If the phrase, “More Cowbell” does not resonate with you, take a moment to watch this Saturday Night Live classic clip. You will then understand why I chose the title.
As anticipated, Vladimir Putin spoke to his nation and the world announcing the incorporation of four former Ukraine oblasts–Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporhyzhia and Kherson–into the Russian Federation. The United States and its NATO allies immediately denounced this as illegal and vowed not to accept the action. More Cowbell. And then, they really upped the ante–more sanctions.
Does that strike you as insane? The United States and NATO supposedly emptied their sanction warehouse on Russia in the immediate aftermath of the start of the Russia’s Special Military Operation on 24 February. How did that work out? Russia got stronger and Europe is in the process of collapsing economically. More cowbell.
The Treasury sanctions generally freeze any U.S. assets of those designated and bar Americans from dealing with them.
Commerce added 57 entities in Russia and Crimea to bar exports.
Treasury said it imposed sanctions on 14 people in Russia’s military-industrial complex, two leaders of the central bank, family members of top officials and 278 members of the legislature “for enabling Russia’s sham referenda and attempt to annex sovereign Ukrainian territory.”
https://www.reuters.com/world/us-slaps-sanctions-russia-over-annexation-swath-ukraine-2022-09-30/
So, let me see if I have this correct. The United States wants to destabilize Putin’s ability to remain in office. To accomplish this one would think you would take actions that rally support for the western position. What the United States and NATO are doing is punishing average Russians–the very same people the outsiders need to recruit to rise up against Putin. Would you be surprised to learn that this heightens animosity between the west and the Russian people? Would you be surprised to learn that this increases support for Vladimir Putin at home? Nothing like a foreign threat to get the average folk on your side if you are leading the country that is under attack.
If you want a nice, concise overview of the history that has brought the world to this point–i.e., the precipice of nuclear war–I encourage you to read Moon of Alabama’s latest (click here).
Vladimir Putin is not a loquacious guy. He is pretty direct, to the point and not known for opaque utterances. Putin has made it clear where he and Russia stand:
With regard to the war “we haven’t even started yet.”
“They are not just talking about Russia being completely destroyed – a battlefield. [They are] talking about political, cultural and all the typed of sovereignty with complete pillage.
“Now they are talking about nuclear blackmail. The Zaparozye nuclear power plant was shelled and also some high position representatives of leading Nato states were saying that there might be possibility and permissibility to use nuclear weapons against Russia.
“Those that allow such statements shall be reminded that our country also has various weapons of destruction, and … they are even more modern than the Nato ones and if there is a threat to the territorial integrity of our country and for protecting our people, we will certainly use all the means available to us and I’m not bluffing.
https://uk.news.yahoo.com/im-not-bluffing-vladimir-putin-062940622.html
Americans are calloused when it comes to promises and threats from politicians. They generally ignore the threats as hyperbole. It appears that Biden’s team of national security clowns believes its own lies about Russia being a spent military force on the verge of collapse and that Putin’s political support is eroding like the crippled piers in Fort Meyer, Florida in the wake of Hurricane Ian.
The United States, NATO and Ukraine are in for a rude awakening. I believe that Putin is going to give the west a few days to contemplate his stark warnings and take the necessary step to start winding down their support for Ukraine. But the west is insisting–MORE COWBELL.
Here are Putin’s likely responses:
- Deploy the Russian Army to Donetsk and complete the destruction of Ukrainian forces there.
- Turn off the power and lights in Ukraine.
- Attack and destroy all Ukrainian military bases still intact in Ukraine.
- Attack and destroy Ukraine’s command centers.
- Attack and destroy transportation grids used to supply American and NATO weapons to the Ukrainian Army.
- Take control of Nikolaev and Odessa.
- Take control of the Transnistria in Moldova.
The U.S. and NATO strident threats against Russia will be exposed as hollow rhetoric. Russia is now William Munny and his army is marching into Ukraine’s saloon:
This is an existential threat from Russia’s perspective. Russia does not need the UN. It is the bear loaded for bear.
Another Army thought that the Russian miltary was spent ,and primitive etc ,and it ended in complete disaster ,with millions dead ,countrys completely ruined,generations of people deeply scarred …but mabye this time it will be different
it wasn’t just one army, it was 2 army’s, at 2 completely different times in history and both at the height of there military and economic power,
Since then both countries have a completely different idea on the prospect of a ground war and consequences of any sort of invasion in that general direction.
Three if you count Sweden During the Great Northern War.
Exactly, and throw the Polish and Mongols, and the rest into the mix. Russia got 1000 years behind its belt defending itself from invasion.
It was the Danish people, the Swedish people, the Poles, the French, The Germans and now the Bananamericans
Here is Scott Ritter interviewing Andrey Gurulyov (member of State Duma Defense Committee).
About 16:50 he talks about how Russia will destroy critical infrastrukture.
https://youtu.be/OM7Q5ybutB0
Generally speaking, in a war the vital/critical infrastructure will always be targeted to create chaos and disrupt the functioning of the country/military support. This is nothing new. The US has done even more. During their invasions in the ME, they carpet-bombed whole cities, killing many civilians. Russia has a different approach.
I didnt meet to imply by my comment that I was condemning Russia, but I just that it was interesting when he describes taking out the electricity, Waters, sewage, etc. From the context I thought that he was saying that this is the only way to flush the Ukrainie army out of larger cities because they don’t want to level then to the ground.
As for America, I knew that destroying everything to the ground is their option of choice.
https://youtu.be/6tVtLo_mM_Q
Hello Piotr,
I wasn’t criticizing you. I was just referring to the fact, that the destruction of critical infrastructure, in an overwhelming manner, is a military tactic to break the enemy and in best case scenario, to force his capitulation.
I think that remark in this interview was not meant to intimidate anyone. It is just a statement of what’s what, when things shift towards an actual **war**.
The Ukrainian regime can state that they are at war, but considering Russia’s use of military strategy, this is only a military operation. Just like Russia’s military/leadership stated already.
A war would develop/look differently and yes, critical infrastructure would go down first.
Destroying NS1 & NS2 was really, really stupid. Do they really expect no repercussions?
2 armies each the over 1 million “the largest ever” Napoleon was kaput after it and Hitler well we know. There is some great youtube videos of Napoleon and Russia. He was completely finished but clung on in desperate moves — Waterloo was a forgone conclusion after Russia. Napoleon had it all then it goes to their head and they do something totally unneeded Iberian wars and it’s curtains. This will happen to Zelenski and Liman a microcosm of this effect.
I wouldn’t count on it. The U.S. has been purposely marching towards this end for decades after the USSR fell. Blowing up the Nordstream Pipelines was their clear statement that they are more than willing to go to the mat and fight a nuclear war with Russia. They sincerely believe that a nuclear war is winnable and that they can win it. They don’t care about the rest of humanity or the environment.
The Left is a cult and Russophobia is one of the main glues that holds them together.
What? I don’t know what country you’re talking about left. Certainly not Brazilian. Or maybe you believe that Identitarian Liberals such as American Democrats, German Greens and British Labor are left-wing…
Dude the Bahr.
I’m sure Russia will hurt deadly the West, but even as it might look as a contradiction, the West, -after seeing everything they’ve done during the past and present time- is nothing else than the Beast from the Book of Revelation.
Indeed. On one of the most prestigious towers in Manhattan USA, on the top, lit so it could be seen for miles and miles was the huge sign which read: 666. For decades and decades it shone brightly.
If that didn’t make it obvious, what can be done? Yes, later it was owned by Trumpasaurus’s son in law, and they took down the sign on top – when? After 911.
That fixed things, right?
For mentioning this to a “therapist” once I was called a lunatic. In America.
I read somewhere once that Orthodox Christians take the book of Revelation more seriously than the western Christians, but I don’t know.
Outlandish reasoning/trolling what you say. However lets make a little reasoning by answering some OBVIOUS questions:
1. What country meddles on almost any other nation internal affairs (America, Middle East, Asia, Europe?
What country has practically all international organizations
(like ONU, OEA, IMF, IEA etc.) in its pocket?
2. What country here and now sealed a horrible fate for at least 80 million people (yes Germany, and I havent started yet mentioning the chain effect on other countries) without any remorse?
3. What is the country champion in hypocrisy worlwide?
4. What country is involved in the biggest vaccine fraud.
5. What country is forcing to degenerate kids by indoctrinating them with a monstrosity named gender ideology(and its derivatives)?
5. What nation has the largest number of military bases and also the largest army on earth and WHY?
6. What nation on earth launched the first nuclear attack in history?(this detail is so obvious is easily fogotten)
There are many others questions but I guess anyone who visit this site can answer easily those questions.
Last but no least in the meantime I can asure you that Rusia is gonna strike back but it wont be necessarily on Ukraine (I mean only for Nordstream).
That’s Kushners building. 666.
Great article. As ever. I keep on having to cite your site in my own articles such as this one: https://julianmacfarlane.substack.com/p/the-new-war-in-ukraine . “The New War in Ukraine — and NS2”. I agree with your very succinct categorization of Putin’s likely responses which, with the attacks on NS1 and NS2, become more likely, if not necessary. As ever, though, Putin will upgrade his military operations – but not as far as an American ‘shock & awe’ strike. He wants not just “ethnic Russians” on his side but all Russian speaking Ukrainians, who while many do not “self-identify” as “Russian”, share Russian language, culture and values and are often intermarried with Russians. Rabid Ukrainian fascists are a minority. And the Ukrainian diaspora are hardly representative. So expect Russia to do everything that Larry says they will but to try to minimize civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure to the areas they seek to control . Right now, Lyman is under siege. The UAF is exposed. Bye, bye UAF there. Likewise in Kherson, Krivov Rog and the like. Odessa and Nikolaev are large cities. Expect them to come last, after Russia has destroyed the Western Ukrainian transportation and power grid.
I respectfully disagree.
The gloves are off.
A HIMARS hitting a pig shed in the South is the same as a strike on Saint Basil’s Cathedral.
I am no longer in Europe but looking at ‘liveuamap’ today one would think peace had broken out in Eastern Europe! I hope so.
If not ‘shock & awe’ will follow. All bets are then off.
Everyone please take care.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnIL5Irc1pc
>hurr durr russia is losing because they lost 6000 men
Russia has a long history of losing tons of men and still winning whatever war they were fighting
Hi Larry, I have followed you for some time as I really like your analysis and understanding of geopolitics. Thank you for your work!
I think there is another possible response, Putin could take all of Ukraine then hold a referendum in each of the regions giving their people a choice to become part of Russia, Ukraine, Poland, Romania or Hungary. The beauty of such a move would be to see exactly where, what and who is Ukraine, but more interesting would be the reactions of the neighbouring countries as they grapple with the task of recognising the results of one referendum but not another!
Hope Florida quickly returns to normal.
Great idea
“Great idea”
Well the mode of implementation is questionable, whilst knowledge is a function of questions not “answers”, given that change is a constant whose variables include, but are not limited to trajectories and velocities, and hence “answers” are never achieved, although that apparently does not stop some trying, and when they fail try to convince others through diktat that they “won”, which is also never an option since “winning” is never an option “given that change is a constant whose variables include but are not limited to trajectories and velocities”, despite the beliefs of some who would like to be sorceror’s apprentices trying to edit the script of Fantasia ex-post “facto”, which is of course an oxymoron.
Life is not only stranger than shit, its not even like Disneyworld which some hold to be stranger than shit.
Nihilism at it’s best….keep it up….it’s the salsa of Sonar21!
“Nihilism at its best”
Mr. Shakespeare observed that “All the world is a stage”, whilst his plays illustrated that the characters inhabitated the stage for different purposes which the audience interpret.
To some the stage is a postbox without requirement of stamps facilitating potential agora, and to others an opportunity of preening egos and hopes, often predicated upon their lack of alternative agency.
The scripts of preeners are generally a function of their “socialisation” framed by their lack of agency, and hence those “socialised” in “representative democracies” are often under the illusion that they can issue advice/instructions to others, whether it be resort to your rosary in apparent ignorance that those with rosaries already resort to them, or in the case of The Russian Federation what they are doing “wrong” and how they should rectify this immediately.
It may seem strange that in1991 some used the Lubyanka underpass not to take the metro, but to go to Children’s World to stock up on mirrors, as Louis 14th did even before the Treaty of Versailles was signed in the Hall of Mirrors.
These mirrors were/are aide-memoire to ensure that as far as possible, the preeners see themselves constantly since this was/is their predeliction, thereby precluding them to enjoy the gifts proposed by Mr. Burns in “Anglicised interpretation” – Oh lord what a gift to give us, To see ourselves as others see us.
Don’t follow one of Mr. Burns’ other requests in “Anglicised interpretation” :
Lord whom in heaven does dwell,
Sends one to heaven and ten to hell
All for thy glory
And not nfor any good or ill he’s done before thee,
Lord give Mr. Hamilton his just deserts
He drinks, and smokes and plays at cards. (and fornicates as well ?)
If you do so you will only emulate the divide and rules based order that hope to sustain revolutions around fixed points
“Pure nihilism”
The “Bolsheviks” were informed by Narodnaya Volya (People’s Will), an unpure preening nihilistic “terrorist” organisation who eventually perceived the errors of their ways and redirected their subsequent efforts into “education” thereby encouraging illusions of “If only the Papa Czar knew”, the Zubatovschina, and the 1905 Russian Revolution primarily around fixed points.
Consequently most “Bolsheviks” never saw the errors of their ways in a lateral way, Mr. Stalin saw his personal preening – his remark to Mr. Kaganovich “The Bolsheviks” learned to talk and I learned to listen” refers, whilst some “Bolsheviks” tried to laterally adjust (reform) the “Soviet Union” from inception in 1922.
Life is stranger than shit, but shitting is necessary to maintain life.
Mirrors contributed and continue to contribute the ongoing transcendence of “The Soviet Union” by the Russian Federation with the complicity of preeners – the narcissists who spent/spend most of their time engrossed/immersed in projections/reproductions of themselves, worrying “Is there any food between my teeth, do I need to floss?”
So in Venezuela when it is appropriate invest in mirrors and remember to turn them away from yourself unlike the MIRistas and Mr. Allende from 1970 to 1973 in Chile, remember to take any medicines prescribed – unlike Mr. Guevara during his hill walking in 1967, try not to aid the opponents by kidnapping one of “their own” as los Tupos did with Mr. Mitrione (the torture teacher) in 1970 thereby emulating the opponents’ practices, since like Mr. Bandera it was a volley-ball game, some doing the set-up and some others doing the hit.
I suggest avoid aspiring to be one of los caballeros de la rosa or having statues raised to you- Mr. Guevara also being the subject of many T-shirts, whilst some MIRistas had statues whilst their children had bed-wetting problems – dispense with such “emotional” nonsense – it is best left to the preeners.
Investing in mirrors is less costly than emulating Mr. Potempkin and building villages.
Nihilism at its best ?
No, that was the Junta Coordinadora Revolutionaria (JCR), who even publicly announced it in advance since they mistakenly thought they were caballeros de la rosa and relatively quickly became deceased, although some of the Tupos delegation perceived the errors in advance, possibly following the observation of Mr. Field “There comes a time in the affairs of men when we need to grab the bull by the tail and face the situation” and opted to engage in different activities.
Hi. Thank You for god articles. I recommend You to contact a swedish proffessor working at The peaceresearching Institute in Oslo,Norway.
He has written some very good books about The war in Libya and books about The submarins in The arcipelago of Stockholm and his last one about The russian submarin that was grounded just near The pipelines north stream one and two. The name of The book is The navigation expert. His name is Ola Tunander. Kind regards
The new phase may get off to a roaring start. Ukraine is gloating and licking its lips as it sniffs the honey in Lyman. Is William Munny there in the Lyman saloon? Ukraine has maybe 15, 000 soldiers there? This seems to me to be a situation Ukraine will regret, a time to mourn.
It looks like they will take Lyman – reference Rybar on Telegram
It seems that for a few months Russia is not taking land and in fact it is losing land in Ukraine . I am of the view that they must reverse this situation and very soon otherwise it will mean trouble.
Why?
They are converting Ukrainian soldiers into corpse and western weapons into junk with little ammunition to replace? Meanwhile the referendum was conducted safely and the west rings the cowbell louder.
As has been frequently commented, Western ruling elites do not have reverse gear. I especially like the paradox of 8th sanction packet sanctioning steel, while EU own steel plants are already reducing output and might have to shut down come winter.
Thank you for pointing out the lunacy of NS2 and NS1 incident. It’s hard to follow why, if pipelines were Russian, EU is bothered about their distraction- after pledging to hope to be free from any Russian gas asap. One MP did send a thank you note.
It’s easy to have no reverse gear when the consequences for you personally are zero. In fact you gain.
As I understand it there are different levels of troops in the Russian military:
Conscripts, Wagner PMC troops, contract troops and regular troops.
Where can I learn of the legalities concerning the deployment of these various sorts of Russian troops?
I’ve read that conscripts cannot be deployed outside Russia. But I don’t know anything about the other troops. Though I assume Wagner troops can go anywhere based on the fact that they are in many different places.
So the real question is: Is there a legal difference between contract soldiers and regulars when it comes to where they can be deployed?
Also, what is the status of the militias now that they are in Russia rather than being in independent republics?
Thank you!
Contract soldiers are regulars of Russian Army, and a part of it that has been used. Conscripts are part of Russian Army that has stayed in Russia (they are 19-20 years old that are in training). Recently mobilized reservists have not been used yet, as far as I know.
Donbass militiamen are mobilized locals and are not part of Russian Army. They will be integrated into Russian forces over time in some way.
Wagner PMC is a “private business” and hence not a part of Russian armed forces. It is used all around the World (including Syria and some African countries).
Rosgvardiya (National Guard of Russia) is not part of Russian Army but a separate entity meant to deal with counterterrorism and internal security matters (Chechen forces are part of it). They have been used, although it wasn’t technically an internal matter until now.
Ukraine military slaughtered and it’s continuing as I write.
80% of Ukraine economy now Russian.
China mate ready to invest big time.
4 Ukraine providence’s now Russian?
Nordstream 1+2 cut – No gas to Europe.
Germany, it’s all over, Germans Wall St slaves and loving it.
Biden officially a nursing home sing along patient.
US foreign policy is rock solid behind Rocket Man.
North Korea : it’s back covered, according to brain dead #2.
But….
NASA cannot get a old saggy arsed Rocket of the ground.
Global Britain lead by Liz the Tosser shepherding the nation into palliative care.
Manic cougar’s in Brussels and various capitals talking tough in the mirror.
US stock broker’s dunking for apples.
And all I read and hear is Russia on the ropes, Russia in retreat, Putin desperate and the knives are out. Russia broke, broke and doubled down broke.
The truth : it’s a military win, economic win, financial win and friends all over the world.
Am I right or am I right.
Somewhat. But alot still to play out. We are only at the start of WW3. In a decade these days will look like pudding compared to what is likely coming.
I wouldn’t underestimate the US. They are still calling global shots
Here is the problem with all these “it’s the start of WW3” pronouncements – if you’re talking about conventional war, the U.S. and NATO will run out of ammunition of all kinds in 2-3 weeks of full-on fighting. Can’t really fight a war without ammunition. In WWI and WW2 the various sides had years to train men and stockpile ammunition. That isn’t the case right now.
WWII started in 1939. with localized conflict. It took some time for things to escalate to full blown World War. We can definitely see escalation now, but we can’t know how far/fast it will go.
I would say from 1939 to the invasion of France in May 1940 that things escalated pretty quickly… 🙂
All of that was just a foreplay for Operation Barbarossa (June 1941.). Period from September 1939. to May 1940. is comparable to period from February to September this year. Things are escalating quickly now, and who knows what could happen in a year or so.
P.S. If the post was just a meme reference, then disregard what I wrote 🙂
https://knowyourmeme.com/photos/353279-that-escalated-quickly
Regarding all these recent and ever escalatory events, one wonders: are the End of Times knocking on our door? Hopefully not. Rather the Beast has opened the oven door and prodded the cake; not yet, another ten minutes left.
The lunatics running the show in the current administrator may be only the expeditionary elements. Darkness will recede and we’ll have yet another day.
I fear too many are complacent and our collective will keeps being tested and exhausted, progressively eroded. But for now let us continue to carry the banner of light, high for all to see.
Thanks and courage to all Truth seekers.
Putin directly called the West Satanic in his speech yesterday.
Amen.
Yes. We are pretty casual in our desire for this one or that to go all in. We MUST realize what that actually means. Those who can, go to Confession, try to stay in the state of grace, pray the Rosary daily. Once our earthly lives are ended there is no going back to see who won.
Don’t blame this administration. I’m no fan of it, but they’re no different than any other administration. Hostility toward Russia is part of the DNA of our entire ziocon foreign policy regime. As Trump says, these people are sick.
As big of a fan of Reagan as I used to be, he’s the one who caused this problem. Ziocons were a fringe element until he gave them a seat at the table. Once that happened, they multiplied through government like rabbits. Now the government largely has their worldview in terms of foreign policy.
Ziocons, by the way in my mind refers to neocons, neolibbs, Christian evangelicals and that entire Israel Uber Alles element in our government. The damage these people have done to our country is incalculable.
Yeah, those damn evangelicals. Always wanting to help people, those idiots. Not only that they keep giving money to aid people in other countries as if it weren’t bad enough they do it in this country. If it stopped there I might not want to excise the earth of them but there is more. They seem to think that honesty and integrity, a strong work ethic, complete nuclear families and kindness would solve many of our problems, huh! Talk about morons! Can you believe they also are trying to stop CRT??? What the hell is wrong with them, don’t they understand how evil white people are? And some of them evangelicals are actually white men so you know how bogus it is!!!!!!!!!! Next they will be attempting to make sure our children are not exposed to wholesome transgender and queer theology in kindergarten. You hit the nail on the head sir or maam, OMG forgive me if I am misgendering you. It would help if you would have used your preferred pronouns. Oh, I nearly forgot. There is one other thing that really sticks in my craw about the damn evangelicals. They ACTUALLY believe that all have sinned and need a savior and guess what, that dude Jesus that they are always hyping looks like a white guy in the pictures I have seen of him. Ah well, thankfully there are people like you out there that can sound the alarm and alert people to the extreme danger poised by those evangelicals. Thanks for being one of the smart people!!
Yawn. Sorry, but they don’t get a pass. They’re an essential part of the Ziocon cabal that has hijacked foreign policy and turned it into a destructive force worldwide, not to mention what they’ve done to our own finances. Their messianic zeal for all things Israel is one (but not all) of the reasons this country has careened into a ditch.
In your possible Putin responses, is it the case that you feel the cure strategy is not sufficient i.e. the 300k.
Do you consider significantly broadening the war to bases inside NATO states or US bases in middle east etc realistic?
Can Russia strike US UK infrastructure in return or is it’s capacity limited to Ukraine short of all out war.
Russia may have greater production capacity but I bet western missiles are lined up on on all those factories. Time also helps US production. At which point does Russia need to attack the master of the dog directly instead of wrestling with the dog?
“Can Russia strike US UK infrastructure in return or is it’s capacity limited to Ukraine short of all out war.”
Russia has an extensive submarine fleet and some reports suggest they’re undetectable, I do wonder if the slow pace of events has allowed time for a deployment of a sub armed with only hypersonic non nuclear missiles in international waters off the US eastern seaboard, but would be surprised if there’s not a range of options.
Yup. They can do it physically but at this time they are keeping the war in a very narrow theatre while the West is operating in a wider theatre Ukraine, Russia proper, pipelines,ships, sanctions….
The Western theatre is far wider than the Russian theatre at this point
There could be multiple reasons for this.strategically sound. I can guess at them but who knows.
Would it be wise to start lighting other fires.
But I wonder if Russia understands what big cowards western leaders are. A show of force in their larger theater may send some of the unicks running. It’s the only language they understand. That and sending illegal immigrants to Martha’s vineyard.
Hi Larry. More cowbells …. hahahaha! We never got SNL in my part of the world so that was a first.
On a more serious note, this article from Big Serge makes great reading: https://bigserge.substack.com/p/the-war-has-just-begun
One more observation. I saw Blinken speaking in a video a day or so ago and he looked like a rabbit caught in the headlights. He could barely even mumble his prepared remarks. I think some of the clowns who’ve been gung-ho up to now must be starting to wonder what they’ve got themselves into, because it certainly isn’t going to plan. Winter is almost here.
Jack,
Thanks for sharing the link to Big Serge. Thoughtful analysis (like Larry) IMHO.
Many God fearing Americans are looking forward to the ‘Almighty’ using the Orthodox Christian nation of Russia to lead the way in delivering the world from the current evil that has beset it.
The bible tells us that there will be no thieves in heaven. Thieves in the U.S. have tried to make a mockery of the U. S. Constitution. This underlying movement first became overt when the U.S. Supreme (?) Court refused to uphold prayers in public schools in the 1960’s.
Once the U.S. began to turn away from God, this breach in the dam began to grow bigger and bigger. To the point now where their demonic voices have eager hopes that they can convince us that men can become pregnant, that it is OK to kill newborn babies weeks after their successful childbirth, that it is OK to counsel a young child to have sex-change operations which are irreversible.
Russia’s leader Vladimir Putin signed a law into effect that makes homosexual marriage illegal. It is also illegal in Russia to encourage young children and try to groom them into becoming homosexuals.
This is not the same Russia that I fought against in the cold war (65-69) as a young petty officer in the Naval Security Group. There are people trying to surreptitiously steal control of our country from within, who appear to hate our country, and are doing their best to try and destroy it.
They have made a mockery of serving in our military. Do you think any of us back then would have saluted a male Admiral who walked into our spaces wearing a dress ? Any guesses as to why our military can’t meet it’s recruitment quotas now days ? Besides that and the experimental death vaccines, my dog (if I had one), could put two and two together and tap out 4.
Back in the 60’s we still frailly held onto the higher moral ground over the former Soviet Union. It appears that everything has flipped now. This group of young upstarts in the U.S. today have become wise in their own conceits, and in their arrogance have no idea what they have stumbled into.
The Russians are a very hardy people, and they defeated Germany for us in WW2. They used the Russian winter and Hitler’s refusal to allow his generals to perform tactical withdrawals to grind down his troops and defeat them.
Speaking of winter, has anyone heard any updates on the soon arrival of General Winter ?
Russians have been known to stand outside in long lines in the winter during a blinding snowstorm to purchase ice cream.
Their women have been known to carry large sacks of dirty laundry as they work their way down to the frozen river where they break through the ice so they can wash their clothes in the river in winter.
I hope you have recovered from the inclement weather you have be suffering. Unforgiven is a truly Biblical story, love it.
Speculating. Why wouldn’t Russia blow up the pipelines? It would send a very threatening message to the West, don’t let the door hit you in the ass on the way out. And everyone that matters will think the US or the Poles did it. Plus it will confuse matters when the Russians blow up the new Polish pipeline.
At the start of the SMO my internet research started with things like what an M777 looks like, Now it’s how survivable is a full on nuclear war, you know if I was Samuel L. Jackson in a movie ; (
Ok I’ll bite.
First given when pipelines are everyone would know it’s Russia and this is technically a war crime. So high risk of detection.
Second US ships were in the area including those involved in manoeuvres designed to do just such a thing.
Third the muted EU and US response says alot. If Russia had done it they would be screaming blue murder and putting out videos plus Zekensky would be pretending to faint etc etc
Fourth Polish state reaction.
Fifth there are much easier ways to turn off gas. This is environmentally damaging, expensive, counter productive for the country that built thr pipelines.
Sixth when someone shows you who they are believe them. The US ha stated the will destroy. Russia wanted to sell gas to Germany this way.
Use Occam’s razor.
Correct.
You may well be correct but when one does not have sufficient information you start to extrapolate different scenarios. Fills in the time before we disappear in a mushroom cloud.
“one does not have sufficient information you start to extrapolate different scenarios.”
That is one of the purposes prepared by “We the people hold these truths to be self-evident, and when we don’t we rely on extrapolations of assumptions/expectations, thereby aiding the fulfillment of Mr. Rove’s hopes inherent in his “We are an Empire” routine in which subliminaly he hoped would validate the acceptance of We are an Empire (Hegemon) based on the chutzpah of super schlonging in attempts of assuaging the doubt of “Is my ass big in this ? with added advantages of stimulating the sales of fast food and big Pharmas.”
“Fills in the time before we disappear in a mushroom cloud.”
That will likely be an emulation of waiting for Godot.
Use your time productively. Watch the show it has been running for more episodes than M.A.S.H., but no Hawkeye has yet been found.
The baltic sea is thoroughly instrumented with passive acoustics. Those that are in a position to know, KNOW, exactly who done it. They will respond accordingly.
Would the US blow up say an Exxon refinery in the Gulf to show Venezuela we mean business?
We have become the new evil empire. Something about that old saying about absolute power corrupting absolutely. I don’t need to tell Russia how to do propaganda, but I would make Germans know who caused them to freeze to death this winter and I would make it loud and clear.
I used to be one of the biggest flag waiving armchair warmongers that could be. But that’s when commies were running the place. Now we’ve become the bad guys.
Not as “new” an Evil empire as you think.
Read Perkins’ Confessions of an Economic Hitman.
Not as “new” an Evil Empire as you seem to think.
Try reading Perkins’ “Confessions of an Economic Hit Man”.
i share your arguments and conclusion.
Q: are the russians planning to fix the pipes? wouldn’t this silence all this western speculation if they sent a ship there to at least pretend they are fixing the pipes? unless they are beyond repair.
Am I too naive to think that the events of last week could lead to de-escalation. The United States of America achieved its main goal – it destroyed the gas pipeline from Russia to Germany. The Nord Stream has been destroyed, will the Americans and British be so brutal as to continue sending Ukrainians to the meat grinder. Yes, the Nord Stream, that’s been the key to this whole story for almost 20 years. If you have time and patience, I advise you to read the masterpiece of Stanko Cerovic, one of the best Serbian journalists. He is more than a journalist, read this inspired essay, how he describes the genesis of the conflict between Ukrainians and Russians in the style of the greatest writers. Here is the link, just turn on google translate. You need some time, because the article is long, but it is worth every lost minute.
https://www.rts.rs/page/oko/sr/story/3315/lektira/4963422/metafizicka-glupost-ljudskog-roda.html
Bily, you mistake goals for means. The neocon *goal* is to restore Russia to a subservient role, providing cheap resources to the West and taking orders dutifully. Blowing up the pipeline was a *means* to the goal.
You can only make Russia subservient If you deny them something they can’t get for themselves. Russia has everything they need and they weren’t stupid enough to offshore a big chunk of their manufacturing. Maybe what they make is a cut or two below what we have, but we don’t exactly have a choice to buy long-lasting items with all the Chinese things we buy and throw away a few years later.
We need them for their oil more than they need us.
The US is obsessed with regaining Crimea; could probably settle with an intact, but isolated Russia. However, this won’t end until Crimea is under Ukrainian/US control, even if it takes years.
Wonderful as Putin’s speech was (I sure wish our politicians had some of that intelligence and respect for their constituents’ intelligence), Rusia now has to back it up. That remains to be seen. Ukrainian forces are rampaging around in the very territories that voted to join Russia and who Russia has vowed to protect. Russia was not prepared to do so. That looks really bad. We keep hearing that Russia will step up at some magical date in the future. It could be when the freeze comes, it could be when this or that happens. I’ starting to question if it will be ever. So are many in Russia, including some prominent journalists. I don’t think we can just hand wave the obvious away any longer. Russia went in too light and then screwed around with kid gloves for month when they had the advantage. Stupid. Now NATO has rebuilt a huge Ukrainian military that is on the attack. Russia should have never allowed that to happen. It wasn’t 4D chess that Russia was playing, it was misjudgment. Now the outcome of the war is uncertain. If Russia continues to screw around, it will be sent back to the motherland tail between legs and all of the poor dupes that voted to join other Russia will be slaughtered.
Great speech, Putin. Piss poor prosecution of the SMO since late April/May.
“The US is obsessed with regaining Crimea; could probably settle with an intact, but isolated Russia.”
They can obsess as much as they want, but the locals have an affinity for Russia that the West will never be able to overcome. Especially now, after 8 years of letting the Nazis run roughshod over the Russian regions.
The thing that disgusts me the most is that 30 years ago we had the high moral ground. We could have gone in there and set an example for everybody and remained a nation that would everybody looked up to.
Instead, our behavior is as bad as we accuse their regimes of being. We effectively wanted to go in there and loot and control. We have shown our true colors. We are nothing they aspire to be anymore.
Agree with your disgust.
While the west probably cannot realistically control Crimea, as you say, that won’t stop them from trying – with all of the accompanying death and destruction in the course of the effort. Remember, these are the same people that told us Iraqis would greet us with flowers and candy and that we’d pay for the whole thing with Iraqi oil revenues. When that didn’t happen, it was onto the next war. What we can reason out has little to no bearing on the cretins will try to do.
While all eyes have been on the referenda, Russia has been amassing huge resources in preparation for…something. 800+ fighter planes sticks in my memory. Most analysts I follow expect a big offensive coming in late October/early November, once the ground freezes .
Eric,that’s definitely true for the Biden admin.
Technically until 5 Oct after Duma approval the Donbass etc are not part of Russia. Duma approval is the final step to that status. After that East Ukraine is Russia.
I doubt much will happen until then. However you are right. Once the Duma signs it off Russia will be under pressure to protect that territory far more aggressively.
Ash,
Agree. But will Russia be ready to come in big and heavy on Oct 6th? That is the $64 Gazillion question.
I would argue it’s not just the Biden admin. With Trump, there would have been a chance had he cleaned house, but they thwarted him. The Republicans are all for the anti-Russia plan and so are all of the democrats, even the dimwit Marxists like Ocasio-Cortez. Maybe a DeSantis would be more sly than Trump and find a subtle way to break the cycle *if* he perceives his base wants it badly enough.
My sense is that it’s just going to end up being WW3 and domestic conditions will become so bad in the US and Europe that there will be revolutions and civil wars. WW3 will be the straw that broke the western camel’s back. There are many other underlying contributors that have been smoldering for a number of years – or Russia really does completely fail and dissolves and the west lumbers on victorious to the next war, with China.
It wasn’t necessarily “misjudgment” — it’s more so, “being cheap”.
Chances are Russia will just continue to screw around. It’s a corrupt country (like many) at the end of the day, and wars/SMO’s/etc whatever you call it cost lots of taxpayer $$$ that could instead be lining the pockets of the usual politicans/oligarchs.etc. Not to mention, it doesn’t even have the kind of funding and capital NATO does for these “wars/SMO’s/whatever” whatsoever in the first place!
Putin wasn’t screwing around in Ukraine with a “light” force because he wanted to “preserve civilians and infrastructure” — it was all because Putin was trying to take the smallest cheapest possible means to still “somewhat effectively” push back NATO forces and de-escalate the situation (while always staying “open for negotiation” with the West).
Now, this “lowballing” from Russia may have seemed fine originally as NATO was initially itself lowballing Ukraine as well (no official physical NATO troops sent to Ukraine, no attempts at setting up those “No-Fly” zones demanded by Zelensky, etc). But, now NATO has suddenly flexed and just upped its bid in Ukraine (as we see with recent developments) — and you are asking if Russia is going to respond in like. And that’s why I simply say, “No!” — the whole “protecting civilians and infrastructure from Ukrainian forces” is only pursued as far as “strategically” necessary. As far as Russia is concerned, the UAF can “rampage” (as you put it) all it likes around areas it does not deem strategically important for the SMO.
Russia will bolster its forces in Ukraine only ever so much as to “maintain status quo”. In other words, a light presence only to ever “match” whatever the UAF cooks up on its end — always open to and hoping the West will magically sometime wind down and open up dialogue with Russia and postpone its NATO “ambitions”. Again — war/smo/etc is *expensive* for Russia, and, like any corrupt country, involving lots of tax $$$ that could be easily be rather going to its politicians/oligarchs/etc instead.
Now of course you might think that, “Well shouldn’t it be cheaper in the ‘long run’ for Russia to actually make a big large push instead and actually conquer Ukraine quickly instead of playing these stupid games with the West?” And yes, traditionally, the answer would be “Yes — it is cheaper to just quickly indiscriminately bomb Ukraine into oblivion and just quickly take whatever remains afterwards” — a tactic often attributed to a “US-style military playbook”.
Except for one big major problem in this otherwise “standard” analysis — doing so would easily escalate the situation into something *NATO* would no longer be “lowballing” (as what the Russians have been enjoying for quite a while now so far). This is *not* like the US going into Iraq/Afghanistan — which it could bomb into oblivion and take over all it wants without anyone else in the world lifting a finger or batting an eye. If Russia decided to escalate (take the “bait”) into quickly conquering whatever intended Ukrainian territory, NATO would respond likewise in a huge display of force as well. And remember what I said at the beginning about NATO funding and capital easily eclipsing Russia’s budget, and Russia (who already knows this quite very well) wanting to take the “cheapest” way out of things?
In short, a full-scale war with NATO is ultimately not going to be cheap for Russia. And NATO is rather bloodthirsty as well. So, chances are, what you’ll be seeing is still just more of the same — Russia taking the “cheapest” approach to maintaining the status quo in Ukraine while merely holding the NATO/UAF/etc forces just at “bay”, with Russia’s magical hope of open dialogue, negotiation, de-escalation of NATO forces always in mind….
Putin isn’t trying to be a “dove” here (even though the more “aggressive” folks in Russian politics might make him appear so) — he’s just trying to avoid expensive (for Russia) conflict until some “magical” day when either (1) the West is truly incapable of lifting a finger against Russia’s military/geopolitical ambitions (in which case Russia is free to easily mop-up/conquer Ukraine quickly at will with no resistance from anyone), or (2) the West just decides to wind down its own military/geopolitical NATO ambitions from the Ukrainian territory (with again Russia’s beaming eyes and arms wide open for any “dialogue/negotiation/de-escalation” here)….
Bily, this article you linked from the Serbian journalist is excellent. 29 pages long, and worth every page. He details the last 30 years of Germany and Russia trying to get in bed together, and the US Empire trying to keep them apart.
It seems to me that USA is losing its UKR plaything, and thus losing its hold on Europe.
Here’s something out of left field. Does anyone think it could be Poland blew up the pipes now they have their Baltic line running. See down the bottom of this story in the Link.
Poland is ambitious and has aspirations and indeed legislation to enhance closer relations with Ukraine. What if the two were to join together in some sort of formal process .. would that then de-facto bring Ukraine into NATO on the back of Poland?
https://readingjunkie.com/2022/09/29/cortes-has-burned-his-ships/
“more sanctions.”
The sanctions are targeted primarily at Europe in co-ordination with pipeline strategies, since one of the purposes of “The war on Ukraine” is, and has always been, the war on Europe, as a linear component of “The United States of America”‘s war on the world including itself since circa 1855, despite “The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Irelands” continuing illusions that they had been an “ally in special relationship” since March 1943, emulating the John who thinks “his” whore loves him.
The forms of implementation remain linear with increasing amplitude as a function of the accelerating demise of “The United States of America” based upon co-operation by coercion since inception – facilitating a time of attempts of accelerated cannibalism.
In various forms “The United States of America” has been at war – war not being restricted to things that go bang – with the world including itself since circa 1855, to which “The Soviet Union” largely responded linearly, and a component part of facilitating and necessitating the ongoing transcendence of “The Soviet Union” by The Russian Federation initially in embryo, from at least 1969.
Hence from 1917 “The United States of America” has been complicit in its own transcendence, a lateral process obfuscated by interactions of “seeing is believing”, “we the people hold these truths to be self-evident”, hope and tempo.
Therefore the Russian Federation has no pressing need to chastise Europe since “The United States of America” de facto act as the agent of The Russian Federation in that regard, whilst “The United States of America” will not be forgiven even if they know not what they do, since due to their propaganda from circa 1880 onwards few will believe them.
Such are among the outcomes and necessities of iterations of “The power of American propaganda” – propaganda not being restricted to the definitions that “The United States of America” wish to assign to it, and part of the reasons that some are not distressed by “A whole lotta shaking going on” but are amused as Pinocchio’s nose extends more, and more, and more………, whilst some notice that Mr. Gogol’s nose is increasingly no longer restricted to forays in St. Petersburg.
Hi Larry,
First, thanks a lot for your relentless efforts at shedding light where so many others keep pouring obscurity and confusion. One of my first reads in the morning.
First remark. Jacques Baud – the Swiss colonel whose interview you recently relayed here – just took to attention the very fact that Western sanctions aiming directly at the Russian people is admission that Russia works as a democracy : either the people are punished for supporting their (elected) leaders, or they are deemed able to influence their decisions, or both. Which besides is less and less the case in the West.
Second. The reason why the West ups the ante again and again in the conflict (more cowbell), and that the US seems to be throwing the EU under the bus right now is that they have their own back to the wall and are desperate to find any plan B to escape from this deadlock. This war is not only existential to Russia (and foreboding to China as well), it is existential to the “elites” who took command of the West and own most of it. Collapse the prosperity and security of common folks too early here in Europe and the US – which is happening now, there will be some sort of stampede and our unelected lords can forget about all those world domination wet dreams of theirs.
Well, looks like it’s happening now. Certainly another trick of this wicked Putin.
The north stream blow was an answer to the 23-26 sept Russian blow in Odessa where they annihilated nato’s forces gathered there for an action against Russian fleet. This shows that russia ‘bait, wait, nail’ works fine.
There is good reason to believe that the sabotage of the Nordstream pipelines was in the works for a good while. Hence, it was not a response to any recent events in Crimea.
” facilitating a time of attempts of accelerated cannibalism.”
You’ve forgot the salt.
Its also a time of super schlong display by some of the broken hearted.
Perhaps because of the bris?
But then how to explain the ladies?
and of course a recurring time of
““The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Irelands” continuing illusions that they had been an “ally in special relationship” since March 1943, emulating the John who thinks “his” whore loves him.”
facilitating attempts of removing the Truss using the IMF and other markets.
Be careful, some might believe you are “American”- like last time when you received the blini prize – meaning “The United States of American”, not Argentinian, Brasilian or Chilean, because of your limited concentration, memory, shiny shoes and teeth, wisdom…..
“Its also a time of super schlong display by some of the broken hearted. “
…. keeping their peckers up through preparing premature ejaculations – is that permissable in mixed companies?
https://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/ 30/09/22 refers, since happiness is a warm gun can’t always prevail; any way it’s less noisy when snake oil salesmanship goes to a dance.
No. This kind of comment has NO place here. Larry may decide to keep this useless 14 year old foolishness but I protest. This IS a mixed company. And you dear man are out of line.
“This kind of comment has NO place here.”
Thank you for your illustration of variations in interpretation and “consequences” there-of.
“Keeping your pecker up” is an English English saying of encouragement in times of despond – a variation of “chin up”.
“preparing premature ejaculations” is a saying from a different environment often followed by a ? a caution not to act too soon, like the US/NATO did as reported in
https://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/ 30/09/22 refers.
“is that permissable in mixed companies?” refers to a different audience/mixed companies where register is by choice not default, since to some a blog is a public postbox without the requirement of stamps, although this postbox has the potential to become an agora if so desired.
Enjoy the rest of your week-end, and don’t worry I can afford stamps and travel.
On German TV a poll asked “Na, wer war es?” (Well, who was it?)
Russland 6%
USA 94%
The people obviously aren’t as stupid as their politicians wish they were. And if the above is any indication, good luck the MSM trying to gaslight the bleeding obvious away.
As reality inevitably kicks them in the nuts in the months ahead, is it possible there will be a paradigm shift in the attitude of the German people towards their US (and homegrown) overlords?
Anyone with two functioning brain cells could work out it was either done by the US or by one of their vassals with their approval. However, even with that knowledge, what are they going to do about it?
Given how demasculated they are as a nation, and factoring in how many US bases there are there, irf520, probably the square root of bugger all.
That said, it will be interesting to see AfD polling numbers in coming months – particularly in the former DDR, where they have been strengthening. It would be insanely ironic if the country fractured along pre-1990 lines…
Interesting times.
Germany was emasculated in the Weimar years. You may recall what happened afterwards. Just sayin.
” a paradigm shift”
All paradigms are linear, so they may try to emulate the narcissist Andreas Baader, like other fools emulated Mr. Guevara and facilitated “The Condor Years”.
How strange the change
From linear to lateral
Before we say goodbye.
is more melodic, unless like MIR (Miristas/Terroristas) some prefer to pretend to be los caballeros de la rosa and prefer the tunes of Victor Jara and illusions inherent in “Un pueblo unido…”, or Ivan Lins and another Victor’s “Novo tempo”, facilitating a rendition of Mr. Harrison’s “Happiness is a warm gun” in emulation of Messrs Holland, Dozier and Holland’s observation that “Its the same old song, just a different meaning since you’ve been gone” by replicating reliance on paradigms.
NotRubbingSticks = Troll
“NotRubbingSticks = Troll”
Thank you I might “win” another blini prize although the competition is intense even up to “You are an American” standard.
Don’t trouble though, since as is the case with “The United States of America”, some do not assign the significance to you that you attempt to assign to yourself.
Very interesting results! I’m surprised by the figures though. Where these results posted also on the web?
If these results are truly representative for the whole of Germany (and not from some local obscure channel?), then politician heads will roll.
Okay, this is going to be an unpopular comment, but look at the Jewish-driven foreign policy we have. I’m not saying they are bad people or deserved to get snuffed out, just that their interests are different than ours. We’ve got 2% of the country making up whatever percentage of the government officials they are, driving foreign policy in a way that much of the other 98% does not necessarily agree with and it’s not in our best interests.
Dear Larry, the first video is not available for readers with a German IP address.
You can use a VPN. There are plenty out there to choose from. Then in the settings select a USA location for your IP address.
Vous pouvez changer votre DNS gratuitement, mettez celui de Google par exemple. Celui que vous avez est celui que vous affecté votre fournisseur d’accès Internet ( internet provider en anglais), et celui-ci filtre vos accès s. C’est pour ça qu’en Europe occidentale, l’on a pas accès à RT par exemple.
” a paradigm shift”
All paradigms are linear, so they may try to emulate the narcissist Andreas Baader, like other fools emulated Mr. Guevara and facilitated “The Condor Years”.
How strange the change
From linear to lateral
Before we say goodbye.
is more melodic, unless like MIR (Miristas/Terroristas) some prefer to pretend to be los caballeros de la rosa and prefer the tunes of Victor Jara and illusions inherent in “Un pueblo unido…”, or Ivan Lins and another Victor’s “Novo tempo”, facilitating a rendition of Mr. Harrison’s “Happiness is a warm gun” in emulation of Messrs Holland, Dozier and Holland’s observation that “Its the same old song, just a different meaning since you’ve been gone” by replicating reliance on paradigms.
“What the United States and NATO are doing is punishing average Russians….”
Sanctions and blockades that have wide effect on a large population are crimes against humanity as defined in the legal documentation of the Nuremburg Tribunals. The out that the West think they left themselves is that these are only crimes if waged in conjunction with initiation of a kinetic war of aggression. Putin the lawyer should easily be able to make the case, but he’ll have to march to the Hague to prosecute it.
“Sanctions and blockades that have wide effect on a large population are crimes against humanity as defined in the legal documentation of the Nuremburg Tribunals.”
Only if they’re levied by non Anglo countries not “allied” with Washington and London.
The number one rule in their “rules based world order” is that they get to break the rules whenever they feel like it.
Deploy the Russian Army to Donetsk and complete the destruction of Ukrainian forces there.
Attack and destroy transportation grids used to supply American and NATO weapons to the Ukrainian Army.
Take control of Nikolaev and Odessa.
Take control of the Transnistria in Moldova.
I think that the first one is a foregone conclusion. I also think that these points are the most likely to happen.
Given Poland’s historic animosity, I don’t think that Russia will allow them to have Lemberg/L’Vov, or Western Ukraine at all. I think that the Belorussians will invade Western Ukraine, and cut it off from Poland. They’ll be there, in place, when the RFA reaches Transnistria.
Zelensky is done in Europe. Period. If he doesn’t end up six feet under, he’ll be imprisoned, or exiled. From Europe. They, meaning the U.S./U.K., will probably off him, in order to poison the Russian victory politically, and make it harder for them to get a settlement with what remains of Ukraine as an independent nation. It’ll be sort of a Parthian shot.
I think that the Polish Navy blew up the Nordstream pipelines. They did it for themselves, and for the U.S. The Poles aren’t the hapless victims of history, that they’re made out to be. Or that they claim to be. They have a long history of imperial ambition, and an animosity and antagonism towards both Russia and Germany. Also, a long history of their mouths writing checks that their bodies can’t cash. The Grand Dutchy of Warsaw is on the march again, under Biden, instead of Napoleon. Or so they think. The U.S./U.K. oligarchs will dump them, as soon they’re no longer useful. Like they’ve done to all of their “allies.” Eventually.
Poles are not technically capable. Maybe in part but not really. Their army UK is turning into proxy, solid, disciplined but nothing scary unless they have serious UK US support. Poles have always regarded anglo nations as above Europe. It’s what they aspire to. They want kids going to Eton, Oxford, Sandhurst and Harvard. But especially to UK private schools. Proper fanboys of England. They will sell Europe if anglo nations ask them into the club, and they have. Drunk on attention and self importance. They reject the thought they may be used. They are with the cool kids now.
UK/UK/France are the Axis of Destruction in this present context. And generally every context. The rest are irrelevant.
James Owen I agree with everything you say except one Point. Russia will not “give” anything to NATO. If there is a transfer of territory, there will be a price and it will be high.
El coronel Mcgregor apunta directamente a las fuerzas especiales de la marina de EEUU.
“I don’t think that Russia will allow them to have Lemberg/L’Vov”
You appear to be unaware of the present discussions between those informed by the observations of Mr. Dmowski and Mr. Pilsudski, including but not restricted to OZON and Wolyn/Galicia.
Some may decide not to want anything east of Rava Ruska particularly Ternopil, Rivne/Rovno, and Liviv/Lwow to Brody – not Adrien – although this will likely encourage problems in Wraclow, Poznan, Slech/Silesia and elsewhere, since returning “lost territories” was a useful myth to encourage when being not achievable.
“The Poles aren’t the hapless victims of history, that they’re made out to be. ”
Well they have illustrated a prediliction to self-destruct “with a little help from their friends”, although why that was/is the case is better not discussed in a public postbox, whilst speculation increases the noise/signal ratio.
“More Cowbell” = more of the same psychotic JAP behavior… until heavy- handed retaliation. Effects based targeting followed by maneuver to support artillery will most certainly be that!
There’s a publication called “The Russian Way of War”. It’s pretty good. And I’m pretty sure Russia knows how to do effects based targeting. That’s what’s coming unless the escalation stops now.
After that, the Turkey / Greece spat will escalate, followed by Syria, and Armenia, etc. We absolutely must stop the insanity of our own government right now.
I dunno…..The situation is less than optimal for Russia. They have now retreated from Liman and blown he bridge. They had four oblasts vote to join Russia. Putin makes a
that very nice speech about the new territories and what he’s going to for them that’s so great, etc. – in the meanwhile, the Ukraine military is stomping around in those oblasts and even pushing the Russian military out in some sectors. Russia cannot protect its new citizens. So far the referenda, the SMO, everything, is starting to look like a giant, ill planned, disorganized Russia failure in every aspect. Go in big and full speed ahead, or don’t go in at all is a lesson the Russians would have done well to learn.
I could care less about Ukraine and have nothing against Russia or Putin and, in fact, have so much contempt for my own government (the US), that I was sure Russia would be victorious and I secretly hoped they would. be. But the facts on the ground are the facts on the ground.
Russia should have had the fresh 300K troops ready to move into the new territories immediately after the referenda. Actually, they also should have pulverized the Ukros before the referenda and driven them out of the voting oblasts. It was ass backwards as they did it and as it sits today. No excuse.
Where is Russian air? Why isn’t it obliterating the Ukros who are freely roaming about in recaptured territory?
Nope, nice speech but it looks like Russia bit off more than it could chew, underestimated NATO’s resolve and capacity and the citizens of the new territories are just going to get killed by Ukraine. Ritter was right about the “game changer” and Andrie’s and others’ somewhat tiresome incessant bluster about awesome Russian 25D strategy is starting to look like so much empty yapping. IMO, the whole thing, the referenda, the speech, is one big bluff by Russia to try to get a cease fire and to maybe hold onto some of their gains. NATO will call their bluff, of course.
Fundamentally, you don’t get citizens to stick their necks out and vote to join your country and not be able to offer them security immediately. Maybe in a few months isn’t good enough. It is a sign of weakness.
To clarify, while I think Putin should have listened to his generals and gone in with a sledge hammer instead of a rapier, that he pussy footed around too much for too many months, giving NATO the opportunity to regroup and refit and that the situation doesn’t look good at the moment, Russia could still correct course; deploying the new 300K troops in UKR by the end of Oct. (and training up another 500K to be deployment ready by Spring) and smashing UKR infrastructure (rail, electrical, gas, internet/phone, food storage and delivery) across the country and laying waste to UKR positions along their key lines with full-fledged carpet bombing.
Short of that, Russia will lose and the citizens of the oblasts that voted to join Russia will die. Putin will then be removed. What comes next is hard to say. This is Putin’s last chance and he better sober up and get serious; back up what he said in speech at 110% for once.
Is your name actually Eric Dunghill? Nice concern trolling – I am sure that you served in the military and know what you’re talking about. If there’s a people that know about losing a battle vs winning the war it’s the Russians and they don’t give an F about optics. – that’s the West with it’s instant gratification cultural biases. It ain’t over till the Fat lady sings – and she’s still anorexic at the moment.
As I recall, Ritter’s game-changer was the HIMARS … which haven’t changed the game as far as I can tell. Now, Ritter was heartened by partial-mobilization as he surmised that the paltry contingent Russia is presently fighting with is insufficient.
No. It wasn’t just HIMARS. It was everything, including funding and training.
Sad that some people here cannot accept reality and just want to be served happy Kool Aid – anything else is considered trolling and lies.
The Russian media is loudly calling out the bad “optics” because it’s more than optics. It is a threat to the stability of the results of the referenda. It’s a threat to Putin’s staying in office. I like Putin. I dread what would replace him under an aura of defeat.
Once again, you don’t get people to join your side and swear to protect them, and then not be able to. Yeah yeah, it’s just a battle in bigger war (no kidding, idiot). When does the Russian counter begin? Heck, when does a real Russian defense even begin? November? December? That won’t mean much if you voted to join Russia and you and your family are now dead at the hands of Ukro-savages b/c Putin wasn’t really ready to back up his words. That is a lot more than optics. It is an abject failure and disaster.
Sorry if that stings. This isn’t a game.
Given the ever increasing desperation of the neocons and EU leadership, and the coordinated cacophony of their propaganda outlets, it seems that a false flag nuclear explosion is being planned by DC and frens. Perhaps in Kiev as a means of creating the eternal Saint Zelensky the Martyr as part of yet another mass formation psyop to brainwash the masses and create a “Nuclear Crisis” justifying emergency powers, nationalizing industries, postponing US elections, etc…
An attack on Kiev would be enough to generate massive fear among the people but not close enough to home to demand a nuclear response from NATO. “We will keep all options on the table, but…” is the line. The West will then use this crime against humanity to split off China, India, et al from Russia while officially branding Putin a terrorist and war criminal etc… Anyone arguing against emergency powers will be arrested as a terrorist sympathizer.
Here it comes.
Exactly. Maybe not exactly the scenarios you offer (though could be), but something similar, same scope and scale and same results.
Putin opened the door to this kind of thing by dragging his heals with the silly – and failed – concept of a SMO waged against an alliance that he should have known would never back down or compromise. The sooner Russia gets in gear and delivers a coup de grace to Kiev and NATO forces, the better for all of us (Putin included). If Putin was worried about casualties, military and civilian, then he should have considered that the most merciful way to conduct war is to end it as quickly as possible by bringing overwhelming force to bear on the enemy. I am weary of all the apologists making excuses. While some were convincing a up to a couple of months ag, they are no longer adding up, especially not now.
Russia must present with such overwhelming power that NATO must look for a way out because all offensive and defensive capabilities, aside from nuclear, have been eliminated. As for nuclear, we just have to hope and pray that cooler heads prevail. Maybe China can arbitrate as they have deep dealing w/ both the US and Russia.
Russia still gets blamed for the Holodomor even though the Soviet Union was run by a Georgian named Stalin who had many high-placed Ukrainian henchmen. So you can’t blame the Russians for going gingerly. After all, these areas they are taking back contain THEIR people (Russians).
“How Ukrainian-origin leaders dominated the Soviet Union”
https://www.trtworld.com/magazine/how-ukrainian-origin-leaders-dominated-the-soviet-union-53932
Sure, but my point is that Russia is going to be blamed, demonized and generally attacked no matter what it does. Russia knows that at this point. So might as well not fool around and utterly crush the enemy. Obviously, they don’t want to cause collateral damage to ethnic Russians and they should try to avoid that. That said, there is a lot more they could be doing to Kiev loyalists and to Kiev itself. How did the Ukro troops in Liman get there? Why weren’t they annihilated by Russian air before arriving? That is the kind of issue I’m having at the moment. If I was a new Russian citizen, formerly UKR as of a few days ago, I would have the same concern to the 10th power.
I’m not trolling; nor am I a deep state mole that is only now revealing himself. Rather, seriously asking what should be obvious questions. I have always eschewed group think and tried for objective analysis, wherever the chips fall. Nor do I like to blow sunshine up anyone’s backside, or have it blown up my own.
Neuland or Newhill?
Whatever Putin’s wish list might be, he doesn’t seem to have an army capable of making it true. They just lost Liman.
Kadirov is not mixing words
https://southfront.org/ramzan-kadyrov-on-retreat-from-krasny-liman-every-mistake-has-its-name-and-surname/
Not really that much of a biggie.
Russians have been outmanned there for a long time and have not used their air superiority to flatten the enemy. in fact they have hardly bothered to so much though reserves were sent.
This is a bad strategic set back but I would not call it a significant defeat yet.
Psychologically, for their troops and their nations morale Russia needs to show it has the ability to handle these forays.
It’s definitely not a good loss. But it’s also not over yet.
It seems to me that Russia is toying with the West. Not just Ukraine. I’ve never seen a cleaerer case of one nation dragging an entire block of Nations into the the exact position they want them in, in all my years of watching from the sidelines.
Putin (and staff) says what he is going to do, then his generals do it. Putin gets rid of the slackers and thieves in his outfit of top dogs that hurt his nation or under perform.
Then rinse and repeat.
By spring 2023, he will have gotten rid of all the slackers, greedy thieves who made bank off their positions at the expense of Russia, and the underperformers will be demoted to positions they can actually handle.
An all out destruction of critical infrastructure as soon as it gets cold would actually surprise me, for I expect a reasonable destruction of much infrastructure as soon as it gets cold instead of an all out bomb everything including the hospitals every standing building type of destruction. For this is what Putin actually alluded too in his recent speech. He alluded to the fact that indiscriminate bombing was not Russia’s way, but is the way of NATO and America. So I dont see him taking out everything NATO style at all this winter. However I do see His Generals taking out a whole lot that is specific to the NATO/Ukraine military all the way to the western borders of Ukraine, in stages specific to the Russian Generals war plans for Ukraine.
This will unfortunately affect civilians, but it’s hard to argue for any civilians deaths being atrocities or war crimes at this point. I mean, If America was invaded, and the forces were headed for my town with tanks and arty, and I decided to stay, well thats my own stupidity or patriotism or whatever you wish to call it. Dont blame the approaching armies or defenders for my needless death when I had 6 months to pack up and leave.
Yeah, I believe Russia will attack with strength in the next few weeks, yet it will still be measured and not carpet style bombing if my gut is correct. I would not want to be a NATO/Ukraine soldier at all over the next year.
Of course, my King does not allow me to spread the degeneracy that the west spreads around the world, nor to help pay for it or support it in any manner. So I would never be in those soon to be destroyed shoes anyway.
JB,
“He alluded to the fact that indiscriminate bombing was not Russia’s way,”
Ask the people of Grozny and Aleppo what they think of that statement.
Grozny had warning before it was flattened. Everyone (citizens) could have fled if they chose too (and were not forced to stay to be human shields for the defenders). The Russians even set up a corridor for civilians to leave didn’t they? the serious bombardment attacks of Grozny did not happen suddenly one unexpected night. the destruction came in time while Arty moved up. Grozny was basically made into a fortress.
Putin may be forced to use the Grozny tactics on a town or two in Ukraine, but for the most part Russia is saving what they can instead of flattening everything. I see this trend continuing, even after the full on onslaught begins. I may be wrong, But my gut says Putin will not allow his Generals to suddenly “Dresden” Kiev and other towns in Ukraine. Of course if Zelenski makes Kiev and other towns into a Grozny fortress, then of course they will be flattened. But thats on the defenders. When you had 8 years to get your fortresses set up, and if you choose to make them in cities, then that’s your bad friend.
I would flatten everything. Of course most people would. Most people amd myself would probably flatten all of any enemies towns I could as fast as I could pushing for complete and unconditional surrender as quickly as possible. It would be over as quick as possible. Kiev would have been rubble day one.
But I dont see the top dogs in the Kremlin allowing 10 or 20 five hundred to a thousand piece Artillery Divisions to go to work flattening entire sectors across Ukraine while the Russian tanks and troops move up, running over the smoking remains of rubble and bodies. Sure that’s how anyone else would do it, but my gut says Russia wont. They may have to do a small bit of that here and there where there is no other way, but I dont see them doing it wholesale at all.
I may be wrong, but I dont think I am. So far it appears the restraint by Russia has two major purposes, to save as many lives and infrastructure as possible, and to weed out the bad apples on the Russian side before the real show begins. Sure there are more purposes, I am just pointing out two major ones relevant to my OP.
I expect the real show to begin for a bit once it gets cold with some major infrastructure damage aimed at Ukraine/NATO military logistics, then some lulls here and there, and the real real show to kick off next spring when Russia has one million plus in the field. I see this happening in ever increasing stages, just as it has been to date. And I see Putin’s smart Generals getting their troops trained in Winter fighting this winter, in real conditions against real enemies, on rotations, so the bulk of the Russian Army is no longer mostly unbloodied, untested and green.
For now, Russia has not even started. The real show will begin when a million plus Russians are in the fields. Just my rambling gut talking out of my nether areas here. take it or leave it.
JB,
You have just used 500 words to support the statement you made.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/28/the-us-and-europe-are-running-out-of-weapons-to-send-to-ukraine.html?__source=google%7Ceditorspicks%7C&par=google
In the U.S. weapons industry, the normal production level for artillery rounds for the 155 millimeter howitzer — a long-range heavy artillery weapon currently used on the battlefields of Ukraine — is about 30,000 rounds per year in peacetime. The Ukrainian soldiers fighting invading Russian forces go through that amount in roughly two weeks.
That’s according to Dave Des Roches, an associate professor and senior military fellow at the U.S. National Defense University. And he’s worried. “I’m greatly concerned. Unless we have new production, which takes months to ramp up, we’re not going to have the ability to supply the Ukrainians,” Des Roches told CNBC.
Europe is running low, too. “The military stocks of most [European NATO] member states have been, I wouldn’t say exhausted, but depleted in a high proportion, because we have been providing a lot of capacity to the Ukrainians,” Josep Borrell, the EU’s high representative for foreign affairs and security policy, said earlier this month.
The U.S. has essentially run out of the 155 mm howitzers to give to Ukraine; to send any more, it would have to dip into its own stocks reserved for U.S. military units that use them for training and readiness. But that’s a no-go for the Pentagon, military analysts say, meaning the supplies reserved for U.S. operations are highly unlikely to be affected.
By all appearences, the LPR/DPR/Russians are not able to stop Ukrainian advances in the north. Whatever the excuses are, the Russians keep backing up. They have a problem. Probably they will fix it, but at this point, I’m in the “show me” camp.
I think Russians in general have an expectation of failure. They expect their important institutions – like the army – to fail. That is what history has taught them and so they don’t want to rely on those institutions and certainly don’t want to entrust their own lives to those institutions.
I don’t know if Putin has the ability to fix any of this or if it’s just too deeply ingrained in the Russian military culture. Military organizations in general, are monumentally inefficient. War is an opportunity to make it worse or make it better. It can go either way.
Has 20 years of more or less constant warfare made the US military better or worse – id say the evidence suggests: worse. If Putin is more than just the “oligarch in charge”, he will want to use this opportunity to cure the Russian military of it’s bad habits.
I understand that the Russian Government is actually encouraging social media postings of FUBAR stories from the “mobilized” with the intention of making examples of those nimrods who think SNAFU is SOP.
We all have a lot riding on Russian success. We may yet be disappointed.
I disagree. I think the US is better and more clear about what they want to achieve in war now.
There is no winning as in getting a prize, there is regime change, persistent instability, corruption and resource grabbing.
The country does not need to be defeated, just degraded.
Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan all still unstable. Ditto Somalia.
The US is better at this now.
They also understand psychops better and propaganda better. They have stopped even token engagement with international institutions but use international law as it suits them.
The US was not defeated in Afghanistan. It just didn’t see the point of continuing as it had other priorities. Yes the exit was terrible and incompetent but they could have flattened the opposition if they wanted to.
None of these countries have actually defeated the US.
The US can leave them as once one generation is raised in war a country simply can’t recover. You have children who know no other reality but oppression, fear and war. Hand the keys of a nation to them and they are too damaged to do anything as they don’t know what normal is. Take all the abuser inner city kids in a violent area and put them in gov. What do you get?
The US and nAto are expert in raising a generation of abused disoriented children who dont know who they are or what stability looks like. The abuse of children and destruction of their futures and minds is a core aim.
Further, they clean the country out financially until the next harvest.
So once you have destroyed future generations of entire nations you can leave them to Fck up themselves.
This is what the west is doing and they do it very well..
Ukraine needs to be at war long enough for a generation to be destroyed and damaged. Then there is no peace.
“The battle is against erasing the past and redefining the future.”
Ash,
So for 20 years the US could have flattened the Taliban, but didnt? It just kept losing soldiers and not trying, but it could have? Really? Do you realize how disrespectful you are of the US soldiers who tried to fulfill their mission in Afghanistan?
And can you say Afghanistan is really much worse now than typical of its history?
Iraq seems pretty stable for that part of the world these days. It will grow at 5% this year, and with the high price of oil, things will stabilize further. US attempt in Xinjiang totally failed. Or in Kazhakstan? A realistic assessment would note that the US sometimes fails and sometimes succeeds and it generally fails when a second great power opposes it.
Disagree. I was in Afghanistan for a while.
There was no real plan. Everyone knew Pakistan, which the US funds was the source of most of the terrorist attacks. Yet the political class never addressed it. My view, right of wrong was that Pakistan was the problem and Saudi yet for geo political reasons no one touched them.
Do you know how many Afghan Army guys died, tend of thousands. Just like Ukranians they died in massive numbers. Western lossess were not even 1% of Afghan Army losses.
Do you know why? Because the Taliban are ethnic group of 20mn people that train and re-arm very safely in Pakistan.
Had the West put serious troops on the ground and done this properly, different story. Hands were tied.
Why was the West even there when Bin Laden was in Pakistan and Afghanistan did nothing to West? That messes up survivors. To die and kill without just cause.
The CIA also created the mujahideen which became the Taliban. So US ended up fighting it’s own creation.
But the troops that were there got one hell of an experience if they made it out.
As for disrespecting soldiers there were some good people there, some racists, some killers, they are ordinary men not Gods to be worshipped, some very bad things were done by western soldiers to people who did not deserve it, but they were sent there by bad men for no reason. That does not excuse doing evil.
In the end west betrayed the Northern Alliance that had held out against the Taliban, they were slaughtered with all the US weapons the west left as they ran away. This may happen to ukranians too. No one covers it. No one cares.
All will be left worse off after US intervention.
Western armies need conscientious objectors. How many soldiers who saw Vietnam and Afghanistan messes etc are speaking up on this mess? Yet it’s textbook Fck up.
Before we all over praise armies understand an army is a killing machine. The men in them can do incredible harm to people. Firemen are brave too.
Until.soldiers learn to walk away from illegal wars and pressure leadership I for one will not be praising them. Right now dissent is crushed but not enough dissent.
NATO and Ukraine are about to have their Baghdad Bob moment, their rehtoric will just appear to be as ridiculous to most.
“You can fool some of the people all of the time,
and all of the people some of the time,
but you can not fool all of the people all of the time.”
Ukraine should have been partioned years ago, and the Western Ukrainians would have had a chance given time of throwing off the corrupt regimes they have endured and the cynical Western cabal exploiting them for their own ends.
Maybe that’s the real tragedy here.
Eastern Ukraine obviously doesn’t want them.
‘More Cowbell’ = Mo ‘Green’, Mo ‘Woke’, Mo letters after ‘L’, Mo DC Grift.
Uganda there are protests against the European Union “EU hands of our Oil”.
Check out The East African newspaper.
EU has sanctioned, for absolutely no reason the East African Oil Pipeline that is being built.
The EU has learnt the worst of American behaviour. It deserves to be destroyed. No doubt the US will be in there soon enough. I feel zero sympathy for Germany or any Western nation. Their regimses are beyond redemption and evil beyond belief. The question is how does Africa counter these new sanctions on two of their pipelines. As an African politician put it, ‘it makes you want to scream with rage’.
What was that about winning hearts and minds.
The West really are disgusting vultures these days.
Anastasiya asks the right questions. https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1576306261187907585/photo/1
History doesn’t win wars.
Hahahaha “sham referenda” — conservatives in the US will have a ball with that one…..
Hi Larry.
I’d like to go back to an earlier discussion with regard to Intelligence and how it is currently being used, or abused. That is that the Intel Community in the US (and most likely the rest of “the West”) are telling the politicians what they want to hear.
Just got hold of a book, and completed reading (in under two days) – George W. Allen, “None so Blind: A Personal Account of the Intelligence Failure in Vietnam”. A great read – a lot of what I already knew, but some new stuff I hadn’t heard before. I must admit I disagree with some of what Allen says, for example he believes that the North Vietnamese military were going for broke at Khe Sahn – I think the opposite that the battle there was secondary. Anyway, onward. There were two passages in the book that I found interesting (and relevant to the current situation) and would like to pass on. Both are towards the end of the book.
Allen writes:
Page 195 – During his time on Assignment (2 years) in Saigon 1965-66 -:
“… Only in Washington, I was told, could one see the big picture. I have since concluded that there is no ideal vantage point for the intelligence officer. If he is not telling the decision-maker what he wants to hear, of if his analysis clashes with the assumptions of the consumer, his voice will be ignored of significantly discounted; he will have little influence on the direction of policy.”
Page 282 -:
“… Our failure to attempt to work with Hi Chi Minh, and our support for the French war in Indochina reflected a tendency to act without thinking through the consequences, without weighing the risks, without exploring other options. With each step along the way, we found ourselves in a situation in which we had to decide later whether to reinforce (or justify) the investment we had made thus far, or to cut our losses and get out. There was little examination of the later options; invariably the decision was to reinforce disaster.”
Regards and stay safe
Charlie
Glad you picked the book up. George was a very decent man.
That’s the impression I got from reading his book.
As an aside – way back when……. A young Army Int Captain in Aus got up and gave a briefing (1984) on his assessment that China was going to invade Vietnam (I worked with him). The Director looked at the CIA rep and asked what does CIA think. Answer load of rubbish but would ask Langley. Next day – nope load of rubbish. Young Captain was sent on “stress leave” and told not to come back until he’d recovered. Two days later……. Searched high and low for said Captain (even sent the MPs and Federal Police out looking for him). Said Captain was by that time sunning himself on a beach in Tonga with no phone contact…
At this point, I have to see Putin escalate to believe it. Putin gives great speaches like Trump had great tweets. It was the follow up that is the problem.
Putin strikes me as a sane leader who just wants everyone to abide by agreements and international law. His heart clearly isn’t in all out war. Problem being is that the West sees this as weakness and just makes up the rules in their rules based order as it suits them.
When your heart isn’t in something you can always find a rationale not to do it. Putin reminds me of the man who is told he has to lose weight, exercise and change his diet or he will have serious health problems but he really doesn’t want to do it. Consequently, he either avoids the solution until it is too late or just goes through the motions. He doesn’t really take changing behavior seriously until he actually has the serious problem.
Larry,
What an interesting clan you have attracted–always rewarding to work through the comments, tho I am puzzled by the–what? pessimism, or something?–that I note trending in today’s comments.