There is a lot of curious military activity involving NATO forces and equipment that is not receiving much media scrutiny.
Let us start with the recent action by the U.S. Air Mobility Command removing tail numbers and unit info from planes:
Air Mobility Command has directed its refueling and cargo planes to obscure the majority of identifying information painted on the aircraft, citing national security concerns — an unusual move that is alarming to government watchdogs. . . .
“Because of operational security concerns, we cannot provide specifics, though our aircraft will maintain markings as required by law,” Stewart said in the provided statement.
The change in the paint schemes, first reported by Aviation Week, comes a little more than a month after Air Mobility commander Gen. Mike Minihan sent a memo to his service members telling them to prepare for a war with China and warning them that it could be coming as soon as 2025.
But despite AMC’s stated justification of national security concerns, the new move to obscure some identifying info on planes is both alarming and puzzling to government watchdogs and transparency advocates.
You betcha it is alarming. I received the following email from an old friend, a genuine Spec Ops warrior. I think of him as the E.F. Hutton of Special Ops — when he speaks you better damn well listen. He wrote:
This move is unnecessary because deception flights have been used during and since WW-II, as well as fake tail numbers that have backstops if investigated. For example, our old XXX airplane had several tail numbers that we could change/replace with a hair dryer (heat-sticky lettering) and all of them were backstopped. So why would Biden’s Air Farce (er, Air Force) decide that now is a good time to eliminate the identifiable info from admin transport aircraft? These are the aircraft that fly supplies into Ukraine, fly cash to Iran, give arms to the Taliban, etc. What is the Biden Administration up to that makes them concerned about our aircraft being identified? This kind of stuff sickens me.
Some of those aircraft are not just flying supplies, they also are ferrying U.S. soldiers to Eastern Europe, including elements of a U.S. light infantry division to Poland. Those U.S. troops are being deployed on Poland’s border with Ukraine and there is not a planned military exercise to justify their presence.
Stephen Bryen, writing in the Asia Times, reports that:
Huge amounts of equipment either have arrived already in Poland, where they’re ready to be moved into Ukrainian territory, or are on their way. In addition, NATO is rapidly bolstering its forces. This past Saturday the US-flagged vehicle carrier Liberty Pride sailed into the port of Alexandroupolis, Greece, carrying military equipment destined for NATO forces. . . .
How many other US ships are in the ocean at the moment or arriving at other ports, isn’t yet known. But what is known is that NATO is girding itself for a spillover, once the Ukrainian offensive gets underway.
The main focus of the Ukrainian spring offensive likely is an assault on Crimea and on Russian forces in the south. The objective is to cut them off (Kherson area across to Zaphorizia) and systematically destroy them, followed by a big push into Crimea.
The US is supplying a huge amount of war materiel for this assault. It includes bridging equipment that can support German-origin Leopard II tanks, which weigh more than 62 tons (roughly the same as the phantom M1 Abrams tanks that won’t arrive until next year, if ever).
Then there is this photo of a massive array of U.S. military equipment staged on the docks of the Port of Gdynia in Poland. Some are speculating this equipment is headed for Ukraine. An unnamed source cited at Zerohedge claims the tanks and vehicles are:
at the Polish port “in preparation for redeployment to the continental United States after serving in the Operation Atlantic Resolve.”
I would note that none of the equipment is painted in a color scheme appropriate for operating in Ukraine. It also is not clear when this photo/video was shot. However, elements of the main U.S. armored division have been active in Poland in the last month:
The 3rd Armored Brigade Combat Team “Greywolf,” 1st Cavalry Division, transferred authority of U.S. Army operations in support of Operation Atlantic Resolve to the 2nd Armored Brigade Combat Team “Black Jack,” 1st Cav. Div., during a transfer of authority ceremony at Drawsko-Pomorskie Training Area, Poland, Saturday.
Over the past seven months, 3rd ABCT participated in multi-national training exercises in Poland, Latvia, Lithuania, Finland, Greece, Italy, the UK and Germany. The Greywolf Brigade also trained in strategically important locations in the Baltics and the NATO Battlegroup Poland.
“Simply put, you’ve made a difference for your allies and the NATO Alliance and have done all your country asked of you,” said Col. John Gilliam, 3rd ABCT commander, 1st Cav. Div. “I could not be prouder of all of your hard work, and you’ve earned a well-deserved break with your families who are eagerly awaiting your return to Fort Hood.”
Is this a bluff or is the United States and its NATO allies ramping up to support a Ukrainian attempt to retake the Crimea? In my view this has all the makings of a major miscalculation on the part of NATO. If we are hearing about this you can be certain that Russia’s military intelligence is keeping track of equipment and troop movements. I am curious what you think is going on?
As election cycle is coming in the next 6 or 7 months, Biden have two choices:
– Pull out of Ukraine and accept humiliation, which will cost him and the Dem their whole election (if the deep state does not intervene with E-Vote from the dead), and as a result face impeachment and the exposure of the deep state.
– Double down and send NATO and US boots into Ukraine, under the pretext of Zelenskyy asking for help to defense Ukraine sovereignty (like Syria asked Russia before), set up a no fly zone and directly engage with Russian AF and Navy.
Both are equally bad, but in this case, Biden and his handler will choose the worse option of the two. The deep state will prefer the doubling down option because they don’t want to risk another Afghanistan and because they dont know about the word compromise.
I don’t think that’s going to be a long engagement, given the proven strength of the Russian Armed Forces, a Group that the Woke unprepared will get the shock of their lives if they’re stupid enough to try it! We’re not talking about Iraq, Afghanistan! We’re talking about a Nuclear Power whose leaders are on record of warning against such folly. And they DONT BLUFF with the modern weaponry in all phases of warfare second to none to back that up, especially their Air Defenses!
NATO and U.S. ground forces backed up by superior air assets can clean up the Russian Armed Forces in about two weeks and depose Putin and get a negotiated settlement on Western terms within a month. It will guarantee Democratic rule of the Federal govt for the rest of this century. I am not anti-Putin/Russian or pro Ukraine, far from it. People WAY overestimate Russian capability. If Russia was up to it, they would have blitzkrieged Ukraine last year. They didn’t because they can’t
Don´t think so. NATO countries have been reporting for months that they are down to between a week or two, to a couple of days worth of ammunition. You are dreaming, very dangerous dreaming.
It’s frightening how sold some Americans are. My own sister got hysterical today when I was explaining my reasons for selling my house in the Mega drought zone. We are not able to speak anymore.
LOL.
(First time I’m left speechless. Well done, “workingclasshero.” You should consider joining Zelensky on the comedy circuit…that is, if you’re into that kind of piano play.)
No, he should join up as a Ukie Merc. If he has prior combat arms juju, he will be welcomed with open arms and will probably live longer than the average geezer or kid fighting for Seig Heil Ukiedom. If not, Bakhmut life clock = 4 hours.
To be sure, the Russians might take their time taking their four Oblasts, but Prighozin is using a long victory clock. Not only can’t most Murricans find Ukiedom on a map, but even if it is pointed to them on a map, they would not understand the scale nor the comparison with Texas, size wise, the go/no go criterion. elevations, etc, etc.
Bruce Springsteen was a draft dodger.
https://youtu.be/EPhWR4d3FJQ
I can’t believe we’re going through this cold war on steroids sh*t again.
I would be very interested to hear how this would work. You seem to have a great knowledge of the US and NATO capabilities and I think the forum would love for you to share it with us in much expanded detail.
JohnB: The details are already in the public domain and just need to be dusted off. (see: Zossen/Maybach, 1940-1941 archives)
All Biden, Blinken and Nuland need to do is covertly mass 153 German, 14 Finnish and 13 Romanian divisions along Russia’s western border, then launch them along three attack axes, toward Saint Petersburg, Minsk-Smolensk-Moscow and Volgograd around May 21st,2023… however, if things heat up in Serbia, they may need to postpone the start date until June 21st, 2023, in order to let NATO forces to clean up the Yugoslavia region first.
As working class hero says, the victory will be so swift, NATO won’t even need to order winter uniforms for the troops. “We have only to kick in the door and the whole rotten structure will come crashing down.” ~ as one famous former German Chancellor said.
/sarc
But really think about those forces and figures. That is what it took the last time. And World War I was not much better. Napoleon went in with ~600,000 men in the Grande Armee. But this time we can just assume Russia is bluffing about defending itself and that the Russian army is a paper tiger that will be a spent force in two weeks… okay boomer.
I really thought we as a species had moved passed this, but apparently not. (sigh)
Ridiculous western assessment. You overestimate NATO and western capabilities in exactly the same uninformed way that western mainstream media does.
Your could write for American or British ministry of defense, why not consider a career change?
Are you serious? Russia went into Ukraine with velvet gloves on to minimize own and civilian losses.
Their strategy is still to grind down the AFU slowly but steadily using their advantage in artillery. And de facto there is a No-Fly-Zone in Ukraine: Every non-russian aircraft there has no chance of survival. The US-military has bad cards in a bad hand in a conventional war against Russia.
Forget the conventional. Shoebootie’s recipe there guarantees a tactical nuclear response.
Shoebooty eh? Well, at least the ukrops have a full pair of nice, new US issue boots on their feet. So what if they’re made in China, well – maybe Vietnam now.
All in the NATO family: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7LPqWM-0nTA
Can’t help but think the several 100 thousand Russian forces is in anticipation of just this move. Ever get the feeling we have a chess master playing against a guy struggling w checkers
As I know this is the first time in history that Russia is well prepared for war. So, what you think that will happened if NATO try to do something?
Russia is not at war with Ukraine. They are engaged in a special military operation in a region predominantly Russian speaking. They have kept back their heavy weapons in case of a full NATO engagement. If that happens, they will have the support of China/Iran/North Korea etc.
Grasshopper’s summary makes sense
You may have a point, workingclasshero, except that you are forgetting three things, China cannot allow Russia to be defeated, she would be next, also Russia could hit out and lob missiles into the West, that may not be welcomed by the Western unwashed who are still angry about the c-19 scaremongering, the doubtful safety of the vaccines, furthermore the US continues to lack a defensive system akin to the Russian S-range that would be capable intercepting the Kinzhal range of attacking missiles that can be equipped with nuclear warheads.
“You may have a point…”?! Wow! Sounds like we have more than just this “working hero” escaping from the delusional asylum.
It worked two times for the US to enter war in Europe. The mis-calculus could be that it will work a third time.
Agree..
“Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn’t go away.”
― Philip K. Dick, I Hope I Shall Arrive Soon
Yeah, it worked for the US two times before because; 1) Russia was on the same side as the US, and 2) Russia did the heavy lifting and most of the fighting (even though the first time the stress on Russia brought turmoil and revolution).
Yes, we, the US did enter two times into European wars. And both times we came in as Russia was washing the blood off their hands. The US has never faced a fresh and ready to fight army. The US is not ready today for the shock of war, we never were. And today with this holy woke generation we wouldn’t have what it would take to defeat a Russia that is willing to go all in. But, like you I believe they/them may mis-calculate Russia’s willingness to go toe to toe until the last man standing.
Such comments might be at least tenable if this were 1944.
Not sure 1) how American “superior air forces” get to theater in any sufficient numbers before Ramstein is obliterated and 2 or 3 carriers lie in melted shards at the bottom of the sea or 2) how America’s goat herder-spanked ground forces survive without C4ISR or 3) how the “remember Grenada!” team manages to re-supply any substantial NATO contingent on Russia’s doorstep.
S300 air defences would knock out NATO aircraft very rapidly. Russia is not Iraq. Blitzkrieg is so 1941 and that ultimately turned out badly versus Soviet Deep Battle tactics.
This war is also right on the Russian border so they would have the advantage of short supply lines. US supply lines trail across an ocean plus a continent and the Russians can destroy ships.
An open conflict by the US (as opposed to the current proxy conflict via their colony of Ukraine) would not work out well. Woke western armies cannot take casualties and western publics cannot tolerate body bags coming home. This is why the US fights all her wars by proxy and why it is colonial proxy armies who do the dying – eg 10x Afghan National Army deaths for every one NATO death. Despite the Hollywood inspired Top Gun style propaganda.
It would be naive to think there are no teams/cells in and around the NATO bases where AWACS are stationed. Been to Aviano and Geilenkirchen, they would catch them departing, arriving and on the tarmac, as no significant elevation is needed to observe and engage. The porous EU borders before 2021 would have posed no obstacle to pre-positioning—just a thought.
Dream on…….the last big US win was in Grenada where they were up against about 20 part-time policemen. If they want a war with Russia, bring it on, that will put them out of their psychopathic misery and end their delusions of being an exceptional and indispensable nation. They’ll end up a third world cesspit…they’re nearly there already.
They’re there already, the country’s fucked and that’s what makes this situation so dangerous.
Long ago in my undergrad a foreign student from Grenada was in my class. I asked him what happened with the US invasion. His response was that they lost but the Americans paid far more dearly than the news that was published. He implied many hundreds of US army grunts were killed.
Unknown territory and a committed enemy familiar with the land and environment is deadly.
This silly word “Blitzkrieg” seems to give some people a hard on. It is in fact just what Russia is doing by encircling its enemy and outflanking its defences……….
It is no particularly German either – even Hitler thought it was a translation from the Italian
One thing the conflict in Ukraine is NOT – is static – even though Zelensky is trying to make it so – Russia has probed and withdrawn and re-grouped and concentrated the enemy in a killing zone……….
There is simply no reason to sweep across an exposed plain with satellite cameras watching the movement………it is not as if they are sweeping across the Eastern Front as in 1943-44……….it is concentrated
Any further expansion involves US cities in the front line
“NATO and U.S. ground forces backed up by superior air assets can clean up the Russian Armed Forces in about two weeks and …”
I hope they try. You should join them.
hahahahaha, your analysis is pure clown world, buddy.
Lunatics such as you will once again cause Europe to be scorched.You don’t understand what SMO means.Afull on war with Russia is something totally different.God save us from the Lunatics!
You are simply delusional, my friend.
Your post is one of the most ridiculous I’ve ever seen at Larry’s site. It escapes me how anyone with eyes and ears can still believe this kind of intellectual tripe. Why exactly do you think the NATO – trained Ukrainian military is on the ropes just now? Why are the NATO countries, including the puppet masters in Washington, struggling to provide Kiev with ammunition? And why can’t they come up with anything but a hodgepodge of disparate old weapons to reequip the decimated Ukrainian forces? Unfortunately, I’m afraid your brand of “thinking” infects large sectors of the American public and the entire warmonger party that rules Washington. This blind insanity will get us into war for nothing.
Russian AD neutralises NATO airpower, both sides blind the other’s C4ISR, and the ballgame becomes an artillery duel that Russia wins by week four, as NATO runs out of munitions, unless Mr. Bidet decides to go nuke.
If Nato ans US can do what you state, why the hell are they waiting and watching from the sidelines while Russia is wiping their mercenaries and the entire Ukie military force by the hundreds every day?
It’s because Nato and the US have **noting** but pure BS and Propaganda to bring into that “conflict”. They fear Russia and that is why they only send weapons and money there. US was kicked out of Afghanistan and those brave fghans never had am airforce or tanks. That is how inapt and useless the whole US military apparatus is. Nato ist even worse. Germany just admitted that they cannot defend their land with their current so called military. That is just the top of the iceberg.
Russia is the greatest military force on this planet. US is so afraid of their might and weapons they sanction everyone that buys Russian military equipment. That are undisputed facts you can get from recent events with Turkey, India or the ME.
China is the greatest economic power on this planet. US has been lying about their own economy. Even Russia is greater economy than the US. US has a deficit while China and Russia export more what they import.
How about checking out the facts first before putting some nonsense in here?
The Germans aren’t as nervous about the Russkies as they are about reparations-seeking Poland with a larger and better equipped army.
Who ever thought we might see Polish armour pouring through the Fulda Gap on the way to the gold in the BuBa in Frankfurt.
Maybe not quite so quickly as two weeks, but, yes, that’s the gist. Russia has proven itself to be weak. They reverted to an infantry struggle against well dug in old men and teenagers (with little training, lol) instead of taking out critical infrastructure, and smashing Ukrainian forces quickly and decisively. They do not know how to win. The US/NATO would do shock and awe against the Russians and gain a decisive upper hand, real fast. They could bog down later, but pretty sure they have a plan. The cult of America haters here and in other similar echo chambers (many the same people) can’t see that because they are clueless as to material realities of war fighting and are lost in faith based assessments. There’s a lot of hopium being smoked on all sides of this situation.
So says the ultimate echo chamber armchair general puppet Newhall.
As far as Russia is concerned the real war hasn’t started yet. As for American shock and awe, there would indeed be shock and awe – on the Americans’ part as they discover that they have nothing that Russia can’t counter and overmatch.
I thought you said Adios? How could us “clueless” people ever come to any conclusion, without you sharing yourr vast wisdom?
Sure, Eric. You sound deeply deeply concerned that because Russia didin’t follow the Von Eric Plan, as you have so often stated, that they just don’t know what they are doing. If only they had Field Marshall Eric in charge, victory would be theirs already!
I would suggest the opposite – you have no idea what you are talking about.
When you use lines like ” The US/NATO would do shock and awe against the Russians and gain a decisive upper hand, real fast.” you just expose yourself to ridicule. Have you actually looked at a map? The Russian forces are far from NATO countries, unless NATO planes have unlimited range. The only “shock and awe” will be after a couple of days when NATO counts how many planes and pilots they have left.
“but pretty sure they have a plan” indeed they do, NATO has planned this war since 2015, you are watching it unfurl in real time, and it leads directly to total defeat, for NATO.
” The cult of America haters here and in other similar echo chambers (many the same people) can’t see that because they are clueless as to material realities of war fighting and are lost in faith based assessments. ” ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha – this is comedy gold.
Project much?
We see how US won in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Vietnam.
Nobody, certainly not Baron, hates America or the American people, it’s the American Governing Elite that attracts the hate, the bunch that led to half of the America’s wealth to be owned by just one per cent of her people, the bunch that has sanctioned the invasions of many a country, the bunch that uses a proxy war to incircle, contain and eventually balkanise Russia as a step to treat the Middle Kingdom in a same manner.
Get it, Eric Newhill?
I’ll tell you what I hate. I hate that my country, the US voted for UNSC Res 2202 incorporating Minsk II and then did nothing to implement it. In fact did everything to torpedo it, most likely knowing full well it would lead to the current war in progress.
Now they have what they wished for and now wish they hadn’t. These are the doings of mice, not men. Maybe even the larger rodent variety wouldn’t be a stretch.
In the words of one annoying young Swede: “How dare they!!”
France and Germany, OK ….they’re US lackeys and expected to behave as such and the UK? They think Washington is their lackey but Ukraine? They have serious homicidal/suicidal tendencies and along with the Baltic states and Poland should never have been taken under anyone’s wing without a 100 years of therapy first….. but the US has no excuse other than succumbing to the cabal in charge that stands against everything that the US founding fathers once stood for. Might as well just burn their writings and adopt Bandera as the founding father like the Ukies did. Why not? He’s more reflective of Washington’s current principles than Jefferson et. al. ever were.
Eric fell into a purely Russophobic speech for defend US?!Bad Signal. Because is purely irrational! How many Russians does Eric know? I admit I don’t read many comments here, but the blog is from Larry, who doesn’t have an anti-American speech either! Quite the opposite. Larry identifies as an American patriot and criticizes recent US wars and provocation in Ukraine! Larry criticizes the US administration and not the US or the US people in general. which is the right of all Americans. I’m European and I also criticize our political leaders and in particular the EU! Did Russia provoke NATO? Surrounded by missiles in the Black Sea? It was NATO who invaded Ukraine, which was even under a Budapest neutrality treaty, in clear violation of international law! And contrary to what the propaganda says, 80% of Ukrainians did not support NATO before the US coup d’état! At point 32:
https://www.nato-pa.int/document/2011-172-cdsdg-11-e-rev1-ukraine-malan-report
Did Russia expect NATO to invade Russia? Like Kennedy wait for Russia to fire Cuba’s missiles? Not to admit that Russia cannot tolerate NATO provocations and the training of anti-Russian troops and the deployment of more missiles on its border as would happen in Crimea – as in Poland and Romania – and that Russia is in a purely war defensive is not very smart. What would the US do if Russia or China did the same in some Central American country? I in Europe thank Russia for fighting for a new security architecture without missiles aimed at Moscow. Because all it takes is one mistake and they can unleash nuclear hell. Which came very close to happening several times in the 1980’s before the Nuclear Arms Control Treaties! Which the US has already abandoned. And I would also like the US not to screw up our most critical infrastructure and our economy. Can I?
Otherwise, if Russia were in a war of aggression against Ukraine like the US in Iraq, it would also do what Eric recommends and what the US always does. Total destruction! And he went all out to destroy Ukraine! But it did not enter because Russia is not at war with Ukraine, much less with its people but with the puppet regime in Kiev. And the great offensive that is also talked about so much is just a delirium with a mobilization of 300,000 men. As if the US defines the only type of war possible?! After expelled from the Middle East! But since Russia didn’t destroy all of Ukraine like the US destroyed Libya to then be expelled, is Russia very weak militarily?!
Now Eric is the one who defines the plan and pace of the Russian intervention even though he has already proven that he has no idea what is going on in Ukraine or how the conflict relates to something much bigger in the geostrategic plan. Or does Eric also think that if Russia wanted to, it wouldn’t vaporize Kiev in 24 hours? Because weapons for that purpose have already been seen in this conflict. But who knows what matters most to Russia is Russia and not Eric! What is apparently now objectionable and can only be because Russia is weak?!
And China has been involved with Russia for a long time. In this conflict, overcoming economic sanctions and supplying various equipment to weapons factories in Russia under sanctions. And it’s also already in a hybrid war with the US! China doesn’t need Russia to be a US target. And maybe also didn’t support the war of aggression that Eric thinks Russia was obliged to look strong! Does Eric have any idea of the attempted color revolutions around China over the past 20 years? Or that China is also surrounded by hundreds of American bases!
But Eric must also think that China is threatening and provoking the US on its east and west coast border. Or that China sucks too! Fantastic where reality distortion can go. Western propaganda works. Especially and who is already predisposed to hate Russia. Which is what leads to the conclusion that Russia is weak shit. Macron must also be thinking the same. And Eric should enlist in the Ukrainian Foreign Legion. They also say Russia sucks and many believe they are winning the war! Which is only sad because it was already possible to exchange comments with Eric. When Eric still recognized the reality!
Lol . The mighty USA armed forces in Iraq and Afghanistan with that humiliating Saigon exit from Kabul shows the limitations and over hyped hubris of the American military. One thing this war has exposed is how China’s industrial capacity is larger than Europe and America combined ! The American military cannot even resupply its inventories of depleted 155 mil. artillery shells as Russia has a seven to one advantage over the UAF . The West can barely offer a hundred tanks when hundreds are needed, no planes, just some training, and more meager offerings in 2023 compared to 2022 as the Russians mobilize and their MIC is more than capable making tanks, planes and artillery shells. Also, the over rated Patriot air defense system of limited quantity will make little to no difference as the Patriot cannot shoot down Russian hypersonic missiles and has difficulties with drones. Russia chose this to be a war of attrition and degrade the Ukrainians and it is working as witnessed in Bakhumut and other places. This war is accelerating American decline as Saudi Arabia has made peace with Iran , has joined the BRICS and the SCO. This along with Russia in Opec plus will mean the inevitable move towards de-dollarization . Western sanctions failed to bring Russian economy to it’s knees and backfired on Europe with high inflation and scrambling to find alternative sources even as they buy excess Russian oil at a higher price from India that will make their industrial output less competitive industrial output because of higher prices for energy. The last 30 years of failed neo con policies and the rise of China is making the West less influential in the world as the world ignores Western sanctions as we are witnessing the depleted UAF in troops and equipment and an inevitable loss as the inept Empire declines.
@Eric Newhill — what you say make sense but I’d say Russia is specifically making itself out to look weak for a plain simple reason — to “buy time”.
Unlike the world’s #1 weapons exporter and leader of the NATO empire, Russia can’t afford to insert its fingers anywhere in the world and throw its own troops wherever it wants to just willy-nilly. And, nukes aside, yes, it’s MIC is nowhere near the size and scale of US/NATO either.
So what’s that surprising about Russia playing so slowly and conservatively to buy whatever time it can? Sure that makes it look weak, but so what?? You think Russia actually *wants* US/NATO to quickly escalate to that “shock and awe” you’re referring to? No! They *want* NATO to play it easy, they want to *only* go up against poorly supported Ukraine troops in infantry battles, etc — and certainly nothing “more” than that!!
So why the surprise even about Russia “sparing” key infrastructure in Ukraine? Russia’s goal here is simple — to buy whatever time it can. If attacking certain infrastructure (or even “whatever target”) will lead to a huge NATO escalation (which becomes more and more likely the longer this goes and more and more NATO feels it would be getting “too attrited” otherwise), then Russia will simply scale it all back! (Note — do you not see a trend here too? Russia coming in “strong” around February 2022+ only to start scaling everything back a few months later??)
(Not surprisingly even the “highly successful” Wagner PMC are complaining about not receiving sufficient munitions nowadays — well, given the above, you wouldn’t want them to become “too successful” now, would you?)
So, ultimately, there’s really nothing that surprising here. A big giant powerful NATO-contending Russian MIC is not something that can created in an instant with a mere “snap” of Putin’s fingers anyway. So don’t be surprised Russia will have to “playing” the role of a weakling trying to simply buy up whatever time it possibly can, and for what looks like to be a potentially long time going forward as well.
You speak as one of the foolish women speak.
Once again I quote Granny Hawkins on your comment.
“that big talk’s worth doodly-squat.”
That’s right Engage Russia upfront peer to peer This is exactly what the Western Alliance needs to do…
The Russians are probably wondering what’s taken the West so long
Remember Putin said last year you want to defeat Russia bring it on.
Then they will declare war then everything is off the table even strategic military positions in U.S.
You ready for that I suppose.
They don`t blitzkrieged Ukraine, because then they will walk on their brothers bodies. And Russians in general protect rather than kill!
Wow, looks like Vickie Nudelman (or maybe it’s he equally delusional warmongering hubby) decided to visit Larry’s blog. Welcome, Vickie!
You might get a bit educated about the “war winning” capabilities of the US of A in countries like Vietnam, Afghanistan, Korea, etc. And Russia is not Vietnam, in case you or you idiot hubby are not familiar with history and a complex thingy called “geopolitics”. I know, I know, history is not the strong suite for your Khazarian tribe. But just try, or at least ask for advice with people with more than 3 brain cells.
For now, let’s just chalk off your comment to “delusional and delirious”, shall we?!
“They didn’t because they can’t”. I don’t know if you’re correct on that one and I’m not a military man.
An alternate explanation would go into the direction of Russians avoiding to freak out the West. If they can make a swift win on Ukraine, somebody in the West will use the nukes because he thinks that he is going to be swept away by the Russian army.
Another explanation is that Russian are annoyingly legalistic compliant. Their army is in a SMO, not in a war. Their limitations are they can go defend the Russian territory (it voted to be Russian and Moscow accepted them). Moscow can not send their army into foreign territory without a formal war declaration.
My second explanation (I do not know its worth) makes the meat grinder tactics an essential part of the Russian strategy. Kiev send their soldiers on Russian territory (Russian viewpoint) so Moscow can kill them with any mean at hand, depleting effectively the Ukrainian army and the Western arsenals. It’s demilitarising effectively Ukraine.
Mere excuses.
Russia sucks and that’s all there is to it.
Russia said they attacked because provoked by NATO. Ok. NATO was already a threat according to Russia. So why would Russia be worried about provoking NATO, who they said was already an aggressor? Why would they jump off a SMO instead of a full scale war?
Why would Russia even attack Ukraine if they believed NATO was a threat? Why not build defensive forces on the Russian border and wait to have their sovereignty violated by NATO? Then Russia would clearly be the righteous and wronged party in international eyes.
What purpose could the poorly resourced SMO serve other than to give NATO justification to intervene and fight Russia, which is what Russia claimed to fear? Russians are stupid fools. I doubt China will come to their aid. China doesn’t want a target on its back in WW3.
One man’s excuse is another man’s rationale.
You really want to know what the seed that grew into this confrontation with NATO was? The one that was followed by Georgia and Syria and finally home to roost in Ukraine? You’ll prob. never understand it unless you’d closely followed Balkan events and the US machinations of the 90’s.
It was the NATO bombing of Yugoslavia.
Study the 90’s and study them well if you want to understand how Washington conducted itself, consciously concocted a casus belli, how the ensuing decades evolved and why we are now where we are.
Or remain a feckless stooge and I’ll bid adieu.
workingclasshero i suppose that you will enjoy this video, that is IF you truly are a workingclass man/woman.
Your fantasies truly made my day and gave me a big smile, Thank You.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GUG5Q28njcg
Per
Norway
Working class member and Union Man.
Union man? Norway’s already a welfare state. Careful the globalists don’t give up on Russia and target Norway instead. BTW: Norway – the true gas station masquerading as a country. 😉
(no insult intended but my God, Stoltenberg? He’s a bigger limp-wristed lackey than Scholz. Where ever do you find them?)
I don’t understand Norwegian, but I know the melody! 🙂
Your morning snack must have been a crack laced cigarette with coke. We were in Iraq and we got whacked. in Aghanistan and we got destroyed. Mind you all of these were goat herders and you want Russia to blitiz across Ukraine the best armed Army in Europe and with professional soldiers. YOu are not Anti Putin you are biden ass licker mate
UH Russia got its ass handed to them by the same goat herders that the US fought.
The US hardly got whacked in either Iraq or Afghanistan. The US was merely unable to secure a political peace. Militarily though, no real issues.
You are kidding me. Blitzkrieg for what? to put the people against Putin? No. The Russian authorities are not so dumb, sorry. Why take the risk of kill innocents people and militaries? Why show to the west the top military equipment?
Rethink your text!!!!
Rule of thumb. In almost every case in the weapons competition between the US or Russia or the Soviet Union, the more modern the weapon system, the superior it is vis a vis the rival. Over the decades US and Soviet weaponry would continually leapfrog over the other. Which means the US weapons and designs will be inferior to more modern Russian wespons
Ergo, the vaunted F-16’s and F-15s will be no match from much more modern ADA systems like the S400 and the S-500. They’ll be sitting ducks. And without air cover we’ll have a replay of Kherson without the need to withdraw
What a moron.
Russians are not chess players. They don’t understand strategics.
Well we’ve won the chess world championship 19 times!!
Although Mr Bobby Fischer is an all time legend, the United States is a long way behind. Good strategists though if we consider banning Russians from international competition as a way to win.
Are you really this delusional? Or are you just trolling because you are bored in Nebraska?
Apparently in Nebraska mental Asylums are boarded up and the nutcases have nothing else to do except play working class man.
Like they did in Afghanistan?
Nebo je možný jiný scénář. Rusko nebojuje na svém území, hlavní tíhu bojů nesou donbasské armádní sbory (tedy Ukrajinci) a brigády žoldnéřů (Vagnerovci) nebo dobrovolníků (Kadyrovci). Z útvarů pravidelné ruské armády jsou zapojeny hlavně letci (podle mně se střídají), některé útvary námořní pěchoty. A pak jsou zapojeni specialisté (průzkum, výcvik, radioelektronický boj apod.). Do boje je nasazována dobře známá technika, v řadě případů už notně zastaralá. Té je v Rusku mnoho a na své úkoly stačí. Moderní typy se pouze testují (drony, Kinžaly apod.). Ale n moři j celá ruská flotila jaderných ponorek a vyplula i Černomořská flotila. Druhá strana dělá totéž. Ale zásoby starých zbraní jsou vyčerpány. A většina států NATO jiné zbraně nemá! Na řadě jsou moderní zbraně a to zejména americké. A Milley není blázen. Tedy Rusko přes Ukrajinu vyčerpalo západní země doslova “na plech” aniž by použilo cokoliv ze svých hlavních sil. A navíc má za sebou mobilizaci 300 tis. záložníků. Jistě pilně pracuje na odstranění všech zjištěných problémů. A nezavřelo ni hranice! Takže ví, s kým může počítat v případě opravdového střetu. Je tedy otázkou KDO má smést to Rusko? Celé NATO se dívá s důvěrou na USA! Mobilizace je v evropských zemích strašákem a vůbec se to slovo nesmí vyslovit! A je tu další problém: Čína! Ta si dobře uvědomuje, že po Rusku je další na řadě. Američtí politici to troubí na vše strany. A tak jistě nenechá Rusko “ve štychu”. Jak říká staré přísloví: Zajíci se počítají až po honu”.
You poor propagandized idiot. You may not be pro Putin or Ukraine but you’re certainly pro stupid. You need to educate yourself on the current real condition of the US and NATO armed forces. If the US attempt’s to move a Carrier fleet anywhere close to engage Russia, it’s at that point that you’re going to get an education on modern warfare. The US has zero ability to defend against hypersonic missiles and then the ancient F-16’s (the ones that didn’t get shot out of the sky) won’t have a landing platform. Wake up, for crying out loud.
It’s true that they can’t without going all-in…
And they’re far from All-in. Sure they beefed up production of war material but the Russian economy remains largely unaffected!
We are far from 1943!
But Muricans like you allways think Russia does nothing but Oil….
Whereas Oil and gas barely accounts for 14% of Russian GDP nowadays!
That’s why btw sanctions work like shit.
And there’s one last flaw in your nonsense…
Nowadays the Russian can nuke anything on the globe in about 7minutes from Russia and the US got nothing to stop it.
And i’im pretty certain they have subs in the atlantic to nuke DC out in 2min if need be!
not even the time for the old crook Biden to run to the bunker under the WH
I usually do not comments but such stupid comment deserves attention. You either from deep state or just clueless. US will never fight Russia directly. Putin put all nuclear weapons in ready status. He will blow everybody. He said very clearly : he does not believe in the world where Russia does no exist. Moreover, US army will not defeat Russian army. US army failed fighting ship and camel herders in Iraq and Afghanistan. DO not forget, Vietnam and Korea. US came late to Europe when Russian were already winning. US could not defeat Japan, only using nukes. US never won anything in its entire short history except Independence War and Civil War. So please do not be delusional. You dumb comments lead to nuclear armogeon.
workingclass, “blitzkrieg”??? You clearly haven’t paid attention to Russia’s preference to “meat grind” the Ukrops forces with superior stand-off weapons vs. throwing away the lives of their soldiers with Hollywood “big arrow” blitzkriegs. It has been working wonderfully for them based on the nearly 10 times higher attrition rate suffered by the Ukrops. NATO forces are a paper tiger. AND, they don’t have the surplus of ammo to go against Russia. If they do, they will massacred in very short order and then the US will be left with a very diminished force for their up-and-coming ridiculous war with China. I’m gonna grab me some popcorn.
Our “superior air assets” couldn’t defeat Afghanis with no air force, no AD, etc. I agree with not overestimating anyone but our own hubris seems to cloud judgment from events only a few years old (i.e defeat in Afghanistan).
“If Russia was up to it, they would have blitzkrieged Ukraine last year. They didn’t because they can’t”
Same thing like with the Missiles they supposedly run out of any moment now? And just then, they fire a NATO Year production worth at strategic important targets?
Or the amount of Shells they uses on monthly base? 240.000 Shell per month? A Years worth of Nato production?
You mean this with “because they can’t?”
You should better listen to what they say…”demilitarisation” doesn’t mean only Gear unfortunally…it means something far more grim, mainly “any draftable man in figthing age”…This is what happens rn…they killing of any Ukrainian men in fighthing age with their atillery.
“War, war never change and is the only manmade Hell on Earth and every Warrior is a Demon in it”
Lets see now roundly defeated in Vietnam, Afghanistan, and your proxies with U.S training defeated in Syria and now Ukraine and your going to take on Russia, But to be fair you
did defeat the Super power of Granada but thanks I needed a good laugh today
It seems that workingclasshero is equally as clueless as anybody else in the west. I’m going to give you a summary that Larry provided last April 2022 based on a presentation that Dr. Philip Karber, a former U.S. Marine gave to West Point cadets in April 2018 on the war in the Donbas and Russian capabilities. Note that this is BEFORE Putin gave his speech outlining new hypersonic missiles and anti-air defences such as the S-500 and S-550 (none of which NATO can match).
* Russia has the most advanced and dense, data-linked air defense on earth.
* In a war against Russia, U.S. army cannot expect much air assistance for at least the first several weeks. Even stealth aircraft will not be of much use because of the distance they must fly in order to reach targets in Ukraine and/or Russia.
* Russian EW (electronic warfare) is much more advanced and more ‘combat-ized’ than in the U.S. RF utilizes it in combat squads whereas U.S. barely has any and only at the divisional level
* Russian EW shuts down all communications in huge areas along the front, no cellphones, military radios etc. They break GPS links with drones, making them useless and can even fry the fuses on artillery shells midflight.
* U.S. army produces 10x the frequency emissions of a Ukrainian brigade, which would make it extremely visible to all sorts of Russian EW, drones, advanced weapons.
* Russia has far more artillery than U.S. and far greater variety of munition types.
Here is Karber’s key conclusions:
First, from the last year of WW II until now the US has always fought with air superiority and never faced a comparable air force. Russia changes that calculus. Not only does it have a robust combat air capability that rivals anything the United States or NATO can put in the air, the Russians have the largest interconnected air defense system in the world. Five systems that are all data linked according to Karber. And this was the status quo from four years ago. Russian has made additional significant technological gains on this front.
One of the most important developments is Russia’s dramatic expanded use of drones/UAVs. Russian tanks have capability to operate a UAV from the tank to obtain intelligence and launch an aerial attack.
The second, and far more concerning Russian advantage is its formidable Electronic Warfare capabiltiy–i.e., they can listen, jam communications and hit targets emitting an electronic signature. The US Army, by contrast, does not have a competent, organized EW capability. Compounding the threat is the U.S. Army’s over reliance on computer systems to gather and disseminate intelligence and other essential military communications. This means that U.S. command posts and units will be easier to target and destroy.
I would add that Starlink has been neutralised so the EW capability has been further enhanced. They have complemented their present capabilities by both purchasing and manufacturing drones from Iran. As well they have developed a handheld device which is able to fry the circuits on drones and bring them down so that they can be reversed engineered or destroyed.
One wonders on which alternative universe does NATO have superior air assets than Russia? No NATO aircraft or drone cannot be easily identified and shot down by Russian air defences. The F-35 cannot fly properly and is not stealth. What Russian fighter could a F-35 beat? Maybe SU-57 which also has the ability to control multiple UAVs???
And I won’t even start in on the 10:1 ammunition advantage that Russia has. Maybe you should have reading the publications of The Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) who highlighted the stark differences in the industrial capacity of Russia to produce ammunition versus those of the NATO nations.
You have been watching too many movies and not focused on what has been tested and is actually working.
” If Russia was up to it, they would have blitzkrieged Ukraine last year. They didn’t because they can’t…”.
So if you are not “anti-Putin” why are you supporting the opposition to him, by doubting his reason for NOT blizt-ing The Ukraine?
In other words, Putin would have LOVED to do an Iraq shock-and-awe on The Ukraine, but doggone it, he just couldn’t. Just didn’t have the firepower.
So, Putin is not a nice guy who considers the Ukrainan people (not its fascist government) as fellow Slavs. He’s just like the Americans who say that kind of STUFF, but don’t really mean it.
@workingclasshero…Napoleon and Hitler both thought they’d steamroll Russia. Today, the Americans (like yourself) believe the same. You do so at your own peril. Russia has nuclear missiles. Is Ukraine worth ending the World for?
You left something kind of significant out of your scenario. Those hyper-sonic Russian missiles with nuclear warheads on them.
2 weeks? So long? After 3 months bombing a defenseless city like Belgrade? And would they also put the nukes in their pockets? What a f*cking imbecile with wet blitzkrieg dreams!
You are dreaming. All their massive armoured brigades and all the carrier fleets and aircraft of America are reminiscent of Poland 1939 when the Polish military command refused to see reality and astoundingly still maintained 37 horse cavalry divisions.
The Deluge:
Polish Cavalry, 1939
June 2020 By Mike Bennighof, PhD
Refer: http://www.avalanchepress.com/PolishCavalry.php
extract from the article by Bennighof as follows:
When the Germans attacked Poland in the late summer of 1939, the Polish Army included 40 cavalry regiments, all of them regular army units. Three of them had been motorized during the late 1930s, but the other 37 remained horsed — by way of comparison, the Polish army only had 90 regular infantry regiments (supplemented by reserve infantry regiments).
and this end sentence from Benninghof article sums it beautifully:
Spending more than four times as much on the cavalry arm as on the Armored Force in the years before the war was a much greater miscalculation than any on the battlefield.
My further comment as follows:
It is interesting to note that when I did Google search on following criteria “Poland attacked German Panzer divisions with horse cavalry divisions” the first two links were to Wikipedia and The Guardian with articles debunking the historic factual story as fake news (who would have guessed?). See how now western propaganda media are forever revising the real history so as to make out the Poles have always been far more intelligent than years of real prior history has have proven them to otherwise have been. Not much has changed in Poland over all these years and they are now rushing to repeat national suicide once again.
That history of Polish cavalry charge against the Panzer tanks is not in dispute and there are many old archive films available online showing them charging on horseback with lances and rifles against the tanks. You do not need to be told what the outcome of that was.
What is unfolding now in Poland, NATO and Anglo-American military and political commands is analogous replay of 1939 Poland. The fools in Anglo-American-NATO alliance have become so soddenly stupid and so overly confident. They are totally incapable of ever conceiving that there might be waiting in the wings of an adversary’s armoury, a far superior and more advanced suite of weapons capable of delivering decisive asymmetric advantage in a no holds barred war. They still think that they have overwhelming superiority in military equipment. BUT like the Poles in 1939 they have completely failed in their understanding and how far more advanced the Russians have become in terms of weapons systems.
No doubt part of the blame for the prevailing horse cavalry mentality in American command has been due to greedy bean-counter decision-making at the corporate boards of US military industrial complex where dumb decisions were made to maximize profits by not having huge costs of dismantling assembly lines designed to spit out lots of the old model weapons, while always trying to lobby for more wars to ensure more production from legacy systems where all the set-up costs were amortized long ago. Waging wars against goat herders in the Middle East was a no-brainer no-risk super profit centre – this time against Russia it is very different.
Russia today is analogous to the German Panzer equipment and tactics of 1939/40, whereas America and NATO are analogous to the 37 horse cavalry regiments they had lined up in preparation to fight the Nazis because Polish horse cavalry had proved so effective in WW1 battles.
Right now Russia is slowly but surely killing Ukraine soldiers while trying not to provoke crazed madness in America-NATO command by full all-out demolition of Ukraine.
Russia is hoping the Western clowns will see sense and do what they promised to do long ago re the Minsk Agreement – albeit, it is now too late for Ukraine to hold on to Donbass – that is off the table but it is not too late for America-NATO to give orders to Zelensky to stop acting the fool (which he is superbly good at doing) and call an end to Ukraine’s unrealistic and unachievable demands.
Russia is waiting and watching for America and NATO to make that big fatal mistake that pertains to the hubristic idiocy attaching to the elite rulers of all peak empires in terminal decadent decline.
If America-NATO make the big mistake (and sadly I am persuaded they are going to) then the world is going to be suddenly and sickeningly shocked like the shock that rocked the world when Nazi Germany in 1939/40 rolled all over Poland and France faster than any nation till then thought was possible – but this time round the rhyming shock will be much greater, like off the Richter scale in comparative magnitude.
In such event we will have to witness and endure Russian hypersonic missile barrages that will vaporize all that shiny American and NATO military machinery along with all the major bases and command centers in EU and UK. Then the real fireworks begins; and if the Anglo-American-NATO Wartards launch the nukes then I suspect nuclear powered unmanned submarines sitting dormant on ocean floors off American east and west coasts will wake up and launch multiple nukes into American sites as well as possibly a few underwater detonations to hurl massive tsunamis inland over those coasts.
In such event I also think China will be doing a lot more than just thinking about supplying weapons to Russia.
I was born early 1950s and since teenage years, since observing America behaviour in Vietnam especially, I have always had an ugly premonition that I have never been able to shake. I have never doubted that when the day came that their big dream of owning everything and everybody in the world was to be seriously challenged by the inevitable rising economic powerhouse of China and Russia rising that the criminally insane hegemon globalists operating out of America and its equally insane allies would never shrink from going all-out Dr Strangelove crazy and let loose with everything they have.
I have no doubt that both the Russians and the Chinese have also laboured under the same horrible end-game realization and they have been preparing for it accordingly with much greater applied intelligence and cunning, especially with respect to the Russians understanding long ago that they could never compete with the old type of battlefield mentality analogous to the mentality pertaining to the Polish military command in 1930s when they hurled cavalry horsemen against Panzer tanks – the analogue today obviously being redundant massive old carrier fleets and miles of tanks and armoured vehicles with lots of old-style artillery being thrown at Russia.
No this time round we will witness TV and online independent news feeds showing US carriers fleets sinking faster than the American ships at anchor in Pearl Harbour along with all their tanks and artillery pieces being literally vaporized en masse faster than the Polish cavalry were mowed down by the Panzer tanks.
Until they push the bear into that position where it is cornered with its back to the wall, all the smug citizens in the United States of Amnesia can feel completely safe and secure and fully protected by their dinosaur military machine.
PS If I were serving in the US or NATO military I think right now would never be a better time to resign and get the hell out of Dodge while they still can.
General Christopher G. Cavoli Commander of the US European Command himself says that: “The scale of this war is out of proportion to all recent NATO thinking”
February 5, 2023
In other words, it’s not a good idea for NATO to think about putting boots on Ukraine and then come these Russophobes from some nursing home who still haven’t understood that two nuclear powers cannot face each other directly and neither the USA nor NATO beat Russia on its frontier in a conventional war or vice versa. But in some nursing home they might think that in a state of war, Russia lets the US transport hardware to Europe at will. How f*cking stupid!
Sy Hersh himself is funny, he recognizes the US provocation the war and the missile siege on Russia in the Black Sea but does not forgive the invasion of Putin who says that it is not comparable with the “manufactured” Balkan war?! Well no, Russia never wanted war and avoided it for 8 years and even after the December proposals and in February after entering Ukraine Russia gave all the chances to Kiev to retreat in Donbass and to NATO to leave Ukraine. Belgrade was 3 months bombed from the sky without appeal! And at the end of the war they even condemned the services on trial. As the nation that engineered the destruction of Iraq in UN… Welcome to the World Order by Washington Rules!
Errata: And at the end of the war in Kosovo, with Yugoslavia already sliced up and thousands of dead, which, like the invasion of Afghanistan, are parts of a giant war for control of Eurasia and international energy corridors for the West and not for the head of some terrorist like Bin Laden, here is the great American military base at Camp Bondsteel in Kosovo – the great trophy of the war – in the largest international corridor that transports energy from Central Asia to Europe without the need to pass through Russia! And the Serbs were still tried and convicted in The Hague! As the nation that manufactured the destruction of Iraq at the UN. Or not? Welcome to the World Order by Washington Rules!
https://www.maritime-executive.com/editorials/concept-of-operations-for-usvs-every-warship-a-surface-action-group
“The US Navy’s strike capacity is shrinking. As highlighted in Congressional testimony with senior leaders, the Surface Navy is set to lose 788 Vertical Launch System (VLS) cells through the end of the Davidson Window in 2027. This 8.85% of current Surface Navy VLS capacity represents the equivalent of eight Arleigh Burke-class destroyers leaving the fleet as the Ticonderoga cruisers are retired. However, even the most aggressive and expensive shipbuilding alternative would not return equivalent VLS numbers to the surface fleet until the late 2030s.
…
Similarly dire is the state of munitions, as highlighted at the Surface Navy Association National Symposium by Commander, Fleet Forces Command, Admiral Caudle who “noted that [even] if the Navy had ready its 75 mission-capable ships, ‘their magazines wouldn’t all be full.’””
Or in other words: the US Navy’s attack capability is shrinking for at least 8 years – and what there is, cannot even be fully utilized due to insufficient ammunition.
I don’t see any evidence of anything different in other parts of US or European military branches.
No doubt the US can manhandle Russia with ease. The multiple genders the US can now throw at Russia will bedazzle them.
Russia is used to facing men…not rainbows and drag queen shows. They will never know what hit them. You wanna talk bitch-slap…you aint seen nothin yet.
You, WorkingClassStiff, remind me of someone who has been blessed with infinite amounts of US freedumb!!!!
You sound like a CIA failed playbook 😂
Sure, this thing will be just like the Iraq invasion!
Blitzkrieg only worked when the target was deficient in C3ISR, like Poland and France during 1939-1940, the Soviet Union in 1941, and Iraq. It is not possible to conceal a blitzkrieg-type striking force from an enemy with access to top-shelf modern ISR capabilities and schoolboy strategists are weeping with nostalgia.
You are a clown mate..
Are you on medication?
Yesterday, a Baltic media outlet published footage of an enormous amount of US military equipment in the Port of Gdynia Poland.
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/watch-vast-expanse-us-military-hardware-positioned-polish-port
Search Google for (Defender Europe 20) and select pictures.
The equipment shown in the ZH post is from operation Defender Europe 20, and has been left in Poland since 2020. And it is never going back to America.
Since 2014, NATOs plan has been to send all old soviet military equipment from former Warsaw Pact members (now NATO Members) to Ukraine to fight against Russia, and then resupply these Nations with US military equipment.
Since 2014 Ukraine has lost more than 1000 of its own Soviet era tanks, and has been receiving Soviet era tanks and equipment from, Lithuania, Poland, Germany, Slovakia, and Romania. This is the stuff now being ground up in Eastern Ukraine.
The stuff transported from the US to Poland, will be used in a NATO Spring attack on Russia, just before the Ukrainian Army and the Zelensky Regime collapses.
All NATO needs to start WWIII, is to send in boots on the ground, fighter jets, and more artillery shells, to attack Russia from Norway, Denmark, Finland, Estonia, Lithuania, Poland, Ukraine and Romania.
Russia know full well where all this “NATO equipment” is, so they have mobilized and are ready for World war.
when NATO will have put “boots on the ground” in Ukro
the capitals of Norway, Denmark, Finland; Estonia; Lithuania; Poland, Ukraine and Romania will be erased from the map along with the capitals of GB,Fr,D;It, E,EL U$A etc…. And the boots will remain on the ground forever.
amen
In the ground.
What really scares me is the photo above, with these soldiers folding up the colors, dressed in their 7TH Calvary hats. Haven’t these guys read any history. Haven’t these guys talked to any Native Americans about what happened to Custer at the Battle of the Little Big Horn? I just don’t get it. It’s a cowboy clown hat world.
Thank you for this post. No one I know is more conservative than I (I’m the prototype they had in mind for the saying “He’s still waiting for the Pope’s armies to take to the field once again”). Perhaps that’s why I resent so bitterly the popular militarism that passes for “conservativism” in the US; it’s no more than rank yahoo nonsense that would embarrass, annoy, and distress a man like Edmund Burke, the father of Anglo-American conservativism. It is nauseatingly lamentable that the Right in the US has stooped to worshipping uniforms and bombs and that it considers brutality and purblind ignorance as somehow virtuous.
Agree ++
Sure they have but they succeeded in ethnically cleansing America of the natives, hadn’t you heard?
We do bestow honor upon the natives by retaining a multitude of their place names though and naming our war machines after them. That should even the score, don’t you think?
Nah, the casino route has made their day, unless of course they happen to meet up with a Hunter Biden and friends, in which case they’ll be lucky if they end up with at least a pouch full of wooden nickels.
A business partner of the son of the friggin’ president of the USA rips off a native tribe so openly and blatantly that they have to put him in jail. Nice moral bunch we’ve got running the country, eh?
Wrap your head around that one.
When I first saw that photo I thought thats why Russia is playing it cool with the added bonus of wiping out the best that Ukraine has in Artemivsk and also leaving a sort of scortced earth for NATO.
Exactly, double down – every time. The US public is unprepared for full war; not economically or socially (draft, national service). The deep state is addicted to psyops-lies-propaganda and using proxies to get “regime” change outcomes. Anything approaching real full scale war means short circuiting to the “big red” button.
“If you can’t dazzle them with brilliance, then baffle them with bullshit.”
I concur, Biro. I believe that we maybe “on the brink” because Biden and his apparently closed circle neo-con decision-makers
are themselves on the brink of annihilation, politically speaking, on account of their imploding Ukraine policy. To save themselves from this unthinkable outcome, they might be prepared to gamble against the ultimate annihilation. In order to prevent this throw of the dice, the US military would have to refuse to carry out orders that would carry the USA – and the rest of us – across the threshold to doom. Does the US military have the perspicacity and the fortitude to say “No!”?
The Biggest Brass Hat in the US armed forces is Milley. Does that answer the question?
I am with you and doubt if much of NATO is any more mentally prepared for war other than Poland. I wonder if society would fracture even more. I bet ANTIFA, BLM, Moveon and the Obama crowd would use war to move their agenda like post George Floyd, summer of 2020. They could care less about supporting Ukraine.
Biden pulled out of Afghanistan (more like escaped in the middle of the night), and it didn’t hurt him, the Democratic Party, George Soros, or his regime at all. There was no humiliation that I could see, hear, taste, or smell. [Honest but still sarcastic]
True, but Afghanistan ran through four Presidencies. It was in a backwater that everybody was bored with and nobody was paying attention. The media ignored it, and after some perfunctory indignation, it was quickly forgotten.
This mess in Ukraine may also have started three Presidencies ago, but the hot war is all Biden’s. It is in the middle of Europe, not some dusty backwater, and it’s on the berge of destroying NATO, as well as the economies of Western Europe. Walking away from this mess unfazed will be no mean feat.
Afghanistan, this little “backwater” as you call it, cost the American taxpayer upwards of $2-Trillion dollars. Our government blew $2-Trillion dollars on a bunch of goat herders and tarpheads.
… set up a no fly zone and directly engage with Russian AF and Navy.
There is a saying amongst the Military leadership, it goes something like this: Tactics are for amateurs, Logistics are for professionals.
Think, what is needed to start a no-fly zone and sustain it and for how long? What amount of everything is needed?
[quote]”…a saying amongst the Military leadership… Tactics are for amateurs, Logistics are for professionals…”[/quote]
You watch too many Hollywood movies. That saying exists on the internet only because keyboard warriors keep repeating it.
But, “amongst the Military leadership”, there is no such saying. And, by the way, it is an idiotic statement that “sounds good”, but in reality it is nonsense.
As an example, which of these two (tactics or logistics) did the U.S. Military use in Afghanistan — a war which it lost?
Also, which of these two (tactics or logistics) did the U.S. Military use in Viet Nam — another war which it lost?
If you are a United Statesian, at the Battle of the Alamo, which of these two (tactics or logistics) did the Defenders of the Alamo use — a battle which they decisively lost?
Glossary:
Effective warfare requires BOTH — tactics AND logistics. In open warfare, it is not a case of “tactics=amateurs, logistics=professionals”. That saying was created, ex nihilo, to only make a point. The point of that idiotic saying is this: you need to effectively supply, and resupply, your forces (gas, guns, and ammo) — IN ADDITION TO planning effective tactical moves. Effective warfare requires BOTH — tactics AND logistics. It is not a case of “one” is for “amateurs”, and the “other” is for “professionals”.
But wait! That’s not all! If you act within the next three minutes, you will also receive — an enlightenment whereby you realize that effective open warfare REQUIRES Tactics, Logistics, AND MORE! More being: a willing populace, and a superiority of power — air power, fire power, and financial power.
It is a false dochotomy to say that “tactics are for amateurs, logistics are for professionals”.
And, by the way, it is an idiotic statement that “sounds good”, but in reality it is nonsense.
Whether or not the saying exists in military circles, it is hardly idiotic.
You can have devised the best tactics in the world but if you can’t properly support the effort with logistics, it’s all for naught.
They obviously go hand in hand. You hardly need to be military to understand that.
Nice try at gaslighting, “2plus2”!
“k. talaat” falsely claims that, [quote]”There is a saying amongst the Military leadership, it goes something like this: Tactics are for amateurs, Logistics are for professionals”[/quote]
“Joe Hepperle” writes in response that there is no such saying in the Military leadership – that it is fake “saying” and idiotic because they are both needed equally. Tactics and logistics go hand-in hand.
“2plus2” responds with, — No Joe, you are wrong because tactics and logistics, “…obviously go hand in hand.”
Way to go, “2plus2”! Gaslighting 101.
hahaha what a foolish idea who will enforce the no fly zone, any aircraft would be eliminated in minutes. Do you know anything about Russian air-defense? I very much doubt it but you naivety is entertaining.
He probably thinks setting up a no fly zone is similar to setting up a mosquito net to keep flys out.
Tell me those aren’t inflatable tanks sitting on some dock in downtown Los Angeles. Or, actually, please. Yes. Please tell me those are inflatable tanks sitting on a dock somewheres on a dock in Los Angeles.
Can you imagine the price of shipping real military gear around the world just to carry out a psyops, harass the Russians with misinformation? We’re talking billions.
Russia is winning. And the West cannot tolerate that. So yes, all kinds of weapons and lunacy are inbound. But here is the problem.
Russia is right next door to Ukraine. And they have their 3 to 500,000 mobilized troops they have not committed right on the border. And the billions of tons of ordnance they have been cranking out of their war converted economy. Just waiting. And by the way? If the Russians said they mobilized 500,000? They lied. And on the low side.
And Ukraine is running out of bodies. And Europe doesn’t have any. The pathetic 78,000 military of the UK? The French military that is going to be busy with their own populace prying up the street rocks and throwing them at Macron? The Germans going to take their ball gags off and enlist? The Spanish lol? Oooh! The Italians!!
So that leaves us ‘Muricans. And while my countrymen’s stupidity leaves me astounded on a daily basis? I think Pedo Joe committing the necessary 200,000 American troops (doubtful we could even do that) to a European clusterfuck might even raise them out of their weed haze.
There is only way to beat Russia. Nukes. And they don’t respond. Which as a betting man? I wouldn’t take that bet. But the entrenched powers of Washington, DC. cannot lose this. And you ain’t beating Russia in a land war in their own fucking backyard. I cannot believe we are even debating this.
I argued the few smart ones would not let it come to this. I was wrong. I think these goofy fuckers are getting ready to blow the world up.
The pathetic 78,000 military of the UK?
You are really badly informed ! The British Army strength is currently 62,000 and of that probably a third are combat soldiers possibly even having equipment. The reliance on the Territorials now called “Reserves” is extreme but the numbers there are far from establishment.
Why should UK have a big land army anyway – it never had through most of its history as an ISLAND. It has never fought in Europe – since Agincourt – without Continental allies – since 1800 – usually Russia except when France seduced Britain into the Crimean War
NO European Army is experienced in combined arms warfare across a broad front………even US lacks that ability with its paltry 420,000 soldiers – men and women – most of whom are too portly for combat.
Russia can simply provide the killing ground for the human sacrifices sent by NATO to the “New Dignitas” in Ukraine…………..there isn’t a fight going the US does not want to join or initiate……….time for US to see what End of Empire looks like
I agree.
Britain has always been an amphibious power (like the US) with an army that was usually designed as a colonial police force. The principal exceptions to this have been in the two world wars, although it was only in the First World War that the army was truly engaged at scale against the principal enemy continuously for nearly the whole war.
My understanding is that today the army could possibly field at most 2 brigades for combat, with quite a lot of effort to raid other units for men.
The MoD do seem to have a lot of resources available for propaganda and writing tweets. I guess if you cannot fight a real war then you wage a virtual one instead.
Can you imagine a world where the US is one of **many** powers, not able to project it’s will on foreign governments in order to get something from them? US is finally loosing it’s grip on the world and is hell-bent on to take anyone down with them as they will never accept anyone to be as equal or even above them-selves.
They only have one problem, they have zero chance to win this time. Their nukes are even worthless and using them would only result in the entire destruction of their mainland and all the bases overseas they have build over the years. US military was bullying and pushing around some rather defenseless countries while others have build up their military power the “old” way by improving systems and building defenses to counter common threats. US has never seriously developed countermeasures as they were entirely relying on their role as the one that goes into war with others and therefore needs offensive weapons rather than defensive. The US has only one As up their sleeve, it’s their submarines. But I bet Russia and China have no trouble to deal with that too. S400 and S500 is their insurance policy in that case. Hunting down and destroying them one by one with their own subs and surface fleets is the other.
Like you I see what is happening and I’m also shocked. But what can we do? We new that time was coming. US invading other countries, overthrowing governments was in no way something we should ever consider as ok or normal. Maybe it is for the best …
God’s judgment perhaps.
You had me at “ball gags.” Well said Mr. Nichols!
The only way to beat Russia is with nukes?
Russia has enough nuclear bunkers to cover 87% of it’s population. The US has enough for 0.3%.
In a nuclear exchange the US would lose its population whereas Russia would lose its buildings. How does that add up to Russia being beaten?
I have no insider info, but can think of few plausible ideas:
1) psychological warfare (try to scare the Russians, kind of dumb idea, probably won’t work)
2) get a lot of Ukrainian uniforms and have someone else drive the tanks
3) a surge in Syria. Maybe they think Russia is distracted, and I thought Miley did a surprise visit.
But again, I have no insider info, just wild speculation on my part.
If driving tanks were the issue you could strip all the opto-electronics from them and simply send shells with driver seats
Nice to see someone commenting with a sense of humility. Most commenters are so certain of their brilliance and complete knowledge!
If history is any indication, the Biden Regime consistently double down on the worst option possible for any prospect for peace. I am afraid they intend to escalate things with Russia citing spurious rhetoric and may also provoke a conflict at the Pacific as well.
Not the South Pacific I hope.
The Russian Federation may appear either weak, or uncommitted to the US government or the casual observer in the USA. They are neither and it will be a decisive demonstration that will result in the last war the USA will ever fight if the wrong choices are made.
I agree. I think they are keeping their powder dry and waiting for the west to do something stupid. Lets not forget Russia has expended more cruise missiles in the first six months of the war than the US has fired in the last 30 years in all its various military adventures. Instead of Russian attacks with 100 high precision missiles in a day, I bet we will see 400 or more. Good bye NATO command and control, ammo and equipment stores, and major bases before morning coffee.
I agree. I think the US is counting on a psychological edge to give them escalation dominance because of that perception of indecisiveness in Russian leadership. It will be a fatal mistake if they act on it though.
It all points to doubling down.
Provocation for the smo,
arming vsu,
shelling the zpp,
bombing the nord stream pipelines, visiting taiwan,
Rejection of China’s peace deal, adding troops to NATO
The world is moving against the USA with the De dollarisation too.
Its as though they believe that war is the way to distract from domestic problems and thumb down others.
Come on Americans, wake up!
Desperation is palpable. Still banking on driving across country in monster tanks they may have to park in the muck. Free samples of L2 tanks for black market, you pick up.
Because logistics nightmare, who would recommend such an op? Resupply through Poland would end at the border. Only port cut off. The opposition facing Nato is almost completely unknown. Weaponry unknown to Nato has the potential to surprise and sting. Conflict sucks Belarus into the fight. Brings China into the fight. Russia likely controls every road junction in 404 and all are marked targets and double secret hidden holes. How many thousands of local eyes and ears on the ground report to Russia in real time? What’s in the Black Sea?
If NATO is bluffing, it is a stupid miscalculation because Russia will not back down. Putin has repeatedly stated this is an existential struggle for them. The bluff will be called out.
If NATO is not bluffing, it is a criminal miscalculation because the hot war will no longer be confined to Ukraine, nor to the European continent IMO.
With the recent flurries if warnings to China not to help Russia, I fear it is the latter.
1) NATO is heavily in-Country already. So, no question NATO will attack, the question is when ?
2) It takes a long while to set up the logistics as well as training for a massive offensive. Arguably, it’s too late to jump off in 2023
3) therefore, any NATO attack is likely to take place in 2024.
Vous détournez la fonction de l’OTAN qui est depuis sa création la défense d’un pays membre qui est attaqué ,si l’OTAN attaque c’est que les états- unis y a tout intérêt , ce n’est pas le cas des pays européens
Francis,
Good point – it’s definately NOT in the Euros interest to escalate the Ukrainian Civil War but European Politicians are not the deciders – Washington is.
Recall how Washington humiliated Marcon with the Australian Submarine contract – Marcon should have pulled a instant DeGaulle. Instead he meekly did nothing.
Recall how Washington attacked Germany a few months ago ( Nordstream) Response from Berlin ? – crickets
The Euros are low grade vassals.
Tout à fait .Macron n’est qu’une marionnette qui est d’ailleurs ridiculisé à chaque fois qu’il rencontre ses homologues .
Je m’étonne qu’au sujet du Nordstream que les allemands ” silencieux ” car il s’agit d’une agression en bonne et due forme avec des retombées sûres le reste de l’europe .
The Ukraine will not exist in 2024.
Before 2024.
Russia is not going to drag this out much longer.
They are getting everything in place for a massive shock and awe as soon as the ground is dry enough for cross country maneuvers.
They have drawn most of the AmeriNATO and Ukraine forces to the contact line in recent weeks.
At the same time they have bled the AmeriNATO and Ukraine forces of ammunition, equipment and blood.
Just when they are at their weakest point, Russia is at its strongest.
You don’t let 500,000+ soldiers sit around.
With the AmeriNATO/Ukraine forces concentrated near the front line, an intense 24 to 48 hour full spectrum barrage that also turns off the electricity in Ukraine can end their ability to fight or resist.
Russia has to know that continuing to go slow only allows more military equipment and supplies to arrive in Ukraine.
There are reasons why Russia has proceeded as they have to this point- this does not mean they have to or will continue in the same way.
Go time is rapidly approaching for the Russians.
Wasn’t he expecting the ground to freeze? How wrong you are! Not even with 2 million men could Russia fulfill your dreams in a country bigger than Germany and France combined. And for that the Kremlin had to declare war on Ukraine and if it didn’t declare it until now it won’t do it with crumbl Ukraine either! It’s just math! And Russia also has international partners who would never support a war of aggression! Russia is not going anywhere! It is prepared in the north and south for any eventuality and will defend a front of more than 1,000 km. That’s what the numbers say. Russia never had any interest in crossing the Dnieper! Russia wants to negotiate! Russia wants peace! Since 24 February!
That’s like saying the stock market is going to crash in . . . . They have been saying the same thing for almost 20-years. “Any day now. The shit is going to hit the fan.”
What does your friend Martyanov think of it? Since he’s the Ultimate Feldherr and Oracle as per himself, his opinion should be the final version.
True or not.
What’s your problem with Martyanov?
If Martyanov is wrong somehow, how so? What is your argument and evidence?
this indian is a troll from MOA , and he got kicked out for spamming his ‘putin is a coward’ message
then he troll in Smoothie’s site and got kicked out
now he troll here with SAME message
I would guess Andrei Martyanov would say NATO has zero chance to defeat Russia in a conventional continental war in Europe, but that the Americans are stupid enough to sleep walk into a nuclear war which will have neither winners nor survivors.
I propose a settlement of this entire western clusterfuck: Martynov’s bluster and Trump’s bluster go at it, and the best bluster win. Biden could referee remotely from his Delaware basement.
How about NOT?
This troll is on many a Blog, and he is relentless – he only has one tune, Andrei Martyanaov, and he plays it over and over and over and over
Show us on the doll where Martyanov touched you.
It’s not Martynov’s content, it’s his style. It’s tiring.
Same reason that Trump’s bloviating tires me. although Martynov is infinitely more knowledgeable – but jeez, every opening sentence is: “They know absolutely nothing about modern….blah, blah.”. It’s simply poor manners to talk in such a way, be it friend or foe.
With all my sympathy for Martyanov, as a fellow believer, I understand the reason for your irritation. Perhaps you will be a little more condescending towards Martyanov if I say that Martyanov speaks worse in Russian than in translation from English, abundantly interspersing his speech with the parasitic words “this is the most.”
It must be admitted that good orators often smoothly pour false and flattering speeches into our ears. Martyanov thinks well, writes worse, speaks quite unimportantly. But he is a military man, not a politician.
Agree completely.
I’ve been following smoothiex12.blogspot.com for some time. Broadly I agree with Mr Martyanov’s assessment of geopoliticial matters. I have no basis in education to comment on his military knowledge but accept his background and expertise.
However, his manner is completely, and increasingly, bombastic and tedious. I can barely listen to the podcasts or read the blog for the endless ad hominem attacks (replacing reasoned alternative views), the denigration of any education not STEM and, bluntly, his old-fashioned sexist praise/criticisms of women based on their looks (as though he’s some chiselled adonis – not!).
Agree. Martyanov’s style, rudeness, etc gives me a headache. I cannot listen to the guy for more than a minute – and there’s really no reason to do so anyhow because he says the same crap over and over.
Additionally, he is a linchpin of the Russia fanboy echo chamber; one of six or seven key pro-Russian sources that feed off each other to the point where the insider pundits become convinced that whatever they absorbed from each other’s pronouncements is objective reality that cannot be questioned. One can observe the many parrot satellites of the club’s output right here on this thread.
US soldiers entering and dying in Ukraine would set off a chain of events domestically in the USA that would bring down the DC neocons and deep-state.
I beg to differ: a open war will reunite the multiple factions of USA, at least until the first defeat and even then… What media/author could oppose the country at war? Who can oppose to censor in time of war? Who will dare to criticize the Zombie who leads the Washington regime?
Moreover, a war will justify the “war production” needed to go to China after the (supposed) victory against Russia.
American resolve would die off when the first C-17 landed on American soil, loaded to the gills with coffins.
The american public have no idea of what a proper war against a peer means in terms of casualties. They would learn fast.
Marcos,
That assumes the bodies would make it back to the United States. This is what a proper war against a peer competitor looks like:
Excavating German Soldiers in Russia/Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=excavating+german+soldiers
Most of the time they uncover dead from the Second World War, but occasionally they stumble upon relics from the First World War, Civil War, Crimean War and even the Napoleonic War.
Great to know the United States will be adding another layer to all of that; it will give the kids of Ukraine & Novorossiya something to do 80 years hence, with no fear of running out of relics.
This whole thing is absolutely nuts. (sigh)
If that was the end of this all sane people would draw a deep breath of relief and move on.
I haven’t seen much evidence of sanity on Team Biden.
I’m not so sure. Never underestimate the stupidity of the American people.
Look at the corrupt, ignorant, incompetent politicians the people keep re-electing to run our country.
Spot on – Fetterman – need I say more?
Philadelphia elected Fetterman. They thought they needed someone to reflect their angst.
Are they ‘elected’ though? More like selected and installed electronically.
How can we voters stop re-electing the current class of politicians? They are what run for public office. Third parties have no chance of winning elections. Do not blame the voters: they have no say-so in influencing government policy.
“Who governs? Who really rules? To what extent is
the broad body of U.S. citizens sovereign, semi-
sovereign, or largely powerless? These questions
have animated much important work in the study of
American politics.”
https://scholar.princeton.edu/sites/default/files/mgilens/files/gilens_and_page_2014_-testing_theories_of_american_politics.doc.pdf
@Charles – We are not in the Vietnam war era when the press was fighting the establishment. Our presstitutes and whornalists will be lauding the pseudo “victories” – who’s going to “set off a chain of the events?” Biden just added more executive powers to himself. Wonder why?
This is not a war in Afghanistan, Iraq or Syria. Americans will not be sheltered as they were before
Besides the hundreds of coffins weekly/monthly, it would set off massive government debt, high inflation, fuel problems, shortages of goods, a massive propaganda campaign, government oppression, and would touch every cultural/civil activity.
The mass of Americans may accept it initially, but they will be absolutely shocked how such a war would affect their lives. The Deep State will double-triple down, creating a spiral of recrimination and unintended consequences. THAT’S how it collapses
I doubt Americans would notice………they never noticed in Vietnam until they came for the children of the bourgeoisie who could not defer the draft any longer
The silver lining.
Dream on
Go to fight for Ukraine now or shut up, hypocrite.
Eric’s getting to be intolerably annoying lately, isn’t he?
He tried to pass himself off as something other than a troll but finally couldn’t restrain himself.
******SAVE AMERICA*******
Give the Neocons the BOOT
As always it is definitely another psychological – special effect – fake media operation that the Neocons are very much fond of these days. However, they will need to photoshop many more images directed at China and Iran, while they are pushing against Russia in their big plan for another world war. Currently the NATO has only two ways of conducting operations against the foes. Number one is bribing the officials of the targeted country with Petro-$’s, historically called the Bakhshish method. Number two, shoot nuclear warheads without further pondering. All the other methods in between these two are simply fake diversionary operations.
Are they trying to keep running the bluff? They’ve been ratcheting up the rhetoric on the one hand, yet seemingly looking for an exit on the other. I suspect if there were any indication of NATO forces heading into Ukraine we’d get a fantastic display of Russian hyper sonic capabilities. Fried American soldiers wouldn’t sit well with the American public.
There’s no way they have any chance of getting anything anywhere near eastern Ukraine or Crimea without getting wiped out along the way, if not right when it enters Ukraine. Surely they must know that.
Barring outright stupidity (and that can’t be ruled out), it looks like bluff and bluster. Do those forces in Poland and elsewhere have on their prettiest lipstick and pantyhose? Are they ready to face the “toxic masculinity” of the Russian military? Maybe they want to engage Russia to show China they’re serious. That would be what you call a “strategic blunder.”
It is coming isn’t it. I am in the Pacific NW. Was sick all night (Monday) and heard just a bunch of military/large non-commercial jet engines. I asked my wife at dinner the next day if she heard the same thing. She said yes. All the movement seemed to be going toward the local air national guard.
So here is the story sorta. The only time I have heard so many military/large engines is during annual air show when it comes in, or during the second Gulf War. Found out through news reports that the US government was renting out every available air transport to move supplies for the Bush invasion. And the skys were busy.
If I can be granted paranoia, and unfounded wild speculation, Biden is getting ready to use air power to beat the Russians back. Not enough ground power, but the neocons seem to have an absolute belief that US/NATO air power can defeat anybody. Tom Cruise did it. And I am not being satiric about Cruise and the delusions of those in power. They believe those military fantasies.
Stay safe everybody. I told my wife we needed all of those cans of tuna.
I lived near one of the Pacific NW Navy bases during the 2nd (and totally unjustified) US aggression against Iraq. I’m usually up late, so would hear the death flights passing overhead in the night, too, knowing the next day would be the last for some poor souls overseas.
One of the Navy commanders committed suicide during that time. He cut himself to pieces in the beautiful forest while out walking his dogs. He had told a friend about his despair about what the Bush administration was doing to the military and the rest of the country the day before his death.
So I don’t think your sense of foreboding is unwarranted at all. I’ve thought myself that the plan all along was to lure Russian forces and equipment into Ukraine and do an aerial attack. I don’t think the Russia haters care about winning. Death and destruction will be satisfying enough for them. They are deluded and think Putin will turn tail and lose face in Russia. If he stays, they won’t care either. They think they can just kill more Russians that way.
They are insane in the dangerous sense of the word. Think about it – they just shot 3 hobby balloons down over the US with side winder missiles! There is no functioning CPU in Washington, DC.
Excellent and real-world commentary. And also, the military has been painting over tail numbers and ID’s on planes recently. The question is are they doing this for supply and shipment of material in? Or these idiots thinking about a no-fly zone aerial incursion into Ukraine?
Supply’s going into Poland and Romania are one thing. IF they insert US aerial assets into Ukraine? Yes, we will both need our tuna fish and bottles water. These people do not understand the depth and abilities of the Russian air defense networks. And also, the ludicrous F22’s and F35’s have horrible service records. They are down 50% of the time, and frankly are too fragile to stand around the clock deployments and usage.
The long stated US position that it’s better to fight the “enemy over there” rather than on US soil was I felt propaganda for the weak minded to justify wars of aggression.
Russia is not some small regional power no matter what Washington has convinced it’s self.
Biden’s current actions will end up with the world finding out if Russian Sarmat missiles and Poseidon torpedoes are as good as advertised.
by the way has the US found the Russian sub with the Poseidon torpedos which it lost after it went under the North Pole, it doesn’t need to get anywhere near the US coastline those torpedos can travel thousands of miles on their own
Maybe NATO is just delusional:
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-not-yet-ready-great-power-conflict-yet-still-plots-against-china-wsj
There’s a good case here that they believe their own propaganda. That’s frightening.
Vietnam 2.
this will be much worse…
How many more life will died for the sake of politicians decisions in Washington. it looks like China will enter in the Ukraine war to support Russian and test their weaponry on americans and europeans. I hope this will never happen for the sake of humanity. Thanks Larry for your reports.
Unlikely scenarios are:
Direct confrontation between the US and Russia such as deploying US and NATO troops in Ukraine.
An offering by either US or Russia to settle the conflict through peaceful negotiations.
Large scale voluntary withdrawal by Ukraine from the Donbass.
More likely scenarios are:
Increased rate of delivery for US/NATO armaments and munitions to Ukraine.
Deploying US/NATO troops as non-aligned mercenaries in Ukraine.
An increase in the number of terror attacks against civilian populations and critical infrastructure, such as the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power station, dams and false flag attacks that include the use of chemical weapons.
Two stories in US and German news today have pointed fingers at Ukraine, albeit vaguely, for the destruction of NS. It’s likely just a reply to Mr. Hersh, but it might also be used to turn minds against Ukraine if, maybe, say Biden’s Rabbit took over and is leading them off the stage, or they’ve otherwise figured they must leave. That and start reporting their war crimes and corruption (‘We are shocked, shocked we say, after all we did for you”) Perhaps a final bluff as you suggest and when it fails, start noticing the Wolfsangels.
Funny no-one has accused the Germans of doing it………..
It is clear the operation was too sophisticated for Americans and Ukrainians ran the BALTOPS so it must be the genius in Kiev
Glad Biden finally asked questions and found out what had been going on…………really troubling thinking US was technically capable of anything other than serving Ukraine
Reaction not to be underestimated from the German psyche:
“Ukraine destroys our pipeline and our industries while we send them tanks? Nein!”
The Americans, and in command of NATO, play poker…
I have always considered that solving relevant problems betting is the stupid thing a person can do. Imagine that they make it world leaders.
What type of system chose these people?
I keep seeing this video circulate – please note that this is not equipment going to Ukraine. This is older footage which depicts gear going back to the USA after exercises.
https://twitter.com/witte_sergei/status/1632393313042178049
If this is the case then Larry Johnson is guilty of stirring the pot. Say it ain’t so, Larry.
Hahaha Po-soy-biec took an L because he deleted the tweet
Who is in charge of security for that equipment, to allow a drone to fly over?
I would guess that they are planning to rump up support for Ukraine bordering the direct involvement (I’m not sure about where the border lays) and are afraid of Russia striking Poland as retaliation. So the US is strengthening the military in Poland, trying to discourage/scare Russia of any action against the Poles.
Possible Poles are planning to enter Ukraine and that is something I estimate would provoke Russian strikes against Polish proper.
US is placing tripwire forces in Poland, trying to limit Russian retaliation areas.
I’ve been saying since the beginning the West is not just gonna walk away from 500 years of Global Domination. The Iron bank won’t allow it. Russia is the supposed easy target challenging their hegemony and after Russian defeat, China will then have no choice but to fall in line having resources cut and northern flank exposed. Crazy? Maybe. Maybe they think they can launch a decapition strike with minimal loss at home – hundred million which means nothing to them – they don’t care about commoners compared to ruling the world. Plus they have bunkers to survive it.
Secondly Putin has shown severe weakness – several red lines crossed with no answer. Weak invasion. non-committal about his 500,000 mobilized. Stalin he is not. So I’m of the opinion he backs down from full confrontation so they don’t have to do #1. I’m sure they are too.
Exactly.
You are correct. Too many here are lost in their own insane fantasy that the west will be easily destroyed.
Ironically, the most of the perversions of the west that haters cite are the result of ideologies planted there by the hater cult’s heroes; Russia and China. Russia and China thought the could weaken the US from within and that the west would quietly weaken and die. Instead, an unforeseen consequence is that we have a clown world in which Joe Biden can be President and neocons can run wild and Russian society at least, if not Chinese too, will be vaporized in a series of nuclear blasts. Probably the US too, but that is besides the point.
You two should get a room.
A room in an asylum. Then they could help psychiatrists treat any unfortunate surviving PTSD vets by entertaining them with Eric’s delusional fantasies while they help parade the vets around in their wheelchairs waving flags and singing the Star-Bangled Banner. And in the evenings they could get together in the ‘room’ and watch favourites Top Gun and A Few Good Men (replaying Jack Nicholson “YOU CAN’T HANDLE THE TRUTH’ scene) and just before bedtime lock-down they could help psyche nurse Mildred Ratched tube feed big pharma poisons down the vets throats to stop them screaming the house down as the trembling night-time terrors seize them.
armored room…
Direct involvement by NATO would be irredeemably stupid — but all western governments (with the exception of Hungary) are run by people for whom delusion is a religion. These are the same people, after all, who were certain their economic war on Russia would destroy Russia within a few weeks — and do no harm to themselves.
The US and NATO are co-belligerents in the current war with Russia, but Russia has been operating with one hand tied behind its back, not striking at the military and other facilities of those waging war against it. In the event NATO removes the last fig leaf, those facilities will come under attack, no NATO vessel will survive in the Black Sea, and AWACs and other NATO aircraft will be falling from the skies anywhere near Ukraine.
The US has enough power to force a big war but not to win a big war on Russia’s doorstep. Any big war on Russia’s doorstep will lead to a massive loss for NATO, the US and EU/UK. The population of Europe will be hurled back to the conditions post WWII without the resilience of the citizens of that era. Somehow I can’t image all the scintillating diversity Europe has imported sucking up that reversal of their living standards without some violent complaint.
To quote Obama, “ Don’t underestimate Joe’s ability to fuck things up.”
The entire world soon to be screwed up by a senile octogenerian who shakes hands with ghosts and by the witches and warlocks that feed him his agenda.
Can it really get any worse? Hell, I’m starting to think nuclear war might bring some relief.
NATO troops and gear all the way to Crimea seems somewhat fanciful.
A more likely contingency plan would be to support a move to take over Transnistria once and for all, in an attempt to extend Russian efforts into an area which would be hard for them to operate in, and where NATO could escalate more easily, scaling up resources as needed, and with air cover to boot. Transnistria & Moldova have been a thorn in NATO’s garden, turning Moldova for the EU/NATO is certainly on the wish list, and a perfect way to step in some type of “spontaneously brewing unrest” without triggering ww3 but operationally beyond Russia’s reach.
With contingency planning in place and operational, they only need to orchestrate a crisis, fomenting unrest and political strife, ethnic dynamics, Romanian ressentiment, etc.
starting a second front in an already losing war is surely something they would think of.
“NATO troops and gear all the way to Crimea seems somewhat fanciful.”
Nah. The government can just add it to the debt. No biggie.
Outside of Russia’s reach?C’mon man!
Personally, I suspect Russia is anticipating and welcoming a UA/US incursion into Transnistria. It’s loss is no great loss for Russia and frankly an unmanageable headache. Any attempt to grab those tens of thousands of tons of ordnance will result in a nuclear-style fireball, either from being mined or from a single kinzhal strike. There is 0 option for Ukraine to grab that ordnance intact.
If you see the population moving well away from the dead zone, you’ll know something’s afoot.
NATO has no ability to seriously challenge Russia in Ukraine. Their stockpiles of weapons are exhausted. This is all propaganda to keep Europe on board. Russia will go however far into Ukraine it wants and NATO will do nothing but threaten. Paris and Berlin do not want to enjoy war. Then Russia will settle down in whatever situation it thinks necessary. NATO can stew in the new situation until the various European populations find a way to toss out their ridiculous so-called leaders. NATO, then an obvious joke, will break up, or remain as an impotent paper alliance. The US will continue to disintegrate at a rate even faster than what it is enjoying now. Sooner than we think the US will break up into smaller states.
“Sooner than we think, the US will break up into smaller states.” Oh, heart, be still ! Dissipate, you stirring dreams!
If only life would follow the thespian’s dreams! Well it can and does in little pockets here and there, trying to live free in an unfree world.
Enough of this ridiculous LARP. A broken United States will give the City of London everything it ever wanted.
Around 30% of the German and French military are Muslims. Can’t wait for those clips on Telegram where they would cheers and rubbing shoulders with tchetchens
I think your data is flawed.
I bet there are more Russian-speaker in the Bundeswehr than Muslims
Anyway it is only Americans who are gung-ho to fight so we shall watch how it turns out for them
3 rd option I forgot to add Maybe Putin is in on the whole WEF reset thing. He got into a war he refuses to fight but very limited way with a mercenary group and other militias. Allows someone who calls him a killer and aids in killing Russia’s brave soldiers to drive into Kiev. “Sure Joe we won’t bomb for 24 hrs have fun” And he’s just waiting for an off ramp of American involvement and will say I can’t risk destroying the world because of crazy Americans. Oligarchs get their money back – Russia’s remaining State owned enterprises are privatized and Russia forgiven and normalized and turned into another neo-liberal oligarchy with seat at Davos.
I love satire, however it needs to be intelligently written or it is just drivel.
ZERO f’ing chance Putin is a WEF puppet.
The American people need to feel the effects of war first hand…and on their own soil, not in some place thousands of miles away which most of them cannot find on a world map. And they soon will if all the warning signs come true and the mobsters in Washington really are stupid enough to start a war with China either after this one in Ukraine is over (or, more likely, it is still continuing). When it happens it will be the wake up call the American people need.
Looks like bait to me. Since when do you park that much equipment that close together that close to a war zone in which you’re a participant? If Russia doesn’t take advantage (they won’t) then we can just hit it ourselves and blame it on them. It’s mostly junk anyway if it’s coming from Iraq. The sand there is like broken glass. Vehicle life expectancy can be measured in months, and they’ve been there how long?
Absolutely!Does NATO have a battalion of repair techs to get that shit operational after sitting for 3 years?First priority would be,get the tow trucks running to move the rest of the junk.
The U.S wants to enforce a neverending low level war onto Russia. This is only the opening salvo. They are not expecting to win this. No, they are expecting to drag all the population of Europe into this. This leads to martial law all over Europe, a war economy, mass drafting of all young men in Europe and so on. They are just speculating on the old knowledge that after a long war both sides are getting more and more alike and more and more exhausted. Even their technological decline doesn’t bother them because they know as long as the war takes even this will level out. They hope to get their own population under the boot of a war economy and martial law. This will ensure their power.
We’re apparently throwing Ukraine under the bus!
From The New York Times:
Intelligence Suggests Pro-Ukrainian Group Sabotaged Pipelines, U.S. Officials Say
New intelligence reporting amounts to the first significant known lead about who was responsible for the attack on the Nord Stream pipelines that carried natural gas from Russia to Europe.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/07/us/politics/nord-stream-pipeline-sabotage-ukraine.html
This bit of knee-slapping hilarity shows the desperation from Biden & Co. and the utter lack of any integrity from the NYT. These fools don’t even realize what assigning blame to a “pro-Ukrainian group” means!
Never mind that NO evidence is provided about who, exactly, the mysterious “Pro-Ukrainian Group” is (gee, couldn’t be the guy in the WH who said he’d do it!); the fact that “they” attacked the infrastructure of a NATO member is by definition terrorism. Ukraine has evidently become a terrorist state.
Oh, what a tangled web we weave…
I reported that equipment arriving in December 2022 on twitter before I was banned, and that’s only one of a number of ships that arrived in Poland beginning after the Ukrainian summer offensive at Kharkov.
There are more than 800 pieces of equipment on that ship in the video clip.
Still photographs of a previous arrival showed partially covered aircraft without wings.
NATO and the USA will continue with the escalation in the current form, there will be even more weapons and “volunteers” for Ukraine. For Washington, the war does not cost much, only a few percent of the annual military budget. In return, they received the complete subjugation of Europe. Also, we saw yesterday that they can use their Ukrainian vassals to good effect by accusing the Ukis of American actions that are causing anger in the world (destruction of the Nord Stream).
Also, we see that they will continue with color revolutions and causing disorder in the Russian neighborhood. Riots have just broken out in Georgia because of the law that was adopted by the parliament with 76:13 votes. The law was copied from Russia and states that any non-governmental organization that is financed with more than 20 percent from abroad should be declared a “foreign spy”. For Washington, this is painful because NGOs played the most important initial role in igniting the conflict in Ukraine. Protests against the law from Washington are led by the Georgian president, who, btw, was born in France, studied in America, was the ambassador of France to Georgia until 2004, then received Georgian citizenship and became the president of Georgia. If it wasn’t sad, it would be funny.
Let’s recall what the USA has tried and done so far in Russia’s closest neighborhood, with the four most important countries of the former USSR with which Russia borders:
Ukraine: Color Revolution (2004), Coup (2014), Provocation of War (2022)
Belarus: Coup Attempt (2020)
Kazakhstan: Coup Attempt (2022)
Georgia: Provoking a short war (2008), scouting the ground for a coup (2023).
The established dynamic is that NATO / Ukraine will escalate and perform chemical attacks and targeting of civilians as provocations until Russia takes sufficiently serious action to stop them.
Turkey may turn out to be the lynch pin, because it’s forces and it’s geography make it essential to any large and overt military action by NATO.
Turkey’s decision as to who are its friends and who are its enemies was perhaps indicated by their purchase of `Russian S400 air defences.
Turkey has Presidential and Parliamentary Elections in May, June 2023.
If Erdogan is replaced with a US orientated apparatchik, NATO’s direct involvement in Ukraine becomes more likely.
NATO access to the Black Sea is crucial; a US orientated President is much more likely to ignore the Montreux Convention regarding access of NATO warships to the Black Sea, a movement which is currently blocked.
Is there any doubt as to who controls the Black Sea?Hint:Not Turkeye.
When is somebody going to ask why the Russians have to be an enemy anyway?
An enemy that now has powerful friends (China).
America need an enemy. One cannot define ‘us’ unless one creates a ‘them’.
What’s in a name? Indeed, perhaps it is irony that America is called ‘the US’
They’ve always been the enemy, since at least the 1850’s, because they’re too powerful.
Also, the Jewish people running US foreign policy seem to have a deep hatred of Russians and anything Russian. A carryover from their grandparents’ attitude to the Tsar?
Because they are heathens.
They have been since 1054.
Ask any Catholic.
Bill.
The scism did not make the Orthodox World heathens, it was the popists that left The Mother Church.
catholics and protestantism are just 2 man worshiping cults and have nothing to do with Christianity, we call it xtianity or lukewarm goats🤷♂️
Sorry for sounding judgemental, iam only human.
I will say a prayer asking God to lead his sheep home to His Church and away from the flock of goats and forgiveness for me judging others.
Per
Norway
Russian Orthodox
da cattolico: “cazzo dici?”
For a while now, I have not seen any reports of Kiev infrastructure being ‘damaged’.
After the last recent excursion into Russian territory, it was a surprise that a reminder (to a child?) not to do that sort of thing did not follow.
As to NATOe invasion from America-Poland. First America carpet bomb all things potentially Russian, then follow the Viet Nam doctrine – ‘kill anything that moves’ (btw-good factual book worth reading).
Europe will welcome with open arms the liberty and democracy the uS restores.
And transport ships, I can almost hear the ‘oggle-goggle, oggle-goggle, glug, glug, glug’ as they settle lower and lower in the water.
What astounds me is the almost total inability to understand how Russia operates which always allows Russia a decisive strategic advantage. Russia operates within their own defined legal parameters which determine their actions which in this case means Russia is not at war against Ukraine – yet.
There is a reason why Russia calls this a Special Military Operation. It’s because a war is a full spectrum operation. We’re talking shooting down satellites, the targeting of the leadership, the destruction of government institutions like the parliament and everything that allows a government to function, full targeting of all civilian infrastructure with no allowance for reducing civilian casualties and probably the targeting of NATO bases outside of Ukraine if that’s where this is heading.
People of the West think Russia has thrown its best punch and aren’t capable of landing the knockout blow. They don’t get that Russia is sparring and only occasionally is throwing some hard punches. The scary thing is that the fools in NATO command seem to also believe this narrative, too stupid and incompetent to understand that in the words of Putin ‘we haven’t started anything yet’.
The ever increasing escalation and provocations against Russia which have so far led to a very muted response by Russia seems to be leading the West into thinking that they can get away with anything because the Russians aren’t willing to risk direct confrontation. Russia won’t respond in an equal way to just make a point. No, if Russia feels it has to respond then they’ll do it once and it will be swift, overwhelming and asymmetrical. None of this tit for tat.
But the worst miscalculation by the West could be assuming that this will always only involve Russia. If by some miracle Ukraine manages a decisive blow against Russia in a successful counterattack that brings Russia to its knees, would China and other Russian allies sit back and do nothing and then let the West turn their attention to them? What happens if they join the fight? When you have people who think they can win a nuclear war in charge then that spells doom for the future of humanity.
About all this military gear sitting in the Polish port of Gdynia: “I would note that none of the equipment is painted in a color scheme appropriate for operating in Ukraine.”
Last time I looked at a map the Ukraine was considered as being part of Europe. And being part of NATO but that’s another issue.
This equipment isn’t properly painted for sitting on the docks of some European Polish port, let alone operating anywhere in Europe.
See any deserts in Europe? Sorry to be so sarcastic.
This equipment was there for some military exercise called “Atlantic Resolve.”
Yeah. Right.
Something fishy is going on. Smells like Victoria Nuland.
1,000 soldiers with cans of paint and paint brushes for the use of . . .
Then a spray over of anti reflective and so on . . .
Weeks and weeks to accomplish?
The tricky bit is ammo and maintenance crews.
The trouble is that if America does nothing, it loses in the eyes of the neocons. To “lose” means loss of hegemony and exceptionalism. Russia will be seen militarily as the equivalent or superior to it, and China is fast eclipsing it economically. Control through fear and intimidation of all countries in Africa, South America will be lost.
The neocons will never allow it – even if it kills them.
The only hope for humanity is a peaceful transition to multipolarity where the US is not top dog, but still strong and influential. Unfortunately this peaceful transition will require a regime change in the US.
Never forget the neocons’ operational manifesto: ‘The New American Century’ and ‘full spectrum dominance’. It is their bible.
High time to give this sect of cretins the boot.
Jeez what next? I’m still processing that our government expects us to support a neo-nazi war. Our troops will fight side by side with Nazis and come up with Nazi badges and be welcomed as heroes? Say it ain’t so Joe
Your government have been supporting Nazis since 1945, because they were a “tool” to fight communism. Same excuse was used for Islamic extremists, and all other crazies that USA have been sponsoring all around the World in the name of democracy/freedom/whatever. The Internet just made it a little bit harder to fool some people.
And meanwhile , after Scholz’ visit in Washington, Germany made Huawei parts in telecom equipment illegal….
It is too early , but may be , the US wants us to refocus on China …
UK tried that too but without Huawei there is NO 5G network – and not just Huawei but ZTE also. 59% Germany’s 5G networks are Huawei tech and 57% 4G LTE networks
German operators started using Ericsson kit in 2021
It is fatuous really – before politicians thought it so clever (UK, Germany) to auction frequencies for 3G mobile phones were built IN EUROPE for GSM – but once politicians got their paws on up-front cash before networks had been built – mobile operators stopped subsidising handsets and production migrated to China
So GSM a European Standard became Chinese…………and China became indispensable – who does Motorola belong to ?
UK tried that too but without Huawei there is NO 5G network – and not just Huawei but ZTE also. 59% Germany’s 5G networks are Huawei tech and 57% 4G LTE networks
German operators started using Ericsson kit in 2021
It is fatuous really – before politicians thought it so clever (UK, Germany) to auction frequencies for 3G mobile phones were built IN EUROPE for GSM – but once politicians got their paws on up-front cash before networks had been built – mobile operators stopped subsidising handsets and production migrated to China
So GSM a European Standard became Chinese…………and China became indispensable – who owns Motorola belong now ?
“You betcha it is alarming. I received the following email from an old friend, a genuine Spec Ops warrior. I think of him as the E.F. Hutton of Special Ops — when he speaks you better damn well listen.”
As opposed to the Banana Republic of Special Ops?
I’ll tell you what’s alarming. More un-named sources. Especially those appearing in an alternative media platform that is supposed to be a voice for the truth.
How about a lot of transparency?
Superman saving us for “truth, justice, and a better world.”
Un-named sources, rhymes with anonymous sources, rhymes with experts (so-called), rhymes with “Deep Throat.”
Just say it. Identify yourself. Be the solution, not the problem.
If this keeps up Poland is going to look like one of those massive parking lots with thousands upon thousands of unsold Abrams tanks. Oops. I meant “unsold new cars.” If those places really exist either.
The staging of all this military personnel and military gear in Poland, if this is what is really going on, is like the United States asking Poland to hang onto its drug money. “Just for a little while.” While Russia is casually sitting at the table next to them, sipping a latte, hearing everything, seeing everything. And packing heat.
What could possibly go wrong?
A build-up of NATO forces across the Polish border may be a way to cause Russia to hold off committing to major ops, thus buying time for Ukraine to assemble a Crimea offensive.
The Russian response? They may let the Ukrainian attack expend itself on layered defence lines and ISR directed fires – a 21st century redux of the battle of Kursk.
And if NATO perceives the need to commit “incognito” air power to prevent destruction of the erstwhile assault force ? Why, that would be the Hail Mary moment for the rest of us !!
I think it’s more for what happens after Ukraine falls. Washington likely plans for a significant build up of military assets on what remains of Ukraine’s western borders, including Poland and Moldova/Romania.
Of course nothing is certain and you can’t put it past Biden and his clowns to do something truly stupid, hoping for a PR win. If they try and enter Ukraine from say Poland and/or via Moldova, for example, the Russians will already be 10 steps ahead of them.
Any US/NATO force will be pulverised, simply because the Russians are far stronger. It will be the worst debacle in US military history.
“It will be the worst debacle in US military history.”
No doubt. Plus, the Russians now have China watching their back.
Still, I’d love to see events unwind just like you have described.
“My country right kept right. My country wrong made right.”
And man! Does my country need some righting. In this case, I’m “Rootin’ for Putin.”
In a fight with Russia, I’m betting, with our mainstream media so fully captured, that even if the United States military was wiped out, down to the last soldier, we would never hear about it.
They could nuke Washington, DC and we would never hear about it. And even if you lived right there when it happened, who are you going to call? Who are you going to tell?
Those Russian troops in Belarus are not on R&R.
I don’t know what’s going on with all this. What i do know is that huge defensive line the Russian’s got Surovikin to build wasn’t to stop a Ukrainian offensive it was to stop the 1st armored brigade and it will. Lots of casualties on both sides if that happens though Russia has the resources to replace theirs. NATO would be on the offensive with a green inferior sized force. Not good military strategy. Same thing with the defensive positions observed being built in Crimea.
Whatever happens as Larry said the Russians have observed this but have been preparing for it for months. Wont end well for NATO if it happens.
I doubt the Americans are smart enough to build up anything in secret. If they had anything up their sleeve they would brag about it day and night. And their European vassals would beat their puny chests too. NATO is a paper hyena.
“Blackjack, Greywolf ” aso asf tells you all you need to know about this clownshow.
grandstanding and off home it is, since the circus knows they`d get their asses handed in a quickie.
the russians name their far superior weapon systems after flowers, like Hyacinth and Tulipan(tulip)….food for thought.
And geranium 🙂
https://odysee.com/@sporolytic:7/svetyot-geran-odysee-presets:d
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-OJJ78MbOLQ
https://lyricstranslate.com/en/tsvetet-geran-geranium-blooms.html
forgot about that one 😉
Good video about the “Penicillin” system, which, when you combine it with Russian EW screening, must be doing a pretty good job … https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=a_Y5uTeIiEc … maybe could for tank hunting? 🤷♂️
It may have more to do with Taiwan-China escalations than Ukraine.
Taiwan spotted seven Chinese planes near the island
“During the period from 06:00 on March 7 to 06:00 on March 8, seven aircraft and three ships of the People’s Liberation Army of China were observed around Taiwan,” the agency said on Twitter.
Taiwan sent air and sea patrols to monitor the situation and deployed ground-based missile systems, the ministry said.
China doesn’t want to “take” Taiwan. They see it as their own people and all they want is to reunite peacefully. US is using Taiwan as a proxy to keep China in check and to put them in the role of an villain. US political and military leadership put a lot of bad ideas into the heads of the Taiwanese leadership. China wants to have control over Taiwan, they can even be independent as long as they recognize the mainland as their rulers and adhere to the one China policy. But only because the USA is trying to tear both apart. There would never be that issue haven’t the US gotten into Taiwan with their ill policies of separatism and independence.
Taiwan is a tiny blimp on the map. The US has no business to be there especially with their military advisers. China has grown and gained influence in Asia. They have many ties with their neighboring countries. USA doesn’t like that. They rather see China isolated and that is what they have been working on for many years.
Top Gum, It’s become apparent in the last couple of days that the NATO build up of military equipment could be due to the USA orchestrated “colour revolution” which is currently taking place in Georgia as we speak. Riots around the parliamentary building appear to consist of a lot of Armenians and Ukrainians, posing as Georgians.
A day before anti-Russian riots erupted, Assistant US Secretary of State Todd Robinson arrived in Tbilisi. Robinson was previously acting Ambassador to Venezuela during the US-backed attempted coup in 2018. As he meets with Georgian police, the State Department has publicly threatened that those who ‘suppress’ anti-Russian riots may be sanctioned.
Protestors are demanding the current Georgian government resign despite the government meeting one of the protestor’s demands regarding the release of those arrested over the last few days and retracting the Foreign bill policy.
US is looking to open a second front against Russia through this action which will cause tensions to escalate in South Ossetia and Abkhazia.
I’m aware of what is happening in Georgia. Nato/US are as always playing dirty. They will always be a threat to Russia and China and of course to the rest of the true free world. That is what worries me. At some point Russia or China may loose their patience and just get rid of them. Just nuke the whole place. Enough is enough. The US will never let go of their hegemony. They will interfere wherever they see fit and they will kill people all over the world with impunity (mostly defenseless nations).
Crimea **is** Russia. There will be no such thing as an “retaking” it back. It will be a direct assault on Russian territory with all the consequences attached to it.
Russia was very patient the last few years. Since the SMO things are running differently now. EU has put everything on the line. They thought they would defeat Russia with their proxy war and their sanctions and would enjoy the spoils of the victory, Russian energy resources for free. It didn’t happen and now the EU is facing total energy dependency on high priced gas and oil. This will kill their economies.
Nato (de facto EU’s army) has only two options. Escalate more or be dissolved to please Russia and go back to how things were before (if even possible at all). I bet they will escalate more. But they will not do it as Nato. They will put their best combined forces together and state that they are only polish forces on a peacekeeping mission to secure west Ukraine from the evil Russian invasion. My opinion. We will see.
Yet again NATO is not listening.In his State of the Nation speech Putin said”Any military and material in Ukraine is a target”.Military as in troops!
Nato bubble-heads never listen. They all live in some sort of a parallel reality where they act like they own the world. Of course, they never had to deal with a real army.
I believe the moment things really get hot, members of Nato will jump off that sinking ship. They must be real idiots thinking it is some sort of a good idea to go into a war with a nuclear power. Russia will wipe out every meaningful military installation inside Nato with no regard to any collateral damage. You can only try to talk to the other side. Russia tried to talk to Nato for the last 2 decades. Talking time is over now.
When the US gets it’s ass handed to it, will it have to pay war reparations to Russia?
In rubles. 🙂
I have been very suspicious about all the public hand ringing over the lack of ammunition among western countries. since I do not believe a thing they say, why should I believe this? I believe it is a ruse. I believe that the United States along with the coalition of the willing has every intention in moving into Ukraine. They will dare Russian forces to attack them. And when they do, welcome World War III!
There are reports from Col. MacGregor indicating the Russians are building a 1.5 million man army. An army well equipped and backed by modern and serious weaponry.
Could the question be is Russia taking the time to attack NATO and destroy it?
To paraphrase Sun Tzu from the Art of War:
If your enemy is of superior strength elud him do not engage him. Time is on the side of the weakest. (Russia did this since 2005, and also since 2014.)
If your enemy is equal in strength attack when necessity presents itself. (Russia, fearing an attack on Crimea, invaded to protect the Donbass and Putin said: if war is inevitable then strike first.)
If your enemy is weaker, then strike do not delay. (Russia and the World are watching NATO deplete its weapons and ammunition by the day.)
The Question could be who’s bluffing who?
Destroying NATO, that should sound beautiful to the Europeans.
Theory A: Russia is planning a massive advance in Ukraine and Nato is preparing to enter the conflict.
Theory B: Russia is planning a massive advance in Ukraine and Nato is only willing to make it look like it will get involved
Theory C: Ukraine is preparing a massive counter that Russia is aware of (with Nato willing to get involved or maybe not).
Theory D: Both sides are preparing for some final negotiation where Kiev gives in, but both want to look like they have alternatives.
All 4 theories predict the kinds of manoeuvring we have seen. Nothing helps us to decide between them.
In Chess the game may be clearly won, but both players still have to move pieces about until the loser actually resigns.
“All 4 theories predict”and illustrate the limitations of the predictor not restricted to what “we have seen” but predicated upon how ” we have seen”, thereby facilitating binary questions such as:
“Is NATO bluffing or beefing up forces to back-up a Ukrainian offensive ?”
and
“Will more sanctions on China also backfire?”
whose framing assign significance to these matters which they may or may not deserve, including consideration, thereby obfuscating to some degree possible interactions and possible alternatives, thereby undermining the productivites of others as Mr. Rove observed by:
We are an Empire
We create our own reality
To which others respond
As “In Chess”….. – a linear game/paradigm in a lateral world.
God forbid we should live in peace when there’s war to be had. Thanks neocons! Thanks puppet Joe Biden! Thanks NPC for just accepting the popular narrative!
If Biden OK’s a military strike against Russia without consulting with Congress then he should be immediately impeached. If NATO is seriously contemplating a direct intervention in the Ukraine then the main strike would come from Poland. If we see a serious build up of Russian forces in Belarus then this would be a strong indication that this is a real threat. No way to conceal it from the Russians.
With the current information that a yacht was found to transport the pro Ukrainian A-Team that destroyed Nordstream I am of the opinion the West is giving itself 2 options.
Option 1 is cut loose Ukraine, deploy more forces to Poland and other Eastern European allies maybe Romanian or Moldovia too. Claim that since Ukraine is reinforcing Bakhmut against Western Military wishes, Ukraine is wasting ammo, Ukraine is not keeping track of equipment/selling it on the black market, etc they withdraw, claiming if only Ukraine had listened to the Western “experts” they would’ve chased those pesky Russians back to Moscow. USA spikes the football declares victory and leaves the theater.
Option 2 since “Ukraine” attacked a NATO member USA sees no option but to invoke a soft article 5 and sends in “peace keepers” to get to the bottom of the attack and also to safeguard the “Democratic” Zelensky regime against extremists who may have ties to the Kremlin (this will be the weasel language, ties to Kremlin and Neo-Nazi organizations.) Nordstream sabotage is a nice pretext for them to enter without declaring war either way. NATO troops enter Western Ukraine and possibly up to Odessa and since they are “not at war” with Russia if Russia attacks or errantly hits their troops then Russia is the aggressor and then the West can attack by claiming to only be acting in self defense.
Just early morning musings. Have a great day all.
I’m also thinking about a kind of psy-op for the harbor photos.
Starts to be redundant , every-time the SMO is about to push in a major or symbolic city , the swamp is like “we’re gonna do a thing , hang on !” … in the end a new “aid package” is voted to put down the fire, with longer range weapons yet to be delivered at an unknown date and nothing much.
An attack to retake Crimea is a madman plan ; managing a breakthrough in a river defended line is already kind of hard in itself , then you face 50 miles of tank plains, boarding the Russian Bathtub some call the black sea , without air control but with an hostile local population and one of the biggest artillery capability since WW1 ready to shoot… you don’t need an army for that job , you need suicide squad.
Unmarked planes may be used as a bait for someone else, what better tool to make a new Tonkin Gulf false flag than an unmarked plane. But the Brandon cabinet is so out of touch with everything right now than some “retired” USAF pilots might soon find if the R77 is an efficient tool over Ukraine.
Depends on what the Globalists want. They control practically every western government, including the Biden regime.
Do they need a collapse of the USA now? If so, then extreme escalation to finally provoke Russia will be the plan. They are just as happy to sacrifice US servicemen as they are Ukrainians. The more dead, the better!
It’s not like these people to ever risk their own lives or power. They would have to be in a real panic to do so. If their panic isn’t that extreme then I’d expect them to proceed with terror attacks in Russia, including chemical weapon attacks.
Just remember their goal is still to build back better. Which means the “controlled” demolition of our entire western societies.
Hi EOINW,
Finally, someone who understands captured governments by globalists and what it means. If the policy is deindustrialization, how does a country fight a major war? This describes the process going on in the US and most of the associated West. And, of course, the militaries are also in decline.
L.
Well, that’s why we’re here right? It’s a glaring contradiction, and an unsustainable one at that. In order for the Globalists to maintain their power they needed to destroy the basis of that power and hope no one noticed.
Has anyone here considered that the sanctions, that don’t work and blow back on the US and the Empire, are known to be failures and that the reason the policy is still promoted is that it ends up deindustrializing WEF captured governments?
I’m not sure I agree. That’s the eventual goal, surely, I just think they expected to collapse Russia 10 months ago. Then, on to China, the last serious threat to their de-industrialization plans.
Of course it failed, because their entire ideology (if we can call it one) is based on abstractions and definitions, and not anything concrete.
I think that more than anything else, they are continuing down the present course out of embarrassment. If they admit they were wrong, the masses would see that the whole system is based on lies and it would come crashing down.
Of course, it probably will anyway.
But the Chinese are certainly globalist too. Look at the Belt/Road initiative. Look at their involvement in far places like Africa and S. America. Anyone who thinks Chinese globalist will be kinder and gentler is a fool of the first order
No, Xi went to Davos and along with Putin rejected globalism.
L.
Developing the productive forces in other countries is not Globalism (in fact it is the opposite). Where did you get that from?
Lol. Nice semantics bob and weave….ok. define globalism and define “developing the productive forces in other countries” – because it sounds pretty much exactly how any imperialist would euphemistically explain what they are doing.
But it’s nice that you trust the Chinese so much (sigh)
I’m not a liberal, I don’t do semantics.
> define “developing the productive forces in other countries” – because it sounds pretty much exactly how any imperialist would euphemistically explain what they are doing.
Would it? If that were true, why does the average sub-saharan African consume 1% of the electricity that Swedes do? Why isn’t Africa covered in highways and high speed rail? Hell, why isn’t America covered in high speed rail? We don’t even have working REGULAR speed rail – Mayo Pete admitted we have over a thousand derailments a year.
If it’s just Imperialism, why hasn’t the center of Imperialism – the City of London – already made these investments? They have (or had) several hundred years head start on China.
The answer is simple: it isn’t profitable, and extracting profit is the only thing these hobgoblins care about.
> define globalism
The jab, the queer nonsense in our schools, feminism, convincing our daughters to sign up for OF and turning them into whores, convincing our sons to cut their balls off and turning them into women, ANTIFA and BLM smashing up small businesses (including black owned ones!), Bill Gates becoming the biggest ‘farmer’ in America, ESG, the Green Fascist agenda, all of it, is designed for but one purpose: to keep the current ruling class in power, so they can keep playing this stupid video game of maximizing a number on a balance sheet somewhere.
Globalism is the final stage of Imperialism.
I don’t know your nationality assuming from your name you are British or American then you have a mental deficiency in assuming that all countries are as evil as we are. I am British we had the 2nd most evil empire to USSA who surpassed us years ago in how to be evil. I live in an ex colony and know how we treated natives and Chinese definitely don’t treat anyone the way we did, you are just spreading propaganda and thinking you are a patriot when you are just as bad as the people who built our empires to steal and rob other countries of their lively hood and keep them suppressed. Belt and Road is not the debt trap that America uses to draw countries into crippling debt. AS far as I am concerned anyone supporting the US domination of the world is as evil as the Neocons they support
Let’s just say I am a human and Chinese are humans, as are Americans and Russians. Humans have a propensity for evil, given the opportunity to perpetrate it. I do not believe that any race or nation is immune from that propensity.
Want to talk about all of the African slave labor being used to mine the precious minerals used to make cell phones and other electronic devices made in China, Taiwan and the US?
Don’t let your hatred of your own culture blind you to the evils of other cultures. I’ve seen how the Chinese made their Great Leap Forward, cultural revolution, etc. Lots of mass executions of their own people and big “re-education” camps. But they’ll smile benevolently upon Africans and other non-Han? Dream on.
“The more dead, the better!”
The only problem with that philosophy is that this scenario could get out of hand. It could get out control. We, “them,” and the globalists, everybody would be lucky to live through it.
With the world’s population approaching 9-billion people, the scale of the slaughter you describe, would be like lighting a fire in a western forest.
Once the killing starts there is all this underbrush called the human race.
I think that like Austria, during the war of Crimea, mobilized its army forcing the Russians to keep part of their army busy on the border, away from the Crimea, in the same manner US/NATO want to prevent the Russians from using up all their reserves and breaking through the last lines of defense in the Donbass and then swarming into the Ukrainian steppes. The possibility of an eventual direct entry of the US army into the conflict forces the Russians to keep their best units in reserve to face this danger; in this way the defeat of Ukraine is delayed and the Westerners try to stalemate the situation on the front
Well, it’ll be on for one and all if those NATO trucks are loaded with shovels. I’m sure its been reported that the Rushings are running out of shovels (again).
Running out of shovels and running with shovels.
https://t.me/zoka200/7523
Russia:
Send more shovels
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3DlH5VB0Hak
https://twitter.com/WarMonitors/status/1633487484897177602
Ukraine:
Send more dildos
https://twitter.com/InnaSovsun/status/1633060444670767105
You can’t make this shit up. Not only that Nazis have Jewish president, but they are dying for for gays.
Try this: Nato attacks to establish a “no fly zone”, to retake Crimea or something else stupid then Russia 1. Establishes a no fly zone in Syria and blockades resupply to US troops there. 2. Israel can no longer fly there either. 3. Russia then sends 10K troops marching down the Jap Island chain to premanently hold the “disputed” islands and maybe take more (there is a fully equipped army in the east). 4. North Korea begins probes of the south. 5. The time is right for China to make Taiwan an offer they cannot refuse. 6. No more fuel supplies or anything else for any but declaired allies. 7. A hypersonic gift is made to Iran, along with some S-400’s then a very large floating target is sunk in the straight of the gulf so no more oil out and a no fly zone established. With 5 to 7K dead the US public will loses its stomach to supply the meat grinder. 8. Turkey realises which side of the bread the butter is on and makes a decision to withdraw from Nato and the Black Sea is closed to all but Russia – now world wide starvation is a new problem for all but the allies. 9. China closes the South China Sea and the Sea of Japan out to 1000 miles (yes, they can). 10. And last but not least. Thousands of military aged Chinese are crossing the border from Mexico and with all of the uninspected supply containers arming a 5th column is a snap.
I could go on but the point is that when the balance is disturbed there are so many options that will not be able to be answered the US will be defeated and Nato will be a non entity.
My gut feeling is that China is a red herring.
The following is my two cents:
NATO and the US will not back off. Crimea could be a target, a bridgehead. Russia is preparing for a full on war and knows what is up. When the expected NATO and US miscalculation occurs, Russia will so bloody the enemy that the enemy will irrationally overreact and delusionally see the battle as existential. The unthinkable may occur. It will not be Russia that initiates the unthinkable, but the US. The rabid beast will, of necessity, be euthanized.
Those stupid bureaucrats have built a career around this; they are too dumb to figure out that they can’t win a world war and that it would be better for them to retire now while they can live comfortably for the rest of their days in luxury.
The parliament is a house of imbecile careerist clowns and the majority of all professional politicians.
Frankly, the only hope now for the US would be a military coup.
A now, the cherry on the sundae: China’s new Foreign Minister Qin Gang warned Tuesday that “conflict and confrontation” with the United States is inevitable if Washington does not change course,”
… set up a no fly zone and directly engage with Russian AF and Navy.
There is a saying amongst the Military leadership, it goes something like this: Tactics are for amateurs, Logistics are for professionals.
Think, what is needed to start a no-fly zone and sustain it and for how long? What amount of everything is needed?
You nailed it. Nato has no capabilities to do anything meaningful beside pure PR stands and influencing western sheep with their daily lies. They cannot emphasize enough how much they are not part of this conflict. That says it all to me.
They will not listen or stop, Putin should raze Kiev to a smoldering ash heap, and every time Biden escalates raze another city.
Thermobaric bombs.
If NATO and US Want war this bad give them war.
All foreign nationals captured in Ukraine.
Ship them off to Gulags 1,000 miles or more away in Arctic Gulags.
Quit playing nice.
Why would Biden or any of his ilk in the US give a rats arse if Kiev is raised to a smouldering ash heap? Given the disaster in East Palestine Ohio, they don’t care much for even small towns in their own country.
Russia may be thinking that they not only need to win the military-technical solution in Ukraine, but have an eye to winning the peace afterwards. Unlike the US in their foreign adventures, who can pack up and go thousands of miles, across oceans after their wars, the Russians have to live next door to these folks.
I do agree that the crazies in the West will not stop or listen. They act like schoolyard bullies, who push and push the fat kid figuring he’ll never stand up to them. Day comes the fat kid lashes out and they’re flat on their bags wondering what hit em.
Unfortunately, the only thing that will get America’s attention is incoming munitions on the continental US.
“Putin should raze Kiev to a smoldering ash heap, and every time Biden escalates raze another city”
Let’s assume the Russian General Staff take on board your esteemed advice and do so, that is to murder millions of citizens, even if they are NAZI supporting brainwashed zealots.
How much support do you think Russia would lose from the countries currently overtly and covertly supporting them?
It’s bluff and bravado. That’s what the grand US psyop has been about since the beginning. It’s marketing, film flam and the publishing of ebullient false confidence.
It’s not that they won’t try a spring offensive, and Ukrainian casualties and US fiat currency is no object, or at least that’s the plan.
There’s Special Forces myths. Even Swift-Boat John Kerry met them and admired them. It’s not that there’s nothing to be admired in light infantry of the highest calibre.
But in the art of myth making, the myth has already been made, in popular theatre, that technology can fix it all. From Mission Impossible to Blackhawk Down, it’s not exactly all bluff, but meat grinder and cauldron and attrition kind of say it all. And the ultimate war fighting weapon is nuclear weapons, the true Wunderwaffe.
I know somebody who figures aliens can stop nuclear weapons from exploding or maybe he is just pulling my leg. But neutron bombs can denature the warheads of incoming ICBMs and I have hear talk as to that’s how the ABM system works around Moscow. It’s not that they would save Moscow. Rather they would might give Putin a little more time to make up his mind about destroying the world. Those are stark choices.
Even a Doomsday weapon like in Dr. Strangelove would work.
Love your post. And I have a comment. Every Army, every country has their secret squirrel super warriors. And when actual war breaks out? They die first. And then you start throwing in recruits. Without training. And there is a hellacious death/learning curve. And on the other side of that? They are just as proficient killers as the super squirrels.
The US has been killing goatskin tent residents for 40 years now. People without air defense and satellites and the other toys. People that technology kills very easily.
An actual war against a peer opponent? Arguably, the US is the least prepared major power ever against this contingency. The US has never fought an actual war. We entered World War 1 when all the powers were exhausted. We entered World War 2 when the Wehrmacht was dead on its feet. And Japan? Wow. We beat an island 1.8 times smaller than Texas.
More weapons pouring in
https://www.in.gr/2023/03/05/politics/politiki-grammateia/earini-apovasi-amerikanon-stin-aleksandroupoli-thiriodi-metagogika/
More weapons are pouring in
https://www.in.gr/2023/03/05/politics/politiki-grammateia/earini-apovasi-amerikanon-stin-aleksandroupoli-thiriodi-metagogika/
The very naive interpretation of these actions is that they are there to train all the peoples in the Baltic states, even if Ukraine is totally demolished, so that the war can continue across NATO borders, and the new Cold War mentality is reinforced. The MICIMATT complex and the Atlanticists will sell more NATO milspec arms and live happily ever after.
It’s the live happily ever after part that’s naive.
Like the little Green Men, no name military and unidentifiable aircraft are less contributory to the perceptions of evil militarism that we commonly entertain or entertain with, like White Trucks or Blue Helmets, or white helmets, or orange vests. Uniformity means little nuance and there’s few things less nuanced than war, meat grinders and cauldrons.
Haven’t you heard? The US didn’t lose the war, Ukraine did when it destroyed the Nord Stream Pipelines.
My view is that the massive and well publicized deployment of weapons has several psychological objectives:
– Make Russia worried about what’s to come in the next few months. The hope for the USA is that Putin may realize that he may lose and would be more open to negotiation
– Reassure Zelinski of the West support. Yet despite the promises, Zelinski knows that defeat is a possibility in view of the depletion of his soldiers and the determination of Putin.
I think that both Putin and Zelinski are put under very heavy pressure. If Putin cares about his country, Zelinski is more concerned about his own glory and is ready to sacrifice his citizen lives to come out as the internationally recognized hero. He has a dilemma, especially that there is a growing opposition within Ukraine about the course of the events and dwindling support in the west.
I think that he will die by accident or suicide or even murder, but he will manage to put the blame onto Russia to spoil forever the relation between Russia and the west. That would be his post mortem victory. Then it is only speculation but I don’t see any other alternative..
Hi Larry,
Perhaps it would be more worrisome if all that war machinery was stored near to a rail marshaling yard. I think it was Stephen F. Cohen who said that Poland was not a good tank country for travel. Its roadways and bridges were too narrow or fragile for tank traffic. This supports the first statement.
Or could that equipment be shipped into the Black Sea and landed on the south coast of Ukraine west of Crimea. I doubt this given it would be highly visible to the Russians and subject to attack. So I suspect this equipment is really going to be shipped back to the US. That is a good news thing given Biden and his war mongering ways.
Nevertheless NATO and the US military is not ready for war. And their economies are not gearing up for it seriously. “They” are just starting to talk about this in the UK.
FWIW,
L.
Of course NATO is going to put combat boots in Ukraine to assist with rolling back the Russians and seizing Crimea. IMO that assessment should be filed in the “no shit Captain Obvious” drawer. I’ve been saying they would do just that for months. Russia has asked – no begged – for it by dragging its collective ass and not wrapping up the war. All the America haters and Russian fanboy cult here simply don’t want to hear that; can’t accept it because “AmeriKKKa stupid and gay and Russia 5D chess masters on a mission from God!” ; “Amerikkka must be destroyed!”
The Russians went into Ukraine too lite. They gambled on a quick Ukrainian capitulation and bet wrong as wrong can be. They have serious organizational issues. The command and control structure has been all fouled up from the start and still is. They gained ground quickly in the first couple of months, sure, then lost some ground and now press forward at a speed that could be measure in glacial increments. Wagner itself stated that the Bakhmut campaign is costing Russia hundreds of men a day. The Ukrainians are losing hundreds a day too, but still have ample forces in reserve. Some of those reserve forces are their best and NATO is training up more.
The war is essentially a meat grinder of a stalemate for both sides, but with a slight edge to Russia at this time. America haters and Russia fanboys don’t want to hear that either. They don’t want to see what is right in front of their eyes. They are as deluded as they accuse NATO of being. “But but but Bakhmut is being encircled and will fall!” [Say the fanbois] Yes, that is true. After months of fighting, Russia will gain control of that AO. And then what? The next little town on a hill will represent another several months of fighting and meat grinding. And then the next and the next.
Fanbois think Russia has all of the time and resources in the world to just leisurely roam around killing Ukrainians until there are no more and that NATO will just watch and let it happen, except for injecting some token armor and artillery into the fight. This – what Russia is doing – is the stupidest idea of war fighting ever conceived [spare me the fanboy favorite out of context Clausewitz quotes here, please]. I’m sure Russia didn’t plan that as the strategy. They just got stuck with that as the only option because they bit off more than they could chew and Ukraine/NATO is proving to be an extremely tenacious enemy that will not capitulate. Only clueless fanboys and propagandists are silly enough to call it a winning “5D” strategy. Silly in the extreme. It’s pure pretzel logic born of denial and ignorance on many levels and with regards to important facets of war fighting.
So yes, as I have been saying for months, NATO sees Russia as somewhat weak and incompetent, with some good reason, with the war hanging in a balance. If they put their boot on the balance, Russia will collapse. – more clearly, NATO believes that with the introduction of NATO troops (+ armor + air+ other systems) Russia can be driven back to Moscow and that such a defeat will cause the Putin government to fall and Crimea can be back in NATO hands. That is not a totally unhinged assessment; no more and no less unhinged than Russia’s approach to war fighting and certainly no more and no less than all the fanbois/America haters fantasies of how this is going to turn out.
Of course NATO has problems of its own; everything from logistics to delusions of grandeur. I predict that they will get bogged down in a meat grinder too when they are countered by all of those Russian divisions that people like Macgregor fantasized were for a big arrow offensive, but are not. Then there will either be a negotiated peace, or mushroom clouds.
That day is coming soon. I am sure we’ve all seen the 17 year old suicide video by now. Ukraine is out of men. They either have to conscript women, conscript children, or conscript essential workers. None of that is sustainable.
It might well be that Russia is playing for time. They are not losing vast amounts of people (it’s still not a war but an SMO which means no large-scale draft). Assume they are stronger than NATO combined (well, they are, in particular since the US stands increasingly isolated) and have Chinese backing, it would make sense to continue with the demilitarisation of NATO by drawing them in and giving them a bloody nose. The past year has shown that the US is led by demoniac crazies hell bent on war and in the medium to long term it might be wise to eliminate a party with whom to be at peace is an impossibility. I don’t know how it’s going to unfold but I am certain that everything will turn out the way Russia needs it to turn out. I don’t see any scenario in which the West can win this (given they don’t even know what winning would mean in this situation).
No. NATO will not allow itself to be demolished. That is a crazy fantasy. NATO will use nuclear weapons before it permits Russia to destroy it and come out the sole surviver.
All the America haters/west haters/Russia fanboys are too blood thirsty. Blinded by their hatred. They are every bit as crazy and prejudiced as any other actor in this game of escalation.
Eric, I also usually try to find out whether my ideas may be wrong. But I don’t assume that Putin tries to live in a fanboy world. He was working for the russian secret service, and had learned to find out what really matters. He managed to stop the decay of his own country from super rich people called oligarchs. Those people would not mind to kill.
So, it seems strange to me that Putin would start this invasion without first checking the state of the army.
Still, you are correct: never underestimate your enemy, and never think that you can plan a victory. History is full of battles that ended other than expected.
Anyway: Do you think that Putin is stupid?
Roland,
No. I don’t think Putin stupid. I think Putin is human. Fanboys think he is a 5D chess master of the universe. He’s not. No one is.
I also think Putin was very effective with regards to improving the quality of life in Russia for Russians. That is very different from the skill set and capabilities for influencing the global stage and winning wars. The internal and external politics are different. The opposition intelligence is different. The amount of control he could exercise is different. The cultures are different. I don’t even know if the decision making on the Ukraine invasion was ultimately solely Putin’s. If it was, well, he overestimated himself. Often times people who demonstrate great capability in one or two areas assume that they must be excellent at everything they will touch in yet other areas – and they find out the hard way that they were mistaken.
Mr. Putin is not winning anything. It is Russian military that is doing that. He did not decide to start the SMO. Russias hand was forced by the west in that regard. Mr. Putin asked his ministers if they agree to start the SMO to protect the people in east Ukraine after they asked Russia for help. And he did that even publicly on tv. The SMO has simple goals, there is no mystery about Russian intentions.
The way Russia dealt with sanctions says that they know exactly what they do and that they are very successful. Everyone can see it in the way they handle situations and the way they express themselves. Nato/US/EU are the utter opposite of that. They lie, cheat and steal. This was stated by M. Pompeo himself.
Top Gum,
Putin did NOT have to invade Ukraine. There were other options. Was Russia provoked? Yes. Absolutely. But you’re going to have to explain how invading Ukraine on a shoe string and then bogging down in an endless war that has NATO escalating, is supposed to resolve Russia’s security concerns.
Ukraine was shelling the breakaway regions killing innocent civilians. You must be really, I mean really gullible to think there was some “other way” to stop them. Russia warned them to stop or face consequences. What else you need?
Russia tried very hard to talk to the west/Europe the past few years, but the west never took Russia seriously. This is why there is no other way as to destroy Nato and that is what will happen in the end. You really think this is some sort of a conflict between Ukraine and Russia? This was just the next stage in the already happening WW3. People are just to stubborn to see it. Pick up a history book, it is all the same what is happening now. Is just happening in real time, in our time so many don’t realize that. Russia already lost lives in this war. This will not go unpunished. Russia has switched to war economy. EU is slowly switching too. Nato will have to make a move and that will be the last sign it’s on. Ukraine has lost already no matter how Nato spins that around. They will have to get in or see their whole “investment” in Ukraine lost. Russia has noting to loose but can once and for all end Nato which should have been resolved many years ago.
Your viewpoint is too focused so you miss the forest for the trees. But you’re convinced of your viewpoint just like all the fanbois you criticize.
That’s not to say that Russia will win easily or even win. It’s to say that there are serious risks of escalation that could easily go nuclear no matter what strategy Russia implements. I happen to think that Russia’s bet here is right: if they go for a crushing defeat the likelihood of Biden deciding he must do something goes way up. Biden will, as he’s always done, do something stupid when he decides he must do something.
It is true that Russia went in light. But the light force actually did essentially defeat the original Ukrainian military as an effective fighting force. Moreover, it’s pretty clear that Russia’s goal was a negotiated settlement after a short, sharp jab. Negotiations we now know were scuttled by the west. So Russia is pivoting and gearing up for real war, including with NATO.
But the go slow strategy has benefits. The west is famously short-attention spanned and lazy. Ukrainian society is fracturing, though predicting when it might crack is impossible. The west is using up stocks of weapons it cannot replace and would be necessary for a war with Russia. And Putin is very touchy about putting Russia on the sort of war footing your ideas require. He just said he will not choose guns over butter. Russia’s trying a fine balancing routine. It might not work but it’s every bit as realistic as your plan. You refuse to see that because you refuse to the negative potential scenarios in what you’ve decided russia should do / have done.
Nope. I am not “convinced” of anything. I am merely observing facts and deciding that they can neither confirm 100% the pro-Russia nor anti-Russia narrative. Too many people a diehards of one or the other narrative. Why all the extremism?
Russia has not defeated the Ukrainian military as it s still stubbornly resisting, is being supplied and new elements are being trained in NATO countries. There are ample elements of the original Ukrainian military in and around Kiev, Odessa and other key cities. Otherwise what you said pretty much aligns with my view.
Except, Putin had damned well better gear up for full on existential war with NATO, IMO, but, who knows, maybe he can maintain his fine balancing act. At any rate, the one thing I am “convinced” of, is that NATO wants to crush Russia and it wants Crimea. That is not coming from my own imagination. Rather it comes from reading what the neocons/think tanks/US foreign policy nerds, etc have been saying since 2014. Those guys might be evil and deranged, but they usually do – or attempt to – exactly what they say they are going to do. Such was the case with the invasion of Iraq and all of the subsequent color revolutions, the attempt to destroy Syria, etc. That was spelled out several years earlier.
You might assess that it is foolish of NATO to get directly involved. I agree. I don’t want the US to have any part of it, but the US government doesn’t listen to me. The foolishness of an undertaking never stopped any government run by neocon types from embarking on it.
My plan? It’s too late b/c Russia went in too lite (as you acknowledge). They should have gone in heavy and fast and because they didn’t NATO has has time to react and Z is still in Kiev to work w/ NATO. Russia’s approach has encouraged the neocons. People see what they want to see and disregard the rest.
You can summarily dismiss NATO as a critical weight on the scale, like fanbois do, but that is a dangerous mindset that I’m Russia doesn’t share (else why all the troops in reserve). Would those reserves make hash out of NATO? Maybe/maybe not. Fanbois are ignoring a lot of what NATO can and would bring to the fight.
That’s the gist of what I have been saying. IMO, it is the Russian fanbois that can’t accept that Russia could lose that balance and be defeated. At least you can entertain that potential. I really don’t understand the fanbois’ angst over making these simple observations. It’s almost like they are emotionally driven, ignorant, beer soaked football fans conceiving of this war like its just another match against an arch rival, talking smack and having fun throwing their empty beer cans at anyone not 100% sharing their enthusiasm for their team. Think how crazy it is that just saying the above gets me labeled a troll. That’s as crazy as the neocons.
Lol those Russia (and China) fanboys are aren’t that hard to understand — they’re just too addicted to the “hopium” that some large foreign nation/power exists that can effectively counterbalance the forces of US/NATO and the globalists.
The problem is that this large foreign power also has problems of its own too — which over time resulted in a rather downsized and limited MIC than what would really needed to tackle that task (nukes aside).
@Eric Newhill — what you say make sense but I’d say Russia is specifically making itself out to look weak for a plain simple reason — to “buy time”.
Unlike the world’s #1 weapons exporter and leader of the NATO empire, Russia can’t afford to insert its fingers anywhere in the world and throw its own troops wherever it wants to just willy-nilly. And, nukes aside, yes, it’s MIC is nowhere near the size and scale of US/NATO either.
So what’s that surprising about Russia playing so slowly and conservatively to buy whatever time it can? Sure that makes it look weak, but so what?? You think Russia actually *wants* US/NATO to quickly escalate to that “shock and awe” you’re referring to? No!! They *want* NATO to play it easy, they want to *only* go up against poorly supported Ukraine troops in infantry battles, etc — and certainly nothing “more” than that!!
So why the surprise even about Russia “sparing” key infrastructure in Ukraine? Russia’s goal here is simple — to buy whatever time it can. If attacking certain infrastructure (or even “whatever target”) will lead to a huge NATO escalation (which becomes more and more likely the longer this goes and more and more NATO feels it would be getting “too attrited” otherwise), then Russia will simply scale it all back! (Note — do you not see a trend here too? Russia coming in “strong” around February 2022 / early on, only to start scaling everything back a few months later??)
(Not surprisingly even the “highly successful” Wagner PMC are complaining about not receiving sufficient munitions nowadays — well, given the above, you wouldn’t want them to become “too successful” now, would you?)
So, ultimately, there’s really nothing that surprising here. A big giant powerful NATO-contending Russian MIC is not something that can created in an instant with a mere “snap” of Putin’s fingers anyway. So don’t be surprised Russia will have to “playing” the role of a weakling trying to simply buy up whatever time it possibly can, and for what looks like to be a potentially long time going forward as well.
My view is that the massive and well publicized deployment of weapons has several psychological objectives:
– Make Russia worried about what’s to come in the next few months. The hope for the USA is that Putin may realize that he may lose and would be more open to concessions in negotiation
– Reassure Zelinski of the West support. Yet despite the promises, Zelinski knows that defeat is a possibility in view of the depletion of his soldiers and the determination of Putin.
I think that both Putin and Zelinski are put under very heavy pressure. If Putin cares about his country, Zelinski is more concerned about his own glory and is ready to sacrifice his citizen lives to come out as the internationally recognized hero. He has a dilemma, especially that there is a growing opposition within Ukraine about the course of the events and dwindling support in the west.
I think that he will die by accident or suicide or even murder, but he will manage to put the blame onto Russia to spoil forever the relation between Russia and the west. That would be his post mortem victory. Then it is only speculation but I don’t see any other alternative..
All those trucks and armor laid out in tightly packed rows, of the images are current. Will Rus take the opportunity to degrade them in place, or wait nicely until they are deployed and scattered? There’s de facto, even de jure by some readings, a state of war between USNATO and Russia. Will Rus take the fight to Polish and Greek and other ports before the stuff moves out? It would take quite a few missiles to degrade the lot in place, but a lot more ordnance and dead Russians (and other troops) to deal with the roaches after they spread.
Terrific piece.
1. The US emerged from WWII as the preeminent global power, which rested on unrivaled military and economic might, control of worlds energy reserves, primarily in the ME and maintaining the dollar as the worlds reserve currency. All the pillars supporting US global power have been systematically undermined by decades of neo-liberal economic policies (tax cuts for the wealthy, financial deregulation, bank/Wall St bailouts and job outsourcing) and spending astronomical amounts of taxpayer money on the Pentagon and strategic debacles in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, Yemen…….. The result- US government debt has exploded- currently $32 trillion (does not include municipal, consumer or corporate debt), while at the same time, the Russia-China-Iran axis has achieved military and economic parity with the US. Indeed, the American empire has declined to the point where its very survival is dependent upon continuous debt monetization (aka money printing) to keep financial markets and the military going.
2. The war in Afghanistan spanned 2 decades, at a cost of thousands of casualties and $2 trillion of American taxpayer money. In Aug, 2021, Joe Biden made the decision to remove all US combat troops from the Afghan theater, vividly demonstrating the limits of American military power to the global community.
3. The CIA has been collaborating with anti-Russian groups in Ukraine since 1945 [see-
The Anglo-American War on Russia – Part Five (CIA Coup in Kiev); https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MtbnLuKpjpo%5D. The current war in Ukraine began with the 2014 Miadan coup, spearheaded by then Vice President Joe Biden and Victoria Nuland [see- A US-Backed, Far Right–Led Revolution in Ukraine Helped Bring Us to the Brink of War By Branko Marcetic Feb 7, 2022; https://jacobin.com/2022/02/maidan-protests-neo-nazis-russia-nato-crimea%5D. The objective was to extend NATO forces into Ukraine and station tactical nuclear weapons on the Russian border . So where do we stand? Since 2022, the US has committed well over $100 billion of taxpayer money to the Ukraine campaign, which has either been stolen (at least half) or to pay for equipment, much of which has been destroyed by Russian artillery. The current situation is rapidly evolving into a military debacle, putting the entire credibility of US/NATO on the line. ’ (See: https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2023/03/06/pers-m06.html). Following the humiliating retreat of US forces from Afghanistan in Aug, 2021, Biden and the ruling elite he represents have no intention of having an encore performance in Ukraine.
As you state in your concluding remarks ‘this has all the makings of a major miscalculation on the part of NATO. If we are hearing about this you can be certain that Russia’s military intelligence is keeping track of equipment and troop movements.’ The Russian military has been VERY clear about the transfer of material from NATO to the Ukrainian military and used against Russian troops; they will act accordingly. Unfortunately, Biden has violated a fundamental tenet of war- he has backed himself into a corner with no route of escape. It is difficult to see this ending well.
Word of build up of US .mil in Romania since last year.
It appears, thinking about it Srat-tac wise, this would be a contingency for the possibikity Russia drops the bridges across the Dneiper River, effectively bottle knecking movement of arms east into the Donbas Arc theater.
Which funny thing, there was a sudden unexpected step down of the Mokdavian PM couple weeks ago, her replacement obviously a cabal/clown world regime change actor, (in all senses of the phrase “actor”, read LARP-agent provocutuer), who coincidently is portraying himself as an instant rabid Putin hater and staunch warmongor, funny how this councides, aka a coinkydink, with the build up of ukronazi assault troops and heavy armor on the Tranisterian border, at the two axis which lead straight to two of the largest stockpiles of former Warsaw Pac arty and tank ammunition. So large it is stated by some, enough ammunition to supply the ukronazi DC client regime’s proxy army with a years worth of munitions. Funny how everything points to so many plausible deniability’s, which if you squint your eyes is a pattern in detail astypical as the word implies, and never, except for the lying gay fake clown world media would tell us to believe, which is all not only lies, but operational plausible deniability by default.
If there is a cautionary aspect to all this its the illegitimate elite cabal in DC and Brussels, has once again conned US soldiers into fighting and dying for them and their pursuit of filthy lucra along with dominion over earths richest natural resources. and strategic geography.
The thing that is so incredibly despicable regarding this globalist cabal of elites and banksters is their utter illegitimacy. See how while they manage both expiditionary tyranny while at the same time employ war as a means to genocide another generation of possible enemies to themselves and agenda, soldiers of both sides in this globalist war of rapine and pillage, as a means to reduce the K Strategists, ie, the Warriors among us, soldiers. Killing two birds with one stone.
The ultimate crux of all this is this cabal of satanic globalist criminals have absolutely no legitimacy whatsoever, it is only thru the imposition of a monopolistic yellow-rhodes/purlitzer gake gay lying media complex, which creates the whole cloth illusion somehow this globo=peedo one world power agenda is this likly white moral and legitimate course of action, not to mention they use armies created only by dint if the crration of wealth by us good folks, which thru global welth transfer strip mining and neccessary laundering of this largess of glibal filthy lucre, we all dirt people are literally paying for all of this thru our moth bitten wallets and hand to mouth pittence slave wages, which is itself a product of this same cabal of illegitimates.
The great thing, the really great thing, as soon as a plurality of good folks grok whats being done to us, the second we stand in simple solidarity and say”I WON’T!”, the withdrawal of our consent, we precipitate the collapse of their criminal underworld institutional order. In otherwords at first it seems impossible to rip the elites grip from the levers of power, but once one begins to loosen their grip, the rest follow, a condition most assuredly appreciated of such human vermin.
All thats needed to create this collapse of illusion and fiction of legitimacy is only just enough determined good folks to say “I WON’T! Amazing as it would seem it is truth as in talking truth to power to quote those who are other despicable vile usurpers who only gained an illusion of power thru the same slieght of hand of the same yellow gay fake clown world media complex.
If you ain’t caught on it is this gay fake clown media that is enemy number one, till they aren’t, which is pretty close to being the case, as every day good folks like myself understand to the effin’ bone everything, everything we are told to believe is a fucking lie.
This yellow media is an instrument of a vast surveillance and intelligence network which infests literalky and figuratively everything. Every. Thing. For once it was let loose upon us good folks it grew into a tumor, this fetid nasty vile despicable disgusting depraved tumor, and its made up of the wirst traters in all of human history, no others can eclipse these traitors of their own kind. They created and imposed this virus of a false fake gay illegitimate media on us. without which none of them, from top to bottom, from a child molesting daughter raping fake false president to the bottom if the surveillance network gangstalker, they all ate ilkegitimate without their lying face media organ.
All we got to do is look thru past this abortion of tyrants, and they are exposed, for if you need proof of their total illegitimacy, just look, its right there in plain sight, all these cabal shitstain got, all they ever had, for power, is the threat of force and use of violence to coerce and steal. And that force and violence is combined a client regime of nazi criminals running a terrir and reorisal army of Ukranians, a client regime proxy army, which is nothing but those cabal clien world gay fake private army of mercenary terror and reprisal/genocide army, they intended to use to eventually destroy all of Russia and then take out tge rest of tge Sovereign Eurasian nation states, in order to get their child blood soakked meat hooks on the incalcuable natural wealth of this area of GOD’s green Earth, while committing the neccesary de-population genocide they desire in order to perserve this wealth only for themselves.
But, this terror and reprisal army failed, its literalky been defeated twice over, having used up two entire armies worth of arms and munitions, killed upwards of 500,000 Ukrainian men, tens of thousands of civilians have deliberately terrorized naimed and murdered, by this same terror and reprisal army, and a third rendetion of terror and reprisal made from mostly American military arms and soldiers are on the way to do what two entire Ukrainian proxy armies failed in total to do. Except for the terror and reprisal and systematic genocide of the good folks of the Donbas Arc.
The story of the defiance and courage to stand fight and defeat this proxy terrorist army is the real life tale of “I WON’T!”. A story as beautiful in its resistance to tyranny and success as a slave revolt as our American history. These good folks along the Donbas Arc faced the decedents of the same cabal of criminals as we did in the 1700’s, the same money changer Ashkenazi’s, (get it? Ashke-nazi? AKA the name stealers, AKA the fake jews, AKA the twelve bankster families, getting the picture here yet?), the same fake gay illegitimate glbalist criminals, only difference is its generations of tgem later attempting to pull the same shit, the same terrir and reprisal, the same goid folks, who differ from us in America mostly only by language and historical culture, but in all other ways we are all common good folks.
But this time, its lookin’ like these khazarian mobsters and their global bankster mafia have come up against some goid folks this time who not only got the courage audacity and motive power like our Colonial era Patriot forebears to beat this foul cabal, but the means and audacity, the phenominal and determinationto liquidate this nest of satanic animals in human skin suits.
I hope the Russian’s and their alliance, which is growing by leaps and bounds with other good folks who had quite enough of these lunatics constant terror and reprisal and genocide never mind their thieving and rapine, pillaging of filthy lucre, fed up being robed at gun point and most of all blackmail.
For my part, I syand just as my Colonial forebears just as the goid folks of the Donbas Arc and all from everywhere coming to their rescue from this horde of satan. And i can clearly see this cabal has lost its grip on the levers of power and its scrabbling like insane lunatics to get its grip firmly back on those levers, but it will not be. Because they have no legitimacy. None. Nobody asked them, they asked none of us. Nobody elected them. Basically nobidy really knows even who they are but by critical thinking and deduction by evidence of details and trail of history their revisionists could not memory whole, and they hide, like filthy vermin with disease festering dripping from their foul fetid rotted fangs. Poison. Poison on the world they are. They live breed amongst themselves and with every generation more depraved mire blood soaked by child and war they are. They are the hate of the world. The root of hate and envy and avarice. If there is a model, a symbol of the uter absense of Prudence on this mortal coil they suffice for nothing comes close and it is their utter lack, and their minions and sychophants included, their absense of all Prudence is that which detroys them in the end. It is us good folks who orevail because mist of us are Prudent good decent folks. And it is our prudence which gives us absolute legitimacy, that of course He who made us Sovereign Unalienable beings. It is by the Grace of GOD for there we dare to go and in doing so our legitimacy will never be vanquished by any entity or potentate or tyrant.
All’s we got to do us say “I WON’T!”. It is the most powerful weapon ever devised by men.
Don’t believe that?
Look. Look what they send. They send everything. Its right there on the docks on the ships in the air on the ground. Its not enough, it will never be enough. Have you not had enough? I have. A hundred million of us Americans are not armed to the fucking teeth cause its a hobby. And niether are the Russians and all who ally in Armageddon.
PS,
Thank you Mr. Larry Johnson, I appreciate you, for the opportunity to grouse and rant and share my thoughts with my fellow good folks.
Thank you too, it is at great risk to you and your lived ines, for all you have worked for, to have the wonderful audacity to give us this great platform, it is not unlike the phamplets of the town centers of our Colonial Patriot forebears who at great risk to life and limb waged an insurgency if truth and information.
So hats off Larry.
Bravo!
Bravo!
Bravo!
After the false flag, “we knew Putin was capable of this kind of evil so we kept some hardware in Europe scheduled to return to the US as well as moved other equipment and personnel near Ukraine.”
In the last 26 months what has the resident in the Whitehouse and his neocons gotten right? They think they are visionaries but can’t see past the ends of their noses. They have forgotten their childhood playground realities. Once somebody punches the bully in the face, all the children who have been bullied want to get their licks in too. Russia is more than capable of punching the bully in the face. Kim’s sister just said N Korea is ready to strike the US and S Korea. China has already stated their position towards the US. What will Iran and others do, sit on their hands? Welcome to TEOTWAWKI.
“NATO and U.S. ground forces backed up by superior air assets can clean up the Afghan goat herders in about two weeks and”
Past is prologue.
The US sent troops to Europe in WW2 to stop the Russians from getting to Paris and sent troops to Syria to keep Assad/Russia from completing their victory.
They’ll (it’s not my country anymore) do the same this time, sending a light force to Western Ukraine to stop the Russians from getting to the Polish border once Zelensky’s spring offensive peters out in Zaporizhya and the Donbass is fully Russian.
70-30 odds on the Russians take the force out to teach NATO a lesson. Then some scary threats from both sides and peace talks next year.
It’s hard to add anything to what’s already been said in comments here…but here are my thoughts:
1. As mentioned the US 2024 election cycle plays a big part in all of this…the MIC and neocons WILL take all measures necessary to ensure war hawk re-election/election regardless of political party and regardless of how many dead UAF soldiers it takes.
2. We can accurately surmise that there will be no large scale RUS Winter offensive…rather massed RUS forces can and will be used to fight a NATO incursion into the UKR or Crimea if/when that happens….makes perfect sense to me.
3. It’s looking more and more like the UAF will launch a large scale Spring offensive and my guess is that some of the US equipment being staged in Poland and Greece will be used to support that. Is Joe deranged enough to commit US troops into the fight–absolutely.
4. We knew 2023 would be the year of escalation…this only ends one of two ways…either NATOstan “wins” or Russia “wins”…forget about diplomacy it’s off the table. My money is still on Russia.
5. This kind of reminds me of the troop and equipment build up the year prior to Desert Storm launching in 1990…however, the most telling set of circumstances for me is that the “build up” is largely US…if we start seeing other NATO countries mobilizing reserves, per-positioning equipment and otherwise prepping their citizens for war then we know the big one is about to fall (WWIII).
6. At this point US/NATOstan has to know that the UKR is going to get its ass handed to it Spring offensive or not…so a possible strategy is to commit US forces into the UKR to prevent removal of Zelensky or occupation of Western UKR under some false flag causus belli…remember the NATOstan goal is to grant NATO membership to the UKR even if that is just Western UKR–still looks like victory…still that’s unacceptable to Russia.
Excellent strep, VR.
That is the scenario I have predicted would unfold – not b/c I’m so smart, but b/c it is the only logical conclusion given that US/NATO cannot back down, Russia cannot back down and Russia, while not strong enough for decisive victory over a Ukraine backed by NATO training and assistance, would slowly wear down Ukrainian forces available for an attack on Crimea. Crimea has always been a key NATO objective; maybe The objective. NATO has been burning up inside over the “loss” of Crimea since it happened.
Russia should have never dragged its ass in Ukraine. A quick victory with a new government in Kiev would have subverted NATO plans. RUSSIA HAS BLOWN IT!
Eric…yeah this is going to be interesting to watch unfold. I came across this assessment earlier today…pretty good actually:
“The neoconservatives who dominate US foreign policy, the principal purpose of which, in their words, is to prevent the rise of other countries with sufficient power to constrain US unilateralism, now face both China and Russia as threats to US hegemony. Russia’s punishment is conflict in Ukraine, sanctions, missiles on their border, and blown up Nord Stream pipelines. The goal is to isolate Russia from Europe and to present the Kremlin with sufficient problems to keep Moscow out of Washington’s way.”
https://www.unz.com/mwhitney/mike-whitney-interviews-paul-craig-roberts-about-the-rising-tensions-with-china/
VR,
Yep. The neocons have never been shy about letting their objectives be known, nor that they will go to great lengths – even horrible lengths – to achieve them.
I would hope that we – the American people – would get rid of the neocons, but they endure and probably will until the end (whatever that looks like).
Lithuania, not Poland
gas pipe lines
https://eegas.com/estonia.htm
https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/lithuania/summaries/#geography
https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/lithuania/summaries
Lithuania is Roman..not Orthadox Catholic. Western by that measure.
Kaliningrad Oblast is Russian…
https://www.britannica.com/place/Kaliningrad
One would imagine diplomacy… not war…in continued relations with Lithuania and RU.
Give the KGB some work on the govt and the elections… and so on.
“They” are up against the wall. Having captured control of the the governments of the US, the UK and most of NATO and then attempting to institute a society built around technological slavery, they are nonetheless failing and must double down or face charges of crimes against humanity for the bioweapons and vaccine genocide.
There is such desperation that they gave the alien hoax a try and it fell flat like so much of everything else these idiots touch. Cornered rats don’t bluff. Mostly they get killed. But rats don’t have a Samson Option.
As in a Spaghetti Western . Fastest draw of the Hypersonic Missile will win the shoot out. Russia has nothing to loose. The Russians are fighting for their existence. 1917–1990—2023. When the Khazar Rothschild Central Bankers are failing. The Khazar attack rob ,kill and rape Russia. Putin is a judo expert. Putin in street fights as a kid liked getting the first punch in to stun the attacker. ZEN. If attacked do not worry you are already dead .So whatever you do is a plus. Attack to kill and you may live. Russia is already dead. So fire everything. Kill everywhere.NATO, USA, CANADA, EU. Cities ,military bases. Then fly in clean up crews to finish off Khazar World Controllers. Russian people has nuclear fall out centres to sit it out.Putin. Flatten Khazar Israel and the City of London bankers.
how much is a paintjob on a $10 mill tank, me asks.
this color sticks out like sore thumb in UA-no matter the season.
So this is 100% NOT for UA, if anything it`s for murica`s handler, you know, a certain “country” in the middle east…but even this is extemely far fetched.
“I am curious what you think is going on?”
Desert Shield it is not.
Eric Newhill says
“Fanbois think … NATO will just watch and let it happen, except for injecting some token armor and artillery into the fight.”
That’s all NATO has done for a year. What makes you think they would do anything else?
Far from it. NATO has been supplying Ukraine with game changing weapons and training Ukrainian troops. It takes a while to organize and coordinate a big offensive on Crimea, especially a multinational force and especially when trying to be as sneaky as possible.
That’s all I needed to know.
“NATO has been supplying Ukraine with game changing weapons”
LOL.
Ah ah ah ah aha ha! It must be Intel in another language.
mr. johnson- with all the comments already have nothing to add. yu were mentioned in a positive way on this article. i believe there are certain elements similar below to how another conflict began which i will not expound on further here.
https://www.globalresearch.ca/setting-the-record-straight-stuff-you-should-know-about-ukraine/5807548
Quote: Larry C. Johnson, A Son of a New Revolution
The point we are trying to make is simple: The war in Ukraine was not launched by a tyrannical Russian leader (Putin) bent on rebuilding the Soviet Empire. That narrative is a fraud that was cobbled together by neocon spin-meisters trying to build public support for a war with Russia. The facts I am presenting here can be identified on a map where the actual explosions took place and were then recorded by officials whose job was to fulfill that very task. Can you see the difference between the two? In one case, the storyline rests on speculation, conjecture and psychobabble; while in the other, the storyline is linked to actual events that took place on the ground and were catalogued by trained professionals in the field. In which version of events do you have more confidence?
regards,
ralph
Yes, Ralph, correct.
But people (experts) in the Pentagon surely know the score and NATO and the US cannot take on Russia. The top commander of NATO said the same thing last week. THEY KNOW! Better hope that smarter people prevail in the decisions ahead for the West. So far I see little sign of it except for the above. Hopefully the globalists will have Biden back down because as evil as the latter are, they do not want a nuclear war. They have plans and it doesn’t include killing off the human race.
FWIW,
L.
“They have plans and it doesn’t include killing off the human race.”
Maybe something else is killing off the human race and Total World Annihilation is just a distraction, for say the end of cheap energy in more than abundant supply; or a radiological event that went under or un-reported, like Fukushima; or a scheme that got world populations to remain indoors while the Angel of Death passed over them, killing only this person and not that person. You know, like a man-made pandemic.
“It got out. It turned on us. The End!
Maybe the human race is already dead and we just don’t know it yet.
Maybe it’s just about the time we have left. Nothing more. Nothing less. Simple.
I’m the wrong guy to ask. I might have a target on my back already –
I made a blog posting to encourage US reader’s to mail, call or fax Congress (from the safety of their own homes) and insist they U-turn on WAR or not be re-elected. It’s … motivational.
Readership tripled and so did the glitches on every damn device I own. I don’t earn a dime, and ego is over-rated . fuggit.
Yippee! #repealAUMF all over again! 猿笑
read the comments so i do hav something to add. was waiting for the right time to post this
i do not think the us would go into the ukraine without using its advanced weapronry- ie. harrp- to modify the weather to cover them and cause earthquakes . it was forcasted europe would be very cold last winter and that did not happen. this is all total conjecture on my part.
Also i do believe the us can fly their f-16`s by remote cntrl so the pilots will not be at risk. they gave the f16 drone capability 10 yrs ago.
they have the hypersonic advantage and maybe we have the harrp atvantage which may or not have been used against turkey when they got out of line.
yu may find this interesting or not; does sound a little sci-fi . the part that is interesting starts at the 39 minute mark
https://rumble.com/v2a7cl8-tectonic-weapons-and-biden-in-ukraine-ft-brooks-agnew-22023.html
this was the ship parked in turkey before the earthquake. the us has 70 of these
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Nitze
HAARP Holes In Heaven
https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x1c8yns
in 2017 apparently the russians chased one of these ships out of the black sea. maybe there was a different reason why.
https://www.cnn.com/2017/02/16/us/russia-us-ship-fly-by/index.html
I agree with you Larry. A “shock and awe” on deck. There seems a shift , an “air” of confidence blowing through the planted news stories. Maybe all that “NATO” running out of equipment & ammunition & all has been balderdash.
Belarus is ready. Russia is ready. How it ends is anybody’s guess.
According to German mainstream press, “Ukraine did it”:
https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2023-03/nordstream-2-ukraine-anschlag
“Spuren führen in die Ukraine …” (Traces/tracks lead to Ukraine …”)
Someone found out what really happened and published a bombshell article just days ago. No wonder NYT has brought up their “version” of what happened, blaming Ukraine and making sure it was not Zelensky but some other patriot wit a big wallet. A perfect scape-goat to deflect from the real story that was published first.
And everyone in the west eats it up with no reflection what-so-ever. Propaganda wins again.
This is at least the second time that NATO has provoked hostilities between Russia and the rest.
They put missiles in Turkey far too close to Russia and when they would not back down, the Russians responded with missiles in Cuba.
JFK managed that one well enough, but it did not have to happen at all.
Just a couple of decades out of a planetary conflagration, and a raging war in Asia, and still they pushed the envelope.
NATO has no cost benefit to America or any place else, it is just an elaborate MIC racket.
NATO is a net loss all around except for direct beneficiaries.
And even with that they are so slap happy stupid that they did not know how to just ride the gravy train and collect the massive welfare checks and stay off the radar.
Now we are all being forced into a widespread war so they can save face and look tough even though they are venal cowards.
NATO, EU, and DC morons should not be allowed to push for wars, especially since they do not do the fighting and dying, salvaging and rebuilding, and absolutely nothing for the injured and traumatized survivors of their iniquitous fun and games.
I just don’t see what NATO can do. Sure, there will be some kind of “spring offensive” which will end in total failure. The only actual battle you can argue that the Ukrainians have won was in Lyman. And that wasn’t very big. Now they have far less weapons, far less men and far worse infrastructure. While Russia gets stronger every day.
NATO may enter western Ukraine but will risk either a huge defeat or that it all goes nuclear. They may be that stupid.
Invading Transnistria would be a better option. The opposition would be around 10k soldiers/militia/police. That’s more in league with what the US normally fights. Of course, eventually Russia would enter the scene and wipe out the 82nd plus the whole of Moldova.
I’ve yet to see any realistic proposal for what NATO could do.
How is Russia “getting stronger every day”? Wagner is losing hundreds of men a day fighting ragtag Ukrainian troops (per Wagner). Russia advance at a snail’s pace
NATO had been training up thousands of Ukrainian troops outside of Ukraine. The best Ukrainian troops have not been committed to the recent fighting (per Ukrainians dying on the frontlines) – they’ve been held in reserve. IMO, you too readily discount NATO capabilities and even the remaining capabilities of the Ukrainian forces. The NATO goal has always been Crimea and they have been building or that. Everything else has been to bleed Russia, buy time to get ready and to learn about Russian capabilities and tactics. I’m sure Russia is aware of this and has been holding back themselves. No one can predict the outcome of this war based on what has happened so far, IMO.
NATO has not provided Ukraine the good stuff. Maybe the good stuff is a game changer, maybe it’s not. I wouldn’t write it off. It will come with the NATO troops.
NATO doesn’t want Transnistria. It wants Crimea + western Ukraine + Putin gone.
“That’s more in league with what the US normally fights” Yeah? It’s also in league with what Russia normally fights.
“I’ve yet to see any realistic proposal for what NATO could do.” Funny. I haven’t seen a proposal for what Russia could do beyond fanboys suggesting they’ll just roam around for years killing Ukrainians until there are none left – kind of like a Russian version of the USA’s Vietnam strategy (body count above everything). But what could could NATO do? STOP Thinking it’s all about infantry and tanks. Think more sophisticated weapons and attacks.
Newdill keeps on keeping on with the misinfo and bullshit.
“Wagner is losing hundreds of men a day” Prove this statement. Post a link.
My prediction: You and the other concern trolls will quietly slink away never to be heard from again when the US/UK supported NAZI scum are obliterated.
You are a special kind of lazy Russia fanboy zombie. Do you not even follow the events about which you are so damn sure you know all about?
Prigozhin – that’s the head of Wagner – said himself that he is losing hundreds of men a day. Statement was part of his very public gripe about being short on ammo, “This can be equated with a betrayal of the motherland, at a time when Wagner is battling for Bakhmut and losing hundreds of fighters every day,” – Straight translation from Prigozhin’s own words.
Go look it up yourself, if you aren’t too afraid.
Russia gets stronger by mobilizing, training and reorganizing their forces. It’s correct that they’ve been found lacking in a number of areas. But it’s getting better. Also their support from the rest of the world gets stronger every day.
To finish the war Russia must eventually surround/threaten/take Kiev. Everything else is secondary. That’s realistic. It’s also realistic that they will make some blunders and that many Russians will die. That’s war.
NATO doesn’t send any sophisticated weapons. And their sophisticated attacks are mostly terror attacks on civilians, like today’s HIMARS on a bus stop in Volnovakha. You may of course call the Ukrainian drones loaded with chlorine gas “sophisticated”. For my part I’ll stick to thinking about infantry and tanks instead of some NATO wunderwaffen. And if it really heats up, say goodbye to NATO’s satellites, which is the source of NATO’s only real strength.
NATO is also learning and training. NATO is sending JDAMS and other powerful weapons; many of which don’t get talked about at places like this because it might be a downer for the Russia fanboy club.
Totally agree, Kiev surround and the Zelensky government taken out. That should have happened in the first week of the invasion. Spetznatz could have wormed their way into Kiev ahead of time and been in position to assassinate key leadership (maybe even Z). Communications and electricity should have been destroyed along with railroads.
But no, Russia miscalculated and sucks at war fighting and they thought they were going to scare Z and NATO into a settlement. Now it’s too late. No way in a million years is Russia going to get near Kiev, let alone surround it.
Look, I get it, western sources are full of absurd nonsense/propaganda. You’ll never get the truth from them. However, Russia fanboy sources, while often much better than the western sources, still filter reality to keep their audience happy and The Faith alive. You seem to be a reasonable person and the not a totally kool aide drunk fanboy. Ask yourself a question, have any of the fanboy sources EVER said ANYTHING negative about Russian performance? Is it realistic that any power could fight a war and not make major mistakes? Heck, even Russia admits it made mistakes. Are the fanboy clubs all excuse making (it’s part of 5D chess!) or being honest?
There is a lot NATO can do to Russia.
None of the fanboy sources such as MoA has said anything negative about Russian performance. I never read them.
Russia gambled and failed in the beginning. But it may not be that they had a choice. Their military wasn’t ready, the population wasn’t ready for mobilization, the industry wasn’t ready for restructuring. Russia is a democratic state with all its flaws. They can’t arm themselves like North Korea and go to war at will.
You can read Simplicius’ articles and comments at substack (simplicius76.substack.com) In my mind he’s by far the best. Although he’s “pro-Russian” he doesn’t hide the fact that a lot can go wrong for Russia. He’s got an article on the JDAMs as well. It’s not likely they will make any kind of noticeable difference. Too few, too exposed to air defense.
Since when did Prigogine become commander in chief? He doesn’t make any decisions. He is a talking head, bringing truth mixed with heresy.
You believe what you want to believe.
Prigogine is a troll, but who is he trolling is a question. True, after visiting this site, I guess who is the target audience of Prigozhin’s trollism, as well as military correspondents directly associated with Wagner (who are often referred to here).
Ukraine, the Ukrainian army, Ukrainians and cities of Ukraine are not an end in itself in this war of Russia against the USA and NATO.
Putin said he would not allow a repeat of 1941 for Russia. This means that he intends to repeat 1945 for the Nazis in the US-led Western coalition. The lair of the Nazis is now located not in Kyiv, not in Berlin, Brussels or Paris, but in Washington. Until Washington is defeated, there will be no peace for anyone. Those. While NATO thinks they have lured Russia into the war in Ukraine, the reality is that Russia is luring NATO troops into Ukraine and destroying them there. Peace agreements are possible only after the surrender of the United States, no matter how long it takes.
The main battles of the Third World War will take place in theaters of operations far from Ukraine.
Georgia?
Hal Turner will do some sensational stuff…but some of his stuff is better than any you can find on the net. Sometimes his info is the point of the spear.
https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/world/u-s-fomenting-maiden-style-revolution-in-country-of-georgia-paying-protesters-even-ukraine-refugees-to-cause-second-war-front-for-russia
For those who doubt that the Russian Army will enter the battle fields, listen to Prigozhin (head of Wagner):
And as of this moment, the world has not yet encountered a well-trained Russian army; with those units that have not yet entered battle with all available modern weapons, means of reconnaissance.
Perfectly prepared, they are waiting for their time, that time will come following the opening of operational space of PMC Wagner after Bakhmut.
https://www.bitchute.com/video/Pjy9Y5pMNV8Z/
I suspect Russian planning envisages an inevitable confrontation with NATO. Russian sub activity of the East and West coasts of the US is interesting. The USSR never did anything like this.
As I see it, US/Nato military (Col & under) has been reading combat reports & know that US/Nato troops exposed to combat with Russian forces, without air support, without communications, will melt like ice cubes in the sun. Meanwhile every Nato base in northern europe gets a storm of hypersonic explosive. Are the US/Nato fools planning to use tactical nukes from the start?
I see the USG paid shills now playing sock puppetry in here , with one account posting so obvious nonsense and then the usual pretender aka eric newhill and his other sock puppet account responded..
this is hasbara troll 101 , Muddle the forum with endless discussion refuting a troll , then another troll slide in and pretend to be ‘patriot’ and pushed in USG narrative..
sadly the troll ID called ‘eric newhill’ is a known troll since his posts on Col Lang’s SST. Anyone who visited SST will see how this eric newhill lick col lang’s boots everytime he posted
Good to see others are awake to him.
Hi Andrie
Wait a minute. It’s possible to get paid for this?
I know, right? Andrei…er um excuse me …buntalanlucu ……..seems to know all about it.
Hey Buntalan, between the the Russia and Chinese governments, how much do you make?