirit, so in every society there should be a harmonious combination of material development and spiritual development, but spiritual – above all.
Damn, maybe I’m saying something wrong?
In Russia, we have a leader who has challenged the old world, but he will not have time to build a new one – the people are not ready and it is not known when they will be ready. But war helps. I do not know how, but it helps to form a new society.
By the way, the IQ system has not become widespread in Russia. I don’t know if it’s good or bad. But somehow I don’t want to check my IQ – what if I turn out to be dumber than I think I am. 🙂
My daughter checked, but her scores were somehow too high – also not in line with what I thought of her. 🙂
Therefore, IQ is not an objective indicator.
Dugins model looks promising.
IQ is of the body, virtue is of the soul.
Dugin is not popular.
forget that.
If you haven’t figured it out, the K-12 education system is designed to REINFORCE THE NARRATIVE, whatever it happens to be
Get ’em while they’re young… 99% of little kiddies out there believe that the world is on fire because of our use of petrochemicals, and that they need to become vegans to save the fucking whales. or whatever
we are being lied to every damn day. Turn off the TV and throw it on the trash pile
READ A DAMN BOOK
Well, the US ed system was never known for excellence. Look at the Russian system in comparison and now we see how the tech base in the US is becoming, has become non competitive.
Amen Bro!!!!
‘Better education system therefore more intellectually motivated population and perhaps even less censorship’.
Gordam Boy! Your a closet penguin right – what prenoun? Edukashun? If it don’t have a ball to throw, catch or kick, it don’t exist, man. I Ran is more or less on our border – just a hundred miles South of Lowse Angels, Cali-somewhere or other, Buddy. We need to bomb them until they all have round doorknobs fitted on all their doors. Enough already. Gorta go, game is cummin on the tube in a couple of mins.
Iran is NOT our enemy, but you too indoctrinated to realize that
He means that damn Bible.
Who’s version? Old Testament, reading entrails? No bacon and tomato sandwiches?
The version where Bibil is the short-stop.
Bible? Whats his battin average?
Hu’s on First, Whats on Second….
Abbott and Costello – Who’s On First
I, a peon in the USA, also think I’m better informed than those two – that if only our leaders knew that the US is a maleficent force in the world, they would change and stop causing strife everywhere just to keep America on top. Then I realize that’s just standard operating procedure. I hope the incoming president is less evil.
Totally agree. Catherine Austin Fitts opined that only some ten percent of Americans actually think beyond the ordinary. That doesn’t mean they are focused on all the same things.